The URL can be used to link to this page

Home My WebLink AboutDuck Pond Pt to Horton Pt Benefits Analysis Final Report 04/23/1999 Benefits Analysis, Duck Pond Point to Horton Point Final Report Submitted to: Town of Southold `�� April 23, 1999 x URS Greiner Woodward Clyde In Association with The Greeley-Polhemus Group URS Greiner Woodward Clyde P.O.Box 290' 201 Willowb'rnok Boulevard A Division ofi)�?SCor`pdrafio:- Wayne,,NJ,07470-.0290 TO:973.385,0700„ Fait:973765.:0023 December 23, 1998 Offices Worldyvide Town of Southold Town Hall 53095 Main Road Southold,NY 11971 Attention: Mr. James McMahon Reference: Transmittal of Draft Report Benefits Analysis -Duck Pond Point to Horton Po-int..'. Dear Jim; URS Greiner Woodward Clyde, in Association with the�.Greeley:.Polhemus Groub;.:are;_ pleased to submit the attached 10 copies of our Draft report titled Benefit t tdysis;D.u%. ?mid•. :: Point to Horton Point. This report provides a summary of our analysis of poten$ al.beneits for seven alte:i ia0d—future conditions, including the No Action alternative•.,'E4&of these.eonditioi hs has been evaluated for four possible storm scenarios including a.rand6m:simulatios .-of the-Iran ge- of anticipated-events. We look forward to the opportunity to meet and'discu5s"our.analysis; -` procedures and findings, as well as to answer any questions or coinznents regarding the,benefit& study. Thank you for the opportunity to assist in developing a solution.to this most challenging problem." In addition, if you have any questions regarding how to integrate.the benefit;re'suits into the overall study process please fell free to call myself or Mike Cannon: Sincerely;"' Adam H. Slutsky P.E. URS Greiner Woodward Clyde Consulting cc. Michael Cannon Phil Hopkins w/enclosures (1) Barry PendergrassV/enclosures (2) Benefits Analysis Duck Pond Point to Horton Point Town of Southold, NY Draft Report December 23, 1998 URS Greiner Woodward Clyde in association with The Greeley-Polhemus Group R 1. Disclaimer Background information, design bases, and other data have been furnished to URS Greiner by the Town of Southold, Aubrey Consulting, Offshore and Coastal Technologies , Ocean and Coastal'Consultants and other third parties, which URS Greiner has used in preparing this report. This information includes but is not limited to, property boundaries and owners, tax and assessed value information, topographic base mapping, aerial photographs, beach profiles and = erosion rates. URS Greiner has relied on this information as furnished, and is not responsible for and has not confirmed the accuracy of this information. This report is based on certain key assumptions made by URS Greiner which substantially affect the conclusions and recommendations of this report. These assumptions, although thought to be reasonable and appropriate, may,not prove true in the future. URS Greiner's conclusions and recommendations are conditioned upon these assumptions. —` Table of contents � INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - , . .. l ` ECONOMICCONDITIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .' . . . . . . . . . . . . ' . . . . . . . . ' . . . . 3 � . PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' . ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' . ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '' ' . ' . . ' ' ' ' ' ' . ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' 5 � Storm Bis 5 �ury . . . � . � . . . � . . . . . . . . . . � . . . � . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ^ � .^ _~ 5� Erosion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..... .... � Inundation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — . . . . . . . . . . . . ' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -. . . .- . . ... . WITHOUT PROJECT FUTURE CONDITIONS . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .' . 8 STUDY AREA ECONOMIC REACHES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ' ? STORMDAMAGES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .' . . . . . . . '. . ' . . . . . . .' . . . . . . . . . . . . . .' . . 7 Structure Inventory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ^ . ^ . 7 ' Structure Valuations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9� Inundation Damage Functions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9� Erosion Distance vs.Damage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .' lO WITHOUT PROJECT SIMULATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . l] General . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . ..... . �._ . ... . �. `' . . . . . . . . . . . ' ...' , . ... ., D| Bboo�doo � � � . . . . . . � � . . . . . . . . ., . . � . . . . . . � . . � ..' . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . � . . . . . . . . . �' %� , � . Inundation Damage . . . . . . . . . . ' . . . . � . . . .� � . . . . .'. .'. . . ��i /�. . ' . .�. . . . . . . . . . . . . �. . . DF ' Erosion Damage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ` . '^ ^ . . ..' . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . .. `.` lk Wave Damage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .` . . . . . . . . . . . . '. '.. ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . —,'��' l5 ' Total Storm Damage . . . � � . . . . . � . . . . . . . . . . . . . — . � . . . . . . . . . `.., �.`./.�. .�. .. . . . . . . . . . ...�. . 16 - � ALTERNATIVES CONSIDERED . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . '. . . . . . . . . . . . �, `. � .'.'. .``_ . . .. . .� . . . . . . . . �. . l8 ' WITH PROJECT SIMULATIONS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .'... . . . . . 18 33 HABITAT VAlJJECBAN��E8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . � ., . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . � . . .^ ' . Types ufBuhb�bn the Study Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .` . � . . . . ^ ^ . ^ � , Natural Resource Values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ^ ^ .. ^� � Recreational Fishing Use Values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .'. ...... ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .,.'3m RECREATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ' . . 36 Geoccu . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — . . . . . . . . . . . .' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .` . . . . . . . . .,..- :36 Estimated Annual Beach Usage.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ....... �6 Descriptive Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . '. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ' . . . . . . . . . . . ',,_ . 39 ProtestBids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..'.`^. +a Benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ' ...—^. �8 Storm Damage Reduction Benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ......... . . . u . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ._ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ' . '. . . . . . ' . ' . . 57 REFERENCES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. _. . . . . '' . . ''. . . . . . . . . . ' . . . . . . . .. . , 59 ' � Appendices Appendix A-List of Property Owners in Study Area Appendix B-Damage Simulation Models Appendix C-Stage vs.Frequency Curves Appendix D-Mean Critical Damage to Individual Structures in Study Area Appendix E-Recreation Survey Questionnaire Appendix F-Maps Showing Type of Damage Under Alternative Plans List of Tables Table 1 Summary of Parcels in Study Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 Table 2 Study Area Zoning Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Table 3 Study Area Population Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Table 4 Median Family and Per Capita Income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Table 5 Storm Surge Elevations for Study Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Table 6 Summary of Structure Inventory for Study Area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Table 7 Flood Insurance Administration(FIA)Depth Damage Curves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Table 8 Summary of Historic Shoreline Change Analysis Data Used in Economic Analysis Calculated Using Data from 1964 to 1998,Average Storm Periods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Table 9 Summary of Historic Shoreline Change Analysis Data Used in Economic Analysis (Large Storm Periods) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 Table 10 Estimated Maximum Annual Storm Surge Elevations at Horton Point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Table 11 Representative Profiles and Beach Slopes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Table 12 Wave Height vs.Percent of Structure Damage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Table 13 Summary of Without Project Damage Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Table 14 Summary of Acquisition Plan Structures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Table 15 Summary of Acquisition Plan Damage Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Table 16 Calculation of Reduction in Erosion Rates for Sand Bypassing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Table 17 Summary of Sand Bypassing Plan Damage Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Table 18 Summary of Beach Nourishment Plan Damage Simulation *. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Table 19 Summary of Combination Beach Nourishment&Sand Bypasing Damage Simulation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Table 20 Summary of Combination Beach Nourishment&Structure Acquisition Damage Simulation . . . . . . . . . 26 Table 21 Summary of Combination Sand Bypassing&Structure Acquisition Plan Damage Simulation . . . . . . . . 27 Table 22 Assessed and Market Values By Reach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Table 23 Maximum Declines in Annual Real Property Tax Revenues for Alternative Plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Table 24 Reductions in Loss of Annual Real Property Tax Revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Table 25 Study Area Beach Attendance.for Summer 1997 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Table 26 t Summary Of Beach Survey Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 Table 27 Summary of Yearly Beach Usage for Survey Respondents. . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Table 28 Summary of Average WTP by Beach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Table 29 Recreational value of beach nourishment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 Table 30 Recreational value of sand bypassing(jetty shortening) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Table 31 Benefits for Alternative Project Plans(Mean Benefits Over 10 years,i=7%) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 Table 32 Benefits for Alternative Combination Project Plans(Mean Benefits Over 10 years,i=7%) . . . . . . . . . . 54 Table 33 Summary of Benefits for Alternative Plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 ti TOWN OF SOUTHOLD, NEW YORK ,r - BENEFITS ANALYSIS DUCK POND POINT TO HORTON POINT INTRODUCTION In response to public concerns,the Town of Southold is interested in studying erosion of the shoreline in the Duck Pond Point to Horton Point Area. A number of different erosion mitigation strategies have been developed,and data is being sought to support the choice of which strategy to pursue. The erosion mitigation proposals are: property acquisition, sand bypassing around the jetty at Goldsmith Inlet,beach nourishment in the vicinity of Kenney's Beach Town Park, some combination of the three, or no action. Savings through mitigation identified by the Benefits Analysis may be compared at a later date with the costs of the various proposed mitigation measures. The Benefits Analysis will identify how much value is currently being lost,estimate how much the losses can be reduced through implementation of the proposed erosion mitigation, and which complimentary measures may be undertaken. The study area is located entirely in the Town of Southold, on the north shore of Long Island,New York. Headlands at the Duck Pond Point and Horton Point define the limit of the study area along the shoreline. The study area includes all the properties which lie north-west of North Road and Route 48 Between Duck Pond Point and Horton Point, and are within or partly within the hazard areas identified on the Flood Insurance Rate maps(See Figure 1). The western portion of the study area is privately owned with single family detached homes. It consists of beach backed by bluffs,up to 80t feet high for a distance of approximately 12.5 miles eastward from Duck Pond Point, dropping to less than 50 feet high for another mile to Goldsmith Inlet. A low accretion fillet with a wide beach lies to the west of the inlet, including a small Town beach immediately adjacent to the jetty. East of Goldsmith Inlet for approximately two miles is a baymouth barrier beach. It includes two Suffolk County Parks facilities and scattered single family homes in the western mile, and a Town beach surrounded by more closely spaced single family homes in the eastern mile. The eastern end of the study area consists of low eroding glacial bluffs for one half mile to the headland at Horton Point,rising to 60f feet in height,with single family homes and another Town beach. The purpose of the study is to determine the best mitigation strategy based solely on possible project benefits. This study examined storm damages,tax revenues,recreational use and habitat values to determine the benefits of alternative mitigation strategies. Benefits for each of the three proposed alternatives and three combination plans were calculated. r i � _ 1 N Horton Point WE Key to Features s FEMA Q3 Floodzones: VE Zone(100-Yr.Flood+Wave Velocity) AE Zone(100-Yr.Flood Zone) Municipal Boundary Road Network 7 Long Island Sound Goldsmith's Inlet t Truck Route 25 Duck Pond Point Route 25 Figure 1: Location of Southold study site from Duck Pond Point to Horton Point URS Greiner Woodward Clyde ECONOMIC CONDITIONS The study area extends from Duck Pond Point east to Horton Point and includes development in the 100 year flood plain as defined by the FIA rate map(Q3 Flood Data dated September 1996). The study area is primarily residential in nature with large open space areas. The area is only sparsely developed from Duck Pond Point to Salt Marsh lane and from Goldsmiths Inlet to Peconic Dunes County Park but is heavily developed from Peconic Dunes County Park to Horton Point. Table 1 provides a summary of the number and market value of land and structures located in the study area. A list of individual properties and owners in given in Appendix A. :: ::: n S.tud tea::`> :< ;:: >><:>: :€ :< >:<»: ::<;' :: >':: `::`.. Summary vi Parce ......:;:::: Y .:::>:;:::.::::>:: ::::>;:>:::<>: :::;:::::::::.;:::::;>::;.::;...::::;:.:. .... ....... . <:::::>: Number of parcels in study area without structures 112 Number of parcels in study area with structures 293 Total number of parcels in study area 405 Total market value of parcels without structures $7,598,000 Total market value of parcels with,structures $63,676,000 Total market value of parcels in study area $71,274,000 Source:Derived from TOS tax data,recent sales data and Q3 Flood Data The study area includes 1,140 acres which is zoned approximately half residential and half agricultural. Approximately 46% is zoned A-C(agricultural-conservation district,2 acre min.),34%is zoned R80 (residential low density,2 acre min), 18% is zoned R40(residential low density, 1 acre min)and the remaining 2% is zoned RR(resort residential district). Zoning requirements for the study area are shown in Table 2. Future development is not expected to have any significant impact on damages(or benefits)in the next ten years. The housing stock in the Town of Southold has grown by approximately 100 new units per year since 1980 with approximately double that growth occurring in the 1983 to 1987 period(1990 US Census). Since the study area represents approximately 3%of the total land area in the Town of Southold,a total of approximately 3 new structures per year might be expected in the future. Due to Flood Insurance Administration and Coastal Erosion Hazard Act regulations,any new development will be constructed with its main floor above the base flood elevation and at least 100 feet behind the coastal erosion hazard line. Consequently,future development is not expected to significantly contribute to increases in.damages. 3 The average market value of an owner-occupied unit in the Town is$188,900 with 50%of the values between $146,300 and$261,000. (1990 US Census). As seen in Table 3,the population of the Town of Southold is increasing at a rate similar to New York State but at a slower rate than the rest of Suffolk County.As of 1990 the median median family income is below the County but above the state levels(see Table 4). .............................. .... ... .Tattle 2:.:......: . ....:..: :> :>>: > > >>::" S ird; 111 ' er s ..: .... q:X : .: t �.. n Chas t .�.tfcs;..;<>:> °:>°: >: :>::<: ::::; :<::<>:> y tf re Zone Total Percent of Minimum I�unens�ons(feetj for� 1�arn11y T)etached��vel ings Area Total.: (Acxes) Lot Lot Front . Both Si.ie Rear Width ... .. .Depth:... .. Yard Yard Yards Yard R40 210.89 18 150 175 • 50 15 35 50 R80 386.04 34 175 250 60 20 45 75 AC 510.23 46 175 250 60 20 45 75 RR 23.85 2 75 120 35 15 30 35 Total 1,140.01 100 Source: Town of Southold Community Development Office,Bulk Schedule for Residential Districts Table 3 :.. Saud Area.Po elation:Trends >::::;:::.::;:: ... Location::....... 19$0. i990 °o Chan e New York State 17,558,0 17,992,44 8.2 Suffolk County 1,284,23 1,321,864 17.7 Town of Southold 19,172 19,836 3.6 Peconic 1,056 1,100 4.2 Southold 4,770 5,192 8.8 Sources: 1990 US Census,Long Island Lighting Company 4 Table 4 ».»>::::>:::`»:`<, :.; 1Vledtan.Faml and Per Ca 14Income Location: Median Per Capita 1V1Ced;an Family ..:: New York State $21,580 $51,973 Suffolk County $24,170 $69,637 Town of Southold $24,897 $56,343 Source: 1990 US Census from telephone conversation with Peter Lambert,Suffolk County Dept.of Planning The largest segment of the population is employed in service industries with tourism a significant part of the local economy. In addition to service industries,farming,retail trade and government also provide employment for much of the population. The study area is especially affected by the influx of seasonal residents from May to September. The seasonal nature of the study area was verified by the fact that of the 405 property owners identified, only 27% list their mailing address as either Peconic, Cutchogue or Southold,NY. PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION Storm History The north shore of Long Island has repeatedly suffered devastating impacts from storms of both extra- tropical(northeasters)and tropical origin, including major northeasters in 1962 and 1992. Hurricanes resulting in significant damage include the great unnamed storm of 1938, Carol in 1954,Donna in 1960, Gloria in 1985, and Bob in 1991. Storm Damages Flood insurance claims are an indicator of historical flood damages. Since 1978,when the Federal Emergency Management Agency(FEMA)started to keep track of historical flood claims,there have been 507 claims paid in the Town of Southold for a total of almost$3 million(Nechamen, 1998). Although this level of damages is not large relative to the size of the Town, it does indicate that flood problems definitely exist in part of the Town. Since individual flood insurance claim data is confidential information,the exact location of these historical flood damages is not known. Erosion The Long Island Sound coast is a highly dynamic environment with frequent changes in the shape and location of the shoreline. Historically,erosion and narrowing of the beaches has been the major problem cited. There have been several instances of homes being moved back from the shore front over the last 25 years. The study area shoreline is characterized,by long term erosion rates on the order of 0 to 4 feet per year(Aubrey Consulting, 1998)with much variability between locations. 5 Inundation Although far less dramatic than erosion,the most extensive storm damage problem in the study area is l tidal flooding. The waterfront and near-shore areas attract a large portion of residents,many of whom are attracted by the excellent access to boating, fishing and other recreational opportunities. The inventory of buildings has identified a total of 149 structures potentially subject to flood damage(ground elevations below 11 ft.NGVD),with a total depreciated replacement value of over$20 million. Although the remaining structures in the study area are located out of the 100 year floodplain,their land parcels are located at least partially within the 100 year floodplain. The Flood Insurance Administration(FIA)of the Federal Emergency Management Agency(FEMA)has recently updated their flood insurance rate maps based on recent hydraulic modeling. The May 5, 1998 FIA study storm surge elevations were utilized for this study and are shown in Table 5. Waves In addition to erosion and inundation,waves can be transmitted to structures causing extensive damage to shore front structures. Although not reported as a major historical damage mechanism,waves will increase in severity as erosion increases. Both the reduced distance from the shoreline and decreased dune elevations associated with continued erosion will allow increased wave heights to be transmitted to structures. Table 5 . :<':'.;< :.:..:..:.. Storm Serge Elevations for Study Area Return Period(fears) - Storm Serge elevation(feet IYGVD 1929) .................. 10 7.7 50 9.4 100 10.4 500 12.4 * Based on transects 47 &48 Flood Insurance Study, Suffolk County,New York,FEMA,May 5, 1998 WITHOUT PROJECT FUTURE CONDITIONS Over the years continued erosion has reduced the ability of the beach and dune to absorb the impact of storm waves. Under without project conditions, it is anticipated that the pattern of highly variable shoreline change will continue,with both spatial and temporal cycles of erosion and accretion. If no efforts are taken to protect vulnerable areas,these changes in shoreline position will periodically expose near shore areas to erosion, inundation,waves and associated damages. This analysis assumes that in the next 10 years the without project conditions will be characterized by continuation of the long term erosion trends established in the Historic Shoreline Analysis. 6 The without project future condition anticipates that Goldsmith's Inlet will be maintained through periodic dredging and that these efforts will not measurably alter the hydraulics of the Inlet or long shore transport in the study area. It is likely that intermittent storms of varying intensity will result in the periodic collapse of a few shore front structures. The current analysis assumes that such structures will not be rebuilt in an exposed location and that damage due to structural failure from severe erosion or waves is a non-recurring event. As previously mentioned, significant future development of the shorefront is considered unlikely. It has been assumed that adherence to floodplain development regulations will prevent any substantial increase in future damages due to increased development over the next 10 years. STUDY AREA ECONOMIC REACHES In order to aid in the analysis process,the study area has been divided into eight areas or reaches as shown in Figure 2. The reach limits are based on existing development patterns and physical features of the study area.Reach 1 extends from Duck Pond Point to Salt Marsh Lane and is characterized by bluffs with sparse bluff top development. Reach 2 extends from Salt Marsh Lane to Goldsmith's Inlet and. includes the low lying areas to the west of Goldsmith's Inlet. Reach 3 extends from Goldsmith's Inlet to approximately 1,100 feet west of the Bittner Groin. This reach has no structures. Reach 4 extends from approximately 1,100 feet west of the Bittner Groin to the Bittner Groin and includes only a few structures. Reach 5 contains the undeveloped area from the Bittner Groin to the west side of Peconic Dunes County Park. Reach 6 extends from the west side of Peconic Dunes County Park to the west side of Kenney's Road Beach. Reach 7 extends from the west side of Kenney's Road Beach to Hilltop Path. Reach 8 includes the bluff area from Hilltop Path to Horton Point. STORM DAMAGES Structure Inventory As part of this project, a complete"windshield"inventory of hazard area structures was performed. Data on structures in the study area were determined using the 1974"sewer topo"mapping in conjunction with a field survey and recent aerial photographs. This inventory established the structure characteristics used to determine the depreciated structure replacement value. The following characteristics were compiled for each structure:type,map number, structure id number,number of stories, size,basement type,main floor elevation, low opening elevation,usage,presence of a garage and whether the structure. was located directly on the shore.The number of structures inventoried and their total estimated replacement value are shown below in Table 6. 1 7 1! WF - Horton Point Key to Features s �� 4YG FEMA Q3 Floodzones: VE Zone(100-Yr.Flood+Wave Velocity) AE Zone(100-Yr.Flood Zone) Municipal Boundary Road Network Long Island Sound G� "Idsmith's Inlet �C Truck Route 25 Duck Pond Point Route 25 Figure 2: Location of economic reaches in study area URS Greiner Woodward Clyde Table 6 . :< :;: Summary of Structure Inventory for tad Area Reath Economic Total No To#al :.;...... ..::... .: .: .:;>:::::::.:.::: Reach ... of beprec�atc ` : : '< htame.. ... ..Structttires ace e :..;:: . . .:..:.....:.: e m nt_.:. ::.:::.::.:..::::..::....::: . ::. . :>:::.: :>..:.... ....:::: ::>::>:> :::>::::>::::>:::::::: ... aloe:::.::;::::::;::::: :.;........:::; ; :<: .... ds 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. 1 42 $12,721 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet 2 49 $6,865 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W. of Bittner Groin 3 0 $0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin 4 6 $721 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes County Park 5 0 $0 6-W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park to W.side of 6 51 $6,340 7-W. Side of Kenney's Road Beach to Hilltop Path 7 85 $11,373 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point 8 13 $3,207 Total 246 $41,227 Structure Valuations The characteristics of each building were used to calculate replacement costs for individual structures using published average square foot cost information(RS Means Co, 1997).. The characteristics included the number of stories, size,presence of a garage, exterior material,condition, quality of construction, etc. The calculated depreciated replacement value of the structures was used as the basis for the calculation of damages. In other words,the depreciated replacement value was set equal to the maximum amount which could be damaged by a storm or by long term erosion. This is a common method of structure valuation for flood damage studies(IWR, 1995). Inundation Damage Functions Damages at various flood stages were estimated by applying generalized flood damage relationships to each individual building. These generalized relationships relate the water level to the amount of damages sustained as a result of flooding. Flood Damage relationships for the current analysis were evaluated using generalized depth vs. damage functions created from Flood Insurance Administration(FIA)rate review tables,(damage as a percent of structure value). The FIA depth damage curves are referenced to each structure's main floor and are shown in Table 7 . For example,when flooding reaches two feet above the main floor of a one story structure 25%of its structure value will be lost. For this same one story structure,two feet of water above its main floor will result in a loss of 33%of its content value. The analysis used this FIA data to calculate structure and content damage to standard one-and two-story residential structure configurations. A content to structure value ratio of 50%was assumed based on current guidance for US . Army Corps of Engineers flood damage assessments.Damage functions were applied to each structure to estimate physical damage over a full range of water depths. Damages were estimated at one foot increments of flood depth from ground level to 12 feet above the main floor. 9 ..... .. .:;;:,.,.:: Table7...:..:.:.:... ....:.. ;;;.;:....::.,;.;:.;;.: 1 d: e: dm ni§ r do De a u:. ..:.:;.....>.:........ . Insuranc. _ l t a_ n :.;::.:>:::>:: .............. am ge rues ,: ::;.;> „:1 Story Structures Story Structures ;. ..:::. ...:....:. ... ::: Referenced:To ..... >':> :> :>'::<:...........:: ::> ;Structure .;::::>:::: Contents ;>:: Strrt�cture :: otttents .................I....:..............:.:......:....-....�...:....:...,-.....,....................................................I................................................... ..... 11!ia><n Floor f t >::>::: .; ..: ...:.::.;: �....................... Dania a pama a Rama a ::::: pama e :..: $.... . :`: .. .................................... ...........: a.......::::::.::::::::::::::.:::..::.: o.,.:::::::::::::::. :::::.:::::::::::..:.:..: :::::... ...,.:.::::::::.:::::.:.:..,,..:.:..:.._::..... . _......_ ................... _. __ .......................__....._. _ ......._ . .. .... .............. -2 0 0 0 0 -1 0 0 8 0 0 17 12 10 8 1 17 24 13 11 2 25 33 18 18 3 28 35 20 23 4 29 37 22 28 5 31 41 22 33 6 40 45 26 39 7 43 50 26 44 8 43 55 26 50 9 45 60 38 50 10 46 60 38 58 11 47 60 38 58 12 47 60 38 58 Source:FEMA NFIP Actuarial Information System Flood Insurance Rate Review-1997 Depth Percent Damage-Non-velocity Zones Stage vs. Flood Damage FIA depth vs. damage relationships were utilized in conjunction with information on structure main floor elevations to.determine the stage vs. damage relationship. At any flood stage the damage was calculated as the total depreciated structure(and contents)replacement value times the percent of damage established by the inundation damage functions(from Table 7). Erosion Distance vs.Damage The shoreline change rates determined in the Historical Shoreline Change Analysis were utilized to determine damages resulting from erosion. Transects used in the Historical Shoreline Change Analysis were first partitioned into the eight economic reaches. Erosion rates were then determined from these 10 transects for each of the economic reaches for both an average storm period and a large storm period. The erosion was assumed to be normally distributed and a mean and standard deviation were determined for both the average storm period and the large storm period.As shown in Table $,the mean erosion rate was set at the average erosion rate measured for all transects in the reach during the 1964 to 1998 period. The mean erosion rate for the large storm period was set as the average erosion rate measured for all the transects in the reach during the highest erosion period between 1964 and 1998 as shown in Table 9. :::::::::.. .:.Table S,.....:: :::.>::>:>::;:. Summary of historic Shorel�ue Change Analysis Datasel;n Economic Analysis :::::..::..:::.. ..:... ..:... :.............. Ic`fated IJsm .Data.from1964 01998:: >: : ::>: :;:;:<:::>'`" ::>:> '<':>:>; >;> :::<::: Ca.... . . g ....... Average Storm Periods Historcai . Economic Shoreline Change Mean erosion hate Reach Name Analysis 'ransects .. .. f�yt-) Standard Ilteviatian ftl r 1 162-285 -1.51 t2.3 2 145-161 +1.98 t6.2 3 120-144 -3.06 f3.3 4 108-119 -2.63 t6.2 5 87-107 -2.62 ±-3.9 6 67-86 -1.40 ±5.3 7 28-66 -1.54 t4.0 8 1-27 -1.38 f3.0 The annual standard deviations for both the average and large storm cases were estimated based on the standard deviation for the 1964 to 1998 period since no measure of variability was provided in the HSCA report. It was necessary to determine the annual standard deviation for each reach since the simulation of damages is performed on an annual basis. These estimated standard deviations are shown in the last column of Tables 8 and 9. WITHOUT PROJECT SIMULATIONS General As previously described,the study area is potentially subject to a variety of storm conditions. Uncertainty and variability in shoreline change, storm erosion and flood stage combine with the inherently random nature of storm events to produce a wide range of potential damages. The economic 11 analysis uses Monte Carlo simulation techniques to allow these uncertainties to interact independently. There are three basic components to the analysis. Table 9 Summary of)ELstoric ShoreLne Change Analysis Data Used;n 1C+ Q31UlmIC Analysis rm s r. 1'e od ... Economic Large Storm lYlean Erosion Ttalte Standard Dev�a#ion Reach Name:: :.: Perod Vy 1 1964-1969 -5.94 ±2.3 2 1980-1993 -1.89 ±6.2 3 1964-1969 -14.74 f3.3 4 . 1964-1969 -5.64 ±6•2 5 1969-1976 -11.43 t3.9 6 1976-1980 -6.48 t5.3 7 1976-1980 -2.86 ±4.0 8 1976-1980 -6.55 t3.0 The first component is the storm event,categorized as the"source"of damage. Each simulation has used a life-cycle approach in which the water level,waves and erosion for any year is selected or randomly generated. When randomly selected,each iteration of the simulation alters the timing and severity of storms. For each storm event,the analysis then evaluates the second analysis component; "exposure"of property to damage from inundation or storm attack. The general technique applied to each simulation is that the cumulative erosion distance,flood stage and wave heights associated with the"source"storm are determined. Adjustments are then made to reflect both uncertainty and life-cycle impacts such as shoreline change. This portion of the analysis is the link between the economic analysis and the physical processes. The third component of the simulation is to determine the"response"of structures to flooding,waves or erosion. This component relates"exposure,"measured as flood stage,wave height or erosion distance,to ` the expected damage.. Life-cycle adjustments are then applied to reflect economic discounting to base year conditions using an interest rate of 7%. Four different storm scenarios have been modeled using the @RISK add-in for Lotus 1-2-3. The @RISK module allows Monte Carlo simulation to be performed within a spreadsheet environment and allows 12 complex interactions to be modeled. Each scenario models damages occurring over a 10 year period. The first scenario assumes a series of typical storms occurring. The second scenario assumes that larger than normal storms occur in the first five years and normal magnitude storms occur in the second five years. The third scenario assumes that the first five years are characterized by normal magnitude storms while the last five years are characterized by larger than normal storms. The fourth scenario assumes that storms can occur randomly in the 10 year study period allowing a full range of events to be evaluated. Some damages such as flooding damage can occur each year while other damages such as catastrophic erosion or wave damage can only occur once. Flooding often occurs repetitively and damages can occur in a number of successive years. Erosion and wave damages can also occur successively but when these damages destroy a structure, it is assumed that the structure will not be rebuilt. If it is rebuilt, it is assumed that the structure will be rebuilt so that it can not be damaged again. Destruction of bulkheads is also assumed to be a non-recurring event. Damage Simulation The simulation of damages to structures considers storms for each year of the analysis and calculates damages to structures from inundation, erosion and waves. Since the three different damage mechanisms are interrelated, only the largest(critical)damage from all three mechanisms is recorded in each year.A large number of storms are simulated and the results are collected and analyzed. Damage simulation models for the without project condition are shown in Appendix B. Inundation Damage Flooding resulting from elevated water levels due to storm surges was modeled in two different ways. The first method used historical water levels while the second method used randomly simulated water levels. Historical water levels were used in Scenario 1 (average series of storms), Scenario 2(larger than normal storms occurring in first 5 years)and Scenario 3 (larger.than normal storms occurring in last 5 years)while randomly simulated water levels were used in Scenario 4. Since no historical water levels were available in the study area,historical water levels were estimated based on a continuous tidal gage at Bridgeport, CT. Stage vs. frequency curves were created for both locations and were then used to convert historical Bridgeport water levels to water levels in the study area. The stage frequency curve for Bridgeport was based on the MHHW as reported on the NOAA web site and the 10, 50 and 100 year water elevations reported in a New England District Corps of Engineers Report titled"Tidal Flood Management West Central CT,Water Resources Study,Long Island Sound Reconnaissance Report." The stage frequency curve for Southold was based on a relationship between high tide at Horton Point and high tide at Bridgeport and 10, 50 and 100 year water surface elevations from the Flood Insurance Study for Suffolk County dated May 4, 1998. The two stage frequency curves are plotted on a single graph and are shown in Appendix C. Historical daily high tides calculated for the study area were examined to determine yearly high tides from 1964 to 1997. The period from 1985 to 1989 was chosen as a normal five year storm period while the period from 1991 to 1995 was chosen as a larger than normal five year period. Storm tide elevations from these two periods were used in modeling the first three scenarios as previously described and are shown in Table 10. 13 As previously stated,the fourth scenario was modeled using randomly generated water levels based on the FIA flood insurance study for Suffolk County,NY. The inverse of the @Rand function in Lotus was used to simulate a storm recurrence interval.This recurrence interval was then utilized along with the FIA stage frequency relationship to randomly generate the water level in any year. A cubic spline curve was first fit to the stage frequency data in order to obtain a continuous relationship over a wide range of frequencies(1 year to 500 years). Table 1Q ::>:;;.:; ......:::: .:::. . .. Estimated Vlax�num Aiunual StarmSur ealevations.at'Hr#on Point;:::: :.;>::<:>::: .>; r lvle ratio ..:fit l torin:.Per od Year :< > > . :Est►rnated.Storm:5u. e...__v._..._tt. G ......;:;: :..:..:g Average 1985 7.1 1986 5.8 1987 6.3 1988 6.9 1989 6.0 High 1991 8.0 1992 9.0 1993 5.8 1994 6.9 1995 6.9 After the water elevation is determined(by the historical method or by the random simulation method), a normally distributed error term is added to the water level to account for uncertainties in measured or modeled values. The error term has a zero mean and a standard deviation of 0.5 feet. The water level is then compared to the main floor elevation of each structure. The height above or below the main floor is used in the FIA rate review depth-damage curves to determine the percent of structure value damaged by inundation. This percentage is then multiplied by the total depreciated structure replacement value to determine the dollar amount of damage. Content values have been assumed at 50%of structure values and FIA depth damage curves for contents are utilized to determine content damage. Erosion Damage The Historical Shoreline Change Analysis was utilized as the basis for economic model erosion input. It was assumed that the time period from 1964 to 1998 represented the average long term erosion rate in the study area. This period corresponds to the time when the Goldsmith Inlet was in place. Since no deterministic model of storm erosion response was available(such as an S-BEACH model) short term storm induced damages were not considered explicitly,however,the annual erosion rates based on measured historical data were considered. 14 The long term erosion was modeled as a normal distribution with a mean and a standard deviation. Two different long term erosion distributions were simulated: The first represents the average storm case and the second represents the large storm case. The only difference between the two was the time period of the erosion data as explained previously under the section"Erosion Distance vs. Damage." Erosion from each year is added to the previous years value to determine the cumulative long term erosion distance. The long term erosion is the distance from the existing shore line to the future year shore line. In each year, long term erosion is then compared with the structure setback to determine if there are any damages due to erosion. Structure setbacks were measured from the existing shoreline on aerial photographs provided by Aubrey Consulting. When the land seaward of a structure is eroded to the point where slopes become unstable,the structure is being undermined by erosion and its value (structure and contents)is considered lost. Where there is a bulkhead seaward of a building,the bulkhead prevents erosion until it fails as described below. At this point the erosion distance is equivalent to the case where no bulkhead had ever existed. Wave Damage In addition to damage from inundation and erosion, damage can also occur by wave forces on structures. For structures located along the shorefront, it was necessary to evaluate the primary damage as a result of structural failure resulting from waves. Waves were predicted based on water levels and erosion rates using a simplified procedure established by FEMA(1981).Using this procedure,the controlling elevation is first determined. If the dune or bulkhead height is above the ground height at the structure, the dune or bulkhead top elevation is controlling.However, if the dune or bulkhead top elevation is below the ground elevation at the structure,the ground elevation at the structure is controlling. The water surface elevation is then compared to the controlling elevation. If the water surface elevation is below the controlling elevation,no wave reaches the structure. If the water surface elevation is above the controlling elevation,the wave height is calculated as 0.78 'times the depth above the controlling elevation. Dune or bulkhead top elevations were taken from cross shore profiles in the Shoreline Monitoring Report (21 May 1998). In general, elevations of the top of dune or bulkhead from the nearest representative profile were used in the economic model. Profile elevations in the shoreline monitoring report were converted from NAVD88 to NGVD29 datums for consistency using the National Geodetic Survey Vertcon Version 2.0 Program(September 1994). Dune and bulkhead top elevations are shown in Appendix D for all structures in the structure damage simulation model. Wave heights were increased with increasing erosion. In other words, it was assumed that erosion, in addition to causing narrowing of the beaches,causes increased water depths for depth limited waves. The increase in depth was calculated as the average beach slope times the long term erosion distance.In cases where bulkheads exist,the depth is increased at the bulkhead until a point where the bulkhead fails. Failure was assumed to occur when the wave height is more than one foot above the bulkhead resulting in a high rate of wave overtopping. In cases where there is no bulkhead,the dune(or ground) is assumed to be lowered,thus increasing the height of the transmitted wave.Average beach slopes for each reach were determined using a representative profile from the Shoreline Monitoring Report(21 May, 1998). Profiles listed in Table 11 were chosen as representative of each of the economic reaches. �_ 15 TabCe 11G . :.. . :.:..: :.;: ::>: Re r &t"":p 4f les and;Beach;Slo es>:>: ::>:; : : `'>: .......... ....:. <: :`::;... u er;::::>:::::>Bach Slo 'e Economic:Reach Prbfle N mb 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. E6 0.04 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet E14 0.1 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W. of Bittner Groin F4 0.09 4-1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin F6 0.05 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park F10 0.1 6-W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park to W. side of F16 0.1 Kenne 's Road Bch. 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path F23 0.1 Wave attack on structures causes total damage when the wave is greater than 3 feet..At this wave height the forces on walls of typical wood frame structures cause the structures to fail completely. When the waves are below 3 feet high,partial damage was estimated as shown in Table 12. Since there will be a lessening of wave height with increasing distance away from the shoreline,wave damages were only assumed to affect structures within 250 feet'of the shoreline. Structures which are greater than 250 feet from the shoreline can still be damaged by flooding. .......Talile 12:: . ..:. Wave Heigh#vs;.Percent of Stru+eture Bamage .. WaveNei ht feet Percent of Structure Dama e 0 0 1 25 2 50 3 100 Total Storm Damage For each iteration, inundation,erosion and wave damage in each year is determined for each structure and the maximum damage among innundation,erosion and wave damage is recorded. The total present worth of this critical damage is then calculated and the results of each iteration are collected and analyzed. Both discounted and undiscounted mean damages are summarized in Table 13. Critical mean 10%and 90% damage to individual structures is shown in Appendix D. 16 Table 13xxx n r.. cf .. umma ofWxtho tP o e ama a> tmu a�o _:. a n Mean ;PD arna g....:'i: Reach :.,.;:.;;:::::: ' em'Year Present value 'Otal isCQIInt 7%; -M ... ;:'. Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms ........................................................... 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. 0 '> 2-'Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $646,00 61, 3-Gol-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin 0 ds 0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $231,000 X. $164,00.0 .....................::................................X 5-Bittner Groin to.W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park 0 6-W side Peconic Dunes Cty Park to W side Kenne 's Rd Bch. $1,948,000 .. $1.38 ,00;0 _ . .......................................................... 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to HilltopPath $914,000 $f4:6'0:0:0:'i. 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point 0 0 . Total $3,738,000 $2G56,Q00: Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years .......................................................... 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $74 000 $:43 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $804,00;0. : 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin 0 fl<> 4-1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $308,000 $230,04.0 _ __.. .......................................................... 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark 0 <> [>> (J< 6-W side Peconic Dunes C Park to W side Kenne 's Rd Bch. $4,120,000 $3 45,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,608,000 $I:23-2 0 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 r 0 ..............................:............ Total $7,150,000 Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year ....................................._............ 1-Duck Pond'Pt.to.Salt Marsh La. $74,000 >$39;0:00:: 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $706,00`.0 -Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W. of Butner Groin 0 0 .......................... .... 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $318,000 :UU: 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 >; $0;> 6-W side Peconic Dunes Cty Park to W side Kenne 's Rd Bch. $3,994,000 $2fiL3,00'0:: 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $2,018,000 $L4332 QOl7:: 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 Total $7,444,000 $4,906,000,; Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $262,000 525 '>2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $ 000 368'` .O:Oi<. _ . .......................................................... 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 0 4 r Bittne Groin 165000 1 100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to G 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 6 W side Peconic Dunes Cty Park to W side Kenne s Rd Bch. $2,713,000 ' Hilltop Path 1 219 000 7 W. Side of Kenne s Road Beach to $ UD:D> 0 Path to Horton Point 0>8-Hilltop $ <. $ Total $4 883 000 ! $:3 363'0t}Q *Totals may not match due to rounding 17 Examination of Table 13 reveals that most of the damages occurring in the study area occur in reaches 6 and 7 where there are a large number of structures situated close to the shoreline. ALTERNATIVES CONSIDERED In addition to the without project alternative, six plans were evaluated: They are an acquisition plan,a sand bypassing plan,a beach nourishment plan and three combination plans. The acquisition plan consists of the selection of properties to be acquired by the Town in order to reduce future damages. The bypassing plan is designed to bypass the existing long shore transport rate around Goldsmith Inlet. The bypassing plan can either be accomplished by reducing the.length of the Goldsmith's Inlet Jetty or by mechanically moving the sand from the west to the east side of the inlet. The beach nourishment plan is designed to provide beach nourishment in critical areas thereby reducing damages resulting from erosion. The three combination plans incorporate the individual features determined to be effective at specific locations. Combination beach nourishment and sand bypassing,beach nourishment and structure acquisition,and sand bypassing and structure acquisition were all evaluated. WITH PROJECT SIMULATIONS The with project simulations have been performed using procedures directly analogous to the without project analysis. Changes were made to the without project conditions model to produce the alternative project models. The property acquisition alternative was modeled by removing selected properties from the available damage pool and rerunning the simulation without these selected properties. The properties chosen for removal were selected based on the damage which they incurred under without project conditions. Since the majority of damages occurs in Reaches 6 and 7,property acquisitions were only considered in these two reaches. In order to determine specific properties within these reaches to be acquired,the properties were ranked based on critical damage as a percent of replacement value. The critical damage was the greatest damage incurred among all the damage mechanisms. The locations of these top properties, whose removal would get the most reduction in damages,were then examined. A group of eleven adjacent properties was then chosen for the acquisition alternative. These properties were expected to sustain between 48 and 139%of their depreciated structure values in damages over the next 10 years under Scenario 4. They accounted for between$345,OOO and$1,230,000(1998 price level)in damages under the without project conditions. A summary of these acquisition properties is shown in Table 14. The estimated market values in this table were obtained by dividing each parcels total assessed value by the Town's assessment ratio of 3.27%. Since the assessment ratio applies to the entire Town,the market values in Table 14 are approximate and depend on locational factors. The actual market values for the 11 properties may differ from those estimated in Table 14. Additionally,acquisition costs also include legal costs and relocation costs which are estimated at an additional $25,000 per building or$275,000 in total. Mean damages under the acquisition plan are shown in Table 15. 18 The sand bypassing alternative was modeled by decreasing the future mean long term erosion rates as described below. The standard deviation in the erosion rates is assumed to be the same as the without project conditions. '7�a1e..14.. . : ::. +umm u c is ``on et is> >`` `'>>'' ><`;<::>;> >:>::>:;` « :.;::: ;:..:>: . : :. f.A u ftr PIan.Stru u e . Secfzon,Block and Lot Estimated Depreciatedstima#ed. ..................................................................... ......................................................................... ........................................................................ Number of Aequtsitioa Replr�cemen�t Value of 0 aarket value f Plan Pro ernes <>> Ac. uisit�on<:Pro ernes »> :: p 9 p... : Ae. uisit�on pro: ernes .... ... ................................. ............ ......................................................................... ................. ............................ ... .................. 058 02 02000 $75,000 $101,000 058 02 03000 $137,000 $113,000 058 02 04000 $82,000 $122,000 058 02 05000 $144,000 $196,000 058 02 06000 $87,000 $83,000 0580207000 $100,000 $183,000 058 02 11000 $74,000 $110,000 058 02 12000 $86,000 $104,000 058 02 13000 $101,000 $177,000 058 02 15002 $109,000 $144,000 058 02 20001 $131,000 $1535000 Total $1,126,000 $1,386,000 The reduction in erosion rates for the sand bypassing alternative was calculated based on a long shore transport rate of 8,000 cy/year(Aubrey Consulting, 1998). The volume of erosion in each reach was estimated based on the reach length,the cross shore erosion rate in ft/year and a fill density of 0.5 cy/ft/ft as estimated by Dr. Robert Dean(TOS, 1996). Bypassing is assumed to be 75%effective in reducing mean erosion until the bypass volume of 8,000 cubic yards is reached. The reduction in erosion for reaches 3 through 7(east of Goldsmith's Inlet) is shown in Table 16. Mean damages under the sand bypassing plan are shown in Table 17. It should be noted that the effectiveness of the sand bypassing alternative could vary significantly from this estimate if substantial accretion occurs at other structures such as the Bittner Groin. The beach nourishment project was modeled by increasing structure setback distances along Kenney's Road Beach. Based on the 150,000 cy of sand proposed along 5,200 feet of Kenney's Road beach and using Robert Dean's estimate that 1 cy of sand/If will widen the beach by 2 foot,the beach nourishment will widen the beach by about 58 feet. Structure setback distances were therefore increased by 58 feet in order to model the beach nourishment scenario. The analysis considered this added beach width at each structure. Mean damages under the beach nourishment plan are shown in Table 18 19 Table iS. Sumiaiia of'Ac S uisit�oni;Plarn Dania eiiriaation Mean Reacb fi V en Yeaar Present alne _ :: ... ...... Total. ...:.: iscount il e . 7%u > Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms, 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. 0 .....> :: 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $646,00 $461,000 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W. of Bittner Groin $0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $231,000 $164;Ofl:0 ; 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $1,474,000 $1;039,00;0; 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $914;000 $646,0 '0 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $p _._ .._...:...:: 0.; Total $3,265,000 $2310,000> Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $74,000 $43,Q;a0;i 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $804,00:0 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin' $0 $0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $308,000 $230,040 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $0 $0 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $2,571,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,608,000 $L232 00 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $p {�.> Total $5,602,000 Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $74,000 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $706,0O0;: 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 $.0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $318,000 $217,p(}p 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 _...... $a.; 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W. side Kenne 's Road Bch. $2,537,000 $1.;681;OUA 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $2,018,000 $1332,000< 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 $0 Total $5,987,000 $3974,Qp:0 Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $262,000 $164,OOD 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $525,000 $36$,000. 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 $0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $165,000 $112,0(10' 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes County Park 0 0 6 W.side Pe conic Dunes Cty.Park to W. side Kenne s Road Bch. $1 566 000, $:IfJ66,0�0:. 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,219,00000 8-Hilltop $0 Path to Horton Point .,..........;..........;$0.: Total $3,736,000 *Totals may not match due to rounding 20 Table 16 Estimated Reduction in Erosion Rates Due to Sand Bypassing Reach Cumulative Number Length Erosion Rate Bypassing Erosion Reduction Volume (ft) (ft/yr) (cy/yr) Percent (cy/yr) (ft/yr) (cy/yr) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) 0 3 2500 3.1 3875 75% 2906 2.33 2906 4 1200 2.6 1560 75% 1170 1.95 4076 5 2100 2.6 2730 75% 2048 1.95 6124 6 2000 1.4 1400 75% 1050 1.05 7174 7 3900 1.5 2925 28% 826 0.42 8000 8 2700 1.4 1890 0% 0 0.00 8000 Fill Density (cy/ft/ft) Percent Reduction Bypass vol (cy) 0.5 0.75 8000 Notes: All notes refer to column numbers in parenthases (2) Length of reach from sum of distance between transects (3) Erosion rate is mean rate from historic shoreline analysis(HAS) report for reach between 1964 and 1998 (4) Erosion rate in cy/year is based on the reach length times the mean erosion rate from the HSA report times the estimated fill density of 0.5 cy/ft/ft by Bob Dean (1 cy yard of sand will widen the beach by 2 feet) (5) Percent Bypassing is assumed at 75% except toward east end where it is calculated based on amount of sand remaining (6)The amount bypassing (cy/yr) is calculated from column (4)times column (5) (7)The amount bypassing (cy/yr)is converted into a reduction in the erosion rate(ft/yr) in this column by dividing column (6) by column(2)and then dividing the.result by 0.5 cy/ft/ft. This reduction is added to the erosion rate in the simulation of the bypassing alternative. (8)The cumulative volume bypassed in calculated by adding successive values in column (6) Tab1l� '1 ......... Summa of Sand B ass >a Plan>Dama Si . .. ..: ..Mean Rama es;. Reach:... ... Ten.'Year. .:: ....Present Value...: :>:< » . : .:. ::.... % Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $0 'D>> ......................................... h La.to Goldsmith Inlet 646 000 2 Salt Mars $ o f Bittner Groin 0'`3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.o $ $ . 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $231,000 $ 64 00U ' de f Peconic Dunes County Park 0 0:< 5-Bittner Groin to W side o $ 6-W.side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $1,733,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $898,000 .:::...,..........:..:. 0 ........:................................. 8-HilltopPath to Horton Point $ Total $3,507,000 Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years ................_................ 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $749000 $43.. 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,0405000 .;; :.:..... ;:::::.:...$$04;Q00 ........................................................ 0 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of BittnerGroin $ ... <>« > ><> ':...$... 4-1 100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $307 000 > <>$229'00.0` . . ................ ..... ....... ... ... .... 0 0`> 5-Bittner Groin to W:side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $ ..<< . 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $3 743 000 $:2<856`°OOQ 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,551,000 p !' 8 Hillto Path to Horton Point $ Total $6,716,000 $5,125,00:0' Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $74,000 $3.9QQ0 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $Z06,4.00 ;. 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 - 4 1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $309,000 < 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 ....... ....... .. . 6 W. side Peconic Dunes C .Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $3 490 000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to HilltopPath $1,859,000 $.1;233,OD 8-HilltopPath to Horton Point $0 $0 Total $6,772,000 ,467,04Q:: Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $262 000 s$164"QOU ........................................................ 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $525,000 $36$Q:OQ;:> 0 0>: 3 Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $ - 148 000 '- 4 1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $ '<:.:$103,Q;(10 `0 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 ...$ . - side erne s Road Bch. 2 351 000 6 W. side Peconic Dunes C .Park to W.s K $ , ........................ ' Path 1 168 000 '5; .0. 7 W. Side of Kenne s Road Beach to Hilltop $ , :::::::>;;<>;:<:::::>::::;:;$79.,0 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 Total $4 453 000 ....:,.:::.::. *Totals may not match due to rounding 22 ;< Table 18 .._ - .. Sja of Beath NotY:rtshment PIan Dam`: a Simulation... 11�1 ... :.::. ........: . ean.Dam es .: 1EteacL :: Ten Year Present Value : .. ::;>..::... ..............::. :.. :.:::;.: Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh L a. $0 .0>< 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $646,000 , 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 $4 : 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $231,000 ...... 1 4,0.00;: ;$ 5-Bittner Groin to W. si de of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $0 $..... nne 's Road Bch. 1 372 000 97:000 6 W. side Peconic Dunes C Park to W.side Ke $ , %' ..................................................... 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to HilltopPath $908,000 $642000: 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 0:<> Total $3,156,000 ;:<:::;>::$2,23.7,000',: Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $6,000 $50.00:< 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $804 OQO 0<> 3-Goldsm ith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 >< rt $ ... 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $307,000 $229,060 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $0 $0 6-W. side Peconic Dunes C .Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $2,106,000 _.... ,:. $J59$,D00; 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to HilltopPath $1',551,000 $.T;:1.8.7,U00;. «' 0> 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 Total $5,009,0003$23;OOU :. Scenario 3-.Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt.Marsh La. $8,000 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $705,090: 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 >: «:c<$0' 4 1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin 000 $309 $212`000: Dunes County Park $0 $0> 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dun "''''""'� '''' 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $2,117,000 $1432,DOOfi 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,828,000 !> $0 ; 8 Hillto $0 Path to Horton Point ' '''` "'� �"'"" Total $5,3025000 .. ...$ 568 Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $1315000 $89,U00 _... 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $520,000 $3G4,000. ... 0 3G1-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 $ ... 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $148,000 .1:fl.3;000:;< 0 0« 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $ » `....`..... :::...::::.:::. ::.::.::::. ' h. 1 282 000 88 000'` 6-W.side Peconic Dunes C .Park to W.side Kenne s Road Bch. $ , $,::.:.,. 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,059,000 8-HilltopPath to Horton Point $0 Total $3,140,000 $Lo>161,4Q.0 *Totals may not match due to rounding 23 The combined beach nourishment and sand bypassing plan both increases beach widths by 58 feet and reduces long term erosion rates. Mean damages under the combination beach nourishment.& sand bypassing plan are shown in Table 19. The combined beach nourishment and structure acquisition plan both increases beach width by 58 feet and removes the eleven structures selected for acquisition from the damage pool. Mean damages under the combination beach nourishment&acquisition plan are shown in Table 20. The combined sand bypassing and structure acquisition plan reduces erosion rates to the east of Goldsmith's Inlet and removes the eleven structures selected for acquisition from the damage pool. Mean damages under the combination sand bypassing&structure acquisition plan are shown in Table 21. EXPECTED TAX CONSEQUENCES The current assessed value,market value,and annual property tax revenues generated by all the 405 parcels located partially or entirely in the Study Area are shown in Table 22 by reach. Table 22 also . presents the same information for all the parcels that have frontage on the shore of Long Island Sound. The total assessed value(AV)of all the parcels located partially or completely in the Study Area are $2,330,647,with these parcels generating annual real estate tax revenues of$1,409,200. Using the Town of Southold's current assessment ratio of 3.27%,the market value of the properties is estimated to be approximately $71.273 million. The parcels located in the Study Area comprise approximately 2.6% of the total AV in the Town of Southold and generate a similar proportion of the Town's annual real property tax revenues. As shown in Table 22, shorefront parcels have higher values than non shore front parcels. While only 154 parcels in the study area have frontage along the Sound,their total AV is about$1,331,900 and they generate annual property tax revenues of$805,300. The total market value of the shorefront parcels, using the assessment ratio, is estimated to be about$40,731,400. The project team analyzed historical sales data for the shorefront parcels and for parcels located immediately inland to estimate the land values premium commanded by shorefront parcels. Sales figures for transactions occurring over the last 15 years were recorded and converted to current 1998$. This analysis indicated that the land cost(dollars per acre)for all transactions in the Study Area was $162,700,with shorefront parcels having a higher value of$179,200 per acre. 24 Tattle 19.. Summa . ;of Combination Bead Nourishment&;Sand B: sin 7Damam:Si nulati.6 11lean Dama es...;......:. Reach . Ten.Year ::resell Value -. .. :.... Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. 0 »« .;;;:.;:.;:.;;:. - 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $646 000 ''6f 004« 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 $0;< 4-1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $231,000 ::..::::..::::. 1d4.�DU.0.:. 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $0 `>> 0 �.,,..: 6-W. side Peconic Dunes C .Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $1,368,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hillto Path $896,000635000 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 _. Total $3,141,000 Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. 6 000 5 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $307,000 .. $229,Q0:0.: 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes Coun Park $0 0».... .. .... . $.._.. 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $2 067 000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,506,000 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 $0 Total $4,925,000 $3769;00.:0. Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $8 000 OD<2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 : . $.705,U:00; 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 U"> ....:;:.;:.;: 4-1 100 ft W. of Bittner Groin t Gr o Bittner Groin 308 000 ....... $ $211,OUD'' 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dune s County Park 0 6 W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W. side e e K nn s Road Bch. $2,058,000 $1; 397,�DQ'Q 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,722,000 $1147,000'; 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 $0: Total $5;135,000 $3466,OQ:0::: Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $131 000 ... . 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $520,000 $364;OU0:;; 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 0 4-1 100 ft W. iX. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $0 $U:: 6 W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W. side Kenne s Road Bch. $1 214 000 S44 {� 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point Total $2,990,000 *Totals may not match due to rounding 25 Tae 24 Summa of Combzinah n Beach>1�Iouris.hme..... .ructure El c u sitxon:Dania e; Kmulati�n;> '« ....:.. . Mean Rea h- ::.;< >.Ten'Year:.:. ; Prse�at Value ::<.:;:.;;;;::,;; ;;;.;.:::.::. ::: Total....... <. iscoun ed. Scenario 1-Average Series of Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. 0 $..::. 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $646,000 3-Gold smith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin 4-1 100 ft W. of Butner Groin to 'Butner Groin om 231 000 ....................... 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty.Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $1,372,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $908,000 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point 0 Total $3,156,0003. Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $6 000 ;:»::> 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $SQ4,OOQ; 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bit tner Groin 4-1 10 0 W.of Butner t Groin to Bit tner Groin 307 000 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park 0 6-W. i 'side Peconic Dunes C .Park to W. side Kenne s Ro ad Bch. $1 960 000 �1482,0:00 : 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,551,000 8-HilltopPath to Horton Point p $ Total $4,863,000 .,...,. Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $8 000 .::::::::.::::::::::::::::::.. 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $705,Q '0 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W. of Bittner Groin 0 4-1 10 0 ft W.of Butner Groin to Butner Groin $309,000 ;. $ 21,2,Q;4:U;< 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes County Park 6-W. side 'Peconic Dunes C .Park to W.side Kenne s Road Bch. $1,966,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,828,000 $L4,00:D:;; 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point 0 Total $5,151,000 $3477,QOU,;> Scenario 4 Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $131 000 X. 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $520,000 ;;::::;$364;0:00 . 3-Goldsmit h Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Butner Groin 0 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $148,000 5-Bittner Groin f to W. side o Peconic Du nes County Park 0 m 6-W.side Peconic Dunes C . Park to W.side Kenne 's Road Bch. $1 101 000 7-W. Side of Ke nne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path 1 059 000 ......................... :>::»>: :>:«:»::: ;:>:« :;>::>:<:>: 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point . 0 Total $2,9599000 .,;;$2.943;OQ0;; ... *Totals may not match due to rounding 26 _ Table 2I S.umma pf Gombina#,on.Sand B ass,u .&structure A" # ,s tton;Plan lama a SxmuIat�on 1lean Rama es:.... .. .... Mach ><<:: :>:: Ten Year Prese�ut�?aiue ;>:.:........ ::.: o ; scoun#ed:; . ..... ..:.. Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms 0» ................................... 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $0 .............................. .............:................ 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $646,000 ><><< >< >>$!l.:,l, 0> 0 $:.:.:. ..................... 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $ « >':<': '.'<«': .. ... 4-1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $231,000 :.6±1:0(1.1 ...... ' 0<<i .... ... ............................... 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes CountyPark $0 `.%` .6-W.side Peconic Dunes Cty Park to W.side Kenne s Road Bch. $1,422,000 $1;006,.0.00. 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $898,000636,0U:0.': 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 3 196 000 Total $ > � Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years ` 43 . 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $74000 $ :0;00;......-...i 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $1,040,000 $804,000 fl> $0 i..f $,... ..................................... 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $ y......... 0 5-Bittner Groin to W. side of Peconic Dunes Coun Park $0 ....$. ... 72 Q `d< ............,.,.,.:........... 6-W. side Peconic Dunes Cty Park to W.side Kenne s Road Bch. $2,367,000 7-W. Side of Kenne 's Road Beach to Hilltop Path $1,551,000 ..... $ 193,0... 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 Total $5,339,000 $ a41,t30U' Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 74 000 » $39....9 X. 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh La. $ ... _ . 1 040 000 << $ DG`00;0 ...................... 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $ , ''`'"`.. 0> 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $0 4-1,100 ft W. of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin $ �.................................. . ............ ...................... 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes County Park $0 .....:........... 2 6-W. side Peconic Dunes C Park to W.side Kenne 's RoadBch. $ ,301000 1 859 000 :< »$I :33 OO.0 7-W. Side of Kenne s Road Beach to HilltopPath $ , ". 8-Hilltop Path to Horton Point $0 � $ p Total $5,583,000 $3,7.26,00;U Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 1-Duck Pond Pt.to Salt Marsh sh La. :.::::`'�:,..:::.:.,.::::,:..::,,.... 2-Salt Marsh La.to Goldsmith Inlet $525,000 €€ < ><<< .,::$.: ...,0......... :.fl> 0 3-Goldsmith Inlet to 1100 ft W.of Bittner Groin $ <> ''' .? $148 000 $I[�3 00 ` 4-1,100 ft W.of Bittner Groin to Bittner Groin , 0 ................................. ...... ......................... 5-Bittner Groin to W.side of Peconic Dunes,County Park $ :. 2>04:0 ..........:::...... . h9 6-W.side Peconic Dunes Cty ParkKenne 's Road Bch. $1401k to W.side 000 1 168 000 $W S'b:6o 7-W. Side of Kenne s Road Beach to HilltopPath $ , _'"."."`:':"""`".".................�.......... .0» 8-Hillto Path to Horton Point $0 $3 504 000 « 3910;0:0 Total :<_::> *Totals may not match due to rounding 27 Table 22 Assessed and Market Values by Reach All Parcels in the Study Area Annual Property Total AV Tax Revenues Market Value Reach #1 $ 625,517 $ 378,216 $ 19,128,960 Reach #2 $ 359,680 $ 217,468 $ 10,999,388 Reach#3 $ 150,850 $ 91,206 $ 4,613,150 Reach #4 $ 66,100 $ 39,965 $ 2,021,407 Reach #5 $ 104,000 $ 62,880 $ 3,180,428 Reach #6 $ 351,200 $ 212,341 $ 10,740,061 Reach#7 $ 528,800 $ 319,720 $ 16,171,254 Reach #8 $ 144,500 $ 87,367 $ 4,418,960 Total $ 2,330,647 $ 1,409,163 $ 71,273,609 Shorefront Parcels Only Annual Property Total AV Tax Revenues Market Value Reach #1 $ 144,500 $ 87,367 $ 4,418,960 Reach #2 $ 170,400 $ 103,026 $ 5,211,009 Reach #3 $ 93,800 $ 56,713 $ 2,868,502 Reach #4 $ 97,300 $ 58,829 $ 2,975,535 Reach #5 $ 55,000 $ 33,254 $ 1,681,957 Reach #6 $ 95,000 $ 57,438 $ 2,905,199 Reach #7 $ 89,900 $ 54,355 $ 2,749,235 Reach #8 $ 586,017 $ 354,334 $ 17,921,009 Total $ 1,331,917 $ 805,316 $ 40,731,407 Values for Structures Only-All Parcels Annual Property Total AV Tax Revenues Market Value Reach #1 $ 237,117 $ 143,364 $ 7,251,284 Reach #2 $ 274,580 $ 166,015 $ 8,396,942 Reach#3 $ 73,700 $ 44,560 $ 2,253,823 Reach #4 $ 38,900 $ 23,520 $ 1,189,602 Reach #5 $ 42,400 $ 25,636 $ 1,296,636 Reach #6 $ 255,100 $ 154,237, $ 71801,223 Reach #7 $ 355,900 $ 215,182 $ 10,883,792 Reach #8 $ 86,500 $ 52,299 $ 2,645,260 Total $ 1,364,197 $ 824,814 $ 41,718,563 Note: The market values were obtained by dividing the assessed values by the Town of Southold's current assessment ratio of 3.27%. The damage to shore front parcels from inundation, erosion, and wave damage can reduce the level of property tax revenues by lowering the values of shore front properties. Changes in the value of shore front and near-shore front parcels is caused by the following effects: • The distance between a structure and the shoreline is reduced by erosion. This decreases the remaining useful life of the structure(i.e., shortens the time until it is lost to erosion),and also makes it more susceptible to inundation and wave damage as its proximity to shoreline increases. Some studies have shown that a structure's market value declines as its distance from the shoreline declines. • The property may be eventually lost to erosion • Properties located immediately inland of the existing shorefront parcels may eventually become shorefront properties themselves,receiving the amenity value that is held by shorefront properties. As a result,their values and the property tax revenues they generate would increase. Since the current study is using a 10-year period of analysis, and because of the low annual erosion rates in the Study Area,the first effect described above will be the predominate one. However,as noted above there are shorefront parcels in Reaches 6 and 7 where the structures are located close enough to the shoreline such that they would be heavily damaged during the next 10 yearrs. In contrast,there are large shorefront properties located in Reaches 1,4,and 5 where the structures are located a long distance inland and would not be damaged during the next 10 years. The value of such parcels would be unaffected over a 10-year period. The primary short-term adverse fiscal impact on the Town of Southold under the Without Project condition would be decline in the value of some shorefront properties, leading to a corresponding fall in real property tax revenues. In other words, since the Town does not continually update its assessed values based on market value or real estate sale,the AV of shorefront properties would remain largely unchanged over time. Over the long run, such as 50 or 60 years,the second and third effects noted above will tend to cancel each other so that the net change in shorefront property values is minimal. The transfer of value from the current shorefront properties to those located immediately inland would, except in a few instances, not occur within the 10-year planning period. The tax consequences of the Without Project condition and the three alternatives will depend on the assessment practices of the Town of Southold. The Town currently assesses real property on a 1967 base year,which results in the very low assessment ratio noted above. The land AV of a shorefront parcel is primarily determined by the length of its frontage on Long Island Sound,as well as by its current highest and best use. The land AV is not affected by a reduction of the distance between a structure and the shoreline due-to continuing erosion. A representative of the Town's Tax Assessor's office stated that the AV of a shorefront parcel would remain unchanged over the 10 year period with the following two exceptions: 1)a change in use occurs(i.e.,an agricultural parcel is sold and converted to residential use); and 2)significant damage occurs to-a structure, including the protective bulkhead if one 29 is present. In the latter instance,the parcel's AV may be temporarily reduced,but then may also be restored to the pre-impact figure once new protective measures are in place. All the structures located in the Study Area were identified and a total current net replacement cost of $41,227,000 was estimated as shown above in Table 6. In order to confirm this figure,the structure AV of all parcels in the Study Area was converted to market value using the assessment ratio,resulting in an estimated market value of$41,718,600. The similarity of these two numbers confirms the validity of using the net replacement cost to estimate protection benefits,and also indicates that change in net replacement costs will also serve as a good proxy indicator for the decline in AV. The maximum annual loss in real property tax revenues that would occur under the three single-action plan alternatives and the four storm scenarios are presented in Table 23.It was assumed that the undiscounted total ten-year damages(presented previously)represent the maximum property loss that would have occurred by the end of year 10. It was also assumed that any decreases in structure replacement values presented in Table 6 would result in similar percentage reductions in AV. This assumption yields a maximum reduction in the tax base since not all structure damage will necessarily result in a decline in the structure AV. Table 23 indicates that at the end of 10 years under the Without Project Scenario annual property tax revenues coming from within the Study Area would be reduced from current levels by at most$243,200. It is possible that this revenue loss could be offset to some extent by additional development within the Study Area,but as noted above the level of new development likely to occur there, especially along the shorefront, is expected to be minimal based on current infrastructure constraints and zoning regulations. To put this potential decline in perspective, a tax revenue loss of this magnitude would result in about a 0.5 percent reduction in the Town of Southold's annual real property tax revenues. Two of the three single plan alternatives would result in lower structure losses over 10 years;they would produce even smaller declines in annual property tax revenues. The exception is the Structure Acquisition Alternative in Reach 6; purchasing these 11 properties would remove from the tax base,resulting in an immediate annual decline in tax revenues of$27,400. It is concluded that the annual reduction in real property tax revenues that would occur in the Study Area under any of the six alternatives by year 10 would have a minimal adverse fiscal impact on the Town of Southold. The annual tax revenue losses would represent a decline of less than 0.5 percent from the current level of real property tax revenues generated by the Study Area. Table 24 presents the benefits, in terms of reductions in the loss of annual tax revenues,that would be generated by the three single action alternatives. In other words,when compared to the Without Project Condition,the action alternatives would generate a lower decline in annual real property tax revenues because the level of structure damaged would be reduced. The benefits of the three combination alternatives would be similar in magnitude. r 30 Table 23 Maximum Declines in Annual Real Property Tax Revenues By Alternative Without Project Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ - $ 2,200 $ 2,200 $ 7,790 Reach#2 $ 20,464 $ 32,945 $ 32,945 $ 16,631 Reach#3 $ - $ $ $ Reach#4 $ 12,804 $ 17,072 $ 17,627 $ 9,146 Reach#5 $ - $ $ $ Reach#6 $ 66,449 $ 137,988 $ 133,768 $ 90,864 Reach#7 $ 25,695 $ 45,204 $ 56,730 $ 34,269 Reach#8 $ - $ $ $ Total $ 125,411 $ 235,410 $ 243,270 $ 158,700 Alternative One: Beach Nourishment Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ - $ 178 $ 238 $ 3,898 Reach#2 $ 20,464 $ 32,945 $ 32,945 $ 16,472 Reach#3 $ - $ $ $ Reach#4 $ 12,804 $ 17,017 $ 17,128 $ 8,148 Reach#5 $ - $ $ $ Reach#6 $ 45,951 $ 70,535 $ 70,903 $ 42,937 Reach#7 $ 25,526 $ 43,602 $ 51,389 $ 29,771 Reach#8 $ - $ $ $ Total $ 104,745 $ 164,277 $ 172,603 $ 101,223 Alternative Two:Sand Bypassing Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Fou Reach#1 $ - $ 2,200 $ 2,200 $ 7,790 Reach#2 $ 20,464 $ 32,945 $ 32,945 $ 16,631 Reach#3 $ - $ $ $ Reach#4 $ 12,804 $ 17,017 $ 17,128 $ 8,204 Reach#5 $ . - $ $ $ Reach#6 $ 58,042 $ 125,361 $ 116,888 $ 78,740 Reach#7 $ 25,245 $ 43,602 $ 52,261 $ 32,835 Reach#8 $ - $ - $ - $ Total $ 116,555 $ 221,126 $ 221,421 $ 144,200 Alternative Three:Structure Acquisition in Reach 6 Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ - $ 2,200 $ 2,200 $ e 7,790 Reach#2 $ 20,464 $ 32,945 $ 32,945 $ 16,631 Reach#3 $ - $ - $ - $ Reach#4 $ 12,804 $ 17,017 $ 17,128 $ 8,204 Reach#5 $ - $ - $ $ Reach#6 $ 85,448 $ 152,768 $ 144,294 $ 106,147 Reach#7 $ 25,245 $ 71,009 $ 79,667 $ 60,242 Reach#8 $ - $ 27,406 $ 27,406 $ 27,406 Total $ 143,961 $ 303,345 $ 303,641 $ 226,419 Note: The maximum declines for the three combination alternatives would be similar to the values presented above. Table 24 Maximum Annual Reduction in Loss of Annual Real Property Tax Revenues _ (Values shown are for maximum reduction in year 10) Alternative One-Beach Nourishment Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ $ 2,022 $ 1,962 $ 3,895 Reach#2 $ $ - $ $ 158 Reach#3 $ $ - $ $ Reach#4 $ $ 55 $ 499 $ 998 Reach#5 $ $ - $ - $ Reach#6 $ 20,497 $ 67,453 $ 62,865 $ 47,927 Reach#7 $ 169 $ 1,602 $ 5,341 $ 4,498 Reach#e $ - $ - $ - $ Total $ 20,666 $ 71,133 $ 70,667 $ 57,476 Alternative Two-Sand Bypassing Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ $ $ $ Reach#2 $ $ $ $ Reach#3 $ $ $ $ Reach#4 $ $ 55 $ 499 $ 942 Reach#5 $ $ $ $ Reach#6 $ 8,407 $ 12,627 $ 16,880 $ 12,124 Reach#7 $ 450 $ 1,602 $ 4,470 $ 1,434 Reach#8 $ - $ - $ $ Total $ 8,856 $ 14,284 $ 21,849 $ 14,500 Alternative Three-Property Acquisition In Reach 6 Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ $ $ $ Reach#2 $ $ $ $ Reach#3 $ $ $ $ Reach#4 $ $ $ $ Reach#5 $ $ $ $ Reach#6 $ (10,325) $ 24,473 $ 21,392 $ 11,009 Reach#7 $ $ - $ - $ 28 Reach#8 $ $ - $ - $ Total $ (10,325) $ 24,473 $ 21,392 $ 11,037 Alternative Four-Combined Beach Nourishment&Acquisition Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ $ 2,022 $ 1,962 $ 3,895 Reach#2 $ $ - $ - $ 158 Reach#3 $ $ $ - $ Reach#4 $ $ 55 $ 499 $ 942 Reach#5 $ $ $ $ Reach#6 $ (6,909) $ 44,937 $ 44,736 $ 73,707 Reach#7 $ 169 $ 1,602 $ 5,341 $ 4,498 Reach#8 $ $ - $ $ Total $ (6,741) $ 48,616 $ 52,538 $ 83,200 Alternative Five:Combination Sand Bypassing 3 Structure Acquisition In Reach 6 Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ $ $ $ Reach#2 $ $ $ $ Reach#3 $ $ $ $ Reach#4 $ $ 55 $ 499 $ 942 Reach#5 $ $ $ - $ Reach#6 $ (8,584) $ 31,305 $ 29,296 $ 16,535 Reach#7 $ 450 $ 1,602 $ 4,470 $ 1,434 Reach#8 $ - $ - $ $ Total $ (8,134) $ 32,963 $ 34,265 $ 18,911 Alternative Six:Combination Sand Bypassing 3 Beach Nourishment Scenario One Scenario Two Scenario Three Scenario Four Reach#1 $ $ 2,022 $ 1,962 $ 3,895 Reach#2 $ $ - $ - $ 158 Reach#3 $ $ - $ - $ Reach#4 $ $ 55 $ 554 $ 1,219 Reach#5 $ $ - $ $ Reach#6 $ 20,631 $ 68,760 $ 64,841 $ 50,205 Reach 97 $ 506 $ 2,867 $ 8,321 $ 6,663 Reach#8 $ - $ - $ $ Total $ 21,137 $ 73,704 $ 75,679 $ 62,140 No Fe:a positive figure Indicates a Denerit,or a re uu lon In the tax loss I HABITAT VALUE CHANGES Types of Habitat in the Study Area The Environmental Inventory(OCC, 1998)contains a series of overlay maps that show the presence of the three major types of habitat present in the Study Area. While the September 1998 study did not present a detailed tabulation of the acres of each type of habitat present,the approximate proportions of each habitat type can be determined by reviewing the map. The following trends are observable: • The dominant type of habitat is estuarine/marine,consisting of coastal beach, salt marshes, stable bank and nearshore marine deepwater. The coastal beach, defined as the unconsolidated coat subject to wave action located between MLW and the bottom of coastal bank is the dominant type of terrestrial habitat. Estuarine/marine habitat occupies approximately 15 percent of the Study Area. • Palustrine habitats, including coastal plain ponds,shrub swamp and emergent marsh occupies areas near Goldsmith's Inlet and adjacent to the two Ponds. Palustrine habitat occupies about 10 percent of the Study Area. • Terrestrial habitats, such as pitch pine-oak forest,maritime scrublands,and maritime grasslands occupy the remaining 75 percent of the Study Area. Most of this type of habitat is located inland from the top of the coastal banks or extends inland from the rear of the dune line. Concentrations of this type of habitat are present between Duck Pond and Goldsmith's Inlet behind the top of the bluff, east of Goldsmith's Inlet behind the rear edge of the beach,and around both Ponds. The rear part of the Study Area contains productive agricultural lands. The Environmental Inventory also contains a list of individual species including amphibians,birds,fishes, invertebrates,mammals, and reptiles. The list includes over 1,300 specific database entries and identifies the local occurrence as follows: known to be present, likely to be present,possibly present,and not known to be present. The coastal be including areas of shoals,bars,and mudflats,occupies virtually of all of the area between Duck Pond Point and Goldsmith's Inlet. A field reconnaissance confirmed that few dunes are present in the Study Area. In addition,high coastal bluffs are found between Duck Pond Point and Goldsmith's Inlet,and also between McCabe's Beach and the Horton Point Lighthouse. A large concentration of intertidal marsh and salt marsh is located behind Goldsmith Inlet around the adjacent Pond. A large area of freshwater wetlands is located adjacent to Great Pond in the eastern part of the Study Area behind Kenny Beach,with a smaller concentration present near McCabe's Beach. There are no wetlands present in the Study Area between Duck Pond Point and Goldsmith's Inlet. Based on the total of 1,140 acres in the present Study Area, it is comprised of approximately 170 acres of estuarine/marine habitat, 114 acres of palustrine habitat,and 856 acres of terrestrial habitat. The primary 33 natural resource and recreational use values that would be affected by the alternatives being considered in this study are located in the estuarine/marine habitat. Natural Resource Values Assessing the value of natural resources can be done by either estimating the cost of replacing the resource, or simulating prices through various non-market valuation techniques to estimate use values such as the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) used in this Study to estimate recreational benefits. The second method is preferred when estimating the value of natural resources. Resources values obtained from a literature review are used here to provide estimates of unit prices(i.e., $per acre)for the three main types of habitat identified above. Estimating the value of a parcel with proximity to a desirable natural resource, such as a beachfront or wetlands, can also be done by hedonic modeling. This technique determines the effect of independent variables, such as location,on the value of a piece of property to its value. Dunes provide habitat and societal benefits such as protecting adjacent property from storm damage. The direct benefits of a dune system are the protection they provide to property owners as they absorb the energy in storms and attenuate the pollution from runoff,along with aesthetic values to the adjacent properties. Tidal wetlands provide enormous benefits to wildlife and residents in the area. Their habitat values are also local in nature and benefit individual property values, but they are also valuable to society in their basic functions. Wetlands provide spawning and nursery grounds for various species and wide ranging benefits. to stability of animal population and eventually back to human populations for harvesting of fish and other resources. From a societal perspective,the loss of dunes and wetlands also translates into loss of species abundance and diversity. However, over the long-term, if erosion losses eventually transform existing uplands into future wetlands,the result is a relocation of species to the new habitat,there is no loss to society (or to the Town). A recent report prepared by The Greeley-Polhemus Group, Inc. (GPG) provides information that is still relevant and is applicable to the Study Area. In January 1993,GPG prepared the report assessing the value of selected natural Resource Values for the Delaware Estuary Program. In addition to market research to identify the value of priced resources,the report also reviewed the available literature for relevant estimates of values of resources. The following section presents some of this information. Many of the values reported are consistent with the specific species or specific ecological communities presented in the Environmental Inventory(OCC, 1998). These values,however,because they are so specific,provide only an approximate means for valuing the resources in Southold. The section concludes with estimates of current use values per acre for recreation,pollution removal and commercially harvested wildlife,which can be used to value the losses of acreage in habitats and beach front land area. Wetlands provide recreation use values to residents and visitors that may hunt,fish,or come to observe and enjoy the diverse wildlife. Typically these values are estimated in the literature on a"value per activity day" or per acre basis. The value per acre ranges broadly from$3/acre per year in Louisiana to over$4,000 per acre in Massachusetts for general use values. Mitigation of wetland losses is another way to measure of the value of wetlands based on the cost of constructing replacement wetlands. Much of this mitigation work was 34 done in connection with highway construction impacts. In the Delaware Estuary report,wetlands restoration costs were estimated to range from $85 to $96 per acre (1998$) for planting hardwoods in the Lower Mississippi River area up to about$79,500 per acre in the northeast. Current late 1990's estimate for wetland mitigation in the northeast could be as high as$150,000 per acre(GPG, 1993). Wetlands have the ability to remove pollutants from the environment. The wastewater treatment capability ofwetlands is measured according to their ability to remove undesirable contaminants from the environment. In removing pollutants,the wetlands may be"used up"in the sense that by treating pollutants they may lose value for other uses,such as providing natural habitats and recreation. The value of wetlands in wastewater treatment is estimated by calculating the cost of building and operating a waste treatment plant that could provide the same service. Wetlands can help maintain good water quality or improve degraded waters by removing organic and inorganic nutrients and toxic materials from water that flows across them. Wetlands also help to maintain good water quality through nutrient removal,storm water retention and reduction of storm water sediment load. Their location between land and open water makes wetlands good water filters. They can intercept runoff from land(which is a component of non-point source pollution to bodies of water)before it reaches the water and filter out nutrients, wastes and sediment. The plant life in a wetland can also reduce the turbidity of flowing water. Wastewater treatment values for wetlands can be estimated from the Charles River wetlands in Massachusetts which provides an estimated treatment value of$2,400(1998$)per acre. Wetlands act as a natural buffer between water and land and can reduce significantly the level of flooding during storm events. In traditional project analyses,the U.S.Army Corps of Engineers measures the benefit of a constructed flood control project by estimating the avoided storm and flood damages at the site if a project is constructed. The value of the wetland could be estimated by the cost to construct a project providing the same level of protection provided by the wetlands. However,most wetlands are adjacent to (protect)undeveloped land area. The value of this protection is limited by the small measure of benefit of protecting areas that have little or no market value. Besides reducing flood levels and potential damage, coastal wetlands absorb the destructive force of ocean storms as they come ashore and act as giant storm buffers. A value of$4,600(1998$)was calculated based on a commonly cited 1981 study by Thibodeau and Ostro. The Delaware Estuary Report also lists estimated contributions ofwetlands to commercial harvest of selected animal species in various locations throughout the United States. Estimates in the Delaware Estuary Report range from less than a dollar per acre for blue crabs in Florida to over$450 per acre(1998$)for the value of a whole wetland ecosystem. Massachusetts's wetlands represent the wetlands in the Southold region since both areas are similar in geographic location and in their wildlife species.An estimate of$4,100 per acre (1998$) was used in the Delaware Estuary Report. This estimation of the value per acre of wetlands for commercially harvested wildlife assumes that there is no double counting for different species. In closing,the value of wetlands depends on the function they provide,and their location,both at a site- specific level, and regionally. Based on a range of wetlands values presented in a 1991 Study for the American Petroleum Institute,wetlands values in 1998$can be expected to range between $10 per acre 35 per year and $313 per acre per year(1998$). Recreation and habitat benefits,the primary types of benefits generated by the wetlands in the Study Area,range between$41 per acre per year and$274 per acre per year(1998$). Recreational Fishing Use Values The near-shore marine habitat provides habitat for saltwater recreational fishing. Based on data compiled by the American Fisheries Society,the willingness to pay for a day of saltwater recreational fishing, depending on the species,ranges from $60 per angler day for flounder up to$224(1998 $)for Striped Bass. The U.S. Average for surf and bay fish ranges between$54 and$63 per angler day. It is expected that the value of a recreational fishing day for the Study Area would be at the low end of this range. Similarly,the freshwater fishing for warmwater species that occurs in the two Ponds would have a value of approximately$39 per angler day. RECREATION General To establish a base for determining the change in recreational value from alternative project scenarios, surveys were performed. Surveys were conducted on August 10, 14, 15 and 16 at Kenney's Road Beach, McCabes Beach and Goldsmith Inlet.A total of 52 recreation surveys were performed on 2 weekend days and 2 weekdays. In addition to obtaining data for analysis of alternative beach proposals,the surveys were also used to assess general beach usage. The questionnaire used in this survey is shown in Appendix E. A direct measurement approach known as the Contingent Value Method(CVM)was selected as the appropriate technique to obtain data on the value of the recreation resource. CVM surveys were used to question users as to their usage characteristics and their Willingness To Pay(WTP)under alternative conditions. This value was then applied to the annual use to estimate recreation benefits associated with alternative projects. Estimated Annual Beach Usage Beach counts for McCabes and Kenny's Road beaches were available for the period from June 28 to September 1, 1997. Since the beach counts are a snapshot in time and are not attendance figures,a turnover rate must be multiplied by the usage to obtain attendance figures. The turnover rate converts the number of people at the beach at a particular time to the total number of people visiting the beach at any time throughout the day. The turnover rate was assumed at 2.5. Since no beach counts were available for Goldsmith's Inlet Park, spot checks of the number of people on one weekend and one weekday were utilized to determine weekend and weekday estimates. The beach counts were then multiplied by 2.5 to determine the estimated total annual beach attendance. The annual usage figures for the study area beaches are shown in Table 25: i 36 ...ti ,: ...............................................:...... h:A bdance.fir Summer.:1997 :...:. < >>:': > :>:>> ``°`<'Study Area�eac. ......#te.... Measured.Beae6 Counts:.. strmated.attendanc .based;on#urnover2,$ DATE Ken�ey's iVlcCabes Goldsm�th's Total Ienney's R[cabes GoldsmAth's Total .; >2$= t 15 55 32 102 37.5 137.5 80 25 .......................... ' J 78 90 32 200 195 225 80 50 .................. 30-Jun-97 20 80 15 115 50 200 37.5 287. O1-Jul-97 20 25 15 60 50 62.51 37.5 15 02-Jul-97 25 30 15 70 62.5 75 37.5 17 03-Jul-97 22 26 15 63 55 65 37.5 157. "< 4 I » 711 46 32 32 110 115 80 80 27 .......................... ��_�� 101 61 32 194 252.5 152.5 80 48 .......................... .......................... .......................... €1G'.=ul:'9 ' 72 70 32 174 180 175 80 43 07-Jul-97 130 32 15 177 325 80 37.5 442. 08-Jul-97 51 34 15 100 127.5 85 37.5 25 094ul-97 58 25 15 98 145 62.5 37.5 24 10-Jul-97 54 41 15 110 135 102.5 37.5 27 11-Jul-97 48 40 15 103 1201 ]00 37.5 257. .......................... > 1Z`3f7 80 65 32 177 200 162.5 80 442. .......................... ............... .... < '.'.? ':'. 76 41 32 149 190 102.5 80 372. ..............-----..... 14 July 1997 70 29 15 114 175 72.5 37.5 28 y. 15-Jul-97 65 42 15 122 162.5 105 37.5 30 16-Jul-97 3 4 15 22 7.5 10 37.5 5 17-Jul-97 13 35 15 63 32.5 87.5 37.5 157. 18-Jul-97 57 10 15 82 142.5 25 37.5 20 € 11? Ttra 62 62 32 156 155 155 80 39 57 30 32 119 142.5 75 80 297. .......................... 21-Jul-97 32 35 15 82 80 87.5 37.5 20 22-Jul-97 60 15 15 90 150 37.5 37.5 22 23-Jul-97 40 24 15 79 100 60 37.5 197. 24-Jul-97 0 0 15 15 0 0 37.5 37. 25-Jul-97 0 0 15 15 0 0 37.5 37. &'. 1-91T 115 71 32 218 287.5 177.5 80 54 105 55 32 192 262.5 137.5 80 48 28-Jul-97 57 24 15 96 142.5 601 37.5 24 29-Jul-97 56 30 15 101 140 75 37.5 252. 30-Jul-97 66 17 15 98 165 42.5 37.5 24 31-Jul-97 60 36 15 111 150 90 37.5 277. 01-Au -97 20 20 15 55 50 50 37.5 137. 40 7 32 79 100 17.5 80 197. ................ ....... 40 57 32 129 100 142.5 80 322. 04-Au -97 27 12 15 54 67.5 30 37.5 13 05-Au -97 38 10 151 63 95 25 37.5 157. 06-Au -97 49 12 151 761 122.5 30 37.5 19 07-Au -97 35 24 151 74 1 87.5 60 37.5 18 37 Table.Z5 . Study Area$each Atte»dance f. Summer 1997 iVteasure ..... I.-.. . ....... .... .. ... _............ .. ... ....... _. ._. ...... .. .......... .._....... 1DA7' Kenney's 1►lcGabes.... GO 001th�S;. .Total:. . . ICengey's.. McCabes ;.GoCdsmath's:. 1Qtal ... ............ ...........................................:....::.:.:.....................................................................:....::..............:..:::....:::..........:.::......................................... ... 08-Au -97 17 30 15 62 42.5 75 37.5 15 .......................... .......................... .......................... 60 98 32 190 150 245 80 47 Ors" 65 77 32 174 162.5 192.5 80 43 11-Au -97 50 18 15 83 125 451 37.5 207. 12-Au -97 61 23 15 99 152.5 57.5 37.5 247. 13-Au -97 1 16 2 15 33 40 5 37.5 82. 14-Au -97 1 14 31 15 60 35 77.5 37.5 15 15-Au -97 88 4 15 107 220 10 37.5 267. ........... ......... I G= i f 55 26 32 113 137.5 651 80 282. 58 25 32 115 145 62.5 80 287. .............. ....... 18-Au -97 12 16 15 43 30 40 37.5 107. 19-Au -97 1 13 9 15 37 32.5 22.5 37.5 ' 92. 20-Au -97 11 11 15 37 27.5 27.5 37.5 92. 21-Au -97 0 0 15 15 0 0 37.5 37. 22-Au -97 5 20 15 40 12.5 50 37.5 10 .......................... 20. 15 32 67 50 37.5 80 167. 53 30 32 115 132.5 75 80 287. ................ ....... 25-Au -97 1 105 0 15 120 262.5 0 37.5 30 26-Au -97 80 25 15 120 200 62.51 37.5 3001 27-Au -97 62 17 15 94 155 42.5 37.5 23 28-Au -97 105 22 15 142 262.5 55 37.5 35 29-Au -97 46 0 15 61 115 0 37.5 152. <3ii`=Air»9 121 36 32 189 302.5 90 80 472. > 1=Ati".-'.?J 97 0 32 129 242.5 0 80 322. ................ ....... 48 0 32 80 120 0 80 20 Total 3325 1943 1300 6330 8312.5 4857.5 3250 15825 Average 50.4 29.4 20.7 98:9 125.9 73.6 51.7 247. IINotes Shaded dates are weekendg.Goldsmeth TnIet counts elfflmated haged an Auguqt 10 and August The sample distribution of visits determined in the surveys does not correspond to the population distribution of visits since persons going to the beach more often are more likely to be selected as respondents. The information on visitation from the CV survey is subject to"trip bias." The correction for trip bias was to estimate the population average visitation from the sample data. The procedure is to divide the sample size by the sum of the inverse of visits for all respondents in the sample. 38 The formula is: Avg= [n/E(1/v;)] Where Avg is the average number of visits corrected for trip bias n is the sample size(50 in our case) v; is the number of visits for respondent i The correction for trip bias reduces the average number of summer visits per respondent from 43.8 as reported by survey respondents to 22.0 as adjusted for the total population. The average number of different users visiting the study area beaches then increases from 15,825/43.8=364 to 15,825/22.0= 719. In order to adjust for over sampling of the frequent users(and avoid bias in the benefit calculation), the number of different users adjusted for trip bias is utilized to calculate alternative project benefits. Since the survey asked about beach usage for the entire year while the existing beach count data corresponded only to the summer season,the survey responses were adjusted to correspond to the summer season. The maximum number of days which someone could attend the beach was set at 66, since the total number of days in the beach count data was 66. The sampled number of days was therefore truncated at 66 even if the respondents said that they visited the study area beaches more than 66 times per year. Descriptive Statistics Descriptive statistics for the respondents are displayed in Table 26. Since only 2 respondents reported using a daily pass,the information was not stratified by type of pass. In calculating benefits the daily pass surveys were not utilized. However,all respondents were utilized in calculating descriptive statistics on beach usage. 39 Tale 2b - . at .... Sumxna Of.;$each urve. .Resu s ::>::;:::::::::::: ;:::::::„::::;:::: :.: ry.::. y 1. What factors influenced your decision to visit this beach today rather than another Town of Southold beach? Percentage of people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 84.6% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by convenient location. Percentage of,people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 59.6% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by nearby parking. Percentage of people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 23 1% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by restroom&changing facilities. Percentage of people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 25.0% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by lifeguards. Percentage of people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 15.4% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by recommendation by friends. Percentage of people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 71 2% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by lack of congestion. Percentage of people whose decision to visit this beach today rather than another 50.0% Town of Southhold Beach was influenced by other factors. 2. How would you rate the following characteristics of this beach today? In your opinion is the parking. . .1 Excellent 2 Good 3 Fair 4 Poor? Mean rating for parking 1.4 Mean rating for beach width 1.9 Mean rating for cleanliness 2.1 Mean rating for lifeguards 2.0 Mean rating for restrooms/showers 2.3 Mean rating for available beach space. 1.4 40 Table: 6 Summery Qf Beach S-.Ury tesu is 3. How did you get to the beach today? Percentage of respondents who drove a car to the beach 75.0% Percentage of respondents who rode a bike to the beach 3.9% Percentage of respondents who walked to the beach 21.1% 4. How long,in hours,did it take you to get to the beach from where you stayed last night? Mean number of minutes it took to get to the beach from where they stayed last night 8.0 5. During a typical year,how many days will you go to the beaches in Town of Southold? Mean visits per year to Goldsmiths Inlet Park 17.1 Mean visits per year to Kenney's Road Beach 30.7 Mean visits per year to Horton Lane Beach/McCabe's Beach 16.5 Mean visits per year to Duck Pond Point Area 4.2 Mean visits per year to Other Town of Southold Beaches 13.1 6. How many hours will you spend at the beach today? . Mean number of hours spent at the beach today. 3.3 7. When do you normally come to this beach? Percentage of respondents who come to this beach on weekdays 7.70% Percentage of respondents who come to this beach on weekends 21.15% Percentage of respondents who come to this beach on both weekdays and weekends 71.15% 41 ablb .... h ... .... ...... 3 Summa Of eac ur .. Results ' y 8. What activities do you come to the beach for? Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for swimming 82.7% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for walking 84.6% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for clamming 7.7% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for sightseeing 71.2% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for kyacking 3.9% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for canoeing 1.9% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for tubing 23.1% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for windsurfing 1.9% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for jet skiing 1.9% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for boating 13.5% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for fishing 53.9% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for sunbathing 88.5% Percentage of respondents who come-to the beach for ball playing 32.7% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for birdwatching 61.5% Percentage of respondents who come to the beach for picnicking 51.9% 9. What type of parking pass did you use to enter the beach today? Percentage of respondents who entered with a resident seasonal parking permit 67.3% Percentage of respondents who entered with a non-resident daily parking permit 1.9% Percentage of respondents who entered with a non-resident seasonal parking permit 0.0% Percentage of respondents who entered with a hotel/motel parking permit 0.0% Percentage of respondents who entered with a guest/lesee parking permit 13.5% Percentage of respondents who did not pay 17.3% 10. How many people came to the beach with you today? Mean number of people who came to the beach with you today. 2.8 The shoreline has changed over time-a general trend has been narrowing of the beach at kenney's Road and McCabes Beach,and a widening to the Wet of Goldsmith's Inlet. Recently there have been proposals which would alter this trend. Dry beach width at high tide could be increased by 50 to 100%at Kenney's&McCabes Beaches. The following are questions about this proposal. 42 Table 26 Summary Of Beach Survey itesuXts 11. If beach widths were increased at Kenny's or McCabe's Beaches would you pay an additional amount to use the Town of Southold beaches? Mean additional willing to pay(WTP)amount per season. $8 62 12. If beach widths were increased at Kenny's or McCabes Beaches would your beach usage change? Percentage of respondents who said yes 15.4% Percentage of respondents who said no 84.6% 13. Over the course of a year,how many additional days do you think you would go to the Town of Southold beaches under this scenario? Mean additional days at Goldsmith's Inlet Park 0 Mean additional days at Kenny's Road Beach 8 Mean additional days at-Horton Lane/McCabes Beach 0 Mean additional days at Duck Pond Point Area 0 Mean additional days at Other Town of Southold Beaches 0 14. We have found in studies of this type that people have a lot of different reasons for answering as they do. Which of the following statements.best describes your reasons for answering the previous questions the way you did? 25.0% Percentage of respondents who said that is what it is worth to me Percentage of respondents who said that they believe that a wider beach would be of value,but you do not think it is fair to expect beach users to pay for it 19.2% Percentage of respondents who believe that an increase in beach width would increase their property value 9.6% Percentage of respondents who said that there was not enough information 7.7% Percentage of respondents who did not want to place dollar value 13.5% Percentage of respondents who objected to way question was presented 0.0% Percentage of respondents who had other reasons for answering the way they did 46.2% One proposal is to shorten the jetty at Goldsmith's Inlet. This would result in decreased beach widths on the.west side of the jetty(Peconic Shores)and increased beach widths on the east side of the jetty(Kenneys'Road and McCabe's Beaches). The following are questions about this proposal. 43 ........... .Table6 > Summy !B ar each Survey ltesuts 15. If this proposal were implemented would you pay an additional,reduced or the same amount to use beaches within the Town? Mean annual amount willing to pay to use beaches within the Town $4.89 16. If beach widths were decreased on the west side of Goldsmith's Inlet(at Peconic Shores)and increased on the east side of Goldsmith's Inlet(at Kenney's Road and McCabes Beaches)would your beach usage change? Percentage of respondents who answered yes 17.3% Percentage of respondents who answered no 82.7% 17. [IF ANSWER TO QUESTION 16 IS YES THEN: Over the course of a year,how many additional or reduced days do you think you would go to the Town of Southold beaches under this scenario? Mean number of days they would go to Goldsmith's Inlet Park -2 2 Mean number of days they would go to Kenney's Road Beach 2.5 Mean number of days they would go to Horton Lane/McCabes Beach 0.04 Mean number of days they would go to Duck Pond Point Area 0.00 Mean number of days they would go to other Town of Southold Beaches 0.00 44 .:..........TabNe 6 ::;>::: .:.::.:::..:..... .;:.:::::::::;..:.:. .;::. Summa .:Of'0ench.S.ttrye Results ....... . : `. . ::. .::::: .............:.. 18. We have found in studies of this type that people have a lot of different reasons for answering questions as they do. Which of the following statements best describes your reasons for answering the previous questions the way you did? Percentage of respondents who said that is what it is worth to me 23.1% Percentage of respondents who believe that a wider beach would be of value,but do not think it is fair to expect beach users to pay for it 15.4% Percentage of respondents who believe that an increase in beach width would increase their property value 5.8% Percentage of respondents who believe that a decrease in beach width would decrease their property value Percentage of respodents who said that there was not enough information 0.0% Percentage of respondents who did not want to place dollar value 3.9% Percentage of respondents who objected to way question was presented 9.6% Percentage of respondents who had other reasons for answering the way they did 5.8% 48.1% 19. What is your zip code? Percentage of respondents who said their zip code was 11971 36.5% 20. Which of the following best describes your present status? Percentage of respondents who were employed full-time 55.8% Percentage of respondents who were employed part-time 3.9% Percentage of respondents who were retired 26.9% Percentage of respondents who were not employed 3.9% Percentage of respondents who were homemakers 7.7% Percentage of respondents who were students 1.9% Percentage of respondents who gave other answers about their status 1.9% 21. How many children under the age of 13 are with you at the beach today? Mean number of children under the age of 13 with you at the beach today 1.1 22. What is your age? Mean respondent'age 50.5 45 Table 26 , .: ;::.:::<>: ........ :> . : ..:<:: »::::>:::::: Summar fB..each Sure.,X;esult..:. .:.. ..': << >: `>.......::..;;:::::.:.....::;::: 23. Record sex of respondent Percentage of respondents who were male 50% Percentage of respondents who were female 50% A range of people and locations were surveyed. Of the 52 surveys,half were women and half were men with an average age of 50. Most(55.8%)survey respondents were employed full time although a large percent(26.9%) said that they were retired. Most people surveyed said that they only traveled a short time(average of 8 minutes)to get to the beach from where they stayed the night before and said that they would spend an average of 3-1/2 hours at the beach. People use the Town beaches since they are both convenient and not crowded. Although other factors influence their decision to use the Town beaches,the most significant factor is convenience and location with 85%of the people citing this reason. This is also shown by the fact that over 1/3 of the users listed their zip code as 11971 and approximately.2/3 of the survey respondents said that they had a resident seasonal parking permit. In general,people rated the parking,beach widths,cleanliness, lifeguards,restrooms and available beach space highly. On a scale from 1 to 4(1 excellent,2 good, 3 average and 4 poor)people ranked the above beach features good. The parking and beach width are both ranked good to excellent while the cleanliness of the restrooms was ranked lowest(but still just below good). Even though most people were located near the beach,3/4 of them drove to the beach and slightly less than 1/4 walked to the beach. The remainder rode their bicycles. Of the people using the beach, 67.3%reported that they had resident seasonal permits, 17.3% said they did not pay, 13.5% said that they had guest/lessee parking permits and only 1.9%(1 person)had a non- resident parking permit. As shown in Table 27,the survey respondents reported that over the course of a year they will use the Town of Southold beaches a total of 4,244 times,with Kenney's road beach reported as the most popular beach. Most(71%)of the survey respondents said that they use the beaches on both the weekends and weekdays. Twenty-one percent said that they use the beaches only on the weekends and almost 8% said that they use the beaches only on the weekdays. 46 Table Z7 <> Summary pf Yearly Beach Usage for Snx^ ey Respopdents': '>: Beach >''>> Total Yearl Use ao P te rfed h ..::...........Y.. Starve Respon eats..... Goldsmith's Inlet Park 891 Kenney's Road Beach 1,594 McCabes Beach 858 Duck Pond Point Area 220 Other TOS Beaches 681 Total 4,244 The people use the beach for a wide range of activities. The most frequently cited activities were swimming, sunbathing and walking. Other popular activities included sightseeing, birdwatching, fishing, picnicking,tubing and ball playing. The beaches are also used less frequently for boating,jet skiing, windsurfing, canoeing,kyacking and clamming. The two willingness to pay(WTP)questions were examined by location as well as in total. For the beach nourishment question,respondents at Goldsmith's Inlet were willing to pay more than respondents at Kenney's Road and McCabes Beaches. For the sand bypassing(jetty shortening)question,respondents at Goldsmith's Inlet were willing to pay less than respondents at Kenney's Road Beach but more than respondents at McCabes Beach. These results are expected since people at Goldsmith's Inlet were expected to place a larger value on increased beach widths which did not come as a result of shortening the jetty. These results are shown in Table 28: Table 28 ...... Summa of Ar�era a WTP b Beach* ...... :.:....:........::::.::.:::: Beach Number of Average WTP for Beach Average�V4'T #'or Sak ..::...::.;:.;;..: Res ondents l�tourishtnent($Yyear) ': '' Bypass�in ($fyear). ....... . :.;....., .. ....... ...... Goldsmith's Inlet Park 19 $12.92 $2.60 Kenney's Road Beach 25 $7.60 $7.94 McCabes Beach 8 $1.63 $0.81 Total 52 $8.62 $4.89 *Results not corrected for trip bias 47 f' Protest Bids The recreation survey results indicate a large number of"valid"zero responses which is consistent with the incremental WTP approach. To identify outliers associated with protest responses on the beach valuation questions,respondents were asked to indicate the reason why they chose their WTP value. These questions were asked immediately after respondents had answered the questions. A series of fixed response categories were presented along with an open ended category if a respondents reason did not fit one of the specified categories. Normally a zero response would be classified as a protest bid if one of the following responses were given: "objected to the way question was asked" "did not want to place a dollar value" "not enough information" "you believe that an increase in beach width would increase your property value" "you believe an increase in beach width would decrease your property value." Because of the small number of surveys and the relatively small range in values given,no respondents surveys were judged as outliers. Benefits The dollar values determined in the CVM analysis are applied to the annual use data(adjusted for trip bias)to determine the value of a project or scenario. Two WTP questions were posed: The first question (question No. 11)asked about the value of increased beach widths and was used to determine the recreational value of the beach nourishment project. The second question(question No. 15)asked about the value of increased beach widths on the east side of Goldsmith's Inlet and decreased beach widths on the western side. Answers to this latter question were used to determine the recreational value of the bypassing scenario. No question was asked about the acquisition plan, since.it was not defined at the beginning of the study. The benefits calculation involves ranking the WTP bids and integrating them over the number of users. The bids were first ranked from highest to lowest and the percent of respondents at or greater than the bid was calculated. Then the total number of users at the bid or greater was calculated by multiplying the number of different users by the percent of respondents at or above the bid. Next,the average WTP bid is multiplied by the incremental number in the population corresponding to the bid,resulting in the total incremental bid. The sum of all the total incremental bids is the expected annual value(benefit)of the scenario. The expected annual recreational value of the beach nourishment scenario is shown in Table 29 and the expected annual recreational value of the sand bypassing scenario is shown in Table 30. For example, in the WTP for beach nourishment(question 11),three respondents said that they would be willing to pay an additional $13.50/year for the beach nourishment scenario. Twenty-four percent of the survey respondents(173 out of 720)would be willing to pay at least$13.50/year. These people represent approximately 173 out of 720 possible different users. Another respondent said that they would be willing to pay only up to$13.00/year. This latter respondent's bid represents twenty-six percent of the population or 187 different,users.The average incremental WTP for these two groups is 48 Table 29 Use Value Calculation for Beach Nourishment(Question 11) Kenney's Road, McCabe's and Goldsmith's Inlet Beaches Total Seasonal Daily Use= 15,825 No of Different Users= 720 Average WTP Incremental Total Sample Bid for No.of Respondents Cumulative %of Respondents No. in Population No.in Population for Incremental WTP Bid Increment Willing to Pay Bid Respondents At Bid or Greater At Bid or Greater Avg.WTP Interval Bid $100.00 28.81 $2,881.20 $100.00 2 2 0.04 28.81 $66.00 14.41 $950.80 $32.00 1 3 0.06 43.22 $27.75 28.81 $799.53 $23.50 2 5 0.10 72.03 $21.75 28.81 $626.66 $20.00 2 7 0.14 100.84 $19.25 28.81 $554.63 $18.50 2 9 0.18 129.65 $16.00 43.22 $691.49 $13.50 3 12 0.24 172.87 $13.25 14.41 $190.88 $13.00 1 13 0.26 187.28 $11.50 14.41 $165.67 $10.00 1 14 0.28 201.68 $8.25 43.22 $356.55 $6.50 3 17 0.34 244.90 $5.00 14.41 $72.03 $3.50 1 18 0.36 259.31 $3.00 14.41 $43.22 $2.50 1 19 0.38 273.71 $1.25 446.59 $558.23 $0.00 31 50 1.00 720.30 Average Annual Value= $7,891 t Table 30 Use Value Calculation for Sand Bypassing (Question 15) Kenney's Road, McCabe's and Goldsmith's Inlet Beaches Total Seasonal Daily Use= 15,825 No of Different Users= 720 Average WTP Incremental Total Sample Bid for No.of Respondents Cumulative %of Respondents No. in Population No.in Population for Incremental WTP Bid Incement Willing to Pay Bid Respondents At Bid or Greater At Bid or Greater Avg.WTP Interval Bid $100.00 14.41 $1,440.60 $100.00 1 1 0.02 14.41 $66.00 14.41 $950.80 $32.00 1 2 0.04 28.81 $28.50 14.41 $410.57 $25.00 1 3 0.06 43.22 $22.50 14.41 $324.14 $20.00 1 4 0.08 57.62 $19.25 14.41 $277.32 $18.50 1 5 0.10 72.03 $16.00 43.22 $691.49 $13.50 3 8 0.16 115.25 $13.25 14.41 $190.88 $13.00 1 9 0.18 129.65 $11.50 14.41 $165.67 $10.00 1 10 0.20 144.06 $8.25 43.22 $356.55 $6.50 3 13 0.26 187.28 $4.50 14.41 $64.83 $2.50 1 14 0.28 201.68 $1.25 475.40 $594.25 $0.00 33 47 0.94 677.08 -$3.25 43.22 -$140.46 -$6.50 3 50 1.00 720.30 Average Annual Value= $5,327 ($13.00+$13.50)/2=$13.25/year and represents 14.41 (187.28-172.87)of the 720 different users. The total incremental bid is therefore$13.25*14.41 =$190.88/year. The sum of the incremental bids for all different users represent the expected annual value. For the beach nourishment scenario this value was calculated as $7,891/year and for the sand bypassing scenario the value was found to be$5,327/year. Over a 10 year period,the present value of the beach nourishment scenario is$55,000 and the present vale of the sand bypassing alternative is$37,000. DISCUSSION OF BENEFITS Storm Damage Reduction Benefits Project benefits were calculated based on comparison of damage and expenses under the with- and without-project conditions. Storm damage reduction benefits are presented in Table 31 for the three alternative plans and in Table 32 for the three combination plans including both discounted and total values. In general,the maximum benefits in any reach can be obtained by implementing the beach nourishment plan. This plan increases beach width thereby reducing erosion,waves and resulting damages. The largest damages and therefore the most benefits are accrued in Reach 6 from the west side of Peconic Dunes County Park to the West side of Kenney's Road Beach. Benefits for the beach nourishment plan were estimated at between$419,000 and$1,631,000(1998 price level). The sand bypassing plan is not as effective as the beach nourishment alternative since, under this plan, erosion is reduced but beach widths are not increased. This is due to the fact that sand bypassing occurs at Goldsmith's Inlet and is designed to offset changes in long shore transport at the inlet. It therefore provides decreased erosion only in areas to the east of the inlet. Since the maximum reduction in erosion is limited by the natural long shore transport rate and since the inlet has only a limited effect on transport far away from it,this method is the least effective in reducing storm damages. The sand bypassing plan provides the least amount of benefits of any of the alternative plans considered(between$252,000 and $789,000 (1998 price level)). Sand is distributed over reaches 4, 5, 6 and 7 and is therefore not placed where it is needed most(reach 6). Although benefits are realized from reduced erosion,these benefits are small in comparison to those produced from the beach nourishment alternative. The acquisition plan, like the beach nourishment plan, is locally effective. However,the acquisition plan only removes 11 shore front structures located just to the east of Peconic Dunes County Park on Leeton Dr. (reach 6)from the damage pool. Damages, including inundation,to these eleven structures is completely eliminated and accounts for this plan's storm damage reduction benefits. The acquisition plan provided between$345,000 and$1,230,00 in benefits(1998 price level) Although not providing the maximum amount of benefits,the acquisition plan is actually the most effective in reducing storm damages. Since the structures are completely removed,they are no longer subject to future storm damages from storms of any magnitude. In addition,the effect of this plan is to completely eliminate damages in the limited area of the acquisition. Although the acquisition of structures reduces tax revenue,the acquired area could then be utilized as a public space or restored to a natural area. 51 Table 31 . ;Benefits for Alternatwe Project Plans <..:> can Bcnefits Over 10 ears r: . 7°l0) FM Y . Beach Nourishment: Sand Bypassing StructureAcquisihon m Yteaeh 6 Present Value Present Value; Present't�alue Ten Year Ten Year Ten Year ;:.;:..::.. . <:>< ::.. ::;> °o discountd 7% discounted. 7°l0 ;..::..:::.:.. . ...........T . 77 Total:.. ;;:: .;::;<::,:;:.;..,::..: :. .. .... ..:: Totai :: ...;:.,.;::.;; . :..;;: . .. ::::::.::.:::...... .................................... .................................................... ... Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms Xx 2 $0 __._. .. :;:.. 0lop... $o $a.:::.::<>:::>::::::::::: ::::.< 0 . :::.: ::... 3 $o : :::.::::.::.: :::.::.::.::.::.::.:::.:$ .. $ $0.:; $0 4 $0 $0:., $0 :..... $0. s $o $� $o _ Via.'; $o _ $o 6 $576,000 $41500 $215,000 $154;000 $474,000 $345,000 7 $7,000 . ... . ,>:::`:;. ........$4;Q00.. $16,000 ' ... $10,000.. $0 $U: 0< Total $583,000 $419000; $231,000 $163000 $474,000 $345,0U0; Scenario 2-Large Storms Occur in First Five Years 69 000 >::::::;a: :.:::::.::::<::.>::$3.8 0.00.< $0 ::;>:::>:::::: .. .. ....:.........:.. . $Q<:: $ 0 0 0 > <> .... »» 0 2 $ .:..... 3 $0 $0.: $oQ $0: $0 1 000 $0 _ $0 4 $1 000 ..... .....$..........:... $ , .::::::: 5 $ 0 :< $0 $0 1<23 . 376 000 <:::: 28$`'OUO< 1 548 000 $ . 0 .. 2 014 000 .$.1.$46`Q00: $ $ 7 $58,000 $46,004:. $57,000 -$4 000. $0 Q> 8 $o :::::::: Total $2,142,000 $1 6 1 000, $435;000 `" .. $329 OOQ.: $1,548,000 ............$1,2.3 0 52 Table 31 Benefits far Alterna ive project Plans (Mean Benefits Offer 10 ye Beach lYourishment Sand Bypassing Structure Acdaisihun in peach b peach Present Value Present Yalue Present Yalue Tert Year..: . o Ten Year o Tep Year : ° dis-6 unfed> 7:</o discounted< �./o, discounted @7/°� + ) l ) .:. .Total..::...... Total Total Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 1 $66,000 $34,000 $0 $0 $0 '.....__>`'< >: < 2 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 3 $0 $0..: $0 $O::i $0 :$os: 4 $8,000 $5,000 $9,000 $5000. $0 $0 $U. $0 $o $0 $36000: $1,4s7,000 6 $1,877,0001,18 ,000 $504,000 $932,O:oU 7 $190,000 $159,000 $99 000.; $0 $o 8 $o $o $o $o $o ............ $0, Total $1-457, Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms <:.> 7 0 0 0.. $0 $.0. 131 000 .......$..5 0 0.. $ .:.:.....:... .:::. ::::..:.:. ..:. 2 $4,000 $9,000 $17,000 $9,000 $0 . .. ...... ......:. ..... ::;::>::.:. o .: .:: :::>::::> o: $o :::::::..:::::>:> o. s $o :;. o: $ :::.:::: ..: :::..:.......: :. ...:. 6 $1,431,000 $1,QQ4,000..i $362,000 $25a,00Q $1;147,000 $823OOQ; 7 $160,000 ;;.... $110,��a. $51,000 $35000:. $0 •Totals may not match due to rounding;benefits=without project damages-with project damages 53 Table 32 Benefits for.Alternat�r+e Combination Protect Plans (1VLean benefits Over�0 years,i- '�°/a)' Comhinationand B assn in Beach Nourishment& Combination Beach 1�lourishment& YP g Reath Structure Acgms�tion Structure Acquisition Sand Bypassing »:> _..Teen Year Present Value Ten Year Present value Ten Year Present Value al. (:disc . ounted: 7:au Total fciscoun# d 710 'atai :. .:.. .. :::dasconted .. Scenario 1 -Average Series of Storms 1 $o $o $0 $0 $o $a 2 $0 :.... .. o.' $o $0 $o $o 3 $0 $0 $0 $�.. $0 X. 4 $0 66.1 $0 $0 $0.: $0 $0 5 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 6 $526,000 $379,000 $576,000 $415000. $579,000 $417,000 7 $16,000 $10,00;0 $7,000 $4,000 : $18,000 $10,000 $0 8 $0. $0 $0 $0 $0 ::.. .... .... 582 000 $597 000 :' Total $542,000 $389,00Q : $ :,:>. $428,OQ0 Scenario -Large Storms Occur in First Five Years 1 $0 $4 $69,000 $38;000 $69,000 . ;::> $38,000 $0.. $0 $0 . . . 4 $11000 $1,000 $1,000 :. 1,000:: $1,000 $1,000 XX 6 $1,753,0001373,000 $2,159,000 $1,662,000 $2,053,000 < ;` $I,570,000 7 $ 57 000 $40 000 $58,000 <> :> $46 000 ; $102,000 :: ' >:::». : $76M00.; $0 $0 Total $1,811,000 $1413,000 $2,287,000 $1,747,000 $2,225,000 $1685,g00 ; 54 Table 32 . ..... ... Benefits for Alternative Combmation ProJ�ct:Plans . 1Vtean Benefits Over 10 ears,i 7%) Y : Combination Sand bypassing+�, i CombinI. ation B.:l'.—.::.;. each Nourishment:& Combmat of 1_:_Beach Nourishment Reach : Structure Acquisition Structure Acquisition Sand Bypassing lien Year Present.Value Ten Year Present value: Tep,Year Present Value . :::.:>:::::>::;::>:::<:;:>:::>::>; ')`atal discounted. T/°: `Y'otal:;;... .. isconnted /o T+ataf discounted> 7/° :: :`: Scenario 3-Large Storm Occur in Last Five Year 4. 1 $0 $0: $66,000 .$34 000:; $66,000 .. ... $3 ,000 3 $0 $U: $0 .$0 $0 $U: .............................................. ........................................................... . .....................__.. _._........ ._....................... . _.._.._. 80 0 000 :< S 000< 0 000 10 00 6 000 4 $9 ..$ $ $5 $ 0 >.: . :... 0 0: 0 0 o a :: >:>::: :::>::>:.::.:::;:.::...;: :::::::.:.......:.. .. ...........$.... $ ...$ ... ... ... . ... .:...... ......................................... __ _ _ __ _ ... 6 $1,693,000 .....$1016,000; $2,028,000 ...:.:..$1.,272,+ 00: $1,936,000 :..;:::: : :::;:>:::...: _...................:._.A:. _ ::....:... &00: 7 $159,000 .... $9�,00;� $190,000 .... $118,000 : $296,000 .:::.. .....:..... ...$184,000 _...... _._...._ .......... ... ...... _.. 8 $0 :. 0 Total $1,861,000 $1 $0,00:U.;< $2,293,000 ..... ..':$1,429 000.: $2,309,000 $..: 0 OOU Scenario 4-Randomly Simulated Storms 0 .Q 131000 00 131000 0 1 $ .. $... $ 25 ..0... $ : 75 00. . $..... .. ...�._....... :.;:>.;:.;:.::.;:.;::::,:.;:.;:..:.::.;::. ::::>...... >:.>::::>:::::....... 2 $0 ... ,. $4,000 : '.:::: ......$4,000..: $4,000 ......" . ... :. .:::. 4 $17,000. : $9 OQ0 $17,000 $9 OOQ $22,000 $12,000 .. ;:::>:: <::::::::: 5 $ >' s::... ...$.:::: $ $.0.... $ $0. 1,311,000 27 0 : 1 612 000 1 :2 >000.> 1 499 000 "045 0 6 $ :.$9 . ..09.. $ $ . i l $ $1 _ OQ _. .. .:.:.....::. ... .............:.�.......... :..: :. .;:.:::.........A.. ...,.: .... .:.......:.... .::::.::::.. .. �.::...... ...... . 7 $51,000 .$35,000 : $160,000 $110;000 $237,000 : $1621000 ' ' Total $1,379,000_ $971 000 $1 924 000 $i;319►00 .' ;: :$+ 893;000 $i,298,000:i *Totals may not match due to rounding;benefits=without project damages-with project damages 55 " It should be noted that the magnitude of each plan will directly affect the benefits it provides. For example,the beach nourishment plan would provide more benefits if it provided more beach nourishment and further increases in beach width. Similarly,the acquisition plan would have additional benefits if more structures were acquired. However, increasing the.size of a plan also increases its costs and may therefore not increase the net benefits. The best plan will therefore depend on the costs as well as the benefits. The three combination plans(nourishment/acquisition,nourishment/bypassing&bypassing/acquisition) also provide high benefits. Beach nourishment in combination with sand bypassing or in combination with structure acquisition provides higher benefits than any of the non-combination plans. However,the additional benefits provided over the beach nourishment plan is small and may not be worth the expense of the additional measures. The sand combination sand bypassing and structure acquisition plan provides a level of benefits which is slightly lower than the beach nourishment plan($389,000 to$1,413,000(1998 price level)). This plan removes the most damage prone structures and provides reduction in erosion rates from sand bypassing thus providing both localized and widespread benefits. Although not having the highest benefits,this plan may be considered as an alternative to the beach nourishment plan. Recreation Benefits Recreation benefits are negligible compared to storm damage reduction benefits. Recreation benefits of $55,000 were estimated for the beach nourishment plan and benefits of$37,000 were estimated for the sand bypassing plan. While no recreation benefits were calculated for the combination sand bypassing and beach nourishment plan, a conservative estimate is that the combination plan would have at least as much recreation benefits as any of the other plans. The combination sand bypassing and beach nourishment plan's recreation benefit was therefore set to$55,000. No recreation benefits were calculated for the acquisition plan since it was not known prior to the analysis which structures would be acquired. Again, a conservative estimate is that the benefits of the combined beach nourishment and acquisition plan and the combined sand bypassing and acquisition plan benefits would be$55,000 and $37,000 respectively. Tax Consequences The benefits provided by reductions in loss of annual real property tax revenues are also small compared to reductions in storm damages. The maximum reduction in loss of tax revenues in the tenth year of all six plans under any of the 4 scenarios is$83,000 this is equivalent to a total present value of$289,000. With the acquisition plan under Scenario 1 (typical series of storms)there are actually losses due to tax revenues which would have been collected had properties not been acquired. Habitat Value Changes The projected erosion and storm damages under all alternatives considered would have a minimal impact on the habitat and the natural resources of the study area. Although precise estimates have not been calculated for the acre of loss of the three major types of habitat, it appears that net changes in habitat area and value will be minimal. This is due to a combination of the moderate erosion rates and the physical characteristics of the study area. Both the saltwater and freshwater wetland areas adjacent to the two Ponds would not be adversely affected over the next 10 years under any of the alternatives. Similarly,the beach area would remain approximately the same,even as it migrates inland, generating the current level of recreation benefits. It is possible that selectively placing sand on the recreational beaches in the Study 56 Area could enhance their attractiveness and their.value. Based on this discussion, it is assumed that there will be minimal, if any habitat benefits under the protection alternatives being considered by this Study. CONCLUSION The total benefits for each alternative are presented in Table 33. The storm damage reduction benefits are presented for the scenario of randomly simulated storms,the statistical technique which provides the mean expected value of these benefits. While each of the alternatives analyzed provides measurable benefits, in general,the majority of project benefits may be obtained through either acquiring the most damage prone structures in reach 6, or protecting structures using beach nourishment(or some other technique not discussed in this report such as bulkheads, sea walls or breakwaters). The majority of benefits are storm damage related consisting of reductions in storm erosion and wave impacts. The majority of damage remaining after implementation of the alternative plans is due to inundation during storm surge. The analysis of damage mechanisms indicated that the magnitude of future inundation damage may increase with the implementation of the sand bypassing or the beach nourishment plan. This is due to the fact that structures saved from erosion damage/collapse will continue to be flooded in the future. However,the increase in inundation damage is more than offset by the reductions in erosion and wave damages. The magnitude of recreation benefits is limited relative to the storm damage reduction. The result is consistent with the high degree of satisfaction with beach conditions,available beach space and the relatively low number of current users. Decisions regarding the selection and implementation of any alternative must consider technical design requirements, acceptability,costs and financial commitments. Continued development of technical requirements will also provide the data needed to refine the benefit analysis. Any further recommendation as to whether the plans necessary to achieve the estimated benefits are technically feasible, implementable or cost effective is beyond the scope of the current assessment and would require additional engineering analysis and assessment of environmental and economic impacts. 57 ble 33... Su!mtriar.of Benefits:for Alternatwe Plans T�tat Present Worth Cjver 10 Years 7%Discount Rate 5ce�nario 4 Results Shawn:far 5ttrm Dana a ReducYton Bene£irs 1. :>:>. .:..::..........�: �.. �..:. .. Comb�natton Beach COmb]riet101k Sand Cornbmat►Ow#Sand . Nour�stiment&Structure B assin & asstn &Beath ...:.:........ ... ,. YP g BY4 g t t e . Beach.:.. Sand S ruc..ur ::::::>:::::<>:.:;::>: :: cs t on Str stare c"iiis� on> o r shm n . >:>:.:A Clq:: .. : :.:... :...:::.:.:: u A q. �... :;: :.;;:;;;.N u r: h n :.;.. .: a sm Ac u sit�on:.. :: ... ... .. .. ................ . ou �s met s ..... ;.;..:.:.;.:....::::::::::.:..:. .:.:. Yl? . :..:. Benefit; Storm Damage Reduction $1,202,000 $295,000 823,000 1,319,000 971,000 $1,298,000 Increased Recreation Value $55,000 $37,000 N/A N/A N/A $55,000 Increased Tax Revenues $200,000 $50,000 $38,000 $289,000 $66,000 $216,000 Change in Habitat Value $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Total Benefits $1,457,000 1 $382,000 $861,000 $1,608,000 $1,037,000 $1,569,000 58 REFERENCES Aubrey Consulting,Inc.,Historical Shoreline Change Analysis: Western Town Line to Horton Point, Southold,New York,Draft Report dated September 1998 Bane, Gilbert W.,Anneka W. Bane and Steven Ellsworth. Literature Review of Wetland Fish and Wildlife Habitat Values in the United States 1970-83. Center for Wetland Resources,Louisiana State University for the Army Corps of Engineers,Waterways Experiment Station, September 1985. Batie, Sandra S. and Carl C. Mabbs-Zeno. "Opportunity Costs of Preserving Coastal Wetlands: A Case of Recreational Housing Development." Land Economics. 1985. Bell,F. "Application of Wetland Valuation Theory.to Florida Fisheries." SGR-95. Sea Grant Publicafim Florida State University. 1989. Bell, Frederick. "Recreational Benefits for the Atchafalaya River Basin." U.S. Department of the Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Washington,D.C. 1981. Dahl,Thomas E.Wetland Losses in the United States 1780's to 1980's. U.S.Department of the Interior,Fish & Wildlife Service. Washington,D.C. 13pp. 1990. Donneley,W.A.,"Hedonic Price Analysis of the Effect of a Floodplain on Property Values",Water Resources Bulletin. June 1989,25(3), 581-5863pp. 'Dwyer,John F., George L. Peterson and Alexander J.Darragh. "Estimating Value of Urban Forests Using the Travel Cost Method." Journal of Arboriculture.9(July). Pp. 182-185. 1983. Farber,Steven and Robert Costatnza. "The Economic Value of Wetland Systems." Journal of Environmental Mann eg_ment. 1987. Farber, Steven. "The Value of Coastal Wetlands for Protection of Property Against Hurricane Wind Damage." Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 1987 Federal Emergency Management Agency, Flood Insurance Study Suffolk County, New York (All Jurisdictions),May 5, 1998 Fisher,A.C.,M.Hanemann,J.Harte,A.Horne,G.Ellis and D.Von Hippel. "Economic Valuation of Aquatic Ecosystems." Final Report to the U.S.EPA. 1986 Gosselink, J.G., E.P. Odum, and R.E.Pope. "The Value of the Tidal Marsh." Report No. LSU-S6-74-03. Louisiana State University. 1974. Greeley-Polhemus,Group,Inc.,The. Draft Report=Cost Guidebook for Environmental Resources Planning Projects. July 1992. 59 Greeley-Polhemus, Group, Inc., The. Final Report_Business Plan for Non-Federal Sponsor Cost of the Delaware River Main Channel Deepening Project. December 1996. Greeley-Polhemus,Group,Inc.,The.Final Report:Assessment of Selected Delaware Estuary Economic and Natural Resource Values. January 1993. Greeley-Polhemus, Group,Inc.,The. Comparison of Economic,Environmental Trends and Policy: Inland Bays Delaware,Barneuat Bay,New Jersey,and Assawoman Bay Mgaland. 1983. Hay,Michael J. Hunting on Wetlands. U.S.Fish&Wildlife Service. Washington,D.C.Report 85-4. 1989 Hay,Michael J. Net Economic Recreation Values for Deer,Elk,and Waterfowl Hunting and Bass Fishing. U.S.Fish&Wildlife Service. Washington,D.C.Report 85-1. 1988. Hay, Michael J. Net Economic Values of Nonconsumptive Wildlife-Related Recreation. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service. Washington,D.C.Report 85-2. 1988. Institute for Water Resources,US Army Corps of Engineers,Prcedural Guidelines for Estimating Residential and Business Structure Value for Use in Flood Damage Estimations,April 1995. Lent, Linda and Eric Van de Verg, "Measuring the Price Effects of Shoreline Erosion on Chesapeake Bay Area Properties Using the Hedonic Price Approach," for Institute for Water Resources and the Baltimore District,U.S.Army Corps of Engineers, 1991. Loomis, John B. "The Value of Viewing Deer in California." Draft, Division of Environmental Studies, University of California,Davis. 1988. Lunne, G.D.,P. Conroy and F. Pochasta. 'Economic Valuation of Marsh Areas to Marine Production Processes." Journal of Environmental Economics and Mana eg ment. 1981 Miller,John R. "The Value of Fish and Wildllife-Associated Recreation Days in the Mississippi Bottomland Hardwoods Area." University of Utah,prepared for the U.S.Fish and Wildlife Service,Div.Program Plans, Washington,D.C. 23pp. Miller,John R.and Michael J.Hay. 'Estimating Substate Values of Fishing and Hunting." Transactions of the North American Wildlife and Natural Resources Conference. 1984 Mitsch,W.J. and J.G. Gosselink. Wetlands. Van Nostrand Reinhold Co.New York,NY. 1986 Nechamen,William,New York State Department of Environmental Conservation,telephone conversation of 11/23/98. "New Jersey Wildlife and Furbearer Research-Harvest,Recreational and Economic Surveys." New Jersey Division of Fish, Game and Wildlife. 1991. NOAA,National Geodetic Survey,VERTCON version 2.0 program, Silver Spring,MD September 1994 60 NOAA Tide Tables 1997 High and Low Water Predictions East Coast of North and South America Including (' Greenland,International Marine(a division of McGraw-Hill Book Co),,1997 Ocean&Coastal Consultants,Environmental Inventory,Riverhead Town Line to Horton Point, September 1, 1998 Offshore&Coastal Technologies—East Coast,Shoreline Monitoring,Southold Town Line to Horton Point, May 21, 1998 Palisade Corp, @RISK version 3.1 add-in for Lotus 1-2-3,Newfield,NY RS Means Company, Square Foot Costs,Kingston,MA 1997 Scodari,Paul. Wetlands Protection: The Role of Economics. Environmental Law Institute. Washington, D.C. 1990. Shabman, Leonard and Michael K. Bertelson. "The Use of Development Value Estimates for Coastal Wetland Permit Decisions." Land Economics. 1979. Sokolic, William H. "A Struggle to Turn Tide on Erosion." The Philadelphia In uirer. March 1, 1992. Stoll,John,John Bergstrom and John Titre. "Regional Valuation Models for Wetland Recreation Benefits." Western Regional Research Publication W-133. Benefits and Costs in Natural Resource Planning. Interim Report II. K.Boyle and T.Hiekin,eds. 1989. Talhelm,D.R. "Recommended Values for Computing Fair Restitution to the Citizens of Minnesota for Fish and Wildlife Illegally Killed,Injured,or Possessed." Produced for the Ecological Services Division, Minnesota Department of Natural Resources. 1990. Thibodeau,F.R. and B.D. Ostro. "An Economic Analysis of Wetland Protection." Journal of 'Environmental Mann e�ment. 1981. Tiner, Ralph W., Jr. Mid-Atlantic Wetlands: A Disappearing Natural Treasure. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, Region 5, Newton Corner, MA and Environmental Protection Agency, Region 3, Philadelphia, PA. Cooperative Publication. 28pp. 1987. Tiner, Ralph W., Jr. and J.T. Finn. Status and Recent Trends of Wetlands in Five Mid-Atlantic States: Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Vir inia and West Virginia. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, Region 5,Newton Corner,MA and Environmental Protection Agency,Region 3,Philadelphia,PA. Cooperative Publications. 40pp. 1986. Tiner,Ralph W.,Jr. Wetlands of Delaware. U.S.Fish and Wildlife Service,National Wetlands Inventory, Newton Corner,Massachusetts and Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control,Wetlands Section. Dover,Delaware. Cooperative Publication. 77pp. 1985. Tiner,Ralph W.,Jr. Wetlands of New Jersey. U.S.Fish and Wildlife Service,National Wetlands Inventory, 61 Cr _ Newton Corner,Massachusetts. 117 pp. 1985. Tiner,Ralph W., Jr. "Wetlands of the Delaware River Basin," in Ecolo-- and Restoration of the Delaware River Basin.Pennsylvania Academy of Science. Easton,PA. 1988. Town of Southold,New York,Draft Local Waterfront Revitalization Program Report(in preparation) Town of Southold,New York and New York State Department of State Division of Coastal Resources and Waterfront Revitalization, Summary Report of the Workshop Examining Erosion of the Baymouth Barrier Bar Between Duck Pond Point_ and Horton Point, Part 1: Summary Report, Part II: Appendices and Part III: Background Information Report and Addenda to Background Information and Workshop Handouts, September 30, 1996 US Army Corps of Engineers New England District, Reconnaissance Report on Tidal Flood Management West Central,CT,Water Resources Study,Long Island Sound, June 1988 Walsh, Richard G., D.M. Johnson and J.R. McKean. Review of Outdoor Recreation Economic Demand Studies with Nonmarket Benefit Estimates, 1968-1988. Colorado Water Resources Research Institute. Fort Collins, Colorado. 1988. Whitman, W.R. "Waterfowl and Wetland Management in the Delaware River Basin," in Ecology and Restoration of the Delaware River Basin.Pennsylvania Academy of Science.Easton,PA. 1988. d 62 r Iy, Appendix A List of Property Owners in Study Area Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 050 01 01000 BAUMAN STEVEN&BONNIE 1065 HYATT ROAD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $3,200 $11,400 $8,200 05001 03000 CASITY HARRY G& 80 COVE DRIVE PLANDOME HEIGHTS NY 11030 $3,000 $5,000 $2,000 05001 04000 TOEDTER VIRGINIA M 1675 YORK AVE APT 27B NEW YORK NY 10128 $3,200 $8,900 $5,700 05001 05000 MANDEL WILLIAM L GPO BOX 395 NEW YORK NY 10116 $3,000 $3,000 $0 050 01 06000 WURTZ WILLIAM E&WF HORTONS PT BOX 122 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $4,600 $12,100 $8,100 05001 07000 CARNEVALE VITO A& 15 KEITH COURT CENTERPORT NY 11721 $3,200 $8,900 $5,700 050 01 08000 MULLADY JOHN F& 1400 HYATT ROAD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $3,400 $9,800 $6,400 050 01 09000 LINDERMAYER OTTO&WF SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $3,400 $9,200 $5,800 05001 10000 KEMENY MARY MARGARET 36 PERRY STREET NEW YORK NY 11771 $6,100 $14,300 $8,200 05001 11000 SOUTHOLD PARK DIST PO BOX 959 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $4,000 $11,300 $7,300 05001 20000 LESTER WILLARD J& 55 PORTION RD PO BOX 307 RONKONKOMA NY 11770 $3,200 $9,600 $6,400 05001 21000 LOWELL JEANNE C PO BOX 162 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,400 $9,200 $6,800 054 01 01000 NARMA REIN&WF PO BOX A RANDOLPH VT 05060 $3,200 $12,200 $9,000 054 01 02000 BROWN RUTH 563 BROOKSIDE DR TOMS RIVER NJ 08753 $1,900 $1,900 $0 054 01 03000 BROWN RUTH ANN& APT 201 200 INTRACOASTAL PL TEQUESTA FL 33469 $1,400 $1,400 $0 05401 04006 WOCKENFUSS JANET AS 7240 DEER POINT LANE WEST PALM BEACH FL 33411 $1,900 $1,900 $0 05401 16000 MILLER WALTER R&ORS 37 DUNLOP ROAD HUNTINGTON NY 11743 $7,500 $14,400 $6,900 05401 17000 REEVE RONALD D&WF 400 CHEROKEE ROAD CHARLOTTE NC 2B207 $1,500 $4,000 $2,500 05401 18000 NEAFSEY THOMAS J JR& 14 BUDENOS DRIVE SAYVILLE NY 11782 $700 $2,400 $1,700 05401 19000 MANFREDI RICHARD&WF A M DIRECT MAIL 350 HUDSON STREET NEW YORK NY 10014 $500 $2,900 $2,400 054 01 20000 WHITE MARIE 88-05 171ST ST JAMAICA NY 11432 $600 $2,500 $1,900 054 01 21000 REEVE RONALD D 400 CHEROKEE ROAD CHARLOTTE NC 28207 $500 $500 $0 054 01 22002 SUNSET KNOLLS ASSOC 400 CHEROKEE ROAD CHARLOTTE NC 28207 $4,300 $4,300 $0 05401 23000 DENN DANIEL& 23-01 150TH STREET WHITESTONE NY 11357 $700 $2,900 $2,200 05401 28000 DONAHUE FRANCIS C&WF 7750 HORTONS LA SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $800 $6,000 $5,200 05401 29000 MANFREDI RICHARD&WF 350 HUDSON ST AM DIRECT MAIL CO NEW YORK NY 10014 $900 $3,100 $2,200 054 04 01000 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD 53095 MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $10,200 $10,600 $400 054 04 02000 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD 53095 MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $3,600 $3,600 $0 054 04 03000 TSOURIS NICK 25 MAYMONT LANE STONY BROOK NY 11790 $1,800 $4,300 $2,500 054 04 04000 PASKOFF ELLIOT&WF 205 NORTH SEA DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,200 $5,000 $2,800 054 04 05000 SONNENBORN MONROE R& APT 14F 79 WEST 12TH ST NEW YORK NY 10011 $2,200 $6,500 $4,300 054 04 06000 ROSICKI THOMAS&CYNTHIA 1 OLD COUNTRY RD#495 CARLE PLACE NY 11514 $2,200 $6,300 $4,100 054 04 07000 JAZWA JOHN J&WF 525 NORTH SEA DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,200 $7,600 $5,400 054 04 08000 DIBBLE JOHN E&WF N BAY AVE PO BOX 187 EASTPORT NY 11941 $2,200 $5,400 $3,200 054 04 09000 TEAS OTTO&MARIE 8806 BAY PKWY BR06KLYN NY 11214 $2,000 $6,600 $4,600 054 04 10000 LAIR CLAUDE R&PATRICIA M 23 RUE CLAUDE MONET RESIDENC DES TROIS FROETS 78380 BOUGIVAL FRANCE $2,000 $3,700 $1,700 054 04 11000 AHMADZADEH MOHAMMAD& 105 HUDSON ST APT 9S NEW YORK NY 10013 $2,000 $6,900 $4,900 054 04 12000 CUFF WILLIAM A& 146 NW 100TH TERRACE CORAL SPRINGS FL 33071 $2,000 $6,300 $4,300 054 04 13000 VACCARO JOSEPH JOHN AS APT 4A 2851 SOUTH OCEAN BLVD BOCA RATON FL 33432 $2,000 $5,800 $3,800 054 04 14000 HANDLER ISIDORE&ANN SUITE 330 4 INTERNATIONAL DR RYE BROOK NY 10573 $2,000 $6,800 $4,800 054 04 15003 VALI STEPHEN A& PO BOX 245 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,000 $10,300 $8,300 054 04 16000 STOLL CORA GLOVER 11645 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,800 $1,800 $0 054 04 170D0 WALDSHAN STANLEY 271-33D GRAND CEN PKWY FLORAL PARK NY 11005 $2,000 $6,200 $4,200 054 04 18000 W&G ASSOCIATES C/O THE HOT SOX CO INC 1 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA NEW YORK NY 10020 $2,000 $7,300 $5,300 054 04 19000 STOLLMEYER ALEX M 46 MEADOW LAKE 12 L HIGHTSTOWN NJ 08520 $1,800 $1,800 $0 054 04 20000 MAY JOHN M&ORS 2080 TOWN HARBOR LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $3,600 $3,600 $0 054 04 21000 MASTRO LOUIS J 1205 WATERSIDE LANE VENICE FL 34292 $2,000 $5,700 $3,700 054 04 22000 VERNI MICHAEL P&ANNA 435-B GUY LOMBARDO AVE FREEPORT NY 11520 $2,000 $6,800 $4,800 054 04 23000 PEARLSTEIN LAWRENCE N& 2225 NORTH SEA DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,000 $4,000 $2,000 054 04 24000 FAND MARY H AS TRUSTEE CARLTON ARMS 7350-B PURSLEY DRIVE NEW PORT RICHEY FL 34653 $2,200 $4,900 $2,700 054 04 26001 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD 53095 MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $6,600 $7,400 $800 054 04 29000 KELLEY THOMAS&CIPULLO VICTOR R&BRAUTIGAN STEVEN 84 SUNSET AVE: FARMINGDALE NY 11735 $2,500 $7,300 $4,800 Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 054 04 30000 FISCHER EUGENE L TRUSTEE 391 MUTTONTOWN ROAD SYOSSET NY 11791 $600 $2,500 $1,900 054 04 30000 MURPHY JAMES J&MARGARET HORTONS LA PO BOX 374 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $500 $500 $0 054 04 31000 DEROSA FABRIZIO ROSSERO 443 LENOX RD HUNTINGTON STA NY 11746 $1,200 $6,300 $5,100 054 04 32000 KARBINER EWALD& 39 EDGEWOOD DRIVE NEW HYDE PARK NY 11040 $700 $700 $0 054 04 33000 KARBINER EWALD M&ANO 39 EDGEWOOD DR NEW HYDE PARK NY 11040 $3,700 $10,200 $6,500 054 04 36000 VARVITSIOTES ORESTES G& 25 IRVINGTON PLACE BROOKLYN NY 11230 $1,000 $4,500 $3,500 054 04 37000 KATRAMADOS JOHN& 46-34 IRIS LANE GREAT NECK NY 11020 $1,000 $5,100 $4,100 054 05 01000 VAZQUEZ DONALD J&JEAN C 46 ROUND ABOUT RD SMITHTOWN NY 11787 $900 $900 $0 054 05 02000 CHIHLAS JOHN 2250 NORTH SEA DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $800 $3,600 $2,800 054 05 08000 BOYLE THOMAS P&WF 4210 NE 27 AVENUE LIGHTHOUSE POINT FL 33064 $800 $800 $0 054 05 09003 GEORGIOPOULOS CONSTANTINE 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $900 $7,700 $6,800 054 05 10000 DEWS JOSEPH W&WF 13032 SE COG HILL COURT HOBE SOUND FL 33455 $900 $2,300 $1,400 054 05 11000 ROSS MARTIN J&WF 177 PRINCETON ROAD ROCKVILLE'CENTRE NY 11570 $900 $3,400 $2,500 054 05 12000 KLEEHAS JOHN T&FLORA 48-57 186TH ST FLUSHING NY 11365 $1,400 $5,700 $4,300 054 05 13000 FISCHETTI VINCENT A& 448 JOAN COURT WEST HEMPSTEAD NY 11552 $1,400 $5,400 $4,000 054 05 14000 RYZUK THOMAS J& 23 NANTUCKET WAY MOUNT SINAI NY 11766 $1,000 $3,800 $2,800 054 05 15000 TENEDIOS STEVE&OLGA 58 SNYDER ROAD ENGEEWOOD CLIFFS NJ 07632 $1,000 $5,500 $4,500 054 05 16000 NORTH SEA ASSOCIATES PO BOX 312 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,000 $5,100 $4,100 054 05 17000 DEMOS TRACY C&HELEN 10 04 149 TH ST WHITESTONE NY 11357 $1,000 $3,800 $2,800 054 05 18000 SOLOMON MARILYN L 11 CHELSEA DR SYOSSET NY 11791 $1,000 $4,200 $3,200 054 05 19000 MALONE CHARLES H&ANNA 1671 STEVENS AVE NORTH MERRICK NY 11566 $600 $2,600 $2,000 054 05 20000 KIRINCIC JOHN&WF 31-38 28TH RD ASTORIA NY 11102 $600 $2,500 $1,900 054 05 21000 GLOVER R GRAHAM&WF 1580 COUNTRY CLUB DR CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $600 $600 $0 054 05 22000 CLIFF&PHIUS LOBSTER KENNYS RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,600 J6,300 $4,700 054 05 23000 NORTHEAST OVERSEAS 3365 KENNYS RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $600 $600 $0 054 05 24000 PANDELOGLOU ROY 3365 KENNYS RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $700 $4,300 $3,600 054 05 25000 HULSE WALTER 145 DOGWOOD LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $7,500 $6,600 054 05 26000 DICANDIA FRANK G& PO BOX 613 LAUREL NY 11948 $600 $3,100 $2,500 054 05 28001 KELEMPELIDIS ELAINE& 395 DOGWOOD LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $6,400 $5,500 054 05 29001 RAVE SANDRA P& PO BOX 1606 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $300 $300 $0 054 05 31000 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD 53095 MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $100 $100 $0 054 05 32000 TERZIS COSTAS&HAROULA 15 WEST 55TH ST NEW YORK NY 10019 $600 $4,700 $4,100 054 05 33000 TSCHIRHART WINNIE DOGWOOD LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $300 $2,400 $2,100 054 05 35001 HERZOG LAWRENCE F& 99 ELM STREET HUNTINGTON NY 11743 $900 $3,000 $2,100 054 05 37001 SMITH THOMAS J&ORS C/O VIRGINIA B SMITH 1518 CHRISTOPHER LA LIBERTY SC 29657 $1,500 $1,500 $0 054 05 37002 BARBARGIANNIS GEORGE&WF 42 MADISON AVE ROCHELLE PARK NJ 07662 $1,500 $1,500 $0 054 05 37003 TEATOM JAMES&BARBARA 302 BAYVIEW AVE MASSAPEQUA NY 11758 $1,500 $1,500 $0 054 05 38000 CARNAGIE VINCENT F&WF 11085 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971, $1,000 $5,800 $4,800 054 05 39000 THIRLBY EDWIN L&.WF 629 EAST 6TH ST NEW YORK NY 10009 $1,200 $4,700 $3,500 054 05 40000 WITTENBERG JOHN W&WF APT 15R 382 CENTRAL PK WEST NEW YORK NY 10025 $1,000 $4,700 $3,700 054 05 41000 STOLL CORA GLOVER 11645 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,400 $1,400 $0 054 05 42001 STOLL CORA 11645 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,600 $9,500 $6,900 054 05 43001 SCHEUERMANN CARL&WF 31 SEAWARD LA STONY BROOK NY 11790 $2,700 . $3,800 $1,100 054 05 45004 CAPELLUTO MARY 90 GENESE DR COMMACK NY 11725 $1,400 $1,400 $0 054 05 45005 CAPELLUTO JOHN 90 GENESE DR COMMACK NY 11725 $1,600 $2,900 $1,300 054 05 45008 STOLLMEYER ALEXANDER& 46 MEADOW LAKES-12 L HIGHTSTOWN NJ 08520 $1,800 $1,800 $0 054 05 45009 STOLLMEYER ALEXANDER& 46 MEADOW LAKES -12 L HIGHTSTOWN NJ 08520 $2,100 $8,800 $6,700 054 05 46001 MANOS WILLIAM&WF 40-20 221ST STREET BAYSIDE NY' 11361 $1,600 $1,600 $0 054 05 46002 MOUSIADES CHRISTOS WF 7-11 PARSONS BLVD MALBA NY 11351 $1,700 $9,200 $7,500 054 05 46003 MOUSIADES JOHN&WF 144-54 28TH AVE FLUSHING NY 11354 $1,800 $10,000 $8,200 054 05 47000 BOOTH ANTONIA S PO BOX 1144 S06THOLD NY 11971 $2,200 $9,800 $7,600 054 05 48002 WEEDEN JAMES D&WF 1175 BRIDGE LANE CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $600 $1,500 $900 i I Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 054 05 49001 MURPHY JAMES J 3617 JOHN ST WANTAGH NY 11793 $200 $200 $0 054 05 49003 DEFRI EST DAVID I MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $700 $2,900 $2,200 054 05 50000 VACCARO RALPH&DOLORES 270 NORTH SEA DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $800 $7,100 $6,300 054 05 51000 ACQUAVIVA DEBRA B 76 JUNIPER ST ISLIP NY 11751 $700 $5,600 $4,900 054 05 52000 CURLEY MARTIN&VIRGINIA 31-38 28TH ROAD ASTORIA NY 11102 $500 $500 $0 054 05 53000 STYLIANOU LOUIS& 59 OMAHA STREET DUMONT NJ 07628 $1,900 $7,800 $5,900 054 05 54000 STYLIANOU LOUIS& 59 OMAHA ST DUMONT NJ 07628 $600 $600 $0 054 05 55000 RAVE SANDRA P&AND COREY CREEK LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $300 $300 $0 054 05 56001 ROZAKIS THOMAS A&WF 67-43 COOPER AVENUE GLENDALE NY 11385 $600 $2,400 $1,800 054 08 01000 REGAN DANIEL P&WF 1860 N BAYVIEW RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $700 $3,400 $2,700 054 08 02000 SEIFERT ALICE 360 DOGWOOD LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $800 $3,500 $2,700 054 08 03000 CANEJA SUSAN&AND 3900 GRAYSTONE AVE RIVERDALE NY 10471 $500 $3,200 $2,700 054 08 04000 DIPLAROS MARIN 5023 MORENCI LANE LITTLE NECK NY 11363 $700 $2,500 $1,800 058 01 01000 BITTNER MADELINE PO BOX 269 PECONIC NY 11958 $13,300 $13,300 $0 058 01 02002 GRAY TIMOTHY S&SUSAN C SOUNDVIEW AVE PO BOX 412 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $5,800 $5,800 $0 05801 03000 BLOWER PAUL&WF C/O GEORGE STRAEHLE 114 NEPTUNE AVE NEW ROCHELLE NY 10805 $6,000 $19.700 $13,700 058 02 01000 ORR ALEXANDER JR&WF 44 WYATT RD GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $1,800 $1,900 $100 058 02 02000 ROMANO ALFONSO&ANTONIA 32-37 212TH ST BAYSIDE NY 11361 $1,000 $3,300 $2,300 058 02 03000 STANTON DONALD J 7 WHITNEY CT SMITHTOWN NY 11787 $1,000 $3,700 $2,700 058 02 64000 KLEISS FLORENCE 263 SUNDOWN DRIVE BETHPAGE NY 11714 $1,700 $4,000 $2,300 058 02 05000 GEITZ-SUSAN 20 DOGWOOD DRIVE SCARSDALE NY 10583 $1,700 $6,400 $4,700 058 02 06000 PAWLIK M R 89 PENINSULA BLVD HEMPSTEAD NY 11550 $1,100 $2,700 $1,600 058 02 07000 LUYSTER CHARLES A&ORS C/O CHARLES A LYSTER 11 AUSTIN LANE HUNTINGTON NY 11743 $3,300 $6,000 $2,700 058 02 08000 NORMANDIA VIRGINIA 77 ONTARIO ROAD BELLEROSE NY 11011 $000 $3,400 $2,500 058 02 09000 PAUL CAROLINE A& 88 HURON ROAD BELLROSE VILLAGE NY 11001 $900 $3,400 $2,500 058 02 10000 STEELE WILLIAM'R&MARY T 1895 LEETON DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $3.800 $2,900 058 02 11000 DIACK MILDRED ANN C/O MILDRED DEROSA 46 WEST 13TH ST HUNTINGTON STA NY 11746 $1,700 $3,600 $1,900 058 02 12000 CORTEZ JOSEPH J& PO BOX 152 MOUNT SINAI NY 11766 $1,100 $3,400 $2.300 058 02 13000 ANELLO NATHAN&ROBERT 3 FIORE COURT ST JAMES NY 11780 $1,100 $5,800 $4,700 058 02 15002 KALIMNIOS JOHN& 1 MELTON DRIVE WEST ROCKVILLE CENTRE NY 11570 $1,700 $4,700 $3,000 058 02 16000 SCHROEDER FAMILY TRUST C/O ERNEST H SCHROEDER 6941 DENMARK$T ENGLEWOOD FL 34224 $800 $6,100 $5,300 058 02 20001 GRASECK CARL J&WF 2150 LEETON DR PO BOX',1485 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,700 $5,000 $3,300 05901 01000 MOLLOY JAMES T&WF 101 SECOND STREET GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $2,000 $5,700 $3,700 059 01 03001 SEDITA SERGIO&WF 7 RAWLINGS DR MELVILLE NY 11747 $4,000 $10,000 $6,000 059 01 04000 DELYNN JANE 395 BROADWAY APT 7E NEW YORK NY 10013 $1,000 $3,000 $2,000 059 01 05000 MANFREDONIA MICHAEL& 212-23 35TH AVE BAYSIDE NY 11360 $1,600 $6,700 $5,100 059 01 06000 FATIMI ZAFAR UH&WF 53 SOUTH HOWELLS PT RD BELLPORT NY 11713 $3,700 $11,900 $8,200 059 01 07000 BOYLE THOMAS P&WF 4210 N E 27TH AVE LIGHTHOUSE POINT FL 33064 $1,800 $1,800 $0 059 01 08000 DIBARTOL JOSEPH D& 75-35 W SHORE ROAD PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050 $900 $4,200 $3,300 05901 09000 DOYLE CHARLES F PO BOX 338 MANORVILLE NY 11949 $900 $3,200 $2,300 05901 10000 STAVRINIDES DEMETRAKIS& 21-39 43RD STREET ASTORIA NY 11105 $900 $5,200 $4,300 059 01 11000 QUINN ANITA 249 HICKOK RD NEW CANAAN CT 06840 $900 $4,500 $3,600 05901 12000 GALLIMORE BARBARA PO BOX 1019 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $3,200 $2,300 05901 13000 CONIS WILLIAM&ORS 179 CHESTNUT RD MANHASSET NY 11030 $900 $7,100 $6,200 05901 14000 MITROFANIS CHRIS 178-10 80TH DR JAMAICA ESTATES NY 11432 $900 $6,500 $5,600 05901 15000 ROGERS FRANK J&WF LEETON DR SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $5,300 $4,400 05901 16000 MCCAVERA GERALD M 130 MANSION DR UPPER PROVIDENCE MEDIA PA 19063 $900 $5,100 $4,200 05901 17000 SMITH THOMAS&ORS C/O VIRGINIA B SMITH 1518 CHRISTOPHER LA LIBERTY SC 29657 $900 $3,900 $3,000 05901 18000 GEORGIO JOHN 228-05 HOXIE DR BAYSIDE NY 11364 $800 $800 $0 059 01 20001 HARPER ESTELLA A 25 RIVERSEDGE IVORYTON CT 06442 $1,000 $1,000 $0 059 01 21001 GEORGIOPOULOS JOHN C PO BOX 931 WEST DOVER VT 05356 $1,000 $1,000 $0 059 01 21002 GEORGIOPOULOS MARIA H 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $1,000 $1,000 $0 Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 059 01 21003 GEORGIOPOULOS CONSTANTINE 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $1,000 $1,000 $0 05901 21004 GEORGIOPOULOS CONSTANTINE 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $1,000 $1.000 $0 05901 21005 SUFFOLK COUNTY 330 CENTER DRIVE RIVERHEAD NY 11901 $1,000 $1,000 $0 05901 21006 GEORGIOPOULOS CONSTANTINE 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $1,000 $1,000 $0 05901 21007 GEORGIOPOULOS CONSTANTINE 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $1,000 $1,000 $0 05901 21008 GEORGIOPOULOS CONSTANTINE 156 READ AVE CRESTWOOD NY 10707 $1,100 $1,100 $0 05901 22000 GENOVESE JAMES& 620 LAKE DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $800 $5,800 $5,000 05901 23001 KASSIMATIS JOHN V 46 MULBERRY AVE GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $1,000 $5,000 $4,000 05901 23002 SPINELLI CAROL 103 PARKWAY DRIVE ROSLYN HEIGHTS NY 11577 $700 $700 $0 05901 24000 MARINOS ATHANASIOS&WF 3627 GREYSTONE AVE RIVERDALE NY 10463 $900 $5,500 $4,600 05901 25000 SEAMAN THOMAS&ORS APT 17 B 500 E 85TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10028 $500 $500 $0 059 02 01000 LEKAS JOHN&WF 31-42 42ND ST LONG ISLAND CITY NY 11103 $700 $6,400 $5,700 059 02 02000 BEEHLER GLORIA 80 DOGWOOD LA SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $500 $4,300 $3,800 059 02 03000 LEE RICHARD 154 HUDSON TERRACE PIERMONT NY 10968 $700 $4,300 $3,600 059 02 04000 MCCASLIN WILLIAM H&ORS 121 WYANDANCH AVE BABYLON NY 11702 $600 $4,000 $3,400 059 05 01001 SUFFOLK COUNTY 330 CENTER DRIVE RIVERHEAD NY 11901 $35,500 $58,500 $23,000 059 05 02001 MANOS STELLA 2147 LAKE DRIVE PO BOX 1543 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $900 $0 059 05 02002 MANOS JAMES&WF 2147 LAKE DRIVE PO BOX 1543 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,000 $6,600 $5,600 059 05 03000 OXEE JOHN LAKE DRIVE PO BOX 244 PECONIC NY 11958 $1,300 $4,800 $3,500 059 05 04000 ZIMMER PRISCILLA 2045 LAKE DRIVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,200 $6,400 $5,200 059 05 05000 JACOBSON SELMA APT-LA 245-30 GRAND CRENTRAL PKY BELLROSE NY 11426 $1,300 $6,700 $5,400 059 05 06000 WILD CHARLES W&WF PO BOX 1572 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $700 $3,600 $2,900 059 05 07000 BAMBRICK GEORGE J PO BOX 360 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $700 $2,600 $1,900 059 05 08000 BAMBRICK BRIAN&BRENDA 48 WASHBURN PL CALDWELL NJ 07006 $800 $4,300 $3,500 059 05 09000 MANOLAKOS THEODORE 1595 LAKE DRIVE PO BOX 1454 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,100 $3,200 $2,100 059 05 10000 MCNALLY RICHARD E& 32-13 153 STREETST FLUSHING NY 11354 $1,100 $3,900 $2,800 059 05 11000 DWYER PAULINE L 3961 TAFT AVE SEAFORD NY 11783 $1.100 $4,000 $2,900 059 05 12000 ROZENBAUM SERGE&SUSAN 76-42 175TH ST FLUSHING NY 11366 $800 $7,100 $6,300 059 05 14001 SILBERSTEIN JEROME D&WF 1205 LAKE DRIVE PO BOX 788 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,500 $12,500 $11,000 059 05 15000 AGNESINI AMY S 15 ADDISON PLACE APT B VALLEY STREAM NY 11580 $900 $6,400 $5,500 059 05 16000 WORHLE MARIE 955 LAKE DR SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $5,200 $4,300 059 05 17000 ORR ALEXANDER JR&WF 44 WYATT RD GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $500 $500 $0 059 05 18000 ORR ALEXANDER JR&WF 44 WYATT RD GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $1,100 $3,500 $2,400 059 05 19000 RICHTER KENNETH E&WF 354 TERRACE AVE GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $1,000 $4,400 $3,400 059 05 20000 LEHNER JOHN BERNHARD& 44 PINE TRACK SILVER SPRINGS SHORES OCALA FL' 34472 $800 $3,000 $2,200 059 05 21000 FAUGHT LYNN 102 LUDLOW CT CARY NC 27513 $900 $5,200 $4.300 059 05 22000 CRUISE GERALD,V& 30 BARSTOW RD APT 1F GREAT NECK NY 11021 $900 $3,900 $3,000 059 05 23000 LAWTHER ELIZABETH O 36 RIVERVIEW COURT OAKDALE NY 11769 $700 $700 $0 059 05 24000 DISANTO MARIO 1919 W 8TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11223 $900 $5,200 $4,300 059 05 26000 DISANTO MARIO 1919 W 8TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11223 $300 $300 $0 059 05 27000 MANOS JAMES 2147 LAKE DRIVE PO BOX 1543 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $600 $600 $0 059 05 29002 SCHWARTZ DANIEL L& ROMEBLACK 490 4TH STREET BROOKLYN NY 11215 $800 $5.100 $4.300 059 05 29003 CONNORS CHRISTOPHER&AND 5 VIKING ROAD GLENWOOD LANDING NY 11547 $800 $6.000 $5,200 059 05 31000 SUFFOLK COUNTY 330 CENTER DRIVE RIVERHEAD NY 11901 $1,200 $1.200 $0 059 06 01000 MEYER RUSSELL W& 6815 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,000 $6,700 $5,700 059 06 02000 OLIVER HARRY S JR&WF 7005 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,800 $8,600 $6,800 059 06 03000 GRASSO JOSEPH&WF 1726 MEADOW LANE EAST MEADOW NY 11554 $1,000 $7.900 $6,960 059 06 05001 SANSEVERE RICHARD V APT 8B 36 SUTTON PLACE SOUTH NEW YORK NY 10022 $1,100 $5,200 $4,100 059 06 05002 SMITH CATHERINE 6944 GRANDE VISTA WAY S S PASADENA FL 33707 $1,100 $6,400 $5,300 059 06 06000 BERNSTEIN RUDOLF&WF 128 BELLMORE ST FLORAL PARK NY 11001 $900 $8,300 $7,400 059 06 07000 BERNSTEIN EDITH INGE 128 BELLMORE ST FLORAL PARK NY 11001 $400 $400 $0 059 06 08000 BELLOMO ELLEN 25 JOYCE ROAD PLAINVIEW NY 11803 $600 $4,900 $4,300 i Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 059 06 09000 RANIERI ALICE&LOUIS 163 SO 8TH ST LINDENHURST NY 11757 $500 $500 $0 059 06 10000 BERNSTEIN RUDOLPH 128 BELLMORE ST FLORAL PARK NY 11001 $600 $600 $0 059 06 11000 BERTSTEIN RUDOLF 128 BELLMORE ST FLORAL PARK NY 11001 $600 $600 $0 059 06 12000 MARTIN THOMAS M&WF PO BOX 637 NEW SUFFOLK NY 11956 $500 $500 $0 059 06 13000 MARTIN ALFRED R&ANNE 20 UTICA WALK BREEZY POINT NY 11697 $500 $500 $0 059 06 14000 RANIERI LOUIS G&WF 163 SO 8TH ST LINDENHURST NY 11757 $500 $2,700 $2,200 059 06 15000 CALDON WALTER PO BOX 442 PECONIC NY 11958 $2,700 $6,100 $3,400 059 06 16000 SCHNEIDER JON& 71 CRANBERRY STREET BROOKLYN NY 11201 $1,000 $6,600 $5,600 059 06 17000 GRAY HEIDE 1270 VILLAGE LANE ORIENT NY 11957 $800 $800 $0 059 06 18001 CURRIE LAWRENCE W 100 DALY BLVD #3416 OCEANSIDE NY 11572 $900 $4,000 $3,100 059 06 19001 CURRIE ALICE D 100 DALY BLVD #3416 OCEANSIDE NY 11572 $600 $2,100 $1,500 059 06 19002 CURRIE LAWRENCE W JR 11 WARREN AVE OAKLAND CA 94611 $1,800 $1,800 $0 059 06 20000 CHARNEWS JOHN MAIN ST PO BOX 255 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,200 $1,200 $0 059 06 21000 PENNY GEORGE L IV SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,700 $13,300 $10,600 059 06 22000 SCHRIEFER ELEANOR 9425 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $900 $5,500 $4,600 059 06 23000 SCHRIEFER ELEANOR SOUND VIEW AVE S06THOLD NY 11971 $1,200 $3,500 $2,300 059 06 24000 D'ANTONIO ARVA 277 RIVER ROAD SAINT JAMES NY 11780 $700 $6,600 $5,900 059 06 25000 MAIDEL EDWARD&JACQUELINE R 1587 DRY CREEK RD LITTLETON CO 80120 $1,000 $3,700 $2,700 059 06 26000 D'ANTONIO ARVA M 277 RIVER ROAD SAINT JAMES NY 11780 $1,000 $4,500 $3,500 059 06 27001 CHARNEWS JOHN MAIN RD PO BOX 255 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $300 $300 $0 059 06 27002 CHARNEWS CLEMENT J MIDDLE RD#48 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $600 $600 $0 059 09 26006 JOYCE JENNIE&ORS HOPE LA SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,700 $8,700 $7,000 059 09 26008 GOLZ ARNOLD R PO BOX 1513 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,700 $7,500 $5,800 059 09 26010 TRUGLIO ANGELO&WF 385 HOPE LANE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,700 $8,500 $6,800 06701 01000 MALONE NORAH K&ORS PO BOX 142 ISLIP NY 11751 $400 $1,600 $1,200 06701 02000 MALONE NORAH K&ORS PO BOX 142 ISLIP NY 11751 $1,500 $3,400 $1,900 06701 03000 UHL JOHN W JR&ORS 500 SOUND AVE PO BOX 246 PECONIC NY 11958 $1,300 $3,200 $1,900 067 01 04000 GEORGIO ANGELO&WF 228-05 HOXIE DR BAYSIDE NY 11364 $1,300 $5,000 $3,700 06701 05000 LYNAM JAMES J 380 SOUND AVE PO BOX 265 PECONIC NY 11958 $1,300 $5,000 $3,700 067 01 06000 SMYTH SUSAN E&ORS 57 MCGREGOR AVE MT ARLINGTON NJ 07B56 $1,300 $3,000 $1,700 067 01 07000 TERRANOVA PAULINA D APT 602 1360 SO OCEAN BLVD POMPANO BEACH FL 33062 $1,100 $6,400 $5,300 067 01 08000 ATKINSON MARGARET M& 68 ST MARKS PLACE NEW YORK NY 10003 $1,100 $4,900 $3,800 067 01 09000 ABRAMO PATRICIA G 6705 D N WASHINTON BLVD ARLINGTON VA 22213 $1,100 $4,300 $3;200 06701 11001 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD 53095 MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,000 $2,000 $0 067 02 01000 ALONGE LEONARD 275 NEW HYDE PARK RD GARDEN CITY NY 11530 $500 $5,000 $4,500 067 02 02000 MURDOCK MARION& 163 CHELTENHAM RD N BABYLON NY 11704 $700 $3,600 $2,900 067 02 03000 OXEE ROGER J 167 CENTER AVE APT 2H NEW ROCHELLE NY 10805 $700 $3,300 $2,600 067 02 04000 HOLDEN RICHARD&ORS 7 CRANE PLACE SIMSBURY CT 06070 $700 $3,600 $2,900 067 02 05000 MCDONALD KATHRYN S&ORS C/O CHMELA PATRICIA 33 WEST DRIVE MANHASSET NY 11030 $700 $2,700 $2,000 067 02 06000 ECKARTZ WILLIAM J JR&WF PO BOX 125 PECONIC NY 11958 $700 $3,300 $2,600 067 02 07000 VARDY LINDA E 39-27 220TH ST BAYSIDE NY 11361 $700 $4,200 $3,500 067 02 08000 BERGMANN CHRISTINE J 225 SOUND AVE PECONIC NY 11958 $700 $2,300 $1,600 067 02 09000 MARCHESE JOSEPH&WF 51 LAUREL ST FLORAL PARK NY 11001 $1,400 $5,600 $4,200 067 02 10000 BERNARD ROBERT&WF 2737 MARION ST BELLMORE NY 11710 $1,000 $4,800 $3,806 067 02 11000 PETERSON CHARLES G&WF PO BOX 123 PECONIC NY 1195E $400 $3,100 $2,700 067 02 12000 CAPPABIANCA MATTHEW 368 BOSCOMBE AVENUE STATEN ISLAND NY 10309 $400 $2,400 $2,000 057 02 13000 MULLIGAN THOMAS F&WF 6 DANIEL PL SEA CLIFF NY 11579 $900 $2,800 $1,900 067 02 14000 LOSITO GAETANO&JOAN 425 SECOND AVE PECONIC NY 11958 $400 $3,800 $3,400 067 02 15000 MCDONALD FRANK&KACEY 29 WEST DR MANHASSET NY 11030 $300 $300 $0 067 02 16000 BOUCHER REAL&DOROTHY 35 HARP LANE SAYVILLE NY 11782 $300 $300 $0 067 02 17000 HOLDEN ALICE&ANNE 7 CRANE PLACE SIMSBURY CT 06070 $300 $300 $0 067 02 18000 BINDNER ANDREW G III& 58-20 202ND ST BAYSIDE NY 11364 $400 $3,740 $3,340 Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT-LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 067 02 19000 HOFMANN MARILYN Q HUNTINGTON BLVD PO BOX 452 PECONIC NY 11958 $300 $300 $0 067 02 21001 HOFMANN GEORGE J&W F HUNTINGTON BLVD PO BOX 452 PECONIC NY 11958 $600 $6,600 $6,000 067 02 22000 SEIDMAN EDWARD& APT 17B 4 WASHINGTON SQ VILLAGE NEW YORK NY 10012 $400 $3,700 $3,300 067 02 23000 BORGO EDMUND&WF 25 GARFIELD AVE FARMINGDALE NY 11735 $400 $3,500 $3,100 067 03 01000 HADDAD HESKEL M. 75 SALT MARSH LANE PO BOX 407 PECONIC NY 11958 $200 $200 $0 067 03 03001 ROTHMAN RONALD SALT MARSH LANE PO BOX 212 PECONIC NY 11958 $800 $8,100 $7,300 067 03 05000 CHAMBERLAIN KATHLEEN PO BOX 406 PECONIC NY 11958 $100 $100 $0 067 03 06000 CHAMBERLAIN KATHLEEN PO BOX 406 PECONIC NY 11958 $300 $300 $0 067 03 07000 CHAMBERLAIN KATHLEEN PO BOX 406 PECONIC NY 11958 $700 $4,500 $3,800 067 03 11000 JOHNSON GREGORY K 154 SALT CREEK CT PAWLEYS PLANTATION PAWLEYS ISLAND SC 29585 $500 $2,200 $1,700 067 03 12000 ROTHMAN RONALD SALT MARSH LANE PO BOX 212 PECONIC NY 11958 $300 $300 $0 067 03 13000 ROTHMAN RONALD SALT MARSH LANE PO BOX 212 PECONIC NY 11958 $100 $100 $0 067 04 01000 BRANSFIELD ROBERT 9 CANTERBURY DR HAUPPAUGE NY 11787 $300 $300 $0 067 04 02000 MULLIO NORBERT 901-80 N ST BROOKLYN NY 11228 $1,200 $5,440 $4,240 067 04 03000 EVANS DAVID&WF 436 E 88TH ST NEW YORK NY 10028 $400 $3,200 $2,800 067 04 06000 KELLY RANDALL M&WF 12 E 86TH ST NEW YORK NY 10028 $800 $3,900 $3,100 067 04 07000 LEAVITT JOAN 10 CLINTON ST BROOKLYN NY 11202 $700 $4,200 $3,500 067 04 20003 WINKLER RONALD& 7 PENN PLAZA-SUITE 1810 NEW YORK NY 10001 $400 $400 $0 067 04 20004 STONE ELLIOT W&AND C/O RONALD M WINKLER 7 PENN PLAZA-SUITE 1810 NEW YORK NY 10001 $400 $400 $0 067 04 21001 SWITZER HUGH KENT TRUSTEE 4651 SENTINEL POST RD ATLANTA GA 30327 $1,460 $1,400 $0 067 04 23000 REICHERS LINDA& 300 SECOND AVE PECONIC NY 11958 $400 $3,900 $3,500 067 04 24000 ALDOUS WENDY G 1627 LA CABRA S E ALBUQUERQUE NM 87123 $400 $3,400 $3,000 067 05 01000 SWITZER HUGH KENT TRUSTEE 4651 SENTINEL POST RD ATLANTA GA 30327 $7,100 $10,200 $3.100 067 05 02000 MALEK VIOLA PO BOX E ROCKY HILL NJ 08553 $1,100 $5,700 $4,600 067 05 03000 MALDUTIS JULIUS JR 85-26 210TH ST QUEENS VILLAGE NY 11427 $1,300 $1,300 $0 067 05 04000 SITLER PATRICIA E 24 FLORENCE DRIVE MANORVILLE NY 11949 $900 $4,500 $3,600 067 06 09001 WALSH PETER C&WF 15 DEVON WAY HASTINGS ON HUDSON NY 10706 $700 $3,000 $2,300 067 06 10000 MAGUIRE EDWARD H&WF 338 74TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11209 $300 $300 $0 067 06 11000 MAGUIRE EDWARD H&WF 338 74TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11209 $400 $2,200 $1,800 067 06 12000 MAGUIRE EDWARD H&WF 338 74TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11209 $300 $300 $0 067 06 13000 MAGUIRE EDWARD H&WF 338 74TH ST BROOKLYN NY 11209 $100 $100 $0 067 07 03000 HIGGINS WILLIAM T III& 2741 EASTERN BLVD BALDWIN NY 11510 $500 $4,100 $3,600 067 07 05001 NORMAN JAMES J&WF 188 CARNATION AVE FLORAL PARK NY 11001 $500 $4,200 $3,700 067 07 07001 SIENK MARGARET PO BOX 288 PECONIC NY 11958 $700 $2,100 $1,400 067 07 08000 LONIGRO JOHN R 2 FLEET CT NORTHPORT NY 11768 $900 $900 $0 067 07 09000 LONIGRO FRANK 5 HAZEL DRIVE SMITHTOWN PINES NY 11787 $900 $900 $0 067 07 10000 GLASSMIRE MAE L 29 CORWIN AVE NEW HYDE PARK NY 11040 $700 $3,100 $2,400 067 07 11000 SCHNEIDER EDWARD M& PO BOX 2073 ST JAMES NY 11780 $700 $3,300 $2,600 067 07 12000 SUFFOLK COUNTY 330 CENTER DRIVE RIVERHEAD NY 11901 $100 $100 $0 067 07 13000 STEIN SONJA C 68 LONG RIDGE RD PLANDOME NY 11030 $600 $3,000 $2,400 067 07 14000 BARTOS JEANNE M 209 PARK AVE-2ND FLOOR LYNDHURST NJ 07071 $1,200 $3,800 $2.600 06801 01000 PALMER JOHN L&WF 64 BARROW ST APT 2 NEW YORK NY 10014 $1,000 $1,000 $0 06801 02000 BROWN DEBORAH GORDON PO BOX 158 PECONIC NY 11958 $400 $2,200 $1,800 06801 03000 PALMER JOHN L&WF 64 BARROW ST APT 2 NEW YORK NY 10014 $400 $3,500 $3,100 068 01 07000 ZAHID REALTY CORP 177 MAIN STREET PO BOX 2457 NEW LONDON NH 03257 $6,200 $15,300 $9,100 06801 08000 MCWHOOD LYNN 45 IBBETSON ST#3 SOMERVILLE MA 02143 $3,300 $6,800 $3,500 06801 09000 HUBBARD ANNE A 9 LEGGET ROAD BRONXVILLE NY 10708 $6,500 $8,900 $2,400 06801 10000 BENNETT ALICE 2725 SOUNDVIEW AVE PECONIC NY 11958 $6,600 $31,900 $25,300 06801 11000 NOCKLER IRENE&ORS SOUNDVIEW AVE PO BOX 43 PECONIC NY 11958 $4,500 $9,500 $5,000 06801 13001 KNAPP ALFRED&WF 1616 STEWARTS LANE LAUREL HOLLOW NY 11791 $4,000 $6,000 $2,000 06801 13002 KNAPP ALFRED&WF 1616 STEWARTS LANE LAUREL HOLLOW NY 11791 $6,100 $12,800 $6,700 06801 14000 HEIGL GRETCHEN PO BOX 32 PECONIC NY 11958 $1,800 $11,000 $9,200 Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT-LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 06801 14002 HEIGL GRETCHEN PO BOX 32 PECONIC NY 11958 $3,000 $6,900 $3,900 06801 15001 FULTZ GLORIA PO BOX 146 PECONIC NY 11958 $10,200 $17,300 $7,100 06801 17001 BITTNER MADELINE PO BOX 269 PECONIC NY 11958 $2,000 $12,000 $10,000 068 02 03000 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD 53095 MAIN RD SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $100 $100 $0 068 02 10000 MAGGIO PAUL&WF PO BOX 79 STONYBROOK NY 11790 $1,000 $1,000 $0 068 02 11000 GOTBETTER MARION B& 205 WEST END AVE APT 11 H NEW YORK NY 10023 $300 $300 $0 068 02 13001 GOTBETTER MARION B& 205 WEST END AVE APT 11H NEW YORK NY 10023 $500 $2,000 $1,500 068 02 14000 ROSCOE JAMES&NANCY P PO BOX 485 PECONIC NY 11958 $1,000 $5,400 $4,400 068 02 19001 SUFFOLK COUNTY 330 CENTER DRIVE RIVERHEAD NY 11901 $20,600 $20,600 $0 068 03 01000 MOESEL PETER A 15 PARK AVENUE TERRACE BRONXVILLE NY 10708 $2,100 $3,300 $1,200 068 03 02000 OLIVER DORINDA J 20 WATERSIDE PLAZA NEW YORK NY 10010 $1,700 $4,900 $3,200 068 03 03000 HUGHES ANTHONY D& 61 IRVING PLACE NEW YORK NY 10003 $1,800 $5,700 $3,900 068 03 04000 SMITHEN CHARLES 212 EAST 69TH ST NEW YORK NY 10021 $1,600 $3,000 $1,400 068 03 05000 SMITHEN CHARLES&WF 212 EAST 69TH ST NEW YORK NY 10021 $1,600 $1,600 $0 068 03 06000 YOUNGMAN MICHAEL&WF 201 EAST 17TH ST APT 29H NEW YORK NY 10003 $2,100 $6,000 $3,900 068 03 07000 AXIEN ELAINE 2555 YOUNGS AVE BLDG 14D SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,100 $2,100 $0 068 03 08002 SCHOENFELD RIVKA TRUST 2 HORATIO STREET NEW YORK NY 10014 $2,500 $5,200 $2,700 068 03 08003 AXIEN ELAINE 2555 YOUNGS AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,200 $3,600 $1,400 068 03 08004 MOHAMMED NOEL 0 PO BOX 496 ST JAMES NY 11780 $2,800 $6,900 $4,100 068 03 09000 ANLYAN LORRAINE H 107 NETZ PL ALBERTSON NY 11507 $3,300 $10,000 $6,700 068 03 10000 MEISSNEST IRENE R 38-09 211TH ST BAYSIDE NY 11361 $2,400 $7,700 $5,300 068 03 11000 HADDAD HESKEL PO BOX 407 PECONIC NY 11958 $3,600 $7,100 $3,500 068 03 12000 CURRIE ROBERT T 65 WEST 70TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10023 $800 $3,000 $2,200 068 03 13000 MICHELIS GREGORY&WF 4201 235TH ST DOUGLASTON NY 11363 $3,200 $7,600 $4,400 068 04 13000 SEPENOSKI JULIA PO BOX 120 PECONIC NY 11958 $4,800 $4,800 $0 068 04 14000 ZAHID REALTY CORP 177 MAIN STREET PO BOX 2457 NEW LONDON NH 03257 $50 $50 $0 068 04 16001 SAVITS BARRY S PO BOX 446 PECONIC NY: 11958 $5,300 $13,300 $8,000 068 04 17000 SEPENOSKI JULIA PO BOX 120 PECONIC NY 11958 $1,000 $1,000 $0 068 04 18000 SEPENOSKI JULIA PO BOX 120 PECONIC NY 11958 $10,700 $13,800 $3,100 068 04 21000 CARLYLE SUSAN& 1611 NORTH BLVD HOUSTON TX 77006 $3,000 $9,500 $6,500 07201 01005 VORCE ROGER APT 12J 405 EAST 54TH ST NEW YORK NY 10022 $5,600 $13,000 $7,400 07201 01006 WEXLER DONNA I %STERLING HARBOR MARINA 1410 MANHASSET AVE GREENPORT NY 11944 $5,900 $24,000 $18,100 072 01 01008 SHATSWELL PROPERTIES INC 405 E 54TH ST APT 12J NEW YORK NY 10022 $5,300 $12,500 $7,200 07201 01009 VORCE ROGER&ORS 405 EAST 54TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10022 $100 $100 $0 07201 01010 ELS WILLIAM G&WF 15 WILLARD WAY DIX HILLS NY 11746 $5,100 $5,100 $0 072 02 01000 GALLAGHER MICHAEL J&AND 383 LARCHMONT CT RIDGE NY 11961 $2,200 $4,300 $2,100 072 02 01001 BAXTER WILLIAM&AND SAILFISH POINT STUART FL 34996 $8,800 $8,800 $0 073 01 02002 RICCI JOSEPH&CAROLYN 170 SECOND AVE MANASQUAN NJ 08736 $3,700 $3,700 $0 073 02 01000 PEACOCK MARY W& 46 GRAND ST NEW YORK NY 10013 $2.700 $8,700 $6,000 073 02 03001 LI SHARON& PO BOX 149 CLINTON CORNERS NY 12514 $5,700 $12,400 $6,700 073 02 03003 MURPHY MARY ELIZABETH 25 EAST 10TH ST APT 4F NEW YORK NY 10003 $3,900 $3,900 $0 073 02 03006 SUFFOLK COUNTY 330 CENTER DRIVE RIVERHEAD NY 11901 $3,900 $3,900 $0 073 02 04000 KOTYLAK DOROTHY&ORS PINEWOOD ROAD CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $8,800 $12,600 $3,800 073 03 01001 MARLAKE ASSOCIATES 579 FIFTH AVE -ROOM 1405 NEW YORK NY 10017 $24,100 $24,100 $0 073 04 01000 CASSARA RONALD E 3142 CLUBHOUSE RD MERRICK NY 11566 $5,600 $8,400 $2,800 073 04 02001 AEBISHER PETER I& 15 OLD NORTHPORT RD HUNTINGTON NY 11743 $3,500 $7,500 $4,000 073 04 02002 GRECO DEBRA CAVANAUGH APT 37 E 111 WEST 67TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10023 $3,900 $19,900 $16,000 073 04 02003 STANZONI GARY&DOREEN 30175 CABOTS WOOD RD PO BOX 51 PECONIC NY 11958 $2,200 $8,600 $6,400 073 04 03000 SORANNO CARL&DOROTHY 185 BAYVIEW AVE AMITYVILLE NY 11701 $4,900 $9,600 $4,700 073 04 04001 GOBER ROBERT 119 EAST 10TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10003 $6,900 $11,100 $4,200 073 04 04002 GOBER ROBERT 119 EAST 10TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10003 $1,400 $1,400 $0 073 04 05000 MELISSARIS LEO 17610 LAKE KEY DRIVE ODESSA FL 33556 $2,200 $2,200 $0 Assesed Assessed Assessed LOT LABEL OWNER(1) Address(2) Address(3) Address(4) ZIP Land Value Total Value Structure Value 073 05 01000 DENA ELINO JR 21 GRAMERCY PARK S APT 2B NEW YORK NY 10003 $4,000 $5,300 $1,300 073 06 01000 WURTZ ELIZABETH&ORS PO BOX 122 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $2,500 $2,500 $0 074 01 01000 JOHNSON GREGORY K 154 SALT CREEK CT PAWLEYS PLANTATION PAWLEYS ISLAND SC 29585 $1,000 $1,000 $0 074 01 35051 CPF ENTERPRISES 309A LITTLE PLAINS RD HUNTINGTON NY 11743 $2,500 $3,500 $1,000 074 01 35052 PRINCIPI RICHARD 104 MIANKOMA LA PO BOX 495 AMAGANSETT NY 11930 $2,400 $3,900 $1,500 074 01 35053 PRINCIPI DOMINICK 1087 FORT SALONGA ROAD NORTHPORT NY 11768 $2,400 $3,200 $800 074 01 35054 CURTO NINA 431 LENOX RD HUNTINGTON STATION NY 11746 $2,400 $3,000 $600 .074 0135055 CURTO NICOLETTA& 12 GILDER CT NORTHPORT NY 11768 $2,400 $3,000 $600 074 01 35056 FUSARO MARIO J&AND 12 GILDER COURT NORTHPORT NY 11768 $2,300 $3,100 $800 074 01 36000 WICKS FLORENCE PO BOX 314 SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $25,000 $40,600 $15,600 074 01 40001 ADAMOWICZ MICHAEL&ORS 195 MARINE ST FARMINGDALE NY 11735 $21,600 $24,900 $3,300 074 01 42001 SIMON FRANCES&ORS PO BOX 294 PECONIC NY 11958 $26.200 $28,300 $2,100 074 01 44008 JOHNSEN ROBERT W 4300 SOUNDVIEW AVE SOUTHOLD NY 11971 $1,600 $7,000 $5,400 074 02 09000 PAPPAS JAMES D 10 ADAR LANE EAST NORTHPORT NY 11731 $800 $800 $0 074 02 10002 BOKINA HENRY&WF MILL LA PECONIC NY 11958 $1,800 $8,900 $7,100 074 02 10003 CHURCH ROSANNE&MELISSA 199 SILVERLEAF LANE ISLANDIA NY 11722 $1,900 $1,900 $0 074 02 23000 LONG ISLAND LIGHTING CO DIV 175 EAST OLD COUNTRY RD HICKSVILLE NY 11801 $3,200 $85.300 $82,100 074 02 38000 HATZI PETER J&CATHY 8564 YOHR COURT MANASSAS VA 22110 $800 $6,100 $5,300 083 02 01000 POND ENTERPRISES INC ASHLEY LA SHOREHAM NY 11786 $8,100 $25,217 $17.117 083 02 02000 KRUPSKI PATRICIA C/O N ALIANO ASHLEY LA SHOREHAM NY 11786 $6,800 $10,100 $3,300 083 02 03000 LONDON JOYCE&ORS C/O SUZANNE DELLA CORTE 185 OLD CHURCH LANE POUND RIDGE NY 10576 $1,400 $3,300 $1,900 083 02 04001 RAMBO JAMES H INC BISHOPS LANE SOUTHAMPTON NY 11968 $6,100 $10,900 $4,800 083 02 04002 PASSALACQUA SALVATORE& 6 BLUFF ROAD GLEN COVE NY 11542 $5,100 $13,500 $8,400 083 02 06002 CONNOLLY JOHN P 3030 DIGNANS ROAD CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $2,800 $11,000 $8,200 083 02 07002 DAMBASSIS LINDA APT 17C 20 SUTTON PLACE SOUTH NEW YORK NY 10022 $4,100 $9,800 $5,700 083 02 07003 KALAMARAS PETER&PATRICIA 3511 RUM ROW NAPLES FL 34102 $7,800 $14,000 $6,200 083 02 07004 SMITH DIANE 21 LAUREL LANE MATINECOCK NY 11560 $4,500 $4,500 $0 083 02 07005 SMITH DIANE 21 LAUREL LANE MATINECOCK NY 11560 $4,300 $4,300 $0 083 02 09001 CZEBOTAR VERONICA R&ORS 164 SUNSET BLVD BEVERLY HILLS WADING RIVER NY 11792 $14,900 $14,900 $0 083 02 10002 SOLINGER LAURA 188 COLUMBIA HEIGHTS BROOKLYN NY 11201 $3,900 $9,900 $6,000 083 02 10004 CORSO LUBA PO BOX 1044 CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $3,900 $3,900 $0 083 02 10005 CORSO LOUIS C PO BOX 1044 CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $3,900 $4,200 $300 083 02 10006 CORSO LOUIS C PO BOX 1044 CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $4,400 $26,800 $22,400 083 02 11000 CORSO LUBA,REGINA& OREGON ROAD CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $10.300 $10,300 $0 083 02 11003 HANNABURY JOSEPH C&ORS HIGHLAND RD PO BOX 800 CUTCHOGUE NY. 11935 $4,300 $4,300 $0 083 02 13004 BANK CHARLES&JENNIFER APT 26A 1965 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10023 $8,400 $14.300 $5,900 083 02 13005 GURFEIN PAULETTA J BROOKS 117 WEST 17TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10011 $2,800 $3,400 $600 083 02 17000 ALIANO NICHOLAS 11 ASHLEY LANE SHOREHAM NY 11786 $8,700 $11,000 $2,300 08401 05000 BOKINA JOSEPH 7850 BRIDGE LANE CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $500 $3,306 $2,800 084 02 03003 KRUPSKI STANLEY W&AND MIDDLE RD CUTCHOGUE NY 11935 $19,100 $19,100 $0 084 02 04001 MARLAKE ASSOCIATES ATT:SAMUEL ABRAMSON CO 579 FIFTH AVE-ROOM 1405 NEW YORK NY 10017 $28,700 $33,900 $5,200 Note: Numbers in Parenthases on Titles Indicate Field from TOS Databse(ie.Owner(1)is the first owner field) Appendix B Damage Simulation Models Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 1 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) AVERAGE 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion 8 Wave Data Structure Data - - - ---- -------- ----- - Interest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres 51 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.51 5_94 Avg.Dep.Replacemni Value $123,318 Sid Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 2.30 2.30 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6,340,200 Maximum Slope for Active Profile 2.00 Avg.Bulkhead'Cost($/LF) $250 !Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure i Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long tens erosion taken from average of sections 162-285 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact E6 for typical beach slope (4)D=DUNE. B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Cumulative Normal Without Project SF Distribution Error Term Storm Surge Elevation for LI Sound on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead' Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Tenn on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev--0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) - (it) -_ _ (ft) (ft NGVDj) _ Distance(ft) _Value Factor. 1 1985 7.10 g'*' � .{ tl, , �' 1 -1.92 7.43 0 0.93 2 1986 5.80 -2.45 6.56 0 0.67 3 1987 6.30 t!5� !33 1 5 04' 2.59 7.63 0 0.82 4 1988 6.90 frw� '2t 3 5Zj 6.11 7.11 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 '? .� s1p3 3 �,, 149r 7.59 4.97 0 0.71 6 1985 7.10 1k r 030` t � «d 1. 6.06 6.80 0 0.67 7 1986 5.80 3 0 02 2 56 8.62 5.78 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 ( ! •0 28 -O 31 8.30 6.02 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 ^r`5 0 24 10.30 7.14 0 0.54 vx 10 1989 6.00 13.82 6.72 0 0.51 1222198 Rl WOREV.WK4 OEPREw+EO wB sEie.0 ACT v o-s*•BCE 11rth wBEw Dula:oR I _ YEAR t-AVERA_GE 10 YEARB Brm,ciuRE I,wRBE•D 1R.Rw BEFonE sEie•cB FRd�IE swRFUBF BInRBFAo BInR�An BuIRBE•Doq _. .. __. Ent _ __ _ _ _ RE sr•BCE r nPBFAo of REFF ice Ft 1aa E1 1vAw Ieu _ _ __ rQa n' wsi Ei i+ct eiti.i.un IFi W01 1FTtBGW1 s r BFCRBus tm o5 E 1E+1 OB1�1 Iw wR.I.1 IFr BcvD1 Iri RcvDl RaFE P aF OV iOwE B FAO Ivn BE•DI p•RucE_I. OB IREIA �UFI -0•w. _�-EfE OB I IwvE BiE_Ii000MROl iOvl W E ID•wcE�OEsi prDEM M pA 61010tt1+ iu B05J UfI.a 9) c b S} w3 I. I. 999 l 00 tE.Rm OMII 5. f3.r,3R w 50 Si ] tR5 11 999 Fw _ ORBm DYRn S f115.m+ 50 5} 3 1. 919 3 SO w {0 IKB Ol dOU X "f1.1(w1. 1. Ix 99.9 F J w OCRm00000 X 5% .5 x IS9 II 999 3 .1% O68m1YM s] fIeR JOI .5 .1 } 1]9 I@ 31 P9O ] .s fp @30101005 u SR0.1S0 BO R1 } 11R 315 1 0 ] - w .ro] m20101c00 N SXt Bm fa].R] tm.]s0 05 BI 1 tro 110 .} B ] : Od 10 w 00 �15] .1101Dt@B f})5991 f.,]Ree tw.1w % 3 l.t 1R0 B @ OW o11@D1W0 13 111R2]B ]0 13 l 1. l30 N Or]@01Om 311 I.M. f%.- 10 ]x 3 1. 1B] N 30 B3 10 m]%@001 31 .1.1 } IRO 39 T 0 ] 01]WO1m0 .x .15.991 a 31. 2 5 12 9k1 F 3 .s f0 .f0 15} m]W m 1000 11 f1R5.1X w b m31 } IIO 19 999 ] on W ono s+as.+X w ss x a17 ] 3s a W to 013 W Ot@BO .0 %J}.188 35 ]t I Bo 999 ] 35 ?31 m3W 01000 ]9 f111.D9B a 4 1 3 IBS 3 .0 {o -2 00 .I w w m3dmml N1BeR w b 3 lm 19 B93 F ] w w D13d maox .5 1211 R.x]5 .] x 11 121 BO9 3 12 fo 11 00d0] M 01 IYI 511O0x)PR fY1e.e a f0 .S 31 I 3 1 T 11 19 ] b 001.01 -3 { "" } . 11 F 45 .]S.x} x} 0 b f1510 t9 +0 ww 08 2 GG 1. w 011•pL 41u,%3 fl,l.w 10 l5 I Ix. 11 12 - 99B ] .5 •5000 011'Oi6 51 flu 9D w l5 1 tb N 999 F a5 00%%m000 181 f]M..@ 5510em f0 10 1] % 999 F ORi%o1000 181 SI.BO9.1c0 w 1 551 3 .�% w 0%mOx000 10 St1].100 w 89B 999 O,A. ] 10 uW -,% to O.3 w w OB3@0]000 1R f151,WR . } I> B99 J 15 OB]@W@1 30 f}I0,}J9 65 6r 1 ]1 B ] 65 Od W ON@WOm 19 w195a '3 S1 1 xW }Jp tr A B J 55 od OR]@0000] 23 5151.018 ro 11 1 tM IW N lU 0 10 {0 m] OB3@1- I. ..,iN 10 R 1 1X 1. N 909 10 ro0 OBl@01@1 15 Sto1.R65 feglb 10 15 x 1l5 N B r3 UW _ fp Ofll@old }B f.R1.BN 1%l.]5 w i0 12 } '11. - N 999 3 IO OW w ro0 1 0 09]@t0@x 31 $1510TB -.1. {o B] 05 x BB9 BW 31 999 ] W 10 w OR]@ IOo@ 31 s}18,3]9 w11.1b fb 01 } - YII @ 999 3 bs O W �,% -1% w w w 0@@1000. l9 %15891 G 65 l BBB 89B 31 F BJ 01 nBJm+oaos xR seal XS OS RI } }19 I50 ]} OW �% w w M O1tmOfi xr -B1fi i,]5.000 11 I 11, I15 N B 3 10 OW f0 ro.0 :2 1»@t]OW 11 %RB1m Nl.aeS te- BS fit } [9 Im ]} ]0 B 3 65 OW 1. ..SeO w e5B 00 ml 00 w ccwEwlED w+.sEiEAu ♦cnvE dsulcE lOT�IDUwru nEOSRvI BI vw1EGwo I,Iwu a+.EanBo IL I I I YEAR.1-AVERAGE_1 0.YEARS e D Ed wD _I -O-L I KWTi-E- 1 -_M1 _r"W..EAD._l li pV 0M1 1 W� I M d Ouw EIVBO vEM -GE a _u c_iW_E f-An. IGL OOBQI O+Ow 51 b OEemmaao S. 3}a),]Tr b 52 x +m 1. x. m mpw 55 S}IS.mt w 5} 3 118 Ib }. F ] b m O.Ow f13}TM .5 2 1M tw }x F ] .5 59r'Jf/ 1-- 10 .5 x 150 }} f ] 1 OM s0 HO .50 5T S1.S.]0} } }x 090 ] M}n101R5 ]5 Sa]1,180 {BE.Tb w nM 0 L m x 2 Ir8 lls 30 B 3 5 1 r}}p1010 a } 19 lM .} B: a}r5m1 m.lw E} } 211 ]m w O11m01m 10.3p }M 3 DramM 31.1 1. 10 r} x x 3 T0 w Or]mmwl aT S}1i991 sm.1f0 tl R x 1.1 mmmmww]aJ333MMMMMM 0mmMmm10®m®owwoOi1 bab349 ffIIius}11166m1t1 5T10T.,.Or931155em0M80Bf ss1T1c5...eT3e.e}0 ws0 ]bba 3 i. Ww ti 099 3] w1s +M ]0131 n :x 3 DO �xSb f3x 11 ]r x oM 10 1 00.31 S3a4y b >0 3 ..x } w5 b0 .]SO 00 bb wb 10 900 F 3 .0 0.1 {0 b w w]MmOm m fm11w w ]S 37 x F ] a5 w.013505x R f]p].Sm m .} 3 Iw ] �}u' 000. Oi.01 f+51Or! 4 I t}. 1.5 )} 3 .5 b m.o+avr. w s+1r dJe .s x xx a w M]5n5. 5+51m0 } 1M Iw R3 6 w nr.01]SOvS SI W. 45 } R. d5 21 000 ] .5 oM ID w alv 0115m6 Sr ftu:Jm .5 x im Iw R J if OM }.5 -36 w111. Otlm nwoo 10x flw<m 1 909 OM 3O 10 w vomvlmo s+ren.nn } >m oM 11 m3m nxlm OOmmmmm O®mm1 3 stsMv Iw sJo 3m w {u151 r ] riS-1 M Sx193 _.- }0 11195 1m x1 3 51 3 30 v w Omm 1;- 1. 31u,0m b r0 12 } tsfi Im ]. F 3 ro Od w wID Omm0lwx xs slmew sS 4 13. r5 } p5 Iw ]E B ] 13 OM w 10 OmmOrom x6 fW.OM A r} } }Sn N OM w b b Ommtmm m f151 wE m 1 } p89 Om 31 J m OM �55.0 b Ommt000} 31 .1B}M l}r]5S 6 m } 31B ]50 l} 3 65 w .f5a 0mmt000. M M. 6413.BB8 s0 m E5 } - S+A 31 R10 F 3 m OM W ab ]b .0 b �UB w mlm 11SA5 }S 5..1585 -11 65 w } }+S YA 3} wS F 3 w 0M ..1m 10 .}.5 b SSE b nm0}+m10 11 V..M f1.m!e05 M ]x } }.1 }IS N w B TD OM o01m 3.5 w :0 ro0 .b0 OO b OwmtJOM 12 3}w- {b.e6f {OS.am 6 m } g9 +w m JO B ] b OM flSOW ND 3.5 -x.f {0 10 - 10 650 00 �SSY 00 10 flxr}1<T] au tax YEAR]•AVERAGE 10 YEARS urvaw,co uw sf,5.a •c,"h snwa.o¢ overt ow+tw s,waw3 S Pu •gel fa.a+a snxu mosaf �a� eu.two euo o x,on �W�at _ a�,.�� af��uo ,w� „� � �1� �„� oI-- uw ,�tt ,�a�.R,�. , � �� Su� ,��. �„� � a51.� - a_1 „��a�,�;.mT,� 2. 21 55 tI)SWI 3]Sa en ' f152. fU55W R 011 pe ] fl mU.)W K 3] p0 m e WNW] WW] ] } 2. 00 OS]W 1op1 W ..S SU 552 11. lm �Ri-AVFRAGE WMARS ,xmina-i mviFRi Rit r Z.= _,%PWEHT_jTOCPN.TCVj__DWAGE I 00i 0.1. 10 2 22 1. :oiia+o I— I I—— Q 12 ITM -T 11 "1 11 3 D. .1 2 '12 00 2' F 11 2 F I 1� 11 F I ID I I I. 11111-2 11 o_ .2 2 M _12a N N 2 :1. �11 I 1 *1 1 MIZ F I 1 *1 I;Z F 11 .0 2 "1 F 3 wsm 12 23 1 =11 wr ews11 11 2 30 1 1 3 IN 1.0. ro F =2 .3 1 211 211 1 3 112 mvBEwrcG uiu sne.c. .cnvE ps.ucE ovxE pu+E OB GuuEm YEARS-AVERAGE fO YEARS srBucruOE 9tnvttE.o Sum 6E10aE SEre.C. vam LE cmaEuvE BULavFAn B1naaFAO autIWE.O � _ xtn+B.rq+ 'iE _•��aB _'4�,u.�u,.E Enoswu arPuruaE aFMcvu aErucE pxOW+o F+Om wSUGE psr.acE psl.r4 r0B0Ewi..0 matOFT rOE E+ rm El BFAn1 wOEw RuatYAD IM1f1.FA psr.uCE p5r.upE E+EV.nOB COr.rB0. a .aE. si9uCr0aE GBBIwL SEC Bl.LOr IO nD OSRN •CNOExrS cOsr 01 BGW1(F-r W;vq SrOBv BEG xG+Fn 0n IFrI 1Fr1 I...1e.ln Or ucvp {n uGvp StmE [uFAOrm OOEBTOPPEOt r.aEw Wi0 aIn.GHo 1W BOLa.IF.SDI .. - IB I I EO I .. I D J. wwGE Elay.tgx El/�TrvE 10.6 wwGE ELEv.ibu trot w GE wu.GE m51nOYF1HwVwGE ppe m010pU 5] SIN9m 50 52 } 101 115 3. !rtn F J m 001 SO SO co =m m+100 W f2.]]m m 53 2 IBS F J b 15B f0 SO w .3 mm0 55 3315.091 m 53 2 Im 2. OaRm01m0 56 3-10B 30 .5 2 lA tm 22 009 J .5 )50 w ai0 SO 11 mam d00 01.W I.T. SO .5 x 1" SO 9TJ J .5 12, O1-0m05000 51 S2.B]m .5 .) 2 IA 160 22 990 F J as OW '20 w Or}Ot Wpm IS fJJl.tm m m 2 tTO 211 J9 b B J 30 0rx Olm� ]a f551,98+ S11P] 65 31 ] ti9 2A R b B J B5 m201 O1m0 X i2lamt S m a2 3 N1 }9p 1 m B OWmow m10}OIm0 b f}tfl2b 10 ]3 ]m TO OW 30 mlm01- Jr,1 S2m.1aa 10 12 1 1}B Im B ] 10 OW m0SO s2rsn91 S m ] B J O W11 52159W 15 2 }15 R J 0011 31a5.13a .0 a} 1 +9 999 .73..IOBI S 1 x 9O9 JS Od 01]N Ol- f21M. 35 ]i 3 m �] 9m F J JS 0W 10 10 01JW OIOp0 ]9 f111.098 .0 .1 Im 1Cr BW nrJ W n}ml I.S. .1 2 IBI }m J Ow .S 3}19.1w .x I}510 SO .13 W OAO1 Sb1.1. f0 ]3 J1 2 am m9 IT 499 J JS 0 W f0 SO .0 w so 01 aLK] 3]m.S90 01 JSO'A f151 O}B f0 .S .1 I 12. 1.5 3x Bm- ] rw s000 so SO .11 01 Yim. m i11>.mB 6 .r 1 .9 >0 31 J .5 OW T.50 )SB w �10 w 01.01]Sm. .9 .151 OlB 999 F J SO 07.01 J505.5 51 tt.a B9] f]11aua fo .5 } 13. f.5 }1 999 F J .5 1. ago .1.01 J50% .5 .r ] R w Of3 m01m0 1M1} S]911..m 10 lJ 181 Im Sr+.9 f 0WSO NO.,. S1a99 TOO 10 2 m c 3 I0 odSO 50 oaTm.2= S]t3- 999 F ] +0 OW So w m]m OYRI 5151.0lfl JS Jt 3 T. m F J 75 OW 50 w 00Jm WW1 10 W.2]9 w5.m0 0 eT 2 m 1b J2 }0 B J fi5 0rw e1.0 09J O10.fA] SSr9.3m 55 31 2 }fM 230 21 m B J 55 310 w o0SO 0 .2- }3 fISIM l0 r2 1 1M Im W A B ] 10 1 0 W w 30 w m0 pmmmOm 2. S1..ml r0 ri 1 15a Im W F IO 0w w w 00 OBJm 01m3 35 31ar,a05 -1w 1J 15 } 1.5 b b B J 1] w mJm OrmJ SUR,9W rp 11 } Ilfi 2b 3 7 0 OaTO. m]m 10pO2 12 9 6'i 2 9m 9T 9!y F ] 6] OW w w 0m3 f]la 2] a5 ar 2 210 2m ]} 999 F 65 OW 050 rq SO 30 nmmlmW 29 f}r5.99t w 6J 65 1 9m Jt 999 F ] 6l 0W SO w Ofl]0}I�^i 1. 1.1. 1., SO m Br 2 319 3m JI 97J F ES OW Iq1. m]m 100p0 2) faa0910 ST.- 10 72 2 211 215 W SOB ] r0 Ow m0 1. SO mlm 1- I2 12.01. 3.].6ls fa5.m0 65 .1 2 W tm ]l b B J 150 15v 10 So - w .,o 30 312.rnm nEwEwt6D Sax 6ETMa1 BcnvE os+ucE DuvE [n]xE aB [wiEm _ rcSaECm 0 dlaP EO0 wX if}1••JIr1,.:1OBIB srBucnmE n1nFVEBD b wMS 2 } e 10t t}5 ]• .III n� N � . YEAR TnAVERAG_DV w�I 9 E—E w1EE Mm ynE EWB Dsr. »BIrBE r up rrm .C.AEmw_.EV EBEI lB.DE( A 0.e T BEcwEr ErI Ec Gmm ITT xD FI wBx AOI _ Iln0xIB IT. m __OIwfEa E O M f2r1] 0 Kmm 5 OTOV.E_D E]OMirtwIC.cEEt 22 TJ9 ] N O3p6m0 SB S9r.502 {IT— .S } 159 +e0 11 ] .s — +® 5r f]•B.YJ] wT2.seT 45 •1 2 1.D IEO n ] •s DM pleb 15 41]+,10n w B2 2 +18 }t5 9 YI IT f0 O1}d 01m8 1R19B1 B5 BT 2 20 •I ]2 B 05 OM SD in5991 t ]wa 1—.. BII B2 ] •t 2BI ]0 B P.0 pw f0 01}0201OU 13 S21B}]9 f]I1.sseT2 1 1. iw 9:J F ] >0 OM w T-01 OD ]i 1 {2]I.Tw T} } t21 tm B ] 010 »m0]ml ]T 1211.— 1 B2 x ]a B ] Ow w D1]w010m .} [215 m1 a5 .T 2 1w 115 x3 B!9 F .s Ow e50 NO �p nnwmmo s1es.lse a .2 2 B1 vn c a m aw m 51R,15e 75 ]1 2 .. 599 F ] 75 Od 50 10 W]wdml ap S]m leg ]5 2 1• 9:18 F ] R Od t0 OT]d 01O0 N I'll a 12 3 1R 10S 9!O ] .0 f0 nT]w01001 l.+]9e6 .0 .2 2 B1 2m 19 9m ] .0 Iq 1 f0 011d 1— f1+0>]e ap ITT' OmmOO1pl...tO0 mm+1]lO0S5fRt16mOm5.0 SD fHl..®0 Sne.ee ww .UU0 ..T2 l2 lwB11t 1Ib2O1 m1r 9899T9]DD ] l TO •4 11 J10 10.113M m m2 R 10 01 10 , 42 1 111 olam—3 a s eoe 2 . s ix F as JO2] F 40 01 18 16TmB 2 IA 22 F ] .S IT 0 51 51..m 124 tb 22 ] w •S 2 ]m.m 12 ST...D O 40 fa 1.2 — ] ] 0 161 w1 2 ] w OB.120MSS1 16 .11,21 999 BW ] 11 NO w 1: w Ofl]}m IB "I,,mB R l m 11 F J >5 b O 02dR1 20 5218219 S01r,eiee R Br 2 B9 1]0 ]2 2D B ] R Od w O�mdOm 18 SSI9.SB0 to 3. 55 SI 2 3fN 1]0 2, 2O B ] R OB]m OWOl 2] SIs1,DT0 Sl]0.01e {e5,m0 10 » 2 I28 1m w 20 B J TO Od xO w BB JSl ]00 OB3mmm} 3• 111.an b T2 x 158 999 ] >0 w wD N R]mm9m 21 t1B= t » » 2 145 1. ]6 b B ] 13 Ow w »0 —.0,m M -2.9w 10 » 2 216 rn ]. 999 F ] w Ud �} w m]m1! 22 $151,mn R 2 M m9 31 M F ] p .6e1 w M1m 100m 31 f21Bz]9 R O1 2 218 rn m — F ] R OM00 F®m wOM 2B f2»:FJ+ 2 00B ]1 i ] R Ow -W] W mo m]m IDOR ]B Eea1.50'v R 61 x 211 2. ]2 ] 65 Dw w 10 w OBlm 1— Yd99TF 1Sm11e5 111S.m0 » 2 241 2r6 BO B ] r0 w m]m 1]m. }2 52b]911 s•v0n.6 See 000 R 61 2 .g lm ]} ]0 B ] R 0 O50W W am em w eB ml w m0 00 .m0 00 So To fli T21.T] PSARr< d da+Ed I B-D EC BU l01 SN +v1n GqutEMNs 1uGvt0 TIPs KE PII ff I>"volr I i YEAR 7-AaVE RAGE.1.0 YEARS c miZV1 TOv B-=8i1 PT-1 ELI-"v Nl O vinOl __ � FD EST EE rtEI E -�ul IxvDt spvE B x12ADipvl wEnioPVEP IIFD+IwOBIhtuFAOIW BA-OI duA ElEVA11OV InE411V Till dYAGE_I ElEv.ilOv-I ipwAVEM 170-nO-j -GE j-GEj-%T pvtEW MWGE 1 f1.eF3] 50 5} ) 1}5 2. i1 999 OM ..25 rt11Rm.1 Sl.l�'I/ 5} 21 F •a2 fo W 52 3 Itfi }a b UM •e} 31311.2 .5 1 170 150 2l ] .5 OM ..12 f0 1-- l 159 }} ] OM rp flap]@ AS } 1]9 150 }I 45 OM 11201 UIWS f]31.1R9 Rp @ 2 1Tfi 211 W b B ] b OM @101 OIEW )f. fS5T901 85 81 I 1}9 2. 1 1 W B fly11 01201 n1t3Ie N f215.W1 1.111we fee.ISo W 01 2 211 2W 29 W B GM SO b tt5 00 011@01tID 3118.13R b >0 l2 } lb 220 N 999 F >DO UO 01)0201W0 Nl1 S232.1R0 11 2 N W 9 ] 00. fo QS 01J 01 WIpl JI S11-1 el 2 B ] W OM ee] b D1]MM000 .3 3}15W1 .5 2 1" 215 21 &+9' J Se b M 011100 5185 15B .0 .} 1 91 110 t9 J OM S1BS.ISB D ]] 1 W 599 ] 35112 .13M0f000 fIJ1.>8R12 1. W 999 F 3112J50 @]ME10W 511].098 @.M .9R5 11 0 1 19.13 39.13M 31 12 2 M M 2 9 W .-2 12 1 11 F e1 11 } 12. 2} .s nt]SON ftflmW .s : 49 1. 21 F ] .5 {p 1.@R 3 12p 150 1} gW F b 11 1'WS 51 S14t b a5 } 12. l3 G J .5 OM ..tt 30 .1.1 52 S1u.9!q b .5 IW 21 3 1 OM {o Of]0201000 182 S]Bn.aW 1J 181 95 3 OM J1.2 {o Oe]o20to00 11.B99.1W 10 10 } Bi 95 F OM OB]n20fiW 1610 SJIJ.2W 1. 999 B99 8 F 3 1. OM OAl @ 0]000 f15f�)R A N 2 W 9AR 3 15 b Ig]@Mmll M f2t02]9 BS 6I } W iW ]} 10 S l R b b ORJ@O.W2 b1R.5W -3b 55 31 1 2M lW i> M B ] 55 OM ER]@0600} 77 3151018 32A.ete { )0 )1 1 1M N 20 B ] 20 OM o0 tq BS]@@0@ 2. SNt99] 1111,.w )0 R 3 1S0 999 J IO OM11 WJ@O7W1 25 Sifi).RfiS 3 1] }s 2 1.5 Ib JB b 0 1] OM eel So OBl@OIW] 15 Sb19N 10 12 1 2" 2'.A N >0 AIO v0 b b M3@10W2 12 S151.018 372880 8] 65 2 9W 699 J1 9W F ] 6J OM ae3 b Se b Oo .SSS0. {a WJW 1(SRl Jf Y11&219 f31].350 b R M 2 219 m 3} f ] @ OM ee} 5>5 b mlJ@IIBO. fi R15901 6) 02 999 D9B ]1 9W F ] 63 OM 555 fo b Efl]@f� 28 f41,5B5 RS 6) 2 21. 250 ]} 999 F 3 65 Od ta) ee1 112 b .0 b OBl@ IOOOfi 21 SG09916 {1Y.,EW 10 Il 2 2.1 2)5 N B >0 OM ' 2 10-.222 S2.1W 1.- feS.mb 65 .1 2 IW 11 W B 3 m OM 0.50 W N9 ee} e@ b Se E12 b e5.0 00 d1.5 00 b f11.1}I all - 1ERPEcui[D wx sErGG mlvE reru OOUE DuxE GP DuxE DN YEARS-AVERAGE IS YEARS as siPDCIDPE BulxxFAD WIN OSWEcW emIWLxD_OLOoOtOI i 51iROmNOW 5sE•e DfASn31I.RTv51I,.mWIW>+ S vWBED aSiGat FPWM1E s+wRfxtMmE.E D Bo1R[xBXLUFArcD BUiOLxEM EEIN DDl BwiOxPM ELn O BGCX bIxEW SuINxEMWFAD n31 n aslxwMF A GLADE ELEVBDW EEULINEntYmvBEGf iIWO30 M N[ GwGE ECl_OEMv1aTiIXW_ _ -i wvMxSV.NE._rtM-i-E.D___T_O OR-C EOW-SMf"E- RLIXBG_ D _ wE m wGfPUveI RM U6 b1GCwb1axD•biNts Mu BOL -.010 1 10+ to:1 5S} } 111 o D 51 I M I. F L SR f91,5eI .5 } 159 ILA r} .5 w v SIw]D} .s 10 .) I ILA 1I m� u m}Ot t�005 3311.169 w 11 I 1)6 }IS B ] BD m}01 mam x sw+911 zm w B u w 11Id DIOm 13 t115 W1 S R 1 1 Im )tI B w llmdam 33 u+P.}>_n >D )1 ILA. Im It m3m00 5111)BB )} 116 Im d B MI w 01]m Damt {1l5,9D1 i 0} I 11, ILA 39 B3 N) Om1]dd O1tO1pm1 Ve . Od .I f21W1 1 115 n . ftB+511: ma 5 3 d 01d1f 1 073 ON 01W f131,)w 1 )1 I 3 1.1.I 1 iw I of 1] .0 +B 1. 30m + A 3 W .n 11 -m so .} } 1 mm 3 o wwt0 1w0 11 01-2 -1,1& 10 31 } 999 94J F 3 35 1, w m..115¢5] 41 Yri3590 .1 1 "1 Im 19 899 l {0 Or..1)SDSI 41 5151,011 w .r 1 +11 +.5 11 999 F ] w 0 d .10-w 10 {0 m.Ol lSm. m f111,W1 {0 .5 3 10 1} gm F a .5 pIN {0 Ot]Sm. f15?mfl 4 ILA 11 gW 3 .5 w 00 w m.0115055 51 51.1.W .5 .1 ] 13. Ns 31 1W F ] w Od w w .50 .1.01]SOK 51 f 4 WJ w 1 +W 31 ] l5 0. w w 0.]m OtOw iX} SJw NiI f5)0•000 10 13 91 IM 599 F 3 +0 Od .r0 10 fD 111 f1,B0.9?m w +0 10 1 BI 95 ] G3m0uA t0 .13.IW 1. 1. 1 0P1 9m fi BW F J OR]mmm0 ft5?Or. M ]> 1 I. m11199 F ] 1 .1 10w m3m Da0p1 30 1}11.}W SwOm W m } W tm m A B ] 85 Od1. 0 w OB1m D.W1 1519.5m IJaee.aw 55 51 3 ]d Im 11 }0 B ] 55 550 Iq 061mOW1 I] 1151,01. {rie.Bfe ID i2 I +>B im d 30 B 3 10 Ud w0 NO !q e]0 SO w mw07IM I. '1...- n1?.ea 10 n 3 Z. tm ]. 9W F ] 10 0d em w 1 m m001 25 SIB1,115 3 77 15 1 1. 1w ]B ]0 B 13 ud w Oelm 01- IB fa1I.9& w 10 n 1 118 Im d BW F 3 10 11 w w :11,OB3m 1- m fI51,mB 63 m 3 9m 31 9W F a m es :N.O w DO551 m]m tmm s11e1]s ax?sse w ss ar } na r0 32 ss9 F ] 6s 01n na sD 13.0 01cc Owm1000. M f}IS Wt ..1]See B3 65 3 BA 31 9m F m Dd 0 0 0mm10005 IB f..1,515 65 m 3 11. Y.n 31 9W F J W Ud .0xO w e5.0 .511 10 pBJml� 11 SBw,9Ie p - SIM= 1D 12 I I41 211 B ] 10 1 11 1w 01Jm tJm. ?1 SIWIm {aN mS {aS,Om fly B) I W tm m b B 3 BS Od e51 x0 to ew em w e0 <1.0 w O50 OB 51.1 00 b ry sErac+ YEAR 9 0s0E0C0)PmLK0 11U sl5NE) ff21114).!lMJl]] im1+WO 50 5S}I }w N µs�rdsi"tri [wSi � F IOE EI J pt Sp BF/O.wd Op arvUO e+ EnlOiMn I I L iv-AVERAGE 10 YEAR S Srptm +1-D B =AIL ro_-_.I. - . _ l O_ _ _E E L_. . EE 19wELIO OoB0._ w � pU _ ___ _i_ppACEYI 11-1 e I iwr rr2 IIT) em a IELEvi v - rvuE T I�a f $0 0O0 _NAGE I aANGE OEs1NOrwEdE wanl]Ar�C_02 21 Ef Ye W OYMp 55 -1.1 W 12 } Itfi 21 ]t t0 LYAWMWp Y S212>&L 11 I IRA 150 21 F ) 10 OW WLY2tS1 50 f91,5P} 47 2 1W 100 }} 1 0 0fi0W SNO.)9] l5 2 IW I2 F 45 Od f0 0]101 mqE SIN.lP9 M 01 2 1M Ill VI 7n Od 11120t mQF f55t.1 �.p]2 300.150 05 Br 2 1]0 220 12 ]0 P ] 05 Od 7. Od l 112";r 1—iP0 1r } IRA N B ]O OIl O]OYUI f215m11 31t1ple fBE.150 00 m 2 ten .L ]0 B ] Ud .00 11 11 10 n»N111m1 .} S2]5!n1 } 211 }I 15 0»d 01UI1 f105.150 32]r.»a SO 10 <} } Ioi 110 19 9W F 3 11 0»d01vO ft05.158 ]5 2 W W9 F 3 15 d)NnIOW s232.100 SNple] f0 ]5 ]] 2 t1 W 9W ] 15 ]50 FO 30 A.0 .}5. f0 01Jdn1oW W Stl>,WB 10 .} I IW 105 1B 999 F Od m)dmWf R 2 Iel ]Oo ) Ud d mW2 15 f21e.I]9 f005e f0 12 } Iri t9 P09 t0 m]d WfSR iV 1,104 f0 3 2 d9 19P B99 F Ud W 0I101146I 11 S]m.SW W 19 999 F ] W Od m1011516] S151 m0 f2x.ee M 2 121 ta5 2I 9W F 1s m101•iW w sI n.090 snSlve w " a 2 ro 22 9A F ] .s .so W s0 a5.o ml of]5051 S1s1,0]B 4 Q 2 Ix9 1. 22 F 1S od m 1Y13J f1H.99] U 2 111 ItS 23 3 Ud 01 J5f/0 52 f11V.P9 q 2 IW t]0 21 0W F Od 0.3 62 t0 95 OW f 1.NJ.7m .11,550 } PI P90 ] Od 00102 WOW 1-2. F l t0 Od nmm�mn to 0p0t8860J]]1 mo}o]om 14, 151 2 11r11cZD I B 21..—P 0I= s6 1.0 ss ow n1 0 1. OI 2] 010 S st ID ]o 21 F w M 00WOWWO00vR]]3J]]mmmmmm mmtfttO0O®pWWo0L}1l 21Ie58 ff1tm101,...939d3995 . 6 e1 JO 83 OOddd S75 ] B ) 13 211M 2 3 0 32 S}51.m0 2 31 F 3 w . W 0 .1 00W0 13Wf000 ]I 3 2 F 9 O2 12]551 I 0 f e1 219 o f fY M21 .10 ms ) ]o od WIm 1= 22 1. la 1.: M 2 1W 3 ss od esP rn w 1500 10W s5 1.1 — so es.o 00 -4 So so $12.»1u3 n mx D DURE OR YEAR IOSaAVERAGE 10 YEARS DEMEGF.EO u BE)DREu O*FHA RROFtIE SwRE 0 edaHF D .� FRD400. WA. 6iR+I0iuAE RE=o M1+H SiRNURE REFUC Vel H[ttwDE DROUNO FIDDR a d5o'n 109UIRHEAD aF litdF fOE Et i0F BEedO pmE OR 0 I USiI.HOE OBf.NCE EEEviigR - -CON+ROI ----SIutTED I -9T El wEl IBLLIoIE 0 I STROOIORE FJOiK.II eILIDi m dwvL •taIFERiS mnOvq IR HGvy iORV WH50ir (Fir 611 6i1 IN Hm NI Ri RDvd RT r+DV01 OFE lu(wOla OVERiORFEa IehnHEe vda dM1HHFwD wOVIaRE,lOI a EIEV. jRENiI T.UFI_.a, (. El �.VuvEM Co WfdDE_I ME1.l,F DE Ein 1 l41"F 060m 01® �W f+dd,ml f]f i,daa SU 5] 5 3 � I0+ �IjS �Ow �f0 � �f0 iw_ dsmm® 51 f}a],llT b 5} 1 1w IU 3e 9w Ow mam11lm1 55 f}15.w1 b s3 ] 3d 909 i l 511 Yw O6R Olaml 5R f]m)RB d5 } xx ] d5 000OJ IYw SB f9],b} d5 ] 1b }x J USo I OSBW(®r 51 f}da.39} ]].5lli U e1 I 1w 3l J ds Ow mint Ofdb >5 f]]1.+09 W e7 3 1)6 ]IS B J Ufa fol ya0 01p06 f55f.9R1 1®.)Ba 05 81 no ] IP .} JO B W w 0]}01 w1]T9 f315.wf Bx ] }dHi Iw m B ae m]D}n1m0 111.PO R ] 1W J0. M. sa2'm II } 136 ld B 3 ' alm11lCtl[II iJ1 Sm5,w1 e] I B J d1 SI.S... 30e)f0 I }Is 33 3 d5 0. to ala B+feT Y f1B5.15a w d} I 191 Ito 3 Ow 11131OttpO $IB$1. I 9n 3 )S Ow f0 w w OlJa mdL d0 S}311. E I 3 8 1 no OAwOlplp 1 31 O.Ona 3 1. @ F ne] f0 W OIJw Bxm1 N1]9Y+ dx 3 ]OB 1D F 3U Ow taU 0]IIO} ds f310,P9 d0 dx x tm f15 19 999 F 3 Ow 1]e] Ot]af4ml SlJi10.H )S 1 999 9w 3 .1 014 013sosx 1Jm,5m 34 } Itt Im J Ow wd 013LI51 f15ym8 U 41 3 1N +U }} J IS Ow 1ae] fo nW w]5051 s1P.nw d5 O x -d9 m }} 3 U OJ 110 074 011LI' vs+.0]0 s3leee U 150 x] F�FJ s Bw m n)dw]b55 5+ flN.wl fE?1a0 d5 a 3 IN Ida II F 3 45 ow s0 W .Ul 60 mO00OflOW]l]mO0 WW}1mN BI w 13 1 3 U Ow 3 F +0 3 e1w100 F 3 10 ow :3e0 102 S]m +0 10 m w13}m I w B 00 _Q_ a s1.1. 1010 b31 x 14 F Uex .— '1..2. 0 na s3wo - fowp � ff0 B m 5 SoOx 0— 1-31 m Ir P f15, I B r0 O m P on F a 0 m3m01mx 15 f101 BOS TJ 15 3 lU +m ]0 a J IJ f]U w OW mNm] P fUI.90d )0 12 3 210 ]b L 3 10 Ow :3 balm 1=2 32 f151.wa w W ® ] 9w 099 31 9B9 3 W .Y.a00 so 00]m 10mx JI Sx1B.3J9 fs W 3 31B ]b m J 85 Ow 13 a] w1 0 w aWm1®f A 3}m.wt 10 W b ] 9w 099 3 W Od 1]M 1.30] w w OW m 1�5 30 Nd+.595 f.." W w 3 219 - ]] F 3 65w ap m3m lmm 31 f0W.819 I+xS,Om To T] I 241 115 a B 3 )0 Ow +]ax ]e] 00 OWm1J0a ]3 I.J. .—.— fU.Om . W ] m Im m JO B J b 0 UG HD 11e] 1ae] w e1 da3 w 050 00 360 00 w DEPRECIATED MIN,SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE OUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-AVERAGE 10 YEARS . STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR- DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ _PRESENTVALUE OF SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO. DSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) I-N.I.(4) (FT NOW) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE _WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 068 03 01000 53 $144.993 $217,489 $o 50 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 50 So So $0 $0 068 0302000 54 $247.337 $371,DD6 $0 50 52 2 161 185 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 $o W SD So So 068 03 03000 55 $275.991 $413.986 $0 50 52 2 116 140 24 999 F 3 50 0.041 $o So so 0So 068 03 04000 56 $232.788 $349,102 SO 45 47 2 129 ISO 22 999 F 3 45 004 $0 $0 SO $0 $0 068 03 D6000 58 $97.582 5146,373 SO 45 47 2 159 180 22 999 F 3 45 0 041 $0 $o $0 $0 $0 068 03 06000 57 $248,392 $372.587 SO 45 47 2 139 160 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 $D SO So $0 So 07201 01005 35 E331,189 $4%.783 $68.750 80 82 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 BO 0.04 $O so $O SD SO 072 01 01005 36 $551.981 $827.972 $68750 85 87 2 179 220 42 30 B 3 85 0.04 $0 $o SO SO SO 072 01 01008 34 S275,991 S413,986 $68.750 80 82 2 241 280 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 $0 So So SO $o 072 02 01000 33 $218.239 S327.358 $D 70 72 2 186 220 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 b SD W $0 s0 073 02 01000 37 1 S232.788 S349,162 S62.500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 0.04 SO $0 W So $o 073 0203001 37 $276,991 S413,966 S68.750 80 82 2 141 180 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 $O SO $0 $o SO 073 04 01000 42 $275.991 $413.988 $0 45 47 2 194 215 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 $0 $o S0 SO $D 073 04 01000 38 $185,158 5277,731 $0 40 42 2 91 110 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 $0 $0 $o $0 SO 073 04 01000 41 $185,158 3277,736 $0 35 37 2 44 60 .17 999 F 3 35 0.04 $0 $0 So $0 $0 073 04 01000 40 $232.788 S349,162 $0 35 37 2 74 90 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 $0 $0 $0 $0 $o 073 04 WOOD 39 S117,098 5175.w $0 40 42 2 1B6 185 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 $0 $o $0 $0 $o _ 073 04 02001 44 $413.986 S620,979 $0 40 42 2 181 200 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 So $0 SO $0 $D 073 04 02002 45 $218.239 S327,358 SO 40 42 2 106 125 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 So SO $D $0 $0 073 04 02002 46 $331.189 3499,753 $0 35 37 2 999 999 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 f0 $D $0 So $0 074 01 35052 47 $303.590 $455.364 SO 40 42 2 111 130 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 $u SO So $0 $0 07401 35053 48 $151.078 5226,818 $0 45 47 2 124 145 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO $D $0 50 So 07401 35054 50 $117.098 :175.50 $o 45 47 2 49 70 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO So $D 50 s0 07401 35054 49 $151,078 5228.818 $o 45 47 2 129 150 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 $0 SO $0 So SO 0740135055 74 01 35055 51 $144,993 $2I7,4B9 SO 45 47 2 124 145 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO $o $0 $0 so 07401 35055 52 $144'993 5217,4B9 $o 45 47 2 109 130 22 999 F 3 45 0.G4 $0 SO $0 SO $0 0830201000 83 02 01000 18.2 $380,400 ..600 $o 10 13 1 91 95 4 -999 F 3 10 0.04 $o $0 $0 $o $o 083020100D 16.1 $1,899.700 $2.844,550 SO 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 $0 SO $0 $o So 083 02 02000 16 $373,200 5559,8W $0 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 10 0.04 $0 Sa $0 $o $0 083 02 03000 18 $151.078 $228.618 $0 35 37 2 74 90 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 $0. $o $0 $o $o 083 02 04001 20 $218,239 S327,358 $55,000 65 67 2 99 130 32 20 B 3 65 0.04 $0 $o $0 W $o 083 02 04002 19 E79,580 3569,370 $50,000 55 57 2 204 230 27 20 B 3 55 0.04 So $0 $0 $0 $0 08302 06002 23 $551,078 :226.618 S65.000 70 72 2 126 160 34 20 B 3 70 0.04 $0 $0 $0 $0 $o 083 02 07002 24 $144.993 217.489 $0 70 72 2 156 190 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 $U SO So $0 SO 083 02 070D2 25 S167,865 $251.797 W8,750 73 75 2 145 160 36 30 B 3 73 0.04 So $0 So $0 $0 083 02 070D3 26 $482984 $724*471 SO 70 72 2 216 250 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 So So $0 $0 $o 08302 100D2 32 $151:078 $226,818 $o 63 65 2 999 999 31 999 F 3 63 0.04 $o $0 SO $o $0 083 02 10002 31 $218,239 $327.358 $0 65 67 2 219 250 32 999 F 3 65 0.D4 $D SD $o $0 $0 08302 10004 29 - $275,991 $413,9W 30 83 65 2 999 999 31 999 F 3 63 0.04 SO $o $o 30 SO 083 02 10005 28 $441.85 SM.377 $0 65 67 2 219 250 32 999 F 3 65 0.04 $0 $0 $0 $o $0 0830210006 27 $689,976 $1,034,965 5125.000 70 72 2 241 275 34 80 B 3 70 0.04 SO $0 $0 $o $o 0830213004 22 $289,790 $cT4,685 S65,000 65 67 2 69 100 32 30 B 3 65 0.04 50 $0 SO $0 $o $12.721 473 $591.696 SO !0 $0 SO SO 1 RINOREVV4(4 1202. DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNEOR OUNEOR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC VAL REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL BEACH UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF __ _ SECSLKLOT IO NO OSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FTNGVD) (FTNGVU) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Nole(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIALDAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0680301000 53 $144,993 $217,489 so 50 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 30 $0 $D so so 0680302000 54 $247.337 5371,006 so 50 52 2 161 185 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 - $0 $0 so so $0 O68 03 03000 55 $275,991 5413.986 so 50 52 2 116 140 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 so so $0 so s0 068 03 04000 56 $232.788 5349,182 so 45 47 2 129 150 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 so so so so so O68 03 06000 58 $97.582 5146,373 so 45 47 2 159 180 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 $0 so so so $0 O68 03 06000 57 $248.392 5372,597 so 45 47 2 139 160 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 so so so so so 0720101005 35 $331,189 $496,783 589.750 80 82 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 s0 $0 $0 so so 072 01 01006 36 $551.981 $827.972 $0.750 85 87 2 179 220 42 30 B 3 85 0.04 so $0 so $0 so 07201 01008 34 $275,991 11,413,986 568.750 80 82 2 241 280 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 so so so so so - 072 02 01000 33 $218,239 $327.358 so 70 72 2 186 220 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 so $0 so s0 so 0730201000 37.1 $232.788 11349,182 $62.500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 0.04 so so 50 so so 073 02 03001 37 $275.991 5413,986 $68,750 BD 82 2 141 180 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 so So w $0 s0 073 04 01000 42 $275.991 $413,986 50 45 47 2 194 215 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 so so $0 $0 so 073 04 01000 38 $185.158 $277,736 so 40 42 2 91 110 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 so so so so $0 0730401000 41 $185,158 $2n.736 so 35 37 2 44 60 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 so so $0 so $0 073 04 01000 40 $232.788 $349.182 so 35 37 2 74 90 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 so so $0 so $0 0730401000 39 $117.098 $175.W so 40 42 2 166 185 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 so $0 s0 $0 so 073 04 02001 44 $413.986 5620,979 $0 40 42 2 181 200 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 so $0 $0 so $0 073 04 02002 45 $218.239 $327.358 So 40 42 2 106 125 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 so so so $0 so 0730402002 46 $331,189 $496.783 $0 35 37 2 999 999 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 $0 so to so so 07401 35052 47 $303,590 5455.384 so 40 42 2 111 130 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 so So so so so 07401 35053 48 $151.078 $226.618 $0 45 47 2 124 145 22 999 - F 3 45 0.04 s0 so $0 so $0 07401 35054 50 $117,098 $175.648 so 45 47 2 49 70 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 $0 so so so so 074 01 35054 49 $151.078 5228.61E so 45 47 2 129 150 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 $0 so so - $0 $0 074 01 35055 51 $144.993 $217.469 s0 45 47 2 124 145 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 so so s0 so $0 074 01 35056 52 $144.993 5217,489 so 45 47 2 109 130 22 999 F 3 45 0.04 so $0 so $0 so 083 02 01000 16.2 $380.400 5570,600 $0 10 13 1 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 $0 so $0 So $0 0830201000 16.1 $1,899.700 $2,849.55) s0 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 so s0 so so so 083 02 02000 16 $373,200 3559,800 so 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 10 0.04 $0 $0 so $o so 0830203000 18 $151,078 5226.618 s0 35 37 2 74 90 17 999 F 3 35 0.04 so s0 so so so 083 02 04001 20 $218.239 $327.358 SB5,000 65 67 2 99 130 32 20 B 3 65 0.04 s0 so so so so 083 02 04002 19 $579,580 SBIS%370 $50.000 55 57 2 204 230 27 20 B 3 55 0.04 $o so s0 So s0 0830206002 23 $151,078 $226,818 W.OD0 70 72 2 126 160 34 20 B 3 70 0.04 so so $0 so so 083 02 07002 24 $144,993 $217.489 so 70 72 2 156 190 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 so s0 so so so 083 02 07002 25 $167.865 s251.797 $65.750 73 75 2 145 180 36 30 B 3 73 0.04 30 so $0 so so 083 02 07003 26 $482.984 $724.475 so 70 72 2 216 250 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 so so so SO So 0830210002 32 $151.078 SM.618 so 63 65 2 999 999 31 999 F 3 63 0.04 s0 so so so $0 083 02 10002 31 $218,239 $327.358 so 65 67 2 219 250 32 999 F 3 65 0.04 so s0 $o $o $0 083 02 10004 29 $275.991 5413,966 So 63 65 2 999 999 31 999 F 3 63 0.04 so $0 so so so 083 02 10005 28 $441.585 5662.377 $0 65 67 2 219 250 32 999 F 3 65 0.04 so $0 so to $0 083 02 10006 27 $689,976 $1,D34,965 $125.000 70 72 2 241 275 34 80 B 3 70 0.04 $0 s0 so s0 so 08302 13004 22 $289.790 $434.685 $65.000 65 67 2 69 100 32 30 B 3 65 0.04 s0 so so so $0 $12,721.473 $591.6% 50 $0 $0 $0 .1 1 B1V4YEV NK4 1N}g6 Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 1 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) FIRST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS I I i Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data i (Interest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Struculres 51.00 !Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.51 5.94 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $123,318 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 2.30 2.30 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6,340,200 Maximum Slope for Active Profile 2.00 i Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feel) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 162-285 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact E6 for typical beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Cumulative Normal Without Project SF Distribution Error Term Storm Surge Elevation for LI Sound on SF Distribtuion. Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev--0.5) (accretion) rosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVDj) Distance(ft) Value Factor I 1 1991 8.00 4.90 8.33 0 0.93 -x z 2 1992 9.00 r a 1 I all 7.12 10.18 0 0.87 3 1993 5.80 10.70 7.13 0 0.82 4 1994 6.90 021 s " 627; 16.97 7.11 0 0.76 5 1995 6.90 103 $$+ 23.80 5.87 0 0.71 6 1985 7.10 ` -030 154 22.26 6.80 0 0.67 7 1986 5.80 24.82 5.78 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 (i' ' �3 '0 28 s � 0 31 24.51 6.02 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 0?$ 200 26.50 7.14 0 0.54 10 1989 6.00 to _ 0 72 _ .Y �_ s 3 52 30.02 6.72 0 0.51 1 R 1 WOREV.WK4 12/22/98 C_M T-SKiTTED 31 Z. tv " ai l." ra IXI. lo I:1 1.1 112 YEAR 3-FIRST 5 OM wrE an I- R= ..... ..... -4mni In;I I vo :In ocm¢cureo ur sc,siea xemc o-srw1n YEAR!-FIRST E BIB srsucrw[ sun�rwo sun ecrons se,eso� mnae sw+awi eunrtwo au�weso suwuo __ �rr�rw __ _ _ _ ____ .._ _ _ _._ .._ L wr E b - - w ry� x b b ] t]s e e ] .1 1.0 b 17, Wf565 Obbrm ]x bef.Tn Nxt5n5 155nm b of ] b! �a ]r5 ]o ! b o mow ro r00r rBGr b r.r Sve b ba wa Ls] 00. b YEAR 6-FIRST 5 BIG 21 ai rl I" 10 lw ww uErnEwrEo rm sErvc. .crwE as]PxcE owrE w+Eon YEAR t-FIRST 5 BIG a+rta >wvcrwE wnu�uD uux azrwE sErerc. maru sronaP¢ Pu.Puo wv�a�o mawin neon __. _ _ .. nrnPc vu a�rrtrn . k. 1.0 srnurwE nEnKE cnovW rtooP duu{ as]u+cE psrucE rOPwwFIo or PEwr roEEl ra El eE.ror wuE.a+ unrPnr.[ asru{ sanoPra] ��PP Eriv.].m _. - caiwa Fp.vs]uncu o r ]Irr ruuw�a rr- ] 6 irwrsr t r ronrEO+'/P4 a0. P EEVP r EEv vn>7: mnr nOVFa+ 00 wI E]]P6e w b w w!D]�.WP ]] S]evr�r uu6u X rd c] ] r-05 rW !�! b P P D� Dw� bo lq ra'1 77>F fE]6 b PP +Y] b 650 DD .006 DD b YEAR I-IMST I IIM yw IT= -1 I., 21 I'll"1 2,111 .11 11 1 1 412 ar I YEAR 2 FIRST 6 BIG ELEVA- I,-EL -T- 1 3 :11 10 311 tIZ, = nsruu - 7 - -."T=. ITI II V w 1I.To, jso -10 TIX "1-7 1. M Z .1. YIAR 11-1 RIT wo —t7— =Zam m 1 :1 21, 12 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR _ SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS_-_FIRST_5 BIG STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF CONTENTS COST ._.__ SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL (FT NGVD) _(FT NGVO) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) _ (FT) (me Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0680301000 53 f14a,997 $217,489 f0 50 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO C6503020W 54 5247,337 S371.DD6 SO SO 52 2 161 185 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 $0 30 SO 50 SO 068 D3030D0 55 5275.99I $413.986 SO 50 52 2 IIS IQ 24 9% F 3 50 DGI 30 30 SO SO SO 06803 D4DD0 56 5232.788 5349,182 $0 45 47 2 1285 1S0 21.5 9% F 3 45 0G4 SO SO SO SO $0 ON 0306000 SB $97.582 $146,373 50 45 c 2 158.5 180 21.5 999 F 3 45 Do" SO $0 50 SO 50 06803060DO 57 5248.392 5372,587 SO 45 47 2 138.5 160 21.5 999 F 3 45 004 SO SO $0 SO 30 0720101005 35 5331.189 54%.783 $68,750 SO B2 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 SO 0.04 b SO $0 SO 50 072 01 01006 36 SSSI.981 5827,972 %8.750 B5 87 2 178.5 220 41.5 30 B 3 SS 0.04 S0 $D 50 SO 50 0720101ODD 34 $275.991 5413,986 568,750 S0 82 2 241 280 39 30 B 3 80 004 SO SO 30 SO 30 0720201000 33 $215,239 $327.355 SO 70 72 2 IN 220 N 9" F 3 70 004 SO 50 SO 'SO W 073 02 01000 37.1 5232,788 SU9,102 $62.500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 0.04 SO SO 50 S0 SD 0730203001 37 3275,991 5413,986 56875D 80 02 2 141 1S0 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 SO 30 SO SO SO 0730401000 42 5275,991 5413,966 50 45 47 2 193.5 215 21.5 999 F 3 45 Doe 50 30 SO $0 SO 073 04 01000 70 $185.158 $277.738 S0 40 42 2 91 110 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 SO $0 50 SO SD 0730401000 41 S1SSASS 3277,738 SD 35 37 2 43.5 SO 16.5 999 F 3 35 004 $0 SO $0 SD $0 0730 DI000 40 $232,788 5349,102 SO 35 37 2 MS 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO W SO SO 50 0730401000 39 $117.098 5175,848 SO 40 42 2 166 185 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 SO $0 30 S0 SO 0730402001 44 5413,985 W20.979 SO 40 42 2 1111 200 19 999 F 3 40 004 $0 SO SO 50 $0 07304 D2002 45 $218.239 5327,358 30 40 42 2 106 125 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 50 SO SO 30 SD 07304 CM 46 5331,189 5496,70 50 35 37 2 999 999 165 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 07401 35052 47 57O7590 $455,384 SO 40 42 2 III 130 19 999 F 3 40 Does SO 30 SO SO $0 074/1135053 48 SI5I,078 $226,618 30 45 47 2 123.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 0,04 SO $D 34 $0 30 0740135054 50 $117.098 $175,648 SO 45 47 2 48.5 70 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO 34 30 $0 S0 0740135054 49 $151.078 $226.618 SD 45 47 2 1285 150 21.5 999 F 3 45 0,04 SO SO 30 SO 30 ON 0I 350,55 51 f144,993 $217,489 SD 45 47 2 123.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 004 50 $0 $0 $0 50 0740135056 52 5'..m $217pe9 30 45 47 2 108.5 I30 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 30 SO S0, SO SO 0830201U00 16.2 $38O400 5570,600 30 10 13 1 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 $0 30 SO $0 50 0830201000 16.1 $1.899.700 32,849.5% 30 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 $212,179 SO $212,179 SO 30 0530202000 16 $373,200 5559,800 30 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 10 0.04 $0 30 30 $0 SO O830203000 18 $151.078 5228,618 $0 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 No F 3 m 0.04 W 30 $0 $0 SO 0830204001 20 3218.239 5327,35E 365,000 65 67 2 98.5 130 31.5 20 B 3 65 0.04 $0 $0 $D 30 30 0830204002 19 5579,580 SS69,370 550,000 55 57 2 2035 230 26.5 20 B 3 55 0.04 30 SO $0 $0 $0 08302 C6002 23 5151,078 $226.618 $65,OD0 70 72 2 126 160 34 20 B 3 70 004 $0 SO SO $0 $D 08302070D2 24 5144,993 9217,489 SO 70 72 2 156 ISO 34 BIG F 3 70 0." - SO 50 $0 50 SO 08102070D2 25 $167.80 $251.797 568,750 73 75 2 144.5 160 35.5 30 B 3 73 004 $0 SO 30 SO 30 OS30207003 26 $482.984 5724,475 $0 70 72 2 216 250 3r 999 F 3 70 0.04 50 $0 SO $0 SO ' OB302 IoO02 32 $151,078 $226.618 SO 63 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 63 004 $0 SO $0 $0 $0 0830210002 31 $218.239 $327.358 30 65 67 2 2185 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 SO $0 SC $0 SO OB30210004 29 $275991 5413,986 $0 63 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 83 0.04 30 SO 30 so $0 0630210005 28 5441.585 $662,377 SO 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 SO 30 SO SO SO 083021ODDS 27 $66S976 51,034,965 SM." 70 72 2 241 275 34 SO B 3 70 0.04 50 $0 30 S0 50 08302130D4 22 $289.790 $434.685 565.000 65 67 2 0.5 100 31.5 30 B 3 65 0.04 30 SO $0 50 SO 321ZI79 30 5212.178 SO $0 I RtaaREV N%4 17R7FJ4 DEPRECIATED MIN SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF SEC BLK LOT 10 NO. DSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (F7) (FT) (FT) I-Nate(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATIONDAMAGE WAVEDAMAGE BULIOIEAD DAAUIGE 0680301DW 53 5144993 S217,489 SO 50 52 2 101 IN 24 999 F 3 SO 004 SO SO SO SO Za ON 0302000 5a 5247,337 S371005 SO SO 52 2 161 185 24 999 F 3 SO 004 SO SO SO SO SO 06B 03 D3000 55 S275,991 S413.986 $D 50 ,52 2 116 IQ 24 999 F 3 SO 0.04 SD SO S0 SO $O 0690304000 56 $232788 1149.182 SO 45 47 2 IN'S ISO 21.6 999 F 3 45 004 SO $0 SO SO $0 068 03 06000 58 S97,582 3146.373 $O 45 47 2 158.5 180 215 999 F 3 45 ON SO SO SO $0 $0 068 03 06000 57 S246392 S372.587 SO 45 47 2 138.5 160 21.5 999 F 3 45 004 SO SO SD $O SD 0720101005 35 $331.189 34%.783 SW.750 BO 82 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 BO ON $O SO $0 SO SO 0720101 DOE 36 $551.98, $827.972 360750 85 87 2 1785 220 41.5 30 B 3 85 004 $O SO $O SO f0 0720101008 34 S275,991 $413.986 $68.750 80 82 2 241 NO 39 30 B 3 SO 0.D4 SO SO SO SO f0 0720201 BOB 33 S218.239 $327.358 SO 70 72 2 IN 220 34 999 F 3 70 ON SO SO S0 SO SD 0730201000 371 $232.788 S349,182 $62,500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 004 SO SO SD SD SD 0730203001 37 $275.991 $413.986 S68,750 SO 82 2 141 IN 39 30 B 3 80 004 SO $0 $O Sa SO 0730401000 42 $275.991 $413.986 SO 45 47 2 193.5 215 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 $0 SO SO $0 SO 073 04 01 BOB 30 $185.158 $277.738 SO 40 42 2 91 110 19 999 F 3 40 ON SO SO $0 SD SO 073NO10M 41 $185,158 $277.738 SO 35 37 2 43.5 60 NLS 999 F 3 35 OA4 S0 $0 S0 SO $0 0730401000 40 7232.788 5349,182 SO 35 37 2 73.5 90 165 999 F 3 35 004 $0 S0 $0 SO SO 07304010M 39 $117.098 $175.60 SO 40 42 2 166 185 19 999 F 3 40 D.04 SD $O SO SO SO 0730402DOI M 3413,986 $620.979 SO 40 42 2 181 2DO 19 999 F 3 40 ON SO SO S0 SO SO 0730402002 45 $218.239 S327,358 $O 40 42 2 108 125 19 999 F 3 40 004 SO SO $O SO $0 0730402002 46 S331,189 1W96,783 SO - 35 37 2 999 999 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO 30 SO $0 SO 074 01 35052 47 WMA90 $455.384 SO 40 42 2 111 130 19 9" F 3 40 0.04 SO SO SO SO $0 07401 35053 48 $151.079 $225,616 SO 45 47 2 123.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO SO SO $0 SO 0740135054 50 $117,098 317S.648 SO 45 47 2 18.5 70 215 999 F 3 45 004 SO $O SO SO SO 074 01 35054 49 $151.078 $226.B18 SO 45 47 2 128.5 ISO 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 S0 SO SO SO SO 07401 35055 51 $144993 5217,489 $0 45 47 2 123.5 m 21.5 999 F 3 45 ON SO $O SO SO SO 074013505E 52 S144993 $217.489 $O 45 47 2 10(5 130 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO SO $0 SO SO 0830201000 16.2 5380.400 $570.600 $O 10 13 1 91 95 4 999 F 3 f0 ON $0 $0 S0 SO $0 0830201000 15.1 $1.899.700 $2.849.550 SO 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 f0 0.04 S242.9Z1 $O S24Z,9D SO SO M 020200D 16 S373.200 5559.800 SO 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 10 0.04 SO S0 $0 SO SO 0630203000 IB 5151,078 $226.618 $0 35 37 2 n5 90 165 999 F 3 35 004 SO S0 $0 $0 SO 0830204001 20 $218.239 $327.358 %5,000 65 67 2 98.5 130 31.5 20 B 3 65 ON SO SO SO $0 SO W3 02 04002 19 S579.58) $869,370 550,000 SS 57 2 2035 2W 26.5 20 e 3 55 004 SO SO SO $0 S0 W0206002 23 $151.078 $226.618 565,000 70 72 2 125 160 N 20 B 3 70 004 SO SO SO SO SO OB30207002 24 111",993 S217,489 SO 70 72 2 156 190 34 999 F 3 70 004 SO SO S0 SD S0 M 0207002 25 5167,865 $251.797 S68.750 73 75 2 144.5 I 35.5 30 B 3 73 Du SO SO SO $O SO 0830207003 26 W2.994 $724.475 $O 70 72 2 216 250 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 SO SO $0 SO SO 0830210002 32 $151.078 $226.618 SO 0 65 2 999 99930.5 999 F 3 63 004 S0 SO SO $0 S0 0830210002 31 $218.239 $327.358 SO 65 67 2 21I5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 DN SO SO SO $D SO 0830210004 29 $275.991 S413,966 SO 63 65 2 999 999305 999 F 3 63 0.04 $O SO SO $0 SO OW 021 ODDS 28 S1.585 S.662.377 SO 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 0830210006 27 $689,976 $1.034.965 S125.000 70 72 2 241 275 34 80 B 3 70 004 SO $0 $0 SO SO 0830213OD4 22 $269.790 $434.685 SB5,000 65 67 2 68.5 100 31.5 30 B 3 65 0.04 SO S0 SO SO $D 324ZM SO 3242,923 f0 SOI � RiVA7REVYM4 1}R241B Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 1 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) LAST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Interest rate= 7.00% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucu 51.00 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ftlyr) 1.51 5.94 Avg.Dep.Replac $123,318 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 2.30 2.30 Total Dep.Repla $6,340.200 Maximum Slope for Active Profile 2.00 (Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure j Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 162-2135 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transect E6 for typical beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=O,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVD) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1985 7.1033 192x 1.92 7.43 0 0.93 2 1986 5.80x 3 ' 1'18 b 52 2.45 6.98 0 0.87 3 1987 6.30 1 33 6 Odd 2.59 7.63 0 0.82 i 4 1988 6.90 ,, 3 4 2i � �52' 6.11 7.11 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 = 103 1 d8 7.59 4.97 0 0.71 n 6 1991 8.00 0 3tl# I)4' 16.63 7.70 0 0.67 7 1992 9.00 -Q 02 ' 3 8 20.51 8.9B 0 0.62 8 1993 5.80 s s 0 28 �� 23.38 5.52 0 0.58 9 1994 6.90 � f124 76 30.14 7.14 0 0.54 10 1995 6.9072 r .6 36.26 7.62 0 0.51 1 R1 WOREV.WK4 12/22/98 YEAR I LAST 5 BIG _Entivox Y.."'-LAST-1111. =E— 01� VElfit REL 11-1 X;. —.T -215 YEIIRI,"STIIIIG 11 El :Z 112 IN al ID I ID D .1 D 1Z. .1 11 11 1 I IMI IZ 12 YFAR4.LASTSBIG - -- ---- - --—-- _4 l�"B-1-WE-ITECREI V—MZ .2 so 111; :111,X 1.10 0. 2 N 1 2 1.1 III YFARI-LAs11"I"IF' SYMY I F'I'— I EIMIM lwl et 21.= 0, t 15, 00 YEAR!•LAST!810 p�E I (at151pu MpxD. W.V¢ - .. Mti,p. r � w w w� w w w 1 ttvnecureo w+ee.e.a .xce oux[an wNE on YEAR 7•LAST/RIO _ ol a �I a, w a a a� YEAR I-LAST 5 BIG ocrx[wn° um ss.°.ca ,crrv[ YEAR 9-LAST 0 BIB _ =m a e.°a[ ,� ,mom �;~� -;lr r !r oa o °� ';F°ol tRES1 EL FIU SwA.N1.WX. p w w� w w w+° w wl � w w.Wim n [+•n r° [,>.f+. trsaoo u� !+ � us iW ,i• w B . cs oal uo vo xo v.. vW W ri aso m sto 00 -YB °o w R. -M IM DWIj IMEII w. N,l: IT I :010 Zl I rl. .0 .0 00 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR OUNEOR _ SUMMARY_ 0F ALL_1O YEARS_-LAST S BIG STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHOREUNE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF _ -CONTENTS COST _____._ _.. _...___..__._____..__ DAMAGE .._... _. ..__ BEC_BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL (FTNGVO) (FT NGVO) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVOj SLOPE CftITIAI DAMAGE_ _ EROBION_DAMAGE _INUNDATI.ON DAMAGE _WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0680301000 53 $1-.993 $217,489 SO SO 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 06803020D0 54 $247.337 $371.006 50 50 52 2 161 HIS 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 50 SO SO 50 SO O680103000 55 $275.991 $413.986 Sd S0 52 2 116 IQ 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 $0 $0 SO 30 50 0680304000 56 $232.788 $349.182 SO 45 47 2 t285 150 21.5 9" F 3 45 O.D4 $0 50 $0 $0 SO 0680306000 58 $97.582 $146.373 SO 45 47 2 158.5 IN 21.5 999 F 3 45 0,04 SO 50 SO SO so 068 03 060M 57 $248,392 5372.587 f0 45 47 2 1385 160 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO 50 SO $O SO 07201 01005 35 $331,189 5496,783 SBB,750 BO 82 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 BO O.D4 SO 50 $O SO SO 0720101006 36 5551.981 $827,972 568,750 85 87 2 t7B.5 220 41.5 30 B 3 65 004 $0 SO SO $O SO . 0720101038 34 $275,991 $413,9W M,750 B0 82 2 241 280 39 30 B 3 60 0,04 $O $0 $O S0 SO O720201000 33 $218.239 5327.3W S0 70 72 2 166 220 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 50 SO 30 SO SO 0730201ODD 37.1 $232.788 $349.182 562.500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 0.04 SO 50 $0 Su 50 073 02 00001 37 $275,991 5413,985 568,750 80 82 2 141 IN 39 30 B 3 80 004 SO SO SD $D $O 0730401000 42 $275.991 5413.966 SO 45 47 2 1935 215 21.5 999 F 3 45 004 50 SO 50 SO SO 0730401000 38 $185.158 $277,738 $0 40 42 2 91 110 19 999 F 3 40 004 50 SO SO SO SO 0730401000 41 $185,158 S277.738 SO 35 37 2 Q5 60 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 50 SO SO $O SO 0730401000 40 $232.7W 5349,182 SO 35 37 2 73,5 SO 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO SO S0 SO SD 0730401" 39 5117.098 $175,646 SO 40 42 2 IN 185 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 SO $0 SD SO SO 07304020DI . 5413,986 5670.979 SO 40 42 2 181 200 19 999 F 3 40 mu S0 SO SO $0 SO 0736402W2 45 $218.239 $327.358 SO 40 42 2 106 125 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 50 SO $0 $O SO 073 04 02002 46 $331.189 $496.783 $O m 37 2 999 999 16.5 999 F 3 35 0,04 SO SO SO $O SO 074 01 35052 47 SW3,590 $4SS.W4 S0 40 42 2 111 130 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 50 SO SO SO SD 0740135053 48 $151.078 5226.618 SO 45 47 2 1235 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 004 $O SD S0 $0 $O 0740135054 50 $117,096 $175.648 $O 45 47 2 4B.5 70 21.5 999 F 3 45 004 50 50 SO $0 SO 0740135054 49 $151.078 $226.616 $0 45 47 2 128.5 t50 21.5 9" F 3 45 004 SO S0 SO S0 SO 0740135055 51 5144.993 $217.489 SD 45 47 2 123.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 30 SO 50 SO SO 07401 35OW 52 5144,993 3217,489 SO 45 47 2 103.5 130 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 50 SO SD SO SO 0830201000 16.2 5380.400 $570.600 SO 10 13 1 91 95 4 9" F 3 10 0.04 SO SO SO $0 SO 0830201000 161 SI.B99.700 $2.849.550 $0 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 D.04 50 SO $0 $D SO 0830202WO 16 $373,200 $55%W0 so 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 10 0.04 SO SO SO $O SO 08302030DO 18 $151.078 $226.618 $O 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 0,04 SO SO $0 $0 SD W3 02 04001 20 5218,239 $327.358 $65.= 65 67 2 0.5 130 31.5 20 B 3 65 004 $O 50 $D SO $0 0830204002 19 $579,580 $869.370 $50,0D0 55 57 2 203.5 230 - 26.5 20 B 3 55 0.04 SO SD SD f0 S0 0830206002 23 St51,078 5226.61E $65,000 TO 72 2 126 1® 34 20 B 3 70 0.04 SO SO $O SD S0 0830207002 24 5144,993 $217.489 SO 70 72 2 IN 190 34 999 F 3 70 004 50 SD SO 50 $O 053 02 07002 25 $1q.865 $251.797 $68.750 73 75 2 1"5 IN 35.5 30 B 3 73 0.04 $0 $O SO $0 $O 0830207003 26 3452.964 $724.475 50 70 72 2 216 250 m 999 F 3 TO 0.04 50 So S0 SO SO 08302 I0002 32 $151,078 5226,610 SO 83 65 2 9% 999 W5 999 F 3 63 0.04 SO $0 $0 S0 SD 0830210DD2 31 S218.239 5327,3% SO 65 67 2 21&S 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 SO SO $0 SO SO 083021000I 29 $275,991 5413,966 SO 0 65 2 999 999 WS 999 F 3 63 0.04 SO SO S0 $O SO 09302100D5 28 $441.585 $662,3T7 SO 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 SO SO $O S4 SO 083 0 I0006 27 $669.976 51,034,965 $12S.000 70 72 2 24I 275 34 80 B 3 70 0.04 50 SD $O $O S0 0830213004 22 $289,790 5434.685 $65.000 65 w 2 G15 100 31.5 30 B 3 65 0.04 SO $O 50 SO SO So $0 So $0 f0l I RINgi4V . 1}R}46 DEPRECIATED MIN,SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BUL101EA0 STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL BEACH - UNDISCOU_NTE_D VALUE OF SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS COST FT NGVD FTNGVO STORY BEGINS F F F _(_ 1,_ ( )_ (n (T) 11) (FT) (44e Nole(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0660301000 53 $144,993 $217,489 SO 50 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 SO 004 SO - _ - f0 _-_SO -__ S0 $O 0680302D00 54 $247.337 5371.006 SO 50 52 2 161 18S 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 SO SO SQ SO SO 0680303000 55 $275,991 5413,986 SO 50 52 2 116 IQ 24 9" F 3 50 004 SO $O $0 SO SD 0680304000 56 $232,768 LU9.182 $0 45 47 2 128.5 ISO 21.5 999 F 3 45 O.W So SO S0 SO SO D68 03 06000 58 $97.582 $146373 SO 45 47 2 158.5 ISO 21.5 9" F 3 45 004 SO $0 SO SO $O 0660306000 57 $248.392 $372,587 SO 45 47 2 MS 160 21.5 999 F 3 45 ON SO SO SO SO SO 072IN 01005 35 $131,169 5496,783 568,750 SO 82 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 0720101006 36 $551.981 $827,972 W8,750 65 87 2 178.5 220 41.5 30 B 3 65 CD4 SO 50 SO SO $O 0720101" 34 $275.991 5413.986 $68.750 80 82 2 241 250 39 30 B 3 SO 0.04 SO SQ SO S0 SO 0720201 OOD 33 $218.239 $327.358 SO 70 72 2 186 220 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 SD SO - SO SO $0 0730201000 371 $232.788 5349,182 $62,500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 0.04 $0 SO SO SO SO 0730203001 37 $275.991 5413,986 566750 80 82 2 141 1S0 39 30 B 3 SO 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 073 D401000 42 $275.991 $413.9811 SO 45 47 2 193.5 215 21.5 999 F 3 45 0O4 SO SO $O SO SO 073040f000 78 5185,158 5277.738 $O 40 42 2 91 it0 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 $O $0 SO SO SD 073 D4 DI ODD 41 $185.158 $277.738 SO 35 37 2 43.5 60 165 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 0730a 01000 40 $232.758 $349.182 $0 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 $D SO SO SD SO 073 U401000 39 4117.098 5175,6d8 SO 40 42 2 166 185 19 999 F 3 4O 0.04 50 $O Sa $0 SO On 04 D2DD1 . 3413,988 5620.979 SO 40 42 2 181 200 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 07304 D2002 45 $216.239 $327.358 $0 40 42 2 IDS 125 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 SO SO SO $0 SO 0730402002 46 $331.189 $490.783 SO 35 37 2 999 999 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO SO $O SO $0 0740135052 47 $303,590 $455.384 SD 40 42 2 111 130 19 9" F 3 40 0.04 $O SO SO SO $0 0740135053 48 $151.078 $226.618 SO 45 47 2 123.5 145 215 999 F 3 4S O.N S0 SO $0 50 S0 0740135054 50 $117,090 $175,6ae $O 45 47 2 48.5 70 215 999 F 3 45 004 SO SO SO SO SD 0740135054 49 5151.07E $226.618 SO 45 47 2 128.5 ISO 21.5 999 F 3 45 0,04 SO SO SO SO SD 0740135055 51 5144,993 $217,489 SO 45 47 2 123.5 m 21.5 9" F 3 45 OA4 50 W SO SO SO 07401350'.fi 52 $144,993 $217,489 SO 45 47 2 108.5 130 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO $0 S0 SO SO 0830201000 16.2 5380.40D $570.600 SO 10 13 1 91 95 4 9B9 F 3 10 0.04 SO 50 $O SO SO 0830201000 16.1 51,899,700 $2.849,550 SO t0 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 t0 0.04 SO SO SO SO SO 053 02 02000 16 $373.200 $559,600 SO 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 t0 004 SO SO SO SO SO W30203000 iB $151.078 5226618 SO 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 004 SD SO SQ SO 50 call 020400t 20 $218.239 $327.350 565.000 65 67 2 WS 13O 31.5 20 B 3 65 0.04 SO $0 SO $O SO OB30204002 19 $579.58D $869.370 SS0,000 55 57 2 2035 230 265 20 B 3 S5 0.04 SD $0 SO SO SO 0S30206002 23 $151.078 $226.618 $65,000 70 72 2 126 160 34 20 B 3 70 0.04 S0 SO $0 SO SO OBT0207002 24 3144,993 $217,489 SO 70 72 2 156 190 J4 999 F 3 70 004 SO SO SO - SO $O 0830207002 25 $167.865 $251.797 $68.750 73 75 2 1".5 180 35.5 30 B 3 73 0.04 SO SO $0 $O SO OBT 0207003 26 $4 .984 $724,475 SO 70 72 2 216 250 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 SO SO SO SD $O 003021OD02 32 $151.078 $228618 SO 63 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 63 0.04 SD SO SO $O SO UB70210002 31 $218,T39 $327.358 SO 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.G4 SO 50 SO SO SO OB30210004 29 $275.991 $413.986 $O 63 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 63 0.04 SO SD SO SO SO 0630210005 28 5441,565 5662.377 $O 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 SO SO $O SO SO 0330210005 27 $689.976 51.03,1,965 $125.000 70 72 2 241 275 34 SO B 3 70 0.04 SO SO SD SO So 0830213W4 22 $289.790 $434,685 565,000 65 67 2 68.5 100 31.5 30 B 3 65 0.04 SO SD $0 SO $O SO SO $O So f01. 1 R1V47REVI-4 17R394 Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 1 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) RANDOM STORMS OVER 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion 8 Wave Data Structure Data Flood Stage Data ,Interest rate= 7.00% I Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres 51.00 Return Period(Yrs) Freq Stage Period of Analysis(years)_ 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ftlyr) 1.51 5.94 Avg.Dep.Replacemni Val $123.318 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 2.30 2.30 Total Dep.Replacement V $6.340.200 2 0.5 2.8 Maximum Slope for Active Profile 2 10 0.9 7.7 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250 Content to Structure 50 0.98 9.4 Value Ratio 0.50 100 0.99 10.4 --� -- - - ---- -- - - - - ---- 500 0.998 12.4 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 162-285 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact E6 for typical beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD.BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT.F=BLUFF Cumulative Normal Without Project SF Distribution Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation for LI Sound on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative Al Dune/Bulkhead Storm Storm Without Project for U Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Rewrrance Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,sldev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Interval(yrs) (ft.NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVDj) Distance(ft) _Value Factor 4.40 �faI, a �a3 � 4.02 4.73 0 0.93 2''`�x '�Z6c 3.60 ¢ 5 r 1 7g 2.26 4.78 0 0.87 ' 3 �' 4.60gy 9.20 5.93 0 0.82 4� '%�$'( 5.20 x sttti - 021 �" -'�e535' 14.56 5.41 0 0.76 5.80 , ;3 F_3n.i 03 i'. 8 82� 23.37 4.77 0 0.71 6 4.60 s",_y t ,( Sy '0 30 29.36 4.30 0 0.67 7 13 3.40 30.77 3.38 0 0.62 8 C 1 01 2.60 a -0 28 - [8 54 39.32 2.32 0 0.58 6.eo $ �„ '� b24 a 23'i 41.62 7.04 0 0.54 1 U .. �.1.013 2.80 > _ 0 M. ............. 6 48.14 3.32 0 - 0.51 1 RIWOREV.WK4 - 1222/9e YEAR I-RANDOM STORMS zz�lEVNE "D Z 12 ai ILI" "I :12 21 1 12 Z- Z" 112 1. .2 "Irz 1�2 171 1 92 Ir 11 ZI. .=,:g III= "1 2 YEAR]-RANDOM STORMS kma --mv -IF I M 112 1 2' 11 .11 11 211 NI '2 1* 2. 2 2. -2 -2 *DD '2 12 2 I * nur4 0�Idnu�va YEAR]-RANDOM STORMS Earua� ® ,a w ; w„� x x j .n. w x i w w w n x�n x arise t oum�w. n n.s rr, s..ssra. saws a e, 1 us ,m x,s n a x a oo. aew w sxo sn w so s,� w as oo ma oo w w YEAR 4 RANDOM STORM WEVE a,BV,wF HELVE 11 IE �Bw 1.0 01. ame roE eu, _. YEAR E RANDOM STORMS _.• ___ .. _ ... ..._. ._ .. _. FnoSbx _ m�up,i,4d, yyyF n M FEIF.CS _ di a� a� oo a YEAR B-RANDOM SMRMS EsucE prsr•rrc( f __ - _ wVx6,rox .__ __ _-._ PIOB[t � _��,��,��^°[,��,��wa�� . � ��,., _�.�;�•,o�l-.� _�_f�a I-o D. L:��Eo - ID al YEAR 7-RANDOM STORMS oral YEAR I RANDOM STORMS I ,J :1" A s[rMca "t wIt" a YEARS-RANDOM STORMS 21, 211 lw lw I.I.IZI YEAR 10-RANDOM STORMS 1.2 11 12"1 DI 1: ID �l D. 1.2 lw 1.0 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-RANDOM STORMS STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH __ __ __ _ _ _ PRESENT VALUE OF _ _ -CONTENTS COST FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS FT "SEC BLK LOT ID NO. OSRVL ( ( ) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NOW) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAI DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE Moot" 53 5144,90 $217.489 $O SO 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 50 MIN` SO f0 -_ SO SO .o 0680302000 54 $247337 $371,006 S0 50 52 2 161 1B5 24 999 F 3 so 004 S0 SO SO SD SD 06Sw W000 55 5275,991 $413.986 $0 50 52 2 116 IQ 24 999 F 3 SO 004 $0 $0 SO S0 30 0680304000 56 $232.788 5349.182 30 45 47 2 128.5 ISO 21.5 999 F 3 45 ON 30 S0 SO SO W 0690306000 SO $97.582 514O373 SD 45 47 2 ISB.S 180 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO S0 f0 50 SO 0680306000 57 5248.392 $372.557 S0 45 47 2 138.5 160 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 30 SO f0 SO S0 072 01 01005 35 5331,189 5496,783 568.750 80 82 2 176 215 39 30 8 3 SO 0.04 SD 30 SO f0 SO 072 01 01005 36 $551.981 5827,972 $68.750 85 87 2 178.5 220 41.5 30 B 3 85 0.04 SO $0 SO 30 SO 0720)01BOB 34 5275,991 5413.986 368.750 S) 82 2 241 280 39 3D B 3 80 0.04 S0 $O SO SO 50 0720201000 33 $218.239 5327,358 $0 70 72 2 186 220 34 999 F 3 7D 0Go SO f0 $0 f0 $0 073020 OOD 37.1 $232.70 5349,182 $62.500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 ON $0 $0 SO 30 30 073 02 03001 37 5275,991 5413,986 $68.750 60 82 2 141 180 39 30 B 3 80 ON $0 30 $0 $0 30 0730401000 42 $275.991 5413.966 f0 45 v 2 193.5 215 215 999 F 3 45 0.04 $O SO SO SO S0 073 04 01 OOO 38 $185.158 5277,738 $0 40 42 2 91 Ito 19 999 F 3 40 004 $0 SO S0 3o SO 0730401000 41 $185,158 $277.738 S0 35 37 2 43.5 60 165 999 F 3 35 004 5141,188 $141.188 $0 SO $0 On 0401 BOG 40 5232,788 f349.182 W 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO 30 30 30 S0 0730401000 39 $117.D9B $175.648 SO 40 42 2 166 185 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 30 SO 3o SO $0 0730402001 44 $413.966 wm.g79 SO 40 42 2 181 200 19 B99 F 3 40 004 SO SO SO SO S0 0730402W2 45 $218,239 5327,358 SO b 42 2 105 125 19 999 F 3 40 ON 50 f0 SO SO 30 073 04 02002 46 5331,189 $496,783 SO 35 37 2 999 999 16.5 999 F 3 35 Goo 30 30 $0 SO SO 07401 35052 47 f303,590 5455,384 SO 40 42 2 111 I30 19 999 F 3 40 004 $0 $0 30 SO $0. 07401 35M 48 $151.078 $226.618 SO 45 47 2 123.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO f0 SO SO SO 07401 35054 50 3117.098 3175,648 SO 45 47 2 48.5 70 21.5 999 F 3 45 ON SO f0 SO SO 30 07401 35054 49 SI51,078 $226.618 SD 45 47 2 128.5 1S0 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO SO S0 SD SO 0740135M 51 $144,993 1217,489 f0 45 47 2 In's 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO $0 SO $0 SO 0740135M 52 5144993 5217,489 f0 45 47 2 108.5 130 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 $O SO $0 S0 SO 08302010D0 16.2 $380.400 $570.600 50 IO 13 1 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 004 SO 79 Sa 30 SO 08302 WOOD 16.1 $1,899.700 $2.849.550 30 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 SO 30 SO $0 50 0830202000 16 $373,200 f559,800 $0 14 14 1 999 999 6 999 F 3 10 004 f0 $0 fO 30 $0 O830203000 18 $151.078 $226.618 SO 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 ON SO 30 f0 50 $0 OM 02040D1 20 $218.239 5327,358 $65,000 65 67 2 98.5 130 315 20 B 3 65 0.04 S0 30 SO f0 SD OB30204002 19 $579,SB0 $869,370 $50.000 SS 57 2 203.5 230 25S 20 B 3 55 0.04 50 30 SO SO S0 M W D6002 23 $151,078 $226.618 $65.000 70 T2 2 126 1SO 34 20 B 3 70 0.04 S0 SO $0 S0 SO 0830207002 24 $144,993 $217,489 30 70 72 2 156 190 N 9% F 3 70 0.04 f0 30 SO SO f0 083 D207D02 25 $167,865 M1.797 $68.750 73 75 2 144.5 1S) 355 30 B 3 73 0.04 SO 30 SO SO $D OW D207D03 26 $482.984 f724,475 SO 70 72 2 216 250 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 $O S0 30 SO 50 OW 0210002 32 $151.078 $226.618 SO 63 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 63 ON 30 SO SO f0 S0 06302 IOD02 31 5218,239 $327.2158 S0 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 ON $O $O SO $0 $D OB30210004 29 5275.991 f413,986 f0 63 65 2 999 999 305 999 F 3 63 ON f0 30 S0 SO 30 08302 IOD05 28 5441,585 5662.377 SO 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 30 SO $0 $0 $O 0830210D06 27 $689,976 51094,965 $125.000 70 72 2 241 275 34 80 B 3 70 0.04 $0 $O SO 50 30 0830213004 22 $289.no X.665 $65,000 65 67 2 0.5 100 31.5 30 e 3 65 O.D41 S0 so SD $0 $O $141,188 $141.188 SO 30 fDl RIY4XEEV.NK4 17R25B DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH UNDISCOUNTEDVALUE OF A___ ... .._.___ . __. __.. _.F_. .. ._ SEC BLK LOT ID NO. OSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Nole(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) ELOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE _INUNDATION DAM_AGE__ WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0680301000 53 $144.993 $217.489 SO 50 52 2 101 125 24 999 F 3 50 OD4 s0 s0 $0 $O SO 068 03 02000 54 5247 337 5371 006 s0 50 52 2 161 185 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 0680303000 55 $275.991 $413.986 S0 50 52 2 116 140 24 999 F 3 50 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 so 068 03 NOW 56 $232.788 $349.182 $O 45 47 2 1285 150 215 999 F 3 45 0,04 so SO s0 $0 $0 06803 OGO00 58 S97,SB2 $146.373 s0 45 47 2 1585 180 21.5 999 F 3 45 ON s0 so s0 s0 s0 0680306OW 57 5248,392 $372,587 s0 45. 47 2 13B5 160 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 so 0720101005 35 $331.189 $496.783 S613.750 80 82 2 176 215 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 so so SO SO s0 072 01 01006 36 $551.981 5827,972 s68.750 85 87 2 178.5 220 41.5 30 B 3 85 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 0720101008 34 $275.991 $413.986 S6B.750 80 82 2 241 280 39 30 B 3 80 0.D4 s0 30 $O s0 sO 0720201000 33 5218,239 $327.358 $0 70 72 2 106 220 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 $0 $0 s0 s0 s0 073 02 01000 37.1 $232.788 $349.182 $62.500 70 72 2 126 160 34 30 B 3 70 0.D4 30 so 30 SO $0 07302030DI 37 $275.991 $413.988 $68.750 80 62 2 141 180 39 30 B 3 80 0.04 s0 $0 $O SO $0 0730401000 42 $275.991 $413.SW s0 45 47 2 193.5 215 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 SO s0 s0 s0 so 073 G401000 38 $185.155 5277,738 s0 40 42 2 91 110 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 s0 s0 30 $0 so 0730401000 41 $185.158 $277.738 SO 35 37 2 43.5 60 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 3277.738 $277.738 s0 s0 s0 0730401000 40 5232,788 $349.162 s0 35 37 2 73.5 90 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 $0. s0 SO s0 s0 0730401000 39 $117.098 $175.648 s0 40 42 2 166 185 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 s0 $O s0 $0 SO 07304 02001 44 $413.986 s620,979 SO 40 42 2 181 200 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 so $O s0 s0 s0 0730402002 45 $218.239 5327.358 SO 40 42 2 106 125 19 999 F 3 40 004 s0 s0 s0 s0 SO 073 04 D2002 46 $331.189 $496,783 s0 35 37 2 999 999 16.5 999 F 3 35 0.04 s0 SO SO s0 $O 0740135052 47 $303.590 $455,384 s0 40 42 2 111 130 19 999 F 3 40 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 $0 0740135053 48 $151.070 $226.618 SO 45 47 2 f23.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 so s0 s0 s0 s0 0740136054 60 $117.098 $175,648 s0 45 47 2 48.5 70 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 so s0 s0 s0 s0 0740135054 49 $151.078 $228.618 s0 45 47 2 128.5 150 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 0740135055 51 $144,993 5217,489 SO 45 47 2 123.5 145 21.5 999 F 3 45 OD4 to $O s0 $0 SO 0740135M 52 $144,993 $217,489 s0 45 47 2 108.5 130 21.5 999 F 3 45 0.04 s0 s0 s0 $0 $0 093 02 01000 16.2 $380,400 $570,600 So 10 13 1 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 0.04 s0 s0 SO s0 s0 08302010D0 161 s1,899.700 $2.049.550 s0 10 10 2 91 95 4 999 F 3 10 004 s0 s0 s0 $0 $O 0830202000 16 s373,20D s559.800 s0 14 14 1 SIM 999 6 999 F 3 10 0,04 s0 s0 s0 s0 SO 0830203000 18 $161.078 $226.618 s0 35 37 2 73.5 90 1&5 999 F 3 35 0.04 SO s0 s0 s0 s0 0630204001 20 3210239 $327.358 565,000 65 67 2 98.5 130 31.5 20 B 3 65 0.04 SO s0 s0 s0 s0 0830204002 19 $579,580 $869.370 $50,000 55 57 2 203.5 230 26.5 20 B 3 55 004 s0 SO s0 s0 $0 093 02 060D2 23 $151078 $226.618 $65.000 70 72 2 126 160 34 20 B 3 70 0.04 SO s0 s0 s0 s0 08302 07D02 24 $144,993 $217.489 s0 70 72 2 156 190 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 $0 s0 $0 s0 s0 0830207D02 25 $167.865 $251.797 $68.750 73 75 2 144.5 180 35.5 30 B 3 73 0.04 s0 s0 $0 $0 s0 0830207003 26 $482,984 $724.475 s0 70 72 2 216 250 34 999 F 3 70 0.04 30 $O $O s0 s0 08302 IOD02 32 $151.078 s226,618 s0 83 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 63 0.04 s0 s0 SO $0 SO 08302 1DD02 31 $218,239 $327.358 s0 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 s0 $0 s0 $0 $O 0830210004 29 $275.991 5413,986 SO 63 65 2 999 999 30.5 999 F 3 63 0.04 $0 s0 s0 so s0 0030210005 28 $441.555 $682.377 SO 65 67 2 218.5 250 31.5 999 F 3 65 0.04 $O so SO $O s0 W3 02 10006 27 $689.976 $1.034,965 $125.000 70 72 2 241 275 34 80 B 3 70 004 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 0630213D04 22 $289,790 5434,685 565,000 65 67 2 68.5 100 31.5 30 B 3 65 0.04 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 5277.738 $277,738 s0 so SOI 1 RIAOR".%K4 1Mll9s Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 2 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) AVERAGE 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data iInterest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres 51 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) -1.98 1.89 Avg.Dep.Replacemnl Value $140,843 Sld Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6.478,790 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.20 Avg.Bulkhead Cost($/LF) $250 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 145-161 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transect El for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF --- - -- ------- --- - -- -- --- - - --- -- -- ------------------ - ---------------- Normal Without Pro ect Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm j Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev--0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number_ Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVDj) __Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1985 7.10 �� ' = ,, k � 1.27 7.59 0 0.93 2 1986 5.80 g ' 033 � 1.58 8.13 0 0.87 ! 3 1987 6.30 €k �E t"'p -OB4 395E 5.52 5.46 0 0.82 4 1988 6.90 c a Q 22 e'-; r --4 90-: 0.63 7.12 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 - u 017 s 18 0$.. -17.45 5.83 0 0.71 I 6 1985 7.10 '- -S�bd �5 $7,1 -26.16 6.60 0 0.67 7 1986 5.80 ` -19.03 6.13 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 -29.38 6.14 0 0.58 j 9 1988 6.90 >a ,; .019 ; 278 -26.60 6.71 0 0.54 10 1989 8.00 _ k ,, mm ,�r 1„p8 ,.-.__,�, �._.- $-2$_ -18.32 4.92 0 0.51 f R2WO.WK4 f222198 asayce YEAR I AVERAGE 10 YEARS nZ 27, wuf YEARI,1111ERA I IIYEAeuwfia nu RI T.—T— Ir 120 YEAR 3-AVERAGE ID YEARS S=Jz,_ TW D D IZ I ll� .1 D: .1 I' asI.: I D* 2 'D 2 1 D 11 10 12 x 2 11. "III. NIZ A 1 n 1 z V I IS I N A in AS to 2 2 m YEAR 5-AVERAGE ID YEARS Im 1:11 Z 22 :12 NZu x .1 2 D I 1. 1 2 M. Iput w wusc« YEAR 0 AVERAGE 10 YEARS TRANIWIED ... .... IT 1. 21Z .1 131 YEAR 7-AVERAGE 10 YEARS 7:71 71;��, aurarzro Isi. 'ZI l z "I :Z.7 1:1Z 1. N WM YEAR 2 AVERAGE 10 YEARS pv- - - - 12 o[n,fwrzo dm s[+nvn .c,vc ds+wc[ ame evn[on amf an _ YEAR 0:AVERAGE 10 YEARS ___ „4�,m[ 4[ �� 4[w.�[ d„. [ d,,. [ ,d[�d�d �, � ° [f� dmf� � [d� � iw�; d1 .�[�. Iaa�•.o-� -� C`°�_ 1 ma °Idyo[ u MR 11,AVIIIG.10-.1 '60.1R.L MIAK.-FTET &m.,une, DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL I.O YEARS_-AVERAGE_10YEARS _ STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF __ __ _SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL .CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT,NGVDI_STORY_ STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see NRle(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNpATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE OS)01 01000 89 3%.BW 5149,7W SO 12 ti i I 3W ]10 M B% D J 11 0.11 SD 30 30 -._.W 70 06]OI D2000 70 3108.90 SIM.= $0 11 I4 1 1 2M 3W 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 70 30 SO 3a so W701 M(IM 11 Sa1.700 3122- 3o 11 13 1 1 • 2SS JW 45 9% D 3 11 0.11 $0 $0 30 3a so W1 o1040W 72 S143.3W s214,950 3o 11 14 1 1 275 320 45 999 0 3 11 0.11 SO _ $O SO f0 so 05T of ZDW 73 $117.1. 3176.550, so I1 11 1 1 2% 340 t5 999 D 3 11 0.11 $o s0 $0 s0 $0 W1 a1 OSWO 74 WSW 3119,700 $O 10 12 1 1 310 3W 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 so $o SD 3o so W1Ul o70W 75 a-,- 3187.950 30 10 12 1 1 310 3W 40 B99 D 3 11 O.tt $0 s0 $0 So s0 .71110BOo0 76 3129,9W 3191p50 SO 10 11 1 1 B% 999 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 $0 S0 $0 $0 so 0670109000 77 $1W,9W 31113o SO W 11 1 1 999 9% 40 B% D 3 11 0.11 SO 30 $0 30 $0 W)0201000 92 $125.300 3101.BW so a 15 1 1 889 B% W 9% D 3 11 0.11 so so so 30 SO W702 W(IN M 3M.SW 1132.)50 $0 9 13 1 1 9W 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO so so $0 SO W)W WOW Bd S151,3W 3228.950 S0 B 11 2 2 999 9% m 999 D 3 11 a.11 s0 s0 $0 SO so W).- % 3139.7W 32W.550 30 10 13 1 1 9% 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 ?a $0 f0 30 f0 W70]OMW % 31W.9W $1..- 30 10 12 1 1 0 999 D 3 11 o.11 $0 SO SO SD f0 W702WOW % 31W,1W SISa,I50 30 10 12 1 1 9% 9% 40 899 D 3 II 0.11 >D SO $0 $0 -so W7 W WW0 1W S78,5W $111.7M SO 10 12 t 1 4O 9% D 3 11 0.11 so so so SO s0 W702000W 101 S7B.SW 1117,750 $0 s 12 1 1 899 9% 35 899 0 J 11 0.11 SO so $0 s0 SO W).2 KKIN 78" SI65.500 $252.7. s0 10 It 1 1 40 999 D 3 II 0.11I f0 so S0 $0 SO .10210000 7B s143.40o S215.100 f0 9 11 1 1 999 999 ss 999 D 3 It O.I1I $0 s0 s0 30 f0 06)021- 79 313%m 32W.7W f0 a 9 2 2 999 B99 W 9W D l 11 O.ii $0 s0 $0 $0 $o W M 120W 51 S76.500 3111,7W 30 1 10 1 1 999 999 25 B99 0 3 11 0.11i $0 $0 s0 so S0 W]W I3%o 92 St M.- SIM.- SD 1 e 1.5 2 m mn mD 3 Il U.:1 S3.3% $0 3a,39e $0 $0 O6)02 14000 a3 5195.600 $293,dW so 5 1 2 ] m999 15 m0 3 II U. $69.731 $O $0.731 s0 $0 W W ISWO 90 $125.3W S187,850 3a 5 13 1 I %9 B% 15 - D 3 11 0.11 $0 M SO so s0 W7 W 21W1 91 3217,900 $326.a50 s0 7 9 1.5 2 999 999 25 9% 0 3 11 0.11 SO so so s0 s0 W7 W 22" M $151.4W S227.100 s0 5 12 1.5 2 B99 999 IS 999 0 3 11 0.11 $0 so 30 $0 SO W7 W 230W 64 $I31,2W sl%.BW SO 6 14 1 1 999 999 20 999 0 3 11 0.11 SO $0 3o 30 SO W7 M 07W0 910 $117.50. 3170.250 $0 15 15 1 1 9% 999 M 899 D 3 11 0.11 SO s0 3o s0 So W704W000 % 51e1.M f242.700 SO 5 6 1 1 mm15 m0 3 11 0.11 $2M.550 $0 32M,550 s0 so a670 MNI, W 373.W0 SIW,500 s0 a 15 1 1 999 m 30 mD 3 11 0.11 So SO so 3o so W70406W0 909 $151,3W S228,950 30 12 is 2 2 9W B% So 9W D ] 11 0.11 $0 so s0 s0 SO W104 WON 91] 5117,SW i176.2M So 11 1] I 1 899 9% 45 9% D 3 11 0.1f so so s0 $0 s0 W7a23W0 M f94,2W $141.300 $o 9 14 1 1 899 B% 20 B% D 3 11 0.11 so so so 30 so W70424 87 S122.00 SIM.= 30 a B 1 I B99 BW 20 899 D 3 11 0.11 sla}78 s0 5111,475 s0 $0 W7WWWo I SS1,W0 s78.500 $0 5 7 1 1 BOB 999 IS 9% 0 3 11 O.tf SM.723 so 334,723 $0 so W7 W IWW() 107 $1..- s202.2W 30 10 11 1 1 B% 9% 40 B99 0 3 11 0.11 50 s0 so $0 $0 W7W04000 110 3117,700 3176.550 s0 10 11 I I 999 BBB 40 m D 3 11 0.11 $0 $0 so $0 so W1D7II0W 112 s74.5110 s11t,150 So 7 a 1 I 9% 999 25 e% D 3 11 0.11 SI I,2M 70 $11.2. $0 M W70713W0 113 SMSW s117.750 So 7 a 1 I B% 9W n B99 D 3 11 0.11 smm so 311,8% $0 $0 .7W 14WO 114 S7B,5W f117.750 SO 7 a I I B% 899 n 9% D 3 11 0.11 s11,990 so 31I.8w so $0 WBWDBW7 62 $232,7BB s349,ta2 fo 35 37 2 2 170 220 W 9BB D 3 35 0.11 $a $0 so So 30 06a 0109003 63 $185,158 3277.738 $0 33 35 2 2 260 310 S0 9% D 3 33 0.11 30 $0 so s0 s0 aee W DaoW 61 $117.096 7175.6441 $0 38 40 2 2 I50 m W 9% D 3 38 0.11 W $0 SO s0 SO OM 1)3 MOW 59 $248.392 1312,M7 so 40 42 2 2 I55 IW So B% D 3 40 O.I, $0 SO W $0 $O OMWO9W0 65 $275,991 s4t3.9% so 40 42 2 2. 2W 250 W e% 0 3 40 0.11 $0 so SO $0 $O OBaW 1WW 66 $388,387 s579.5SO $o 35 37 2 2' 300 3M 50 999 D 3 35 O.tt $0 3o s0 30 so 0M W itoW 67 $ 232,7B8 SJ49,182 $0 30 32 2 2 989 999 50 899 D 3 30 0.11 so 70 so M 3o 06a W 12WO 68 $117,500 $176,2W $0 10 13 1.5 2 2. 2W 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 s0 $0 M031SON 64 $331,189 34911,753 $0 40 42 2 2 210 260 50 e% D 3 40 0.11 $o $0 so $0 s0 SI34A26 $420.943 30 sm.Ba1 $0 Sal DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ _ _ UNDIS_COUNTEO VALUE_OF _ SEG BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS _COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) _(FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) _SLOPE GRITNL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE DST 0101000 69 $99.800 SI49,700 s0 12 12 1 1 260 310 SD 999 D 3 17 0.11 s0_ so - so 30 SO 0870102000 70 $108.900 $163.350 so 11 14 1 1 285 33D 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO so SO s0 SO 0670103000 71 $81700 5122.550 so 11 13 1 1 285 33D 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 so so s0 SO W701 04000 72 $143.300 $214.950 SO 11 14 1 1 275 320 45 999 0 3 11 GtI s0 s0 SD s0 s0 0670105000 73 $117.700 $176.550 SO 11 11 1 1 295 340 45 999 0 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 so so so 067 01 06000 74 SWAD0 $149.700 s0 10 12 1 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 so SO s0 0670107" 75 $125,3DO $187.950 s0 10 12 1 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 GI SO s0 $U so s0 06701 O8000 76 $129.900 $194,850 s0 10 11 1 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 50 so S0 0670109000 77 $108.900 5163.350 so 10 11 1 1 999 999 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 $0 $0 so 0670201" 92 5125,300 3167.9W SO 8 15 1 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO s0 $0 s0 50 06702 D2000 93 $88.500 $132.750 $0 9 13 1 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 so $0 s0 s0 0670203000 94 $151,3(10 $226.950 SD 9 it 2 2 999 999 35 999 D 3 It 0.11 so $0 s0 s0 s0 067 02 04000 95 5139,700 $209.550 SI 10 13 1 1 999 999 m 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0 067 02 05000 98 5130.900 $196.350 s0 10 12 1 1 999 9% 40 9" D 3 11 0.11 SO SI SI SI so 0870206000 99 $100,100 $150.150 so 10 12 1 1 999 9" 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SI W s0 s0 s0 067 02 07000 100 $78.500 $117,750 s0 10 12 1 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 so s0 s0 $0 $0 0670208000 101 578,500 $117.750 s0 9 12 1 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 SO SI 06702 D9000 78A $10,500 5252,750 SO 10 11 1 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 W s0 s0 067 D210000 78 $143.400 $215.100 so 9 11 1 1 999 999 >5 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 so $0 so so 067 0211000 79 5139800 5209.7W so 6 9 2 2 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 so so so s0 06702120W 81 $78.500 5117,750 SO 7 10 1 1 9" 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 so $0 50 so s0 0670213000 82 5105,800 51511,700 s0 7 8 1.5 2 9W 9" 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 59,282 30 59282 s0 s0 0670214000 83 2195,600 $2921,400 S1 5 7 2 2 9" 9" 15 999 0 3 11 0.11 $92.780 $0 592,780 s0 $0 0870218000 90 5125,300 $187.950 s0 S 13 1 1 9" 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 $0 SI $0 0670221001 91 3217.900 5326.850 s0 7 9 1.5 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 $0 s0 s0 W 0670222000 as $151.400 $227.IDD so 5 12 1.5 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 W so $0 so s0 0670223" 84 $131,200 S19Q800 so 6 14 1 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 $0 s0 SO D6703070W 910 $117500 $176,250 S1 IS 15 1 1 '999 999 50 999 0 3 It GI SO s0 SO $0 SI 05704020DO 88 $161.800 3242.700 s0 5 6 1 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 DAI sm.199 SO 5382.199 s0 so 0670403000 69 173.000 5109.500 s0 8 15 1 1 999 999 30 999 0 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 s0 $0 s0 0670406000 909 5151,3DO $226.950 s0 12 16 2 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 $0 $0 30 0570407M 913 $117.50D 5176.250 s0 11 12 1 1 999 999 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 So s0 s0 SO SO 087 04 23000 68 594.200 $141.300 $0 6 14 1 1 9" 999 20 999 0 3 11 GAI s0 s0 SO s0 s0 067 04 240M 87 $122.000 f183,00o s0 6 B 1 1 999 999 20 999 0 3 11 0.11 520A23 50 320.423 50 so 0670502000 106 $51.000 $76,500 s0 5 7 1 1 999 m 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $46,194 $0 SW,194 - s0 SO 067050200D 107 2134,800 $202.200 so 10 11 1 1 999 999 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 so so $0 SO so 06705 G4000 110 $117,700 $176.550 SO 10 II 1 1 9" 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.1t $0 s0 s0 s0 $0 06707 11000 112 $74.500 $111.750 s0 7 6 1 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 312.471 50 512471 $0 s0 0670713000 113 578,500 3117.750 W 7 8 1 1 9" 999 25 999 0 3 11 0.11 $13.141 s0 313.141 $0 S1 D6707140M 114 $78.500 $117.750 SO 7 6 1 1 999 999 25 999 0 3 11 0.11 313.141 s0 $13.141 SO SI 068 02 08003 62 $232.788 $349.182 SO 35 37 2 2 t70 220 50 999 0 3 35 0.11 $0 $0 $0 s0 So 06802 G8003 63 $185 15 5271,738 so 33 35 2 2 260' 310 50 999 D 3 33 D.It s0 $0 s0 s0 s0 0680308003 61 $117:09: St75.648 SO 38 40 2 2 150 200 50 999 D 3 38 0.11 so s0 s0 so $0 0680308004 59 $248.392 s372.587 s0 40 42 2 2 155 205 50 999 0 3 40 0.11 s0 $0 $0 $0 $0 O5B 0309o00 65 $275.991 5413,988 $0 40 42 2 2 200 25D 50 999 0 3 40 O.lt $0 $0 50 $0 s0 0680310D00 66 $386.387 5579,580 30 35 37 2 2 300 350 50 999 0 3 35 DII $0 SO $0 $0 $0 0680311000 67 E232,788 SW.182 SO 30 32 2 2 999 999 50 B99 0 3 30 0.11 s0 $0 $0 W SI 06803120DO 68 SI 17.500 $176,250 s0 10 13 1.5 2 240 280 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO SO S1 30 068 03 13000 64 $331.189 $496.783 SO 40 42 2 2 210 Z60 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 $0 SO $0 $0 SD 3134.426 S569.630 $0 $569.630 so SOI 1 Rxnwc4 +xml9a Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 2 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) FIRST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Interest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storrs Number of Struculres 51.00 iPeriod of Analysis(years)= 10 (Mean Lang Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) -1.98 1.89 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $140,843 ESId Dev.of Long Tenn Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6,478,790 (Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.20 (Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feel) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 145-161 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact E14 for typical lop of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE. B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT.F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev--0.5) (accretion) rosion(accretion) Sound Erasion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (fit) (ft) (ft NGVDj) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1991 8.00 1351 -3.35 8.49 0 0.93 2 1992 9.00 033 1U Sig 7.46 9.33 0 0.87 3 1993 5.80 6.62 4.96 0 0.82 a 4 1994 8.90 16.36 7.12 0 0.76 T 5 1995 6.90 � ��`� � .-017 � �1l 4.59 6.73 0 0.71 6 1985 7.10 1)50 8 71 -4.12 6.60 0 0.67 r i 7 1986 5.80 0 33 7 14' 3.01 6.13 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 0 16 10 35f -7.34 6.14 0 0.58 i 9 1988 6.90 019 2l8' -4.56 6.71 0 0.54 10 1968 6.00 3.72 4.92 0 0.51 1 R2WO.WK4 12122/98 IZZ: ITZ 1. 11 :1 21. YEAR 2 FIRST 5 1310 —1 11E 'ME' EE Ed�E 1. :21 :.2 :2 :.2 2; N 1.2 .1 1. 112 .1 bo 2 00 1. �l 2 1. D[RR[uTim saETe]ta {cirvE DsurE wRE wREw YEAR]-FIRST9 BIG StnwTGRE Bu�wEW [,rBt BErDRE sFtO/ib rnoraE srwEt�xE NER]rtM eu BwFAD B - S,RIt,GRE R[R/�G V.4. RERF[F GROVtO RODR ps,I.1KE I'll cE 5EG ma_loi Dtq wsl �� ro010.b�RM Iu�uat i B M mEVb, ,RorF _ DSAK .cwiFRib trTxOwl Ir,RDw, mPn mtiras tell ,r,l Ir]i Ir or mtrr r'alR rI o trIX _ E ton Fl BFKI, WRFOR rvG191 Ir]RovDl mot4 1NE u R art2Or rM uwFM rro]� eA[�p+� YEAR4-FIRSTSBIG -TO. [2 IM T. W 11 11 0 1 1. 1. 1 10 ol �l W 1 11 IEI 12 1: 0 o:: oem[wreo mx sererw Berne o¢ruxz wut wxe na ix�uuwAp 6M.F6I5T6 Bq srxucruxe xuuwuo uxm eerw] semxcx rnorne spwernrt ernnvxo pnu�sso e� - - ... - .. xrnunmF eEMcvu nF04fE wordD riatK w�xrE IFT, JFTJ EUsrxxt2 rop'11, arpurr 'n irr�xi91 i0f�0 `rncntomem Iran I e a qr� IgEt,rruE ro Mrl _ �p WW WW m a w tree o 0 rose e ] ] cos�o rem oleos trm0 a 4�sr�a H95.ru W a a ] ]ro ]eo 50 0w o ] a o r ses M oo •xs e5e ro sr .55] N ao 00 )ps 10 w a TZ NEAR IIRIII 6.1. F. A. IZI 21Z 1. 11 1 11 1. .1 1 ID I I ZI I YEAR 7-FIRST 5 BIG N :1 N 1; X1. 221 1. 2 1 D I 1 21. YEAR 9•FIRST!BIG FL=, —.7 n.i RIC nr Mj7 z —=O' 171— X. .-I- III=;"!I.,T=l IF 2 Z I Z :1 1. 11 21 1 2 2=1 Z 2 lw 2Z N zi r Zii 1 1. 1.1 N 1 00 120 00 YEAR 10-FIRST 6 BIG 121 nZ I" In lw Xl : IN 1 2 1 .11 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-FIRST 5 BIG _ STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF _ SEC_BLK EROSION LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE DAMAGE INUNDATION GE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 06701 01000 69 $99.800 $149.700 SO 12 12 1 260 310 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 SO SO SO so 06701 020DO 70 S108,900 $163.350 so 11 14 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO s0 $0 s0 SO 067 01 030M 71 $81.700 S122.550 EO 11 13 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0,11 SO f0 $O s0 SO 0670104000 72 f143,3DO S214,950 $O 11 14 1 275 320 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 SO $0 $O EO D6701 05000 73 $117.700 S176,550 $O 11 11 1 295 340 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 EO $O f0 $0 E0 067 01 06000 74 S99.800 $149.700 SO 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 so SO so s0 SO 0670107000 75 $125.3W $187,950 $0 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO s0 $O $0 0670108000 76 S129.900 $194.850 SO 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO $0 SO EO s0 067 01 09000 77 $108,900 $163.350 SO 10 11 1 999 99940 999 D 3 11 0.11 $O f0 s0 SO $o 067 02 01000 92 $125,30D $187.950 SO B 15 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO $0 $O So s0 0670202000 93 $88.500 $132,750 $O 9 13 1 999' 999 35 999 0 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 $0 $0 06702030DO 94 $151.300 S226.950 SO 9 11 2 999 W9 35 991) D 3 11 0.11 SO SO s0 so $0 06702 G4000 96 $139,700 S209.550 $0 10 13 _ 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 so so s0 so $o 0670205000 99 5130.900 $196,350 s0 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 So s0 f0 s0 SO 0670206000 99 $100.100 S150"So s0 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO s0 so $O SO 0570207000 100 $78,50o $117.750 30 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 f0 $O s0 067020BODD 101 $78.500 E117,750 s0 9 12 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 SO $O so SO 067 02 09000 78.1 E168,500 $252.750 s0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $O SO SO s0 $0 06702 1D000 78 $143.400 $215.100 SO 9 11 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 s0 so s0 _ 0670211000 79 $139.800 5209,7DO SO B 9 2 999 999 30 999. D 3 11 0.11 $24,045 SO $24.045 $O s0 0670212000 81 S78,50D S117,750 $0 7 10 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 S5.249 s0 E5,249 $0 SO 00 0670213000 02 $105,8 $158.700 $0 7 8 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $31.152 So E31,152 s0 $0 0670214000 83 f195,60D $293.400 s0 5 7 2 9% 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $130.553 $0 $130.563 So SO 0670218000 9D 5 25,300 3187,950 so 5 13 1 999 999 15 9% D 3 11 0.11 $O SO s0 s0 SO 0670221001 91 $217,900 S328,850 $0 7 9 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 OAI $37.478 s0 $37.478 s0 s0 0670222000 85 S151,400 $227.100 s0 5 12 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 so s0 s0 SO s0 D67 02 23000 84 $131.200 S196,800 s0 6 14 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 30 SO SO s0 s0 CST 0307000 910 f117,500 1176'21D SO 15 15 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 so s0 so $0 007 D402000 Be 3161,800 $242,700 s0 5 6 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 3300,028 s0 $300,028 s0 $0 06704030DO 89 $73.000 $109.501) so B 15 1 B99 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO SO $0 SO 06T 0406000 909 f151,300 $226,950 So 12 18 2 999 999 50 9" D 3 11 0.11 f0 s0 SO so so 057 04 070M 913 $117.500 $176.250 s0 11 12 1 999 999 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 so s0 0670423000 Be $94.200 $141.300 s0 6 14 1 9" 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 $D s0 s0 SO SO 0670424000 87 $122.000 S1B3,000 s0 8 8 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 S67,931 $0 $67.931 so $0 0670502DOO 106 $51.000 $76.500 s0 5 7 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $62,263 $0 $62.263 $O SO 06705 D20W 107 $134,800 $202.200 $0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 s0 SO SO 067 95(1000 110 5117.700 E176.550 SO 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 7 11 0.71 SO f0 SD f0 SO 0670711000 112 f74,500 5111,751) s0 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 141,483 SO $41,483 s0 SO 06707 13000 113 $78.500 $117.750 f0 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $43,710 f0 S43.710 $O s0 067 07 140W 114 S78,5DO $117.750 SO 7 B 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $43.710 s0 $43.710 s0 EO 0660208003 62 $232.788 :349.182 SO 35 37 2 170 220 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 $0 s0 $0 s0 $O 06802 OID03 63 $186.158 277,738 f0 33 95 2 260 310 50 999 D 3 33 0.11 $O 'so so $O so 068 BID 61 5117.098 $176.648 s0 38 40 2 150 200 50 999 D 3 3B 0.11 so s0 $0 s0 $0 D680308004 59 $248.392 $372.587 s0 40 42 2 155 205 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 s0 s0 s0 f0 f0 06803090DO 65 $275.991 $413,986 so 40 42 2 200 250 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 f0 $ O SO so s0 0680310000 66 $386.387 $579.580 s0 35 37 2 300 350 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 $O $0 $0 so $ O .0311000 67 S232,788 $349.182 s0 30 32 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 30 0.11 $O s0 so $O SO 068031200/ 68 $117.'BB :176.250 $0 10 13 2 240 280 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 $O s0 s0 f0 0600313DDO 64 $331.189 496.783 so 40 42 2 210 260 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 $0 SO SO so so $787,601 s0 S787,601 s0 $O 1 R2YW.N1(4 12722414 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNEOR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (sea Nat.(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNOATICN DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0670101000 69 E99.800 $149,700 SO 12 12 1 260 310 50 B. D 3 it 0A SO EO $0 SO f0 0670102000 70 $108.900 S163350 EO 11 14 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO EO EO EO SO 0670103000 71 $81.700 $122.550 SO 11 13 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0.11I SO $0 SO SO $0 06701 04000 72 5143.300 $214.950 f0 11 td 1 275 320 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 EO $0 $0 f0 0670105000 73 $117.700 $176.550 SO 11 11 1 295 340 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO SO EO EO 0670106000 74 $99.800 $149,700 EO 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO EO SO $0 EO 0870707000 75 E725,300 E787.950 SO 10 12 1 370 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 50 EO f0 SO EO D670708000 76 E129.900 f794,850 EO f0 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0." SO SO f0 SO SO 067010' 0 77 $:08,90D $163,350 f0 10 11 1 999 9% 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 EO fo SO 30 f0 0870201000 92 E125,300 E187.950 SO 8 15 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.17 $0 EO f0 SO f0 067(7202000 93 EBB,500 $132,750 EO 9 13 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO EO f0 f0 f0 0670203000 94 E151300 f226.950 EO 9 11 2 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.17 SO EO $0 EO SO 0670204000 96 E1J9,70U $209,SSD EO 10 13 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 EO f0 SO f0 0670205000 98 $130,900 $196.350 EO 10 f2 1 999 999 40 %9 D 3 11 0.11 $0 $O f0 f0 f0 067 02 060M 99 5100,1DD 5150.150 f0 10 12 1 999 9" d0 999 D - 3 11 0.11 f0 SO SO 1 0 SO 0670207DD0 100 $78.500 5117,750 W 10 12 i 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO f0 f0 SO $O 067020BOD0 101 f76.500 f117,750 SO 9 12 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.17 SO f0 $0 EO EO 0670209000 76.1 $160.500 S252,750 f0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO SO f0 f0 O6]0210000 78 $143.400 $215,100 f0 9 11 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 f0 f0 f0 $O 0670211000 79 f739,800 $209.700 $ 0 B 9 2 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 f26,939 S0 f2Q939 S0 $0 0670212000 81 178.500 1117.75O SO 7 10 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $6.010 f0 $6,010 $O SO 0670213000 82 $105,800 $158,700 f0 7 8 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 f34.051 f0 5 34,851 $0 $0 0670214000 63 $195.600 $293.4D0 f0 5 7 2 999 999 /5 999 0 3 11 0.11 $164.953 f0 $164.953 SO f0 0670218000 90 5125,300 $187,950 SO 5 1J 1 939 993 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 $0 SO SD EO 0670221001 91 E217.900 $326.850 f0 7 9 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $41.989 f0 $41,989 EO SO 0670222000 85 f151400 3227,100 $0 5 12 2 999 999 15 999 0 3 11 011 f0 f0 $O $0 SO 0870223D00 84 $131,200 f196,800 SO 6 14 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 SO f0 f0 f0 0670307000 910 $117,5W $176.250 SO 15 15 1 999 999 50 9% 0 3- 11 0.11 SO $0 f0 f0 f0 0670402000 86 $161,800 $242,700 - $0 5 8 1 999 999 75 999 0 3 11 0.11 2404.539 EO $404,539 f0 f0 0670403000 89 $73.000 $109,500 SO 8 15 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 f0 EO f0 f0 0670406000 909 5151.300 $226,950 SO 12 18 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 f0 SO 1 0- f0 0670407000 913 $117.500 $176.250 f0 11 12 i 999 999 45 999 O 3 11 1)11 f0 f0 SO 10 f0 0870423000 Be f94,200 $141,300 SO 8 14 1 999 999 20 999 0 3 11 D.11 SO fO f0 SO f0 0970424000 87 $In 000 $183.000 $0 8 8 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 175.979 $0 $75,979 f0 SO 06705020M 106 f51,000 f76'500 f0 5 7 1 999 999 15 SIN 0 3 11 0.11 f79.023 f0 f79.023 f0 f0 0670502000 107_ $134.800 $202,200 $O 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 O 3 11 0,11 f0 f0 f0 f0 SO 0670504000 110 f117.700 f178'550 $O 70 11 1 999 999 d0 9% D 3 11 0.11 f0 f0 f0 f0 f0 0670711000 112 f74,500 $111.750 $O 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $48.397 $0 $46.397 SO EO 0670713000 113 578.500 5117,750 SO 7 B 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $48,888 SO f48,888 f0 SO 0670714000 114 $78.500 f117.75O f0 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 0 3 11 0.11 $48,888 f0 $48,888 SO f0 0680208003 62 $232.798. $349.182 SO 35 37 2 170 220 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 E0 f0 EO f0 f0 0680208003 63 :185.158 $277.738 E0 33 35 2 260 310 50 999 D 3 33 0.11 f0 so SD f0 f0 0680308003 61 f117,098 $175.Go f0 38 40 2 150 200 50 999 0 3 38 0.17 EO f0 f0 f0 f0 068 03 08004 59 1248,392 5372.SB7 f0 40 42 2 155 2D5 50 999 0 3 40 0.11 f0 SO f0 EO f0 O68Oi09000 65 $275,991 E413.986 EO 40 42 2 200 250 50 999 0 3 40 0.11 f0 f0 EO f0 f0 0680310000 66 f3B6,387 $579,680 f0 35 37 2 300 350 50 999 D 3 35 0.17 EO f0 SO f0 f0 06803 11000 67 $232.788 $349,182 SO 30 32 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 30 0.11, f0 f0 1 0 $0 EO D680312DD0 68 $117.500 $176,250 SO 10 13 2 240 290 40 999 D 3 17 0.11 f0 f0 10 f0 EO 0680313000 64' f331,189 fd96,783 f0 40 42 2 210 260 50 999 O 3 40 0.11 SO SD f0 $D f0 $978,457 $0 $978.457 SO $01 1 R)1W.NK4 17RlA4 Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 2 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) LAST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data jInterest rate= 7.009% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucu 51.00 'Period of Analysis(years)= 10 iMean Long Term Erosion Rate(f/yr) -1.98 1.89 Avg.Dep.Replac $140,843 IStd Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Repla $6,478,790 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.20 j Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 145-161 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transect E14 for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVD) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1985 7.10 s- ' ' 49 EM 1.27 7.59 0 0.93 x� 2 1986 5.80 ' �r b33 01 1.58 6.13 0 0.87 3 1987 6.30 � ,, , -084 3.95 5.52 5.46 0 0.82 4 1988 6.90 0 22 4 90 0.63 7.12 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 s' -017§ c i8 08 17.45 5.83 0 0.71 6 1991 8.00 050 ;)g` -16.36 7.50 0 0.67 7 1992 9.00 =' 0.3,"d ) -5.65 9.33 0 0.62 8 1993 5.80 s 01t3 44; 3.79 5.64 0 0.58 9 1994 6.90 «t)19 e 4 30' 8.09 6.71 0 0.54 10 1995 6.90 � 1 06 6,-6 14.56 5.82 0 0.51 1 R2WO.WK4 12/22/98 oemecv,eo uw se,e+u wra a,xean o,m[on YEARx-LA3T6010 _ _ eCM! a m x ® m m ju,LA TIBIG oil YEAR 3-LAST 5 BIG PULwGp OWEtR KC BI¢lpf IDW -1 -IITI 111. 1111 1111 111 RxvGWI E- I.- I- D I* D I D D 1 1:1 Im D* D D 1. 3 1 -11. M N W 12 2 210 M W DII 1. 1. lw CIMIL REL lay"Eib 21Z Z 1. 11 :1 Ill: 1. 1. 1.. 27. z r Rl,LAMBIQ Z=1 in.. .. .7 VIY6 I.,R Fin IF- --T !P--- - - = = 12 :2 2_1 1. .1212 1 2 12 :2 '2 2' 22 12 2 IF 2 12 2 1. WAR I LAST 5 BIG -'M Z;1: ID 12: :2 12 2 :1 weEoa YEAR I IA T I BIG um ure.c. YEAR I LAST 6 010 I'll 17MZU-Mo I-Ilt-ES"EL R6 .M.M IL=41 11-7 i: N YEAR 0•LAST 6 BIG IE= 1-TRMIM EM 120 �6ij I 'D .0 .0 .0 .10 lw 21 lw lw lw YEAR 10 LAST 5 BIG l: DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-LASTS BIG STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ __ PRESENT_VALUE OF _ _ -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD (FT NGVD STORY BEGINS F SEC BLN LOT ID NO. DSRVI ) ) (T) (FT) (FT) (FT) (ue Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 06701 01000 69 11W.BOD $149.700 SO 12 12 1 260 310 50 939 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO SO- SO -_ IO 057 01 02000 70 SIOB.900 $163.350 S0 11 14 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0,11 So $0 SO SO SO 067 01 030M 71 $81700 5122.550 $O 11 13 1 285 3W 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 50 SO SO SO SO 067.104000 72 SI43.300 $214.950 So 11 14 1 275 320 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 SO SO 50 S0 0370105000 73 $117.700 $176.550 SO II I 1 295 340 45 999 D 3 II 0.11 SO $0 $0 SO SO 067 01 06000 7A 599.800 S149,700 $O 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 II 0.11 SO SO SO SO SO W70107000 75 $125.3W 16187.950 $0 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 II 0.11 SO SO so $0 S0 067 01 08000 76 St29.90D S194,850 SO 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO 30 50 SO SO 0670109000 77 S108,900 $10.350 W 10 11 1 999 9" 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 SO 30 SO SO 0670201000 92 $125.300 $187.950 SO B 15 1 999 999 3D 999 D 3 11 011 S0 50 SO SO $0 067 02 02000 93 388,500 $132.750 3D 9 13 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO S0 $0 S0 50 067 02 030M 94 5151,300 $226.950 SO 9 11 2 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 30 SO $0 S0 SO 067 G204000 % $139,700 S209,550 30 10 13 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 _ y0 $O - SD $0 SO 0670205000 98 $1W.900 $195.350 SO 10 t2 1 999 999 4D 999 D 3 11 0.11 So SO SO SD SD 05702 W000 99 S10D.100 $150.150 SO 10 12 1 9% 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO $0 30 5o W702070DO too $78.500 $117.750 30 t0 12 1 9" 999 Q 999 D 3 11 DAI 30 $0 S0 30 SO _ 067 02 08000 101 $78,500 $117.750 SO 9 12 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 O.II SO SO SO SO SO 067 02 09000 78A $168500 $252,750 50 10 11 1 999 999 m 999 D 3 II 0.11 30 SO SO 50 50 067 02 1 ODD0 78 31143.400 W15,100 30 9 11 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO 30 SO 50 30 06702 11000 79 $139,800 5209.700 SO 8 9 2 999 9" 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 $11.530 30 511,SW SO SO 0670212000 8t $78,500 SI17,750 $O 7 10 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 f3.748 SO S3.746 $0 SO 06702130DO 82 5105.800 $158.700 50 7 8 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 S24,324 SO $24.324 SO SO 0670214000 0 3195,600 $293.400 $O 5 7 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $104,500 $0 $104,500 30 SO 09702 18000 90 S125,300 3187,950 SO 5 13 1 999 999 IS 999 D 3 11 0.11 So SO $0 $0 $0 0670221MI 91 .3217,90D M.850 SO 7 9 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 S17,972 SO 317.972 SO SO 067 02 22000 85 3151.400 S227,100 SO 5 12 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 $0 S0 50 SO 067 02 230M 84 $131.200 3198,530 S0 8 14 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.II SO 30 $0 SO $0 067 DO07000 910 3117,503 3176.250 $0 15 15 1 9" 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 50 SO SO SO W 067 04 020M 88 11161,000 $242.700 30 5 6 1 999 999 IS 999 0 3 11 0.11 $301.358 30 $307.358 30 SO 067 04 03000 69 $73.DDO 3109.500 3D 8 15 1 999 999 30 999 0 3 11 0AI SO 30 50 SO SO 0670406000 9D9 SI51.300 $226.950 SD 12 18 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 SO SO SO SO 06704070DO 913 $117.500 5178,250 SO 11 12 1 999 999 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO _ 50 S0 $0 $0 0670423DDD 88 S94200 $141.300 t0 6 14 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO 30 50 $0 _ 30 067 04 2,1000 87 S122.000 5183.000 SO 8 B 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0.045 SO $53.045 $0 30 0670502000 106 $St." $76.500 SO 5 7 1 999 9" I5 999 D 3 11 0.11 SSO,A51 30 SW.451 $0 SD 0670502000 107 5134.800 $202,200 S0 10 11 1 999 9" m 999 D 3 11 0,11 $0 SO $0 S0 SD 067 05 0400D 110 $117.700 $176,550 30 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0,11 30 50 SO $O $0 0670711000 112 $74.500 $111.750 SO 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 II 0.11 $32.392 SO $32.392 50 SO 067 07 1300D 113 S78,500 $117.750 30 1 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 D.11 $34,131 SO $34.131 SO SO 0670714000 114 578.500 $117.750 $O 7 5 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 SUA31 SO 534.131 SO SO 00020800 62 $232.788 $349.182 S0 35 37 2 170 220 50 999 D 3 35 0.1I 30 SO $0 SO SO 0680208003 0 S185,158 $277.738 50 33 35 2 250 310 50 999 0 3 33 0.11 3D SO $0 SO S0 068008003 61 $117.0911 $175.648 $0 38 40 2 150 200 50 999 D 3 38 0.11 50 SO W W SO 068 03 08004 59 3248.392 $372.587 S0 40 42 2 I55 205 50 999 D 3 Q 0.11 30 SO 30 SO 30 0680309000 65 $275.991 $413.988 50 40 42 2 200 250 50 999 0 3 40 GAI SO SO $0 SO 3D 06803:DOW 66 5386,387 5579,SB0 SO 35 37 2 300 35P 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 30 SO $0 so so 068W Im 67 S232,70 3349,112 SO 30 32 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 30 0.11 30 SO So $0 S0 0680 12003 0 $117.500 $176.250 3o 10 13 2 240 280 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 50 $0 SO SO 06803130DO 64 $331.189 $496,70 30 40 42 2 210 260 50 999 D 3 40 0.1i 30 S0 30 W 30 S667,550 $O S667,580 SO fDl 1 HMO N%4 12I17Ip4 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE -SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REP LAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL, BEACH _ _ UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO DSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVO) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FTI (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0670101000 69 S99.BW S1 a9.7W $0 12 12 1 2W 310 50 999 D 3 11 ILII s0 ED _$0 - s0 SO W70102W0 70 SIW.9W f163.350 SD 11 Id 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 so 30 W7010]000 ]1 $81,7W $122,550 $O 11 13 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 O.III so SO SO s0 s0 0670104000 72 S143,300 :2 So SD 11 Id 1 215 320 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 $V $0 s0 W701 DSM`I 73 5117,7W f176.550 s0 11 11 1 295 340 45 999 D 3 it 0.11 $0 s0 s0 s0 s0 06701'60D0 74 $99,BW Std9,]W $0 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 ti 0.11 s0 $0 s0 $0 $O 067/1107000 75 $125,3W 5107,950 $0 10 12 1 7f0 350 40 999 D 3 11 111 $0 so s0 s0 s0 0570108" 76 S129,900 s194,B50 W 10 11 i 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.1f $0 s0 $0 s0 s0 0570109000 77 SIM."0 5163350 3o 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0AI s0 s0 $0 so so 067 02 01 ODD 92 f125.300 S18],950 so 8 15 1 999 999 W 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 $0 $O ,,02000 93 SM.W S132,7So s0 9 17 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 s0 s0 SO W70203" 94 S157,300 S226.9W s0 9 11 2 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $0 s0 s0 s0 067 U204" 96 $139,7W 5209.550 s0 f0 13 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 - 11 0.11 $0 s0 s0 s0 W W70205000 98 $1J0,9W S196.350 30 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 SD 30 f0 f0 0670206OW 99 SIM.'M $150.ISD s0 10 12 1 999 999 40 9% D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 $0 s0 0670207000 1W $78.SG" f117,7W s0 10 12 1 999 999 d0 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 s0 s0 s0 06702 MM 101 $78.SW $117.750 s0 9 12 1 9% 999 35 S99 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 so s0 so 0670209000 78" SIM.SW s252,750 so t0 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 GfI $0 s0 so so so 0670210000 78 S143,400 S215,100 s0 9 11 1 9" 999 35 999 0 3 11 0.11 30 s0 30 s0 s0 0.702110W 19 $139.MG $21.7OD to 8 9 2 999 Ms 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 318,515 s0 $18,515 $0 s0 067021'000 81 $78.SW 3117,750 s0 7 10 1 999 999 25 9% D 3 11 0.1I 58,018 l so $6.016 s0 s0 06702130W 82 $105.Wo $ 158,7W SO 7 8 2 999 9% 25 9" D 3 11 0.11 SM'405 SO 534,4W s0 s0 U670214000 83 $195.MG s293,4W s0 5 7 2 999 S99 t5 899 D 3 11 0.11 S147,513 s0 $147.513 s0 s0 W7W 18000 90 S125,300 3187.950 s0 5 13 1 999 999 15 9% D 3 11 0.11 $0 s0 $0 s0 s0 067022I001 91 S217,900 $326,BW SO 7 9 2 999 9" 25 999 D 7 It 0.11 328,859 SD SM. 859 f0 SO 17122WO 85 Wt.- s227.,- $0 5 12 2 9" 999 15 999 D 3 It 0.11 s0 SO s0 s0 so 06702230/0 94 $131,2W $198,8W s0 8 t4 1 999 999 20 9" D 7 it 0.11 s0 s0 s0 $0 SO W7W 07W0 910 St17,50O 3176'250 s0 15 15 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 it 0.11 $ 0 SD SO $0 s0 0670402000 86 st81,800 $242.7W s0 5 6 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 1f 0.11 S426,694 s0 f426,694 so s0 W]0403000 89 $73.000 $109,50D f4 8 15 1 999 9% W 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 $O s0 s0 s0 057 Go 06OW 909 S151,300 $226.950 s0 12 18 2 9% 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 s0 s0 $0 s0 0670407W0 913 S117.500 S176,250 $0 11 12 1 999 999 1 5 999 D 3 1f 0.11 so s0 $0 s0 s0 0670423M 88 SN 2W $141,3W $0 6 14 1 SIM 999 20 999 D 7 11 0.11 s0 s0 SD s0 s0 0670424000 87 $122.W0 f183DW $0 8 B 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 $74.939 s0 $74.939 s0 s0 0670502" IW 351,OW $76,5W f0 5 7 1 9% 9% 15 999 D ] tl 0.11 f70,W1 $D f7D,W1 SD SO 0670502W0 107 S134,BW $ 2112.200 $0 10 11 1 999 9% 40 999 D 3 11 0.1f s0 $0 s0 s0 $0 067050d000 110 $117.7W $176,550 s0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 f0 f0 S0 SO SD 0670711000 112 $74,SW $111,]W $O 7 e 1 999 999 25 999 D 7 1t 0.11 Sa5.782 f0 345,762 SO s0 06707 f3000 113 $78,SW $117,750 s0 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 f4B,219 f0 348,219 SD $D 06707 t4000 114 $78.5W $III.750 $O 7 8 1 999 999 25 9" D 3 11 0.11 $0.219 s0 548,219 s0 s0 0680208003 62 S232.IN $349.182 $0 35 W 2 170 220 5o 999 D 3 35 0.11 30 s0 SO $U $0 0580208003 63 $185.'M 1277.738 s0 33 35 2 260 310 50 999 0 3 33 0.11 $0 s0 so s0 $0 M 03 OBWJ 61 S117.098 S175,648 so W 40 2 150 2W 50 999 D 3 W 0.1f s0 so s0 s0 $0 068 W OB004 59 52aa,392 $372.587 30 40 42 2 155 20S 5o 999 D 3 40 O.I I f0 SO SO f0 30 06803 65. $275,991 $413,986 s0 40 42 2 2W 250 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 s0 so s0 so s0 W8 W 1 W W 66 $386.38] S5795B0 SO 35 37 2 300 350 50 9" D 3 35 0.1 f s0 30 f0 50 SO O68 W 11W0' 67 S232,788 S349,182 $0 30 32 2 999 999 50 999 D 7 30 0.11 s0 $0 s0 s0 s0 068 W 12000 68 5117,500 f178,2W f0 10 13 2 240 280 d0 999 D 3 11 O.If f0 $0 SD f0 30 0680313000 64 $331.10 $498,783 s0 40 @ 2 210 260 50 9% 0 3 40 0.11 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 3950.042 s0 "W.042 s0 .1 1 Ii2N0 W(4 1LL7I9B Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 2 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) RANDOM STORMS OVER 10 YEARS I Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Flood Stage Data (Interest rate= 7.00% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres S1.00 Return Period(Yrs) Freq Stage IPenod of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Tenn Erosion Rate(fUyr) -1.98 1.89 Avg.Dep.Replacemnl Val $140,843 Std Dev.of Long Tenn Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Replacement V $6.478,790 2 0.5 2.6 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.2 10 0.9 7.7 I Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250 Content to Structure 50 0.98 9.4 i Value Ratio o.50 100 0.99 10.4 -- -- -- - ----' --- 12.4 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 145-161 for period 1964 to 1998 - (3)Used transact E14 for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE,B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuten Long Term Cumulative Al DunelBulkhead Storm Storm Without Project for U Sound Erosion Long Term an Long Island Induced Year Recurrence Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev-0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Interval(yrs) (ft NGVD) (ft) R (ft) (ft NGVDj) - Distance(ft)__ Value Factor 1 �. 1�357 620 - tm - 049 ; 626° .6.28 6.69 0 0.93 2 r1 4.00 a i t a�. v r. his 3 _ 0'$3 1�,'z -18.53 4.33 0 0.87 3 i58169: 13.00 are ' `.x -08d �.z. .246:s -16.07 12.16 0 0.82 4 2V 3.40 r - 3 i 0.22 `3 30 -12.77 3.62 0 0.76 5 ='610' 7.00 �r' - r .0 t7 �-008 -13.75 6.83 0 0.71 s 5 63 7.00 i 014;: -13.61 6.50 0 0.67 7 2 ,!; 3.40 -23.88 3.73 0 0.62 8 a 1 77 4.60 ? s„ sq-.y � ,� D 1b 6,63-1 -30.51 4.44 0 0.58 5.60 ('. a '� ,n" 019 '[065€ -29.86 5.41 0 0.54 10 r _13&3 8.00 i .o _ - �1 08 _ `2 2�� -zzss 6.92 0 0.51 .. F - _-_ W 1 R2WO.WK4 _ 12/22/98 YEAR I•RANDOM STORM VWA ltiz11 ID 11 I lw .11, 10 oFmFCV,Eo Vu.u,e+vx ,cie,E oxs,.rlcE rue WART-RANDOM STORMS EBmEav BVxE siBucr�BF BBEiwF,o V,w BErME sE,Bux BVV.F sVwnM nVtxvuo einxv[.B nuxvE,n EBospN 'I ' - - WrFai o- L w 01 13 f,Y w w x 1 YEAR 3-RANDOM STORMS xa, -1-1 1111.7, n ro T :21 :2 1 2 lw L, Xlz .1 2: -I Z. --l.: YEAR{-RANDOM STORMS -VEL I B= 121 :2: 11 DI D 121 "1 2: .1 .1 12. -12 11 T1. 00 112 '2 0' 00 ¢rneaa+eo uu sernw eere+cu rmnrhae -rye I Fno3iM .11 RANDOM STORM �„ ernuerune eurarin raw aeroae awns uuweao ...' _ .. —rt w o�a2 euwr�o +nirta�2+o srnuruuc aerue vu ncnnec aaano now ouvcF -+— -race roeuwuo axurr roc cr wua aot — —'Teunrt.+n — wrrx w+e on aua ov.can eu+wno -rua see ua w+ mno ovm .cwrer.+s mar mnow�mnwm nonr azmuirn mr nn ni o..w.ro nrww�rn rw,w�scare .ra.o rw oue«+ooreo,pMem won�nwe.nl eceu a Jo.uwrl rno.Fo or..rf —+uu uevn+w a � fr�ave 1 ufaw i0 t b WAR 6 RANDOM STORMS ED �l R .1 D 'D I 11 .1 1, 10 :11 125 ID I I D I YEAR 7 RANDOM STORMS 'A",-D; ID in I Z= v A in n I VIA I zu An I IS N 9 A I An 2 c N E- YEAR I-RANDOM STORMS [RE Fi p I ll:Z Ir :1 'I I I I Q: :2 I YEAR I-RANDOMSTORM -Ilk ll IE I wB, Dl IZ I I I I I I,eTn 1� 2 YUR 10-RANDOM STORMS aaEOrt TV 41 11 11 4 1 I 00 I I 20-1 I NT 0 1 e .11 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS•RANDOM STORMS STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC VAL REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL BEACH _ PRESENT VALUE OF SEC BLK LOT ID NO DSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see NRta(4) (FT NGVO) (FT NGVD) SLOPE LRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION_DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0610101000 69 s99,800 $149,700 SO 12 12 1 260 310 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 E19,8t3 SO 519,61J SO SO 067 01 020M 70 $108.900 S163.350 SO II 14 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 SD SO SO so s0 06701 03(00 71 $81]00 3122,550 SO 11 13 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0t1 52,533 so S2,SM SO .SO D6701040D0 72 1143.3 $211.950 SO 11 14 1 275 320 45 9" D 3 11 0.11 so SO SO s0 SO 067010SO)o 73 $117.700 f176,550 S0 11 11 1 295 340 45 999 D 3 11 OJI $29.955 s0 $29.955 $O SO 0670:06000 7,1 M800 SIQ.700 SO 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 Oil 519,813 SO $19.813 SO so 067007000 75 5125,3DO SI87.950 SO 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $24.875 SO 524,875 s0 s0 W70108000 76 $129.900 5194850 S0 10 11 1 999 999 I0 999 D 3 11 0.11 s73060 s0 $33.060 s0 30 W70109600 77 5108,900 f163,350 SO 10 11 1 999 993 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $27.716 SO $27.716 SO so 0670201000 92 $12S." $167.950 s0 8 IS 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO f0 s0 SO 0670202000 93 f88,500 fI32,750 $0 9 17 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 II 0.11 32,744 SO 52744 s0 s0 067 D203000 94 f151,300 f226,950 s0 9 11 2 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 G.11 $20,Jd9 so $20.349 s0 7G 06702040DO 96 $139,700 $209,550 30 10 13 1 999 999 Q 999 D 3 11 0.11 54.331 s0 54,331 $D so 0670205000 98 SM.9DO $196.350 f0 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $25.987 SO f25,987 s0 so 0670206000 99 f100,100 5150,150 30 t0 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $19.872 s0 $19.872 $D so 0670207000 100 $78.500 3117,750 s0 f0 12 1 999 999 40 9" D .3 11 0.11 515,584 SO $15.584 $O SO Do 0208000 101 f78,500 $117.750 f0 9 12 1 999 999 35 9" D 3 it 0.11 S15.5B4 so StS.584 so s0 0670209000 78.1 $168.500 $252.750 s0 to I 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $42.884 50 342,884 30 SO 0670210000 7B f143,400 $215.100 s0 9 tI 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 It 0.11 536,4% s0 536,496 so SO 0670211000 79 5139.800 f209,700 s0 8 9 2 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 $34.154 SO SJ4,154 s0 SO 097021200D 81 378,500 3f17,750 10 7 10 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 126.631 30 326.637 s0 so 0670273000 82 EI05.600 E158.70G f0 7- B 2 999 999 25 899 D 3 11 0.11 529,344 $0 529.344 so s0 0670214000 83 5795,600 $293,400 SO 5 7 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 GAI $111.018 SO St11,018 $G 70 0670218000 90 5125,300 5187,850 SO 5 13 1 999 999 IS 999 D 3 11 0.11 53,884 SO 33884 f0 SD 0670221MS 91 S217,900 S326 So s0 7 9 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 f1 0.11 553.2J5 so $53.,235 $D SO 06702220DO 65 S151p00 f227,100 SO 5 12 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 t1 0.11 315.742 SO $15.742 30 SO O6 0223000 " $131.200 $196,800 30 8 14 1 999 899 20 999 D 3 11 0.11 SO SO 30 SO s0 0670307000 910 5117,500 E17fi,250 $D 15 15 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 O.If $0 SO f0 $D f0 067 D402000 86 S16f,800 f242,700 so 5 8 1 999 999 15 9" D 3 11 0.11 5217.980 so s217,980 So s0 06704030D0 89 $73.D0o 5109,500 SO B IS 1 999 999 JO 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 so SO SO SO 0670406000 909 $151.300 $226."D so t2 18 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 s0 so $ O s0 SO 0670407000 913 $117.Boo $176.250 so I7 12 1 999 999 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 $23.327 s0 523327 SO SO 0670423000 85 394.200 f141,300 SO 6 i4 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0,11 s0 SO s0 70 s0 0670424000 87 $122,000 $183,ODD so 8 f 1 9" 999 20 9" D 3 11 0.11 548,25J 30 S,253 $0 SO 0670502000 ;Do $51,000 $76.500 SO 5 7 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 348,263 SO 546,263 so f0 0670502000 I07 $134.700 f202,200 10 10 11 1 9" 999 0 999 D 3 11 0.11 $34,307 $0 534,307 s0 so 06705 G4000 110 $117,]00 f176,550 SO 70 II 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 529.955 SO $29,955 30 f0 06707 I IODO 112 S74,500 3111,750 S0. 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 529,466 SO 529,468 s0 10 06707130D0 113 570500 11:7,750 30 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 f1 0.11 SJI.D4B so 531,048 so -$O 0670714000 t14 $78.SW SIt7,]50 >D 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D J 1f O.fi 531.048 so $31,048 so f0 0680208003 62 $232.788 5349,162 SO 35 37 2 170 220 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 SO SO $0 so so 0680208003 63 $185."' $277.738 f0 33 35 2 260 310 50 999 D 3 33 O.I1 so SO so so s0 0680308007 61 5117,098 $175,60 s0 38 40 2 150 200 50 999 D 3 38 a s0 so s0 so s0 0660308004 59 32J8,392 5372,587 s0 40 42 2 155 205 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 so so $0 s0 s0 0580309000 65 $275,991 $413,986 SO Q 42 2 200 250 SO 999 D 3 40 0.11 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 068 G310000 66 $306,387 $579,560 s0 35 37 2 30D 350 50 999 D 3 35 0AI s0 $0 $O s0 s0 0660311000 67 5232.788 5349.182 SD 30 32 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 30 0.11 SO $O so s0 SO 06803120M 68 5717.500 5176,250 s0 10 13 2 240 280 40 999 0 3 11 0.11 51,909 s0 f1,909 so 50 06803130M 64 f331,189 5496,763 s0 40 42 2 210 260 50 999 0 3 40 0.11 SO 30 f0 f0 $0 St,109,165 f0 $1.109.165 s0 .1 1 RNA YMI 1711]AB DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL REPLACE GROUNO FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL TOP EL. BEACH _ _____U_N__DI_SCO_U_N_T_ED_VA_LU_E O_F _____ __ SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS COST.. _ _ _ (FT NGVD) (FT NGVO) STORY _BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (sea Note(4) (FT NGVO)_ (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE_ EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DA_MAGE_BULKHEAD OAMAG_E_ 0670101000 69 599.600 5149,700 f0 12 12 1 260 310 50 9% D 3 11 0.11 $24.271 - -S6 -- - 324,77i f0 SO 067 01 02000 70 $108.900 s163350 10 11 14 1 111 331 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 $D SO SO S0 f0 067 at 03000 71 $81 700 f122.550 SO 71 13 1 285 330 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 f3.103 SO $3.103 s0 s0 0670104000 72 S147.300 5214,950 s0 11 14 1 275 320 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 s0 SO f0 s0 06701050D0 73 5117]00 E176.550 SO 11 11_ 1 295 340 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 $36.696 f0 f36.696 SO f0 0670106000 7a 599.800 5149,700 SO 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 D11 $24,271 SO 324.271 $0 f0 06701070D0 75 5125,300 5187950 SO 10 12 1 310 350 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $30.473 SO $30.473 s0 s0 0670106000 76 f129.900 5194,850 SO 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 f40.5DD SO $40.500 $O SO 0670109DOO 77 f108,900 5163.350 EO 10 11 1 999 199 40 999 D 3 11 011 $33.953 30 $33.953 $O SO 0670201000 92 f125,300 5787.950 Ea 8 15 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 011 $O s0 SO s0 s0 0670202000 93 f88.500 $132.750 SO 9 13 1 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11 53,361 s0 $3.361 SO s0 06]0203000 94 E151,300 s226.950 SD 9 11 2 999 999 35 999 D 3 11 0.11i $24.929 EO $24.929 SO SO 067 D204000 96 f139,7DO $209,550 f0 10 13 1 999 999 40 999 0 3 11 0,11 55.305 $O $5.305 SD SO 0670205000 98 E130.900 $196,350 f0 10 12 1 911 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.111 531,835 s0 531,835 SO 10 0670206" 99 $100,100 $1S0.1W f0 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 f24,344 SO $24,344 SO s0 06702070OO 100 $78.500 S117.750 EO 10 12 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $19.091 SO f19.091 SO f0 067020'0'0 101 f78,500 $117.750 SO 9 12 1 9" 999 35 999 0 3 11 0.11 $19.091 s0 519,091 s0 SO 0670209000 78.1 E168.500 $252.750 f0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 552.535 $O $52.535 SO f0 0670210000 78 5143.400 $215.100 SO 9 11 1 999 999 35 9" D 3 11 0.f1 $44,709 SO f41.709 $0 SO 0670211000 79 5139.800 $209.700 $O 8 9 2 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.11 E41,841 SO 541.841 f0 EO 0670212000 at $78.500 $117.750 SO 7 10 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $32.631 f0 $32.631 SO s0 0670213000 82 5105,800 f15B.700 $O 7 8 2 999 9% 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $35.948 $O $35.948 SO SO 0670214D00 83 3195,600 E293.400 f0 5 7 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $ 146.594 SO $ 146.594 SO f0 0670216D00 SO 5125.300 f187.So f0 5 13 1 999 119 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $4,759 $0 $4.759 s0 s0 0670221001 91 f217,900 5326.950 SO 7 9 2 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 Sss,215 f0 $65.215 s0 SO OS70222000 85 3151,400 $227.100 $O 5 12 2 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $19.285 s0 $19.285 $0 SO 06702230DO 84 3131.200 $196,800 SO 6 14 1 999 999 20 9" D 3 11 0.11 $0 SO s0 f0 s0 0670307000 910 5717,500 s176,250 SO 15 15 1 899 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 f0 SO SO SO SO 0670402000 86 5161,800 5242.700 SO 5 6 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 s296,927 SO 5296.927 f0 f0 0670403WO 89 $73,000 $109,500 SO 8 15 1 9" 999 30 999 0 3 11 0.11 f0 f0 SO SO SO 0670406000 909 $151.300 5226.950 SO 12 18 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.11 $0 SO SO SO $0 06704070D0 913 $117.500 $176.250 30 11 12 1 999 999 45 999 D 3 11 0.11 f28,576 SO 328.576 f0 SO 0670423DDO 88 f94,200 E741,300 SO 6 14 1 999 999 20 999 D 3 11 0." f0 so f0 s0 SO 0670424000 87 f122,000 $183'000 SO 8 8 1 999 999 20 999 - D 3 11 0.11 $59,112 so $59,112 f0 SO 0670502000 106 $51,000 576.500 so 5 7 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.11 $61,944. SO 561,944 f0 10 067 05 02000 107 1134,800 1202.200 SO 10 11 1 999 899 40 999 0 3 71 0.11 $42.028 So $42.028 $0 $0 06705 D4000 110 5117,700 $176,550 S0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 O 3 11 0.11 $36.696 S0 f36,696 f0 f0 0670711000 112 $74.500 $111.750 t0 7 8 1 899 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $36,097 SO f36.097 $O SO 0670713000 113 578,500 f117,750 SO 7 8 1 999 999 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $ 38,035 f0 S38,035 SO s0 06707140D0 114 118.500 :117.710 SO 7 8 1 111 191 25 999 D 3 11 0.11 $38.035 so 538,035 10 s0 0680208003 62 $232.788 f349.182 SO 35 37 2 170 220 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 so s0 $O SO 's0 0680208003 63 $185,158 E277,738 $D 33 35 2 260 310 50 9% D 3 33 0.11 $0 SO s0 SO s0 0680308003 61 $117.098 $175,648 $D 38 40 2 150 2D0 50 999 D 3 38 0.11 SO $0 s0 f0 s0 0680308004 59 $248.392 $ 372.587 SO 40 42 2 155 205 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 SO $O s0 $O s0 0680309000 65 5275.991 E413,986 SO 40 42 2 200 250 50 999 D 3 40 0.11 f0 s0 s0 SO $D \ 06803 f0000 66 $386.387 $579,580 SO 35 37 2 300 350 50 999 D 3 35 0.11 s0 so SO s0 s0 0680311000 67 $232.788 E349,182 f0 30 32 2 999 999 50 999 D 3 30 0.11 SO SO ED $0 SO 0680312000 68 f117,500 176,250 SO 10 13 2 240 280 40 999 D 3 11 0.11 $2.339 SO f2339 f0 SO 0680313DOO 64 $331.189 :496.783 $O 40 42 2 210 260 50 999 D 3 40 0,11 $0 $O s0 s0 $O $1.404.529 SO $1.404.529 so SDI. 1 R2AO.VM4 12R29F Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 4-Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) AVERAGE 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data I _ 'Interest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Struculres 51 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 !Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 2.63 5.64 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $123,318 Sid Dev.of Long Tenn Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6,340,200 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.20 Avg.Bulkhead Cost($/LF) $250 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 - Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long lens erosion taken from average of sections 108-119 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F6 for typical beach slope and bluff top (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal ----- Without Project --- --- -- - Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At DunefBulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Tenn on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erasion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD). (ft) (ft) (ft) -. -. (ft NGVDj)- _ Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1985 7.10 r � ,,,,��0 ad ) 0.03 6.44 0 0.93 2 1986 5.8011 't a 0 21 u; 7 94 7.96 6.01 0 0.87 3 1987 6.30f v"" 19.79 8.36 0 0.82 4 1988 6.90 T 047 d dBi 29.25 7.37 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 ty 37 3 91' 33.17 6.37 0 0.71 6 1985 7.10 -0'J4 =;190i 35.07 6.96 0 0.67 7 1986 5.80 f i)'13 r '` =017 34.90 5.93 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 39.36 5.93 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 - 0 55 :1 691 37.77 7.45 0 0.54 10 1989 6.00 30.01 6.57 0 0.51 _ 1 R4WO.WK4 t222198 uEw+Ecureo sETelu r+cE w ounE Ga or i YEAR 1-AVERAGE 10 YEAR! _ _ sEtafu EL rE"o rrE.o Bla.�rao �a,a 'p _ E aE✓uc v4 BLACE cgpaA EwGE psiavr;E r avE,fp r [L IOa EL �HuxrFi. _ - LVUI.IMTOuf401 __ wCREST_I RE,evE- r uB CaertEr-nB IET vcvpl lLi BGvpl Bi BEpxs Lnl IETI IEi it Uee care lfl r+Gvpl IEi rlGvpl ,B av On'OVEFiOnpnEO+ {I �pwq BLM1RVF/O�vn BOn rE/.p MwGE IELEvn MjlREEir O M CE_I ELEveTIW iN4 TiEp II.—T.11 e�I�D_�WwGE�GESTnOVE00 E IB p3BTtW cG B I} IW lay 1]5 eF^m��OGaIE ' t}B 611W 1, 1} IW IaJ US I" fDB Bna } I]5 fl 5J5i;� fsw fm f ! IS � I]5 t}a Sag, ft]E.'a I9 6 0? r]5 tE pa of lTml I}5 SBt tIJr {IT75m {e IB I 9_ri9 ... ]. nm W T I]5 MIS) rJS vo r+0 Om aoJ f0 of aB b tJ5 00 .5} 00 m fl W S}}GpTI wa sEaMc. our�oa ruPE as YEAR 1-AVERAGE IO YEARS _ �wE RG�eo w.ru aE sErM GM.E ..aoa au<D.aE.o w.uEeo DGt GPE juP,E oa I w.E _ _ P fO GE RODR eE i[rr Giu<E ieLL�PEnO e[otu[[ mElD pd+E<K EU-0 GE DES iUEE GaRu'.al REC Htti_tOi fiD wvr 0.W161 uC.vG1 Si BEGW([il nsai'GE ��FrItE G ITT I•w t+me l+1 it i W�rrvEaieavEG+C EO+Glwro eutEaFI.OI VP DIM1 RFAOI Muw .,I EIEV Ga IREUi�E nI. Mtu ..I Ve I i-imunEO Ii00 a0.iteal MrueE IMrM lR0 E IL fer.Rar tt tM te5 wID f',tinr t1 u nPS ui Yun m Sn;r rrer Ee I Et st meDr rimr rl� Sxr A., I-1. to D 10 t 4A 9aD f. mo a rl5 o rae ac xo 1. im 'ID BD .eD fo tJt DD Se DD tD tD $72,D I, YEAR I-AVERAGE 11 YEARS .10 YEA AVERAGE 10 YEARS - YEARS JEI E_ Z",:z oEwEu.rcP HSErace nrvE ruc otmE Pa uivE Gn YEARS-AVERAGE 10.11. fuiG wE [ ra om �a+Ef ECG eufet¢eG eufe�E.G w�a I I _ _ sEc efe fors Pun o mr Vm r*rr wl n eEw�s nn Psmlt� PsrFntKE onim aG n..w�.w mwVrn mw�m G� .wu m�GVE=,wo�Ea EP+Iwolwo --1 a.P ...L_EcfEwVrnw1eri w.vE MeG IrocarGccafrml Eatf .IanPCE GEsrao.Em�awcE fRt iPl - t65 St 0�9Uf fPGE fO 30 IS11 f5t qpso Dt]5 005 f00. 3 13i f'iJBm E99 135 005 byte feve ti] f?Si.em ® . IS Po 0 1]s 0. 30 3 fag tm tB 0 999 135 01 v]l0 ment tiWl 135 ferim ftYf..l,0 f0 t t 999 9J9 x vw Be 0 r]5 GS x5 u0 t+0 v�i vti f0 B. Je t35 .0 .. 00 w fi]0.9m DECPEc.TEo w ouuE OP YEAR-6-AVERAGE IS YEARS uRE wiR IX+E T63 vaOF upREL� B�hFEI.D BxWFwD BUL�tffBo p_` xLSLOi sic unE RVL W D (DFiPncvDt(FTTPcvp) 5< BEGi SFTI PSTRT'� Ps PCEE io RE/,0 AFT-+�NI 6T NGVD) tFi riGvO� kw Ov RtawEb+`S IED+ wiaBAu'FAOIwB RFADI W IELEv3T-111 UTYVEiia uFl DSw I ELEV�*fgn..il T WnvE PiEDBITO GNnROLRiDvI BM wO IpwGE IDE5iR�0 EO+W1wGE Dsbt�m t} tJ5 _ _ _ f5tlrtl tc t} 1D3 ta3 t]5 DDS10 tJ3 fPD.NO D t]5 005 { y t}] l Fm S IS t)5 Df6 T �SSB ® t31 135 DDS St it 1,21 Beeet tiwt i35 fqt)DO StJS sin b e tc t 9PB 99n u au BB J 1)5 n05 �SSw RO vDi S50i Sa >o ao b t]s ac aS Bo b b S)2c qO aivEw I b<D+Ew �mwFA _ iUI}11} Usbtf59Bf1 lW]Rnilll eREVU CE GRDOrvD ODRi1}' ORt1DR 5 uIa5 G , ErvF.+D B' D BUU RUIJDl SLOOROES BDSKRR RiU EnB0.ianarvC1 E SD II. _ YEAR M7-AVERAGE 10 bYEARS, _ IiUSA—MC R EST_wR I OVT nGE E W WncE Uv E O Twv BUl WVE ITOo0.ial BWGE Ua I]5UmID J5 E cpRr.0u1nuGEl SD b 1}J SJ,T rto s f le m 1]s om w Iza s.?im Is ma of I}ml t 5 tel,>m N}].]V b 9 b n om S1 m1 00 Z s s� 00 b f}IOOm OEPeEasTFD YEAR E-AVERAGE/D YEARS LaL sErB.LCR •cn]E asr�wcE DunE amEm awEa+ GTRuciuRE BUlt1ffAD w.w BEsmE SET— PRDCRE SwOREUwE BL0.zwFAD BULkwEEO OthR�4A0 �uwE� EwOGION - - -iruwlMTai_ -_ ----- ---�-----�-_--yE - �� --- .-I --- RERuc v.L REw.cE cRaum aoa+ D.+ucE o-suwcE o-.A— TD BDLwuD mBLtsE im EL im E1 Bua au+Em uL.� D �eDL.REn o-sr.lcE su w .. I Eie3.:iD:� _.._ _Tpa r_ _ -vE - RucrwE a+TUL IDRD C IeT 11GV01(el NGv%,Blmr BEarvG 6r1 611 h'il (m Iw wd.(]I IEiRGv0l lR scva GIDVE BULu1FfDTm�RiDVPEDa(�R a wFADIW/. SDI tucE EI—T-1,RElAT1VEl0„EI_—GE ELEVSDCN ` W D_IIO EOMRI%iWI—GE_IMLEfGE SSiROVEO'/MvwGE 10 1} 1D5 11s 1J5 016 - - — t3D 151 TI1 f0 12 1M 14 IJS OM 90e 1J5 Om fo S]53.EA1 f 15 IJS �3< 1. 15 1J5 f1v,>3t 1]S f1-1 mno11am1 t35 3813m s133 su 10 B 10 1 BID 896 ss av BD ] 1]S 0 1]s 1p em 3e]p ]vm so Sv a1 so 155 00 av oo so 10 3330.BD� oEONEatiEo .1N sE)dca YEAR 9-AVERAGE 70 YEARS BEVL c)vu VER CE WOInW EdOM GE Ei— S"" i�OxRNE D cT'rlD BiOE EL B—ELD BF.u]tNfw0 �EtM1wFA S.— OR - COr1iBOl u4otiED SiE vEL — cE bESin lunE CnrtlfK to Oi NGw10iLNM Si BEG-Oil GSIM �SO)IE OBOlNI I—Nm ltl 0i Nct91 Oi NGt91 ROVE • m B)OImEDi D+�wN BLafNFAOIwBDL.NE"ol dtu ELEvfiIONInEIATrIE iO UIXicI dluOf ElEVNnON_ I vN Irt- 3177O1iOCxinOLTMI —E00ldtuf OVEDi dlucE - t] 105 tE5 OOS tR - f51,ttuo TO 01]5 005co So 10 123 fT+w tJ5)fill f. � IS V9S. 3I]5 ODS :3 11 50 I}a Sxt)DI tS 0 OBI 318 W f rcF 01 t)ml I)5 ft]i SSA w I .M) .¢+1 ]5 BB ] I]5 n05 t15 NO NO ]))) ]in W )5 �)5 t]] 00 :]! 00 f0 f0 u•i YEAR IOSA RAGE 10 YEARS_ iU„ 1vlM mE� EiB. canE sroaEL� BUEswFwD Bum"t�FwO BUEei I I�DUE-��E�I FAQLOU - —____ __ __._ __ �E cv maurq rLDDR fucE i"ucE 1" i ullw D OE eEU[E imEL FwCM maf�mvEO+�E"it OwNBUlt�4ADIWDU UFwD 0. tESN° ED CaNiF nEE uuDi cN m..i mb D mDcvm mocvrn s w.�iEn o-smlCe o-� E DEm E. n..�•fo mocvm mfw.� yEmE " I EfEv"nW nEL.nvE ro:�_WfucE fel ElEVAnanSrw"vE frt_fro E� aTm M-E] tucE IDESi �.f9 fBt,tm - - }.. — p51.y tJy OfE ... — tm ssaom tos us cE t� o 00 t}} s9!t,Ml.a0f t3] fJs5ei�..6�IIm1 s e t0) o9n g9g9gn t']lsy ODo55 . t30 so 135 D ott ; D at ftJ.3e3 flaw me0�t t}y tt3}.55p io t t _ ya sm BB a l5 0 t]s xo rvp ap of .Vot w ea �• tay oo a3 ao W f3}O90f1 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR OUNEOR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-AVERAGE 10 YEARS STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ PRESENT VALUE OF _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ SEC_BLK LOT IO NO. DSRVL •CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FTNGVD) _ SLOPE CRITWLDAMAGE _ _ __EROSIONDAMAGE INU_NOATION_DAMAGE_ WAVEDAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 06801 13002 119 $81.700 5122,550 SO 10 12 1 105 145 40 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 SO ED SO f0 SO 06801 13002 120 $51.000 S76.500 SO 10 12 1 105 145 m 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 SD SO So SO So 06101140D2 122 E99,800 $149.700 SO 4 - 7 1 999 999 10 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 S77.904 SO $77.904 $0 SO 0680117001 123 $357.600 SSJ6,400 S50.000 14 15 2 60 110 50 >5 B 3 13.5 0.05 30 SD $0 $O $0 0680117DOI 124 E49,100 $73,650 SO 5 8 1 999 999 IS 999 BB J 13.5 0.05 591.934 SO 391,934 S0 $O 0680117001 125 $81.700 $122.550 so 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 13.5 0.05 SO SO $U So So $720.900 $169.837 So $169.W7 $O $O $205,971 - S339,675 SO S339,675 SO .1 1 HMO WU 17R>�JB DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH __ _ _ _UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF _ SEG BLK_LOT 10 NO. DSRVL CONTENTS.._ _COST (FT NOW) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Not,(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) _ SLOPE CRITIALDAMAGE EROSIONDAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0680113002 119 $81.700 sin 55o so 10 12 t 105 145 Sao 999 D 3 13.6 0.05 .to - so -- ..� 50 30 0680113002 120 $51.000 $76.500 so 10 12 1 105 PIS m 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 $0 $0 W s0 so 0.8011.02 122 $99,800 $149.700 fo 4 7 1 999 999 ID 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 $114.502 so $114.502 so $0 069 o1 t7ao1 12J 5357,600 fs36,m0 fso,000 14 15 2 60 110 50 35 B 3 13.5 0.05 $a so fa $o so 06801 17001 124 $49.100 $73.650 so 5 6 1 999 999 15 999 BB 3 13.5 0.05 $131,468 so $131.468 so so mof t7001 125 $81.700 $122.550 so 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 13.5 0.05 so $0 $0 $0 so $720,900 $245.970 s0 3245970 so $0 $205971 $491,940 $o $491,940 $0 $O 1 R—)-1 17R7AB Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 4-Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) FIRST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Interest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm (Number of Strucutres 51.00 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 2.63 5.64 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $123.318 Sld Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6.340,200 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.20 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 108-119 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used lransect F6 for typical beach slope and bluff top (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At DuneBulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) rosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) _ (it) (ft) (ft) - _ (ft NGVDj) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1991 8.00 Q 6K 7.01 7.34 0 0.93 t 2 1992 9.00 { � 5 0 21 0 85 6.15 9.21 0 0.87 3 1993 5.80 23.68 5.88 0 0.82 4 1994 6.90 047 d$ 28.61 7.37 0 0.76 5 1995 6.90 a 037 E 4 6Q' 33.21 7.27 0 0.71 p 6 1985 7.10 t11 r 4° ' 190E 35.11 6.96 0 0.67 t 7 1986 5.80 Q 13 3 017" 34.95 5.93 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 0 97 446E 39.40 5.93 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 !0 55 1 59 37.82 7.45 0 0.54 10 1989 6.00 - ° 0 57 7 78 30.06 6.57 0 0.51 1 R4WO.WK4 12/22/98 IR YEAR I-FIRSTS BIG '-T 10-Mll I YrAR I I RSI I BIG WAVE 6 .01 YEAR 3 FIRST S 1310 17� —1- —R— L'= 'o__E-1. YEAR 4_.FIRST-5 BIG u- I- T I .15 X L, I.Rl"Fl Sl BG -11 rl YEAR 6 FIRST 5 BIG YEAR 7 FIRST 5 BIG V., .=T, '11". IFI" -RI r., FW 13" MIT zr, Iz so YEAR 9-FIRST 5 BIG IE El Ip:eo+•e YEAR 10•FIRST 5 BIG [E� M lii T.-1-AT -E DEPRECIATED MIN SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-FIRST 5 BIG STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPIAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF _ SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see We (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVEDAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE M 0113002 119 S81,7W $122.550 50 1012 i 1D5 145 40 999 D 3 135 005 SO - SO _ SO _-__— SO Y) 060011"2 120 351,OD0 $76.WD SO 10 12 1 105 145 40 9" D 3 135 005 SO $0 SO SO S0 0680114002 122 S99.800 $149,700 SO 4 7 1 999 999 10 9" D 3 13.5 005 3133.081 $O S133.081 S0 $0 0680117001 123 $357.600 $536.400 SKIM0 14 15 2 60 110 50 35 B 3 135 0.051 S0 $O $O 30 SO M 0117001 124 549.100 S73.650 S0 5 6 1 999 999 15 999 BB 3 135 DOS) $105.028 0SIO5.028 SO SO 06B 0117MI 125 581.700 $122.550 SO 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 13.5 005 $3.450 $0 $3.450 30 30 $241.559 $0 S241,559 SO SO 1 RMq YJU t7/t2NB DEPRECIATED MIN,SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNEOR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ __UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF _ _ __ SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO. DSRVL rCONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Nale(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE _ WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 069011]002 119 $81,700 SI22,550 SO 10 12 1 105 145 40 999 D 3 135 005 SO 50 _ 50* i0 —S0 0680113DO2 120 $51000 576,500 $0 10 12 1 105 145 40 999 D 3 IJ.S 005 f0 $O $0 SO S0 B6B 0114W2 122 599,800 5149,700 SO 4 7 1 9" 999 10 999 D J 13.5 005 5179.072 SD S179073 SO SO 0680117001 123 5357,680 $536.400 550.000 14 15 2 60 110 SO 35 B J 17.5 0.05 f0 f0 SO so $0 0680117001 124 549.100 $73,650 SO 5 6 1 999 999 15 9" BB 3 135 005 $146,655 SB 5146.655 S0 EO 0680117001 125 581,700 5122,650 SO 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 13.5 OAST 53SW $0 53.950 SO SO 3329.677 $0 5329.6T SO SO � R(AO`A1U 1}1p50 Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 4-Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) LAST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data I Interest rate= 7.00% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucu 51.00 (Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(fUyr) 2.63 5.64 Avg.Dep.Replac $123,318 IStd Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Repla $6,340.200 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.20 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 108-119 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F6 for typical beach slope and bluff top (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVD) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1985 7.10 + -066 fl03; 0.03 6.44 0 0.93 2 1986 5.80 7.96 6.01 0 0.87 3 1987 6.30 ' k 0U6 11 83, 19.79 6.36 0 0.82 a 4 1988 6.90' a 0 47 9 46 29.25 7.37 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00V 037 �391 33.17 6.37 0 0.71 1991 80036 0.67. 7 1992 9.00 49.52 9.13 0 0.62 8 1993 5.80 57.95 5.43 0 0.58 9 1994 6.90 61.45 7.45 0 0.54 10 1995 6.90 0:57 ,�'�2 67.07 7.47 0 0.51 _a k y 1 R4WO.WK4 12/22/98 GBIG ---------- - -- --- - YEAR I-.11.1. III— IFI 111111 RI _.7 im I T� D I 10 1 0. -IA TSBIQ W IMETT EL REL 6i4fwa j -ia 7 r, ro 1171— Z �aEoa1611, ra 6. 121 W ;21 YFAR 4-LASTS BIG 61-6 F ita —Tom .71 ry YEAR 5-LAST I BIG iiva 'D 21: YEAR 6-LAST 5 BIG Tlll 1 YEAR I LA T 6 BIG �, -T.-------.-------- - -- --ST EL REL D 21 o[m¢w,[o um scrvsa vna2 wruu YEAH t-LAIT 6 HIO srvic,ua, auuwva uuv vsrays s2nucv waras swvnws swnvo _ s[c ua wr c++ovro ouuo[ oar�vu nsuc[Ir,l rownvvsro mvwrr ra[a ,orri vrna ouws ov eu�w[r.o nnv, rv[ ,vorso+ svosuu YEAR 9-LAST 5 BIG TE I.M-T ma� YEAR 10-LAST 5 BIG Ell- EL K= �xr IL DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR _SUMMA_RYOF_A_L_L_10YEARS-LASTS_BIG_ ___ STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF _______ SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NOVO) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (ue Note_(d) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVO) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0680113002 119 SBIJOO $122,550 SD 10 12 1 105 145 40 999 D 3 13.5 005 SO S0 $0 SO SO 06S 0113OD2 120 S51.000 S76.S00 $0 10 12 1 105 145 40 999 D 3 13.5 005 $0 $0 SO SO S0 0680114W2 122 599.600 S149,7W SO 4 7 1 999 999 10 999 D 3 13.5 OW $114.132 SO $114.132 SO SO 0680117001 123 $357,600 S536.400 S60.OW 14 15 2 W 110 50 35 B 3 13.5 OW SO W $0 S0 SO D660117W1 124 WA CO $73.650 $0 5 6 1 999 999 IS 999 BB 3 13.5 0,05 S101,206 30 $101.206 $0 SO 0680117001 125 $81.700 $122,550 SO 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 135 0.05 $1.602 SO $1.502 SO $0 S216,B41 S0 $21 S,B•11 SO SO I RM.O V�1t� 17/1]AB Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 4-Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) RANDOM STORMS OVER 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Flood Stage Data Interest rte= 7.00% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of SWcutres 51.00 Return Period(Yrs) Freq Stage a Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(fl/yr) 2.63 5.64 Avg,Dep.Replacemnt Val $123,318 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 6.20 6.20 Total Dep.Replacement V $6,340,200 2 0.5 2.6 Maximum Slope of Active Profile 0.2 10 0.9 7.7 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250 Content to Structure 50 0.98 9.4 Value Ratio 0.50 100 0.99 10.4 500 0.998 12A Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 108-119 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F6 for typical beach slope and bluff top (4)D=DUNE. B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F-BLUFF -----_--.- - Normal ---...- Without Prefect Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Tenn Cumulative Al Dune/Bulkhead Storm Storrs Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Recurrence Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev--0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Interval(yrs) (ft_NGVD)__-----_-_-__-_ - _ - (ff) (ff) _ - _ (8) --__ -__(ft NGVDj) _- _-Distance(11) Value Factor 7.00 �� fli e$ ,s� 413 -4.13 s.3a o Bs3 2 fl3T 2.60 s �, `* �, 021 303 07 z .4.06 2.81 0 0.87 -2.63 6.46 0 0.82 3 398, 6.40 a a ? 185, 440 e Ba7 idfl9l 7.46 4.67 0 0.76 s 355fl 9.00 037 1383 21.z9 9.37 0 071 6 'r 58 E 4.40 s "� 25.58 4.26 0 0.67 768' 07<,'� 86d� 32.22 7.93 0 0.62 8 6.13"# 7.00 s r� - .0 37 10 61 42.82 6.63 0 0.58 9' 12 79 c 7.80 ':� t)55 13 91 5673 8.35 0 0.54 10 248 5.40 5 62.01 5.97 0 0.51 1 R4WO.WK4 12R2/98 | \ � } ) (-�•K•§7 R §.| ( !° § 0 P: "•5-$¥ # § ( !® § )10 ( j\/ §(��, _�� ...§.. \(� ` §§##K2 (§\( #|■§!# �■■!§!■ EAR 1,;ZNDOM STORMS vmw YEAR 2 RANDOM STORMS :Ts YEAR]-RANDOM STORMS Y AR4•RANDOM STORMS YEARS-RANDOM STORMS in mv.,..,L is aFTO-I- YEARB-RANOOMSTORMS _ YEAR 7-RANDOM STORM 1. =00C T-RMIM YEAR!-RANDOM STORMS CIRSY nsruKF mw- =ROL T.. 7. inor YEAR!-RANDOM STORMS YEAR_.,rNDOMSTORMS J,IA�ST �Zzill DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE OUNEOR DUNE OR _ SUM MAR_Y_O_F_ALL 10_Y_E_AR_S__-_R_A_NDOM STORMS _ STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENTVALUEOF __ SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO. DSRVL .CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (ue Nd1 (4) (FT NGVD) (FTNGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE . __ _ __.._.__... _ ___ ... _. _ ._ _ .... ._._ 068 0113002 119 561.]00 $122.550 SO 10 12 1 105 fay m 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 f0 fa SO SO SO M CI 13002 120 S51,000 $76,500 SO f0 12 1 IDS 145 40 999 D 3 135 0.05 $0 SO SO 10 $0 0680114D02 122 S99.50D $149,700 SO 4 7 1 999 999 10 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 $90,965 S0 S90,965 SO SO M0117MI 123 S357,600 $536,40C $50,000 14 IS 2 60 110 50 35 B 3 13.5 0.05 SO SO S0 SO SO 0680117001 124 S49,100 $73,650 SO 5 6 1 999 999 15 999 BB 3 135 0.05 $75.186 $O $75,186 SO S0 MCI 17MI 125 S81,700 $122.550 SO 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 13.5 0.05 $4.970 SO $4.970 Sa SO $171.121 SO $171,121 $O SO 1 RMO Wt� 1INH04 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNEOR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH _ _ _ UN_DISCOUNTED VALUE OF_ _ _ _ ___ SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (sae Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE _EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE___BULKHEAD DAMAGE_ 06801 13002 119 $01.700 $122.550 f0 10 12 1 105 td5 40 999 D 3 135 0,05 f0 f0 f0 EO f0 0680113002 120 $51,000 $76.500 f0 10 12 1 105 145 <0 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 f0 $0 EO f0 f0 06801140G2 122 f99,800 5149.700 f0 d 7 1 999 999 10 999 D 3 13.5 0.05 $137.849 $0 3137.849 $0 f0 0680117001 123 $357,600 $536,400 f50,000 14 15 2 60 110 50 35 B 3 135 005 30 f0 f0 f0 f0 0680117001 124 E49,100 f73,650 f0 5 6 1 999 899 15 999 BB 3 13.5 0.05 E712,784 SD f112.781 EO f0 O6801 17001 125 $81.700 $122.550 f0 9 10 1 999 999 35 999 BB 3 13.5 0.051 971 f0 f8,971 f0 E0 E257,603 f0 f257,603 f0 f0 1 R4NO.YM4 1L17A4 Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 6 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) AVERAGE 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data � Structure Data 7.00% i Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm (Number of Strucutres 51 Interest rate= 1.40 6.48 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $123,318 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 [Mean Lang Term Erosion Rate(fUyr) 5.30 5.30 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6,340,200 IStd Oev.of Long Tenn Erosion Rate 0.20(Avg.Bulkhead Cost($/LF) $250 IMaximum Profile Slope 250.00onStructureI Ctent to Structure IMaximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 5.0 Value Ratio, Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long tern erosion taken from average of sections 67-86 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F16 for typical beach slope and transect F15/F17 for typical top of dune (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT.F=BLUFF --- ----------------- _ - -"- Without Project - - -- ---- ---- - Normal - Storm Surge Elevation i Error Term AtDune/Bulkhead Storm on SF Distribluion Long Term Cumulative on Long Island Induced Without Project for U Sound Erosion Long Term accretion Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) (ft NGVDj) ____Distance(ft) Value Factor Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) ( ) 7.44 «* ^- -1.95 0.87 1 1985 7.10 Vzg, +3 �r s y gur 6.06 0 1988 5.80 ' �.� 6 26 s � $ 1.56 6.65 0 0.82 2 1987 6.30 � 4 z 3$0 4.86 6.91 0 0.76 4 19BO 6.90 k ' a �� 3 00 3 ° 8�� -1.74 5.86 0 0.71 5 1989 6.00 A 14 �� 7.9 7 8.18 8.25 z 0 0.67 6 1985 7.10 ' i r �, 1 15 ^, ,�,: 518 11.36 5.66 0 0.62 ! -i .tt'r ..dj� ar f is 12.84 0.58 7 1986 5.80 �'. x s_ 6.17 0 .30 -013 0 53< 12-31 6.82 0 0.54 g 1987 6 " 3 A OB ' 2 74'<:, 15.05 0.51 .30 9 1988 7.17 5.18 0 10 1989 6.00 17rz21SB R6WO.WK4 wTED s�TP.a EcrrvE pmercE DUPE patEw _ YEAR 7-AVERAGE 10 YEAR9. _ wE OulPttFD ww p+f StxB.a PPMLE 5�¢�PE cEVUC v.L MCE cRo1MD ¢plP �wGE bcT.wE bsTi.wE T PFwO OEDWii TDE¢D BOP¢D PIPE OD I&A�WFAO B10.t�6�LD b5i.1KE 05p+Y£ - f4 I -- COixfPDl Mt5L4RED CAFST EL.-PEL E fA�DUL si0w E 1ssNvl •mPTEP19 <R wvp(T+wVDI s1 ruMOIET)_ _Ii¶ IiTI OTI (�e1ao 1� 0r wvpl 1¢wvp OLRwiwDTOo DVEPit1PPEyte lf.¢ED+ INOO evLP1rt.0 lweutu6TDl DLwcE fElEv.nDN pEUnETTOEsI wGE_I_7t 111 TMW ALL TGPRP Ovf MwDE_I6LwGE�DESTPOVEOT MwcE bemmom 11tt�s0 D �1xw -f0 1 11x w w v�,nmw000 .se so wl w o fo 1nx s1.s.xm xxs sio m w w m ae x w x f B 4x 10 so s 0e 0s .1.2 m so D so se. s0 s �o sne.za .ie m sss.mo 10 w w m w s 10 as so u.x w w w w w w ae A s0 10 s sx.om 11 x w1. w a0 w w w w w w 1 x 11 D 11 x w w w fw,w0 w pev00 no1m� am�o�m w D nw os 01m1 f1w.0ao w s z 1s 11.2 11x w w ff).T00 w 1. sxw.eao w ® w1. ae w fe0m x10. n x w sxs.Tw +u s w w os f0 a15 w11 1u u x x Pe w w w III ® 0ro w w +eo - oo w nxw w w slss.sw s0 �o 11 z w om now so w so w w ee w w w . D w w vSe OB+eOp x10 .1= ffe].xw w 10 11 1 OLD im W aw D 0 11 0 11]w w .1g 1. w ). 1 f0 t1.x 00 �1. 00 w oFRREu.rep vsE}Bsu cTlw o-mvcE wvE ouvE oa YEARt-AVERAGE IDYEAR!_ BulxaFAp Wrt+ wMSucE g1B� PRODLE SMaELuuE Bt0.�RF.+O BpLxRCAD BNxa O �PIUEM "IT aERUG v�I — GROWO ELOM E S A— SIEncE to BplFXExp Oc IOE EL laa FL BFAC>• O+mE Oa IBpI 51/.REE O ixxcE EIEv�W TIED ESE REL IaKTME GRDC�L iD ptavl OaiEMS CO IiT t+GVpl IEI RGWI IT—, eEG�x56i1 OIEi1Pt Opil IEII fri aa•19 (EI RGVpI hT RGvpI SLORE Bulx+4.SD iOa IBOVERiOwEp'+�FfREp++°Iwi°DKxxFApIWBUL+u+F�DI LN IElEV IXI IaE1AirvE pFl WM.wE� ELEVEIiW fI_ wxvEM 1i000viAM-1 N.w�SGEpIMLUGE�OEGIROYEo+WtuGE S fB ' 1 ' I ID D Ommn w +00 ]} 00 oP m o @I +o+m 3 11 +S m 30 f i0 ss.ow sa w fss® v w fv D3 11 01. .1w fv s w w w 3o n w fo fo w :11. } o w D w w 3 D m w w fnB.m i f m fm.}m 3u se m}fo ® fm}}145 3 D w w wol axmam t D tD w 000 n.ssB w wo wf av w mawm t� �mBumm Be rw w w +sv11 0. w w ° f3o m ov rro s� w fnvem 30 ITT— w}}m } w w +:�o iwnm osvm+wo+ .am w w +a o so +o o o wTEo dsrAREE de+E Da+EDR dwew _ _ _dWiE DsEnTP+IEkf]:ibM.VEb &RAEMk,IFDAE1D 0_DPd11ID EsLoOwd 1___ uRp EsSEOTRwE a+ TBAG_ dRA-RsoIOArvSNM1ECEE_ TOv MBulEkOlkP'}E D &O0.E kpRluGgsD pulpkEv EGl D BUlaLInO VE�L D 6iACP DARE Ca IBdIAM1lkEw aGP D pptkRE A d SIMCE_ �EdR spTsArNOu[E __ _ YEAR VI1AN-On A_d-,IA VIER_.A.G_E 1._0_YEARS L—�—i___U_II.T_E_—___ E_ VAnVE(__R_k_I_t _ VAL wE DOlARnR5 os wd Sq sO BduS T) DI _ TO EIEIIp O cqrP SEDBk OT sIRDOO DSRV OVTO E EA ED F GO VI � OL __DA._._O_._ .G._-Pi.G qE _ f0I 1.10 f0 3001 �Y 1Rw0 10 1 w iw 10 f ® B mi 3) b ]1 ib 3 a i0 tt m,wD , ® .-1 SD Ka 0]]000t {Bs.A f M Sw 00 0. i ] %I 00 b NO w f0 .11 f0 1 w 30 10t1001. f� Ia30.X0 ae.t0 i0 30 00 1. 10 0. 100 ® e]0 ] D1 10 w f0 O b00 SD D 10 b01 O,2= p;]Of D 1,0 wol b 0'a 050:1 D W 4 In b 3 ex] w D b 00 10 aO.Iw fa D NI,a]0 N+Iw KP id Olwt b fSK D b 00 s0 30 D f0 ] 00 30 IS p 1.00e .I.) SH,Om w ® p 11aob ns.ob pp w b A BB b w o peooD w b oskos,sooD w w loo osn os]RaD] + ea ]+ w w eI, ix]D eb sp ] No b m a, 10 + w w a11 ]am t d ox 3m.sb w b b 1] Da w w omrelvw+ mo .rm b Io u , ba my w Rn D a D Ioe No .0 au w eT s w we oa b,rvE on I YEAR 4-AVERAGE 10 YEARS rr:wE�ia,Ev uw EEr 1 a,rwrt amE ourrtw amE atnwrugE Mn�Fb Yuru BEEWE ,f,avx Eao:EE 6wnEtwC BVLu�Ga ENru�eb lW�Mb IaMErn - - - ,�U,IRE RE�,� RE= �a� EEa� o ubE a„ E a,�E ,oa. b _1..E �EE, ,a fE E _.R �. �I a µ E Ewa I_.a �EEa.r� , a� abE E 2I ® �I �I .10 m x sETe.w crpE uxc DuxE amE OR awE aR YEARS-AVERAGE 10 YEARS t>Ep+EPnTEo w e o-s E _ crROcrO AL DatxFAD {aw BEFORE :ETA— RRmRE SxMElo4 ODLo�FAO OaeRFAD&nexFwD Pe+EM Al STRurME RERIAc AL RFMCE ORa)uD FLOOR btucE PST.REE p5i.xcE r0 eDleRFAD Ba1RE iOE El rb Et REAP+ IODIaxEAOxCE ElEv.ibN Cb ifROL r6wTfE0-I v+ESi EL R6 BULWEeO I UOnNE POnbL Yc ete LIT iD DSRVL . mxGvm lR xcvq eTORv BEpx0(Eif-- lm (m pil I�xm PI (Er xGvq (V'i xGvq eax iOmED+I�LEm{ B •D INre e++FADI bpuGE EIEVAnP1�ElATrvEIOMEI bWOE_ ElEveTroN._-IWAVE IR___ R _beucE rMGEs51Rp.ED'+MM.GE 51_w m meoSomm {0 O mI w w w sm.mo t0 { w w s c {o ceps {I15.]m ])eW 00w® ]seoo sR Do w w Do w fs] {mom > sv w® {+yam smam m om w w s+ea m0 s0 RD { e sv m so to {o xo nsm0 so ram f ml w sa so nmm m w {o i)+z.m w w w ewe 0 m fY Ooo fo - D m w i0 w {See e'n i0 m t3+ io snsm 'ae tenon 0 w s]cotioi f mo0o m I o0 SO S] w w -21 ® w w w D w omoswm+ ]sm w s0 uesm w w 00 w sf]zsw a ea Ea0mpwms9se mmmomsoo1++esm9lmoaaoaam0001 fes lrm®oo t x,ew wwwww ]. v] ens ]a ee o to so ssoo .wwww0 D +x +s . fo N0. 211 121 w S10 wwwww D a 11 0 f0.W W eTe eTe w ev S1 {o 10. 00 21 00 w w n sEilNw sr•NCE DUNEw aR+E aR YEAR 6-AVERAGE 10 YEARS ennE a DONE ME BuISPFAO pBEEORE SEEB{p .. _ _ .. _ siPOOI saiN EST SWPEIP+E BODwF/0 TM ELO Bae Et ERE— DUE OR -- RER4C vst RERUCE GRCUWO RCa) bslecE SienYE sisNCE io BOLeMAO O<ElOff iq EL iOR EL Bbw StRwE,]O OtRnNEA asi]u[E I WniRa. TifU UE PEL DLv]E/�D E wrtlbl slm 1ARE OMENis Ifi NCVDI BT ucvpl SI OEc us IFTf_.a 0'il affN 6i1 (ue ua I%j Ifi uGVOI Fi rmva sLOREB OVE OWEDaIf,s swO Buttls'wp lw/BOLenFAOI suGE EIEvsT On IREUE'ivEb ` buAGF I ElEv.]il0u I_ vE M, _ TO, wMncE.iWraGE�0EM5 EO•b1uGE G SI1+.)50 Wsi w D Y YEs Ri t00 _ D o YEs 10 w DESTROYED s o YEs o YEs sn w OEsrnovED s�� osea)IxmO I) Sw E S to So DESTROYED S)tsstwo 0 vE4 1q f}+s.5tb osemo)aao f+a.m s 1} B o YEs No w w 0_ to I} }ef o vEs o YEs tp 0. p m O D o vEs B o vEs {0 1 BB Gal 0 VEs �o e} ] D DPI I-N S siP o�Wm0 p 0vE0 ] 1'-7. m B Es mo D o vEs 0 o vEs ITw fEy� w w {0 0 YEs e] so s ) zss D o rss yo 0.") s so w v 0 w o no so �o m lame s)ieissso a.E5Es w w 1 f)w..m two ; sm D to uo..D] rmo fleeom e IS ssa.lw w Os 11}0m w ] D 0 vE4 ] tT.e)0 UU w f 111,AD w ] D 0 vEs s'ri' w WO o] {Ie.fN Oo {0 Ose Os f0 Wo D 0 YFs 03 {ri.w 00 fo S 10}Np f1w.Om SO 0 vE4 i0 e] .)I w riD.w sb4, fb } 0 0 ES ST].wl 0 w :11.11 S U bs 0 vEs w w1.ws 00 00 w ]I W 00 YEs so w 150 {15r YO }6 0 YEs f0 w o Fs 83 1w w _ a 0 )� Iri.111. D 0 VEsYEs 11 In]m0 ass500 D o YEs w w w BO Z0 IN ) ® S BB ffw o YES w w O'am+w0+ )+o fzm so 10 1+ 1 000 OBv w OeR p J 11 0 loo YEs uO 1ta +1m w B] ) {0 100 Oo e} 00 w w qr _ YEAR 7-AVERAGE 1R YEARS 0 o-n.�s.o non. ' wr+s f _ w�v ��eEc,< re. vna bvs ru rs av Et Toouc n�l owE an o o-s.rxE sys.� -Al GE- LE-Y--i L vuie I svucrws - �o o rrwwl Frsrrevrn sr sse�r sin as�rlrE o-s'mucs ro sir s.o n..ee.r. acwi err r,cvrn OTE ov lovsaro�sm ls�sm wro eus'eo lvnew�vwol awee, IsisvAT—i su.rvs ro uc� svl-sisv.nov_I rnw.vs rrts00lro cowvoi x I —GE laves icesrvovsor awes_ oso 0o sr so ossmovm 1. ID ID to 11 vovm 'oaao 10 ol 17 00 TO ol TO TO m aB _ sT. .0so as w 1.00 sxx�sw sA.mID xr or oww s 1. svovm s so ® 10 0. 211 2 0. w so a No w 2. s� x °Bl w ®I sxr.vxo1.01 u>.vro ® ssase w s w m w 11 t0 rs �m12.I a 10 � w to s n.so so w w 00 osv os reovo .svo w zwev '21 oxm�vmr s � w oo 00 oo no w I I e s w w DE, TIED vw sEieed vE AwE pmE aP D,a+E aP _ .._ _YEAR8-AVENGE IDYEAR! BULePFAO BEEVWE SETBLpt OEiLE sw0mPE Bux+e.AD BuePEA awFAD W _ _ VBE MACE GPpmD tLOOP GE P511wE sieicE i Uur,FAD dBLIrtE IOE ELD i p,PE OR D pSTi.NCE Ep ZA ELEYAi - --- iil n MAO — PUL sPUGTV E NSN DPEs EL STPUCfURE Oe PEMC vAL PE d p OB BFACN Ir 0.V IEt wVD+(Fi wVq 0 pry US FTI__ (Ti+ OM 1--Ol (n-i 6 wvpl BUIv,�EAD iOP IBOVEP+Owm+��eD+IwOB rEAOINV BULaPEwDI wLGE IElEVAPON�EIAT VE IO e�FI wGE tO _L LVevE MED�TOCOviPOITOv]dwGE�du/.cE OESiFOVED'+dDA'f0 GpOEMw f0_ _ _ tt osemem sxm.tso t0 w sxion2 em m j s so me e xA s e21 s xr m a� so s ® U A.iB D i0 ie w ° w fo DEsmorm 11x&aw s °a w so w s D w so m m x w B w 15 10 so xro m! w ex s° ueGi nam n w °Pi tt w s x u ,xm w ea sn.am a�eataD ° w sx.oa sxime ,xeeo vs D so www ,oan°w000vmmsssnattttt 000000mssssszmm000,,+wewe®mm°mmo°,°oor - �,xewu1ep ,eno°�wtoo ns+m eszwawo W. +.+se uawswso w sx,om w :a, +xxsi w00 r r +s.4. oa s, x so x xu OG as $ wwB ew n, w + + w,Bo Go +. oo x a+ u00 10 L'->o ,b+ a ps]e..w0wawssw�f6Bo°n sO YEAR 9-AVERAGE 10 Y eAa crrvE inRCE amE o-wEw o-rn:aR o-sr xc __ .. .._EARS ___—_ uNRUE AUIN P1E SETBA Q<I VMEL BURREAO BOERFAD Bu�EID a• CORE OR uo NCE n - LIAVNDArW EL RE ITIu T [v • COST OT RGVDI OTLRGVDI Si EG NS IR100 al p56i)E roe611RUD Iw Ra.l.l 01[i RDv01 OT nGVD� ORE'BULAREAD TOR OVERipRPEOa I[AREDa IwOBULnwE1DIW BL4KREADI MNAOE tO IELEVATIOR IREUiWETOM[� DAWGEELEVATquWAVEMEDO ITD MRUT_Ov_I pAAYOo JDAA40ff DEBTRDVEDa DAA1A t0 e VEs 00 30 O RDVED w B w 3o DEsrROVED 5} d} 11 5a 30 w s tp S B 30 d} + ss t0 30 1. + w I 1 11 11 w D e vEs 30 +0 30 w + -12 e vfs w w ue m + B w w DEsrRDvfn 3}s® }a to a Z. um dx +0 leo �] W 1. 11 e vfs 5 tp aRo11i00o s�0a.no d} w fo e III +fe pm + magma s�eamv mI a rEs sa 11. m0mo1m1 »vRm a rfs 1sa w m m e vEs w 3o a rEs +111— + w 100 a.050 30 sa 30 30 30 w D 0 vfs isa w 30 w 00 1. Ada lnpl nu .-.d0 sm+m tw i0 n 1 RRe wd w wR D 3 u om Re vfs Ro 1sa a +o ea +: 30 .0 00 w sm 30 10 00 0o 1. cervEwTEo wN sErdDl emrvE ouNE w DUNE YEAR 10-AVERAGE 10 YEARS DSUNCE oua ON srRUOiuRE BULxNFAD WiN BDORE sF28nGx RRasnE unRUmE Butx+rtPO BuxNE.D BuxvUD IBIAK�AD Ds�NfE _ _�NUfdlOx _____.. _ .. REMCVPL REPUCE GROUND RWR dWGE PsiPNOE DSUNCE 1000LxNdD DE OLuci TOE Et TOV EI. BE/.CN DUNE OR BULxRGO DST— ELEVPRti COvlFDL wMS IrTED OREST EL.REI DIRI(11fPO MRUTURf - - rr STRUCTI.WE IGL sEO etx LOT iO NO DYih •COMEMs COST IET xGVD IT NGVD� SiORv azDNS OiI (fi) IT) 0+1 I•••Nd.l.l Ir I-M IR NGVOI sLooE BuxRFAD TOv'OVER+ORREM RULED+ vxO ButxNF�D IW euxNEAOI dWGE ELEV.LDdxIREUTnIE TO _ __._ ,.__ __NUVE RT,__ _ __I_ _ I . WGE ELEVP1Kw WGE dWGE DEsiROVED+dWGE D w10 I; YA 53 w w OEsrROVEO SO w b DESTRO.ED sG DfsRwED me moxaoo +x s+aros fxo.mo 1. IRxo D0. 00 w b n m eo w nx w w aG00 a w sm® m+:1 sA Om 10 sxID —am+02 w00 SofM.f0 w b I. w a1xasw f b sx SO 3 SO smo.En Sot sx w w so so 2 s ND so w e m IS :Dw sx IDw w xu w w so w so w ml f0 sx DO SO 10 10snwl fxsm so o m fm,2u w rrT b D xD M 00 f0 w w00 1a2+e 10, 00 sa.11e ® sx w osPotoaessB n.sw w sx OfP05 mOm f+52050 MD050lGm +ef m]w f+00.Ps5s0D so x SO sx n fb0 1. BB 00 NO 10 S2 f0 w 52 ® Ix+O mm000 W300 bS. BB OBI w 00 w gP DD twm +.Mm ffei.I50 f0 +0 +1 + BW PR 10 me D t ++ 0 +0.RO x0 )rl r+l 52 ae b +O. -2e 00 10 w DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-AVERAGE 10 YEARS STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF SEC_BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL -CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE ON D202DDO 160 745M $111.750 s0 10 15 1 20 60 40 999 0 3 11 0,09 - s0 s0 - --- SO so --s0 0580203000 159 1373M 52D5.950 s0 10 14 1 10 50 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $137,233 $137.233 $0 s0 $O 0580204000 158 817M 5122.550 $20,000 10 13 1 10 s0 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $81,660 $81.66D s0 so s0 0580205000 157 143700 S215,550 $20.000 10 14 1 10 s0 40 20 B 3 11 009 $143.630 $143,63D $0 s0 s0 058 02 06000 156 NW) S130350 S20.000 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $0 S0 s0 s0 s0 OSB 0207000 155 99800 S149,700 $20.000 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 so s0 s0 $0 s0 0580208000 1so 1DNo0 $160.200 SD 4 12 1 285 295 10 S99 Be 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 so SO 0580209000 181 78200 $117,300 s0 4 12 2 280 290 10 20 BB 3 Il 0.09 s0 s0 $0 $0 s0 0580210000 182 96800 $145.200 SO 4 12 2 275 285 10 20 BB 3 11 0,09 s0 s0 SO s0 $O 0580211000 154 736M S110.400 $20.000 B 12 1 40 70 30 20 B 3 11 0.D9 s0 s0 s0 s0 SO 0560212000 153 BUDD $129.300 $20.000 8 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 II 0.09 $O s0 so s0 $0 ON 0213000 152 101000 3151,500 SM." 8 15 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 009 SO $0 s0 _ SO s0 - 0580215002 151 1011900 S163,350 $20.000 8 11 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 SO s0 $0 $0 s0 0580216DOO 183.1 126WO $189.900 s0 3 11 1 280 285 5 20 Be 3 11 0.09 so so SO s0 s0 05BO220MI ISO 131300 S196.950 sm,000 7 15 1 35 60 25 20 B 3 11 0.09 so so s0 s0 so 059IN 01000 161 147700 5221,550 $0 10 18 1 65 105 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 $0 s0 059010300t 102 99300 S148,950 s0 10 15 1 50 SO 40 9" D 3 11 0.09 s0 so s0 s0 s0 059 o1 D40M 164 1o4400 $156,600 $U 10 13 1 35 75 40 999 D 3 11 Moe s0 so s0 so s0 0590105000 IN 58900 $88.350 =.DOD 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 8 3 11 0.09 $58.871 358,871 s0 s0 s0 0590105ODD IN 85700 $128,550 so 10 t0 2 50 SO 40 20 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 - So s0 s0 $O 05901060DO IN 166800 $250.200 s35,000 10 12 1 30 70 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 05901 Woos) 169 1089DO SNO.350 s0 8 10 1 240 260 20 999 0 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 s0 $0 s0 05901 090DO I70 1o89o0 31W.350 s0 6 9 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 $4.253 s0 $4,253 s0 s0 05901 10000 171 1416M $212.400 s0 5 13 1 295 310 1s 999 0 3 11 0.09 s0 $0 s0 s0 s0 05901 11000 173 11750D $176.250 $0 7 11 2 275 300 25 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 so so $0 so 0590112000 174 W20D $141,300 $0 6 14 1 280 300 20 See 0 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 $0 so W 0590113000 175 219DOO $328,500 s0 5 12 2 285 300 Is 9" D 3 11 009 So $0 s0 $0 s0 05901 140DO 176 149400 $224,100 s0 5 13 1 285 300 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 so s0 so s0 so OS90115000 177 1477M $221.550 $0 5 13 1 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 009 s0 s0 s0 s0 $O 0590116000 178 168D00 $252.000 s0 5 13 2 270 205 15 999 D 3 11 Doe $0 s0 s0 s0 SD 0590117000 179 139500 $2D9,250 $O 5 13 1 270 285 15 20 Be 3 11 0,09 s0 s0 $0 s0 so 0590122" 195 177100 $265.650 s0 10 18 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 s0 s0 05901 24000 172 143700 $215.550 $O 5 13 1 300 315 IS me D 3 11 0,09 $0 s0 so $0 s0 0590501001 917 195600 S293.4DO $0 4 5 2 999 999 ID 999 D 3 11 0.09 5269,862 SO S289,662 s0 so 0590501001 142 112000 $168.000 s0 8 8 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 009 518.542 s0 $18.542 s0 so 0590501001 143 112" $166.000 s0 5 5 1 999 999 I5 999 D 3 II 0o9 5275,633 so $275.633 $0 s0 0590501001 147 74600 $111.900 so 5 8 1 999 999 Is 999 D 3 11 009 sI9,s46 s0 S19,548 s0 so 0590501001 1" 102600 s153,900 s0 8 B 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 316,985 SO $16,985 s0 so 0590501001 145 140000 $210.000 s0 10 11 1 999 9" m 9" D 3 It OA9 s0 so so $0 $0 059DSDIW1 918 259400 S389,10D $D 4 5 2 999 999 10 S99 0 3 11 0.09 $357,885 s0 11357,685 s0 s0 0590501001 146 992M $148.800 $0 5 7 1 999 S99 15 S99 D 3 11 0,09 $87.610 s4 $67.610 SO so 059 05 06000 164 WOO $122.550 so 15 15 1 999 9% 50 20 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 so so s0 0590507000 183 104900 S157,350 s0 10 18 1 205 245 40 20 88 3 11 0.09 so s0 so $0 s0 0590506000 185 9130D S136,950 $0 15 1s 2 999 999 50 20 BB 3 It 009 s0 s0 s0 so s0 0590515000 192 172900 $259.350 SD 16 24 1 S99 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 $0 so s0 $0 0590516DOD I93 184200 $276.300 $0 16 18 1 999 me 60 999 D 3 11 0.09 so so s0 s0 so 059 05 1 WOO 194 103DOO 5154,500 $0 15 18 1 9" 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 SD so so so s0 0590529DO2 184.1 153900 s230,850 s0 3 11 1 999 999 5 20 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 so $0 $0 s0 0590529OD3 INN 271800 $407.700 s0 3 12 2 Bee 999 S 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SO so $0 $0 $0 0590618001 211 127000 $190.500 $0 14 16 1 Bee 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 $0 s0 s0 0590619DOI 210 42500 S63,750 s0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 so s0 s0 SO S124,318 $1,471.712 S421,395 S1.050,317 s0 s0 t Revov3u umrse DEPRECIATED MIN SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. 'REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF SEC_BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL .CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE _ EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0580202" 160 ]4500 f111,]50 $0 10 15 1 20 60 aD 999 D 3 11 0.09 E0 � - so � SO SO _ §p 05802030DO 159 137" $205,950 $0 - 10 14 1 10 50 40 999 D 3 11 009 $205.950 5205,950 f0 SO so 0580204000 158 81700 $122.550 520,000 10 13 1 10 So 40 20 8 3 11 0.09 $122,550 5122,550 SO $0 $0 0580205M 157 143700 11215,550 $20,000 10 14 1 10 50 40 2U 8 3 11 0.09 S21S.SS0 $215.550 f0 $0 SO 0580206DD0 156 86900 $130.350 $20.000 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 S0 SO SO $0 s0 0580207000 1S5 99800 $149.700 $20,000 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 8 3 11 0.09 $0 $0 SO SO SO 058020800D 180 106800 $160,200 SO 4 12 1 285 295 10 999 Be 3 11 DD9 $0 s0 so 50 SO 0580209" 181 78200 $117.300 SO 4 12 2 280 290 - 10 20 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 f0 30 s0 s0 0590210000 182 96800 $145.200 $0 4 12 2 275 285 10 20 88 3 11 0.09 $0 so $0 S0 $0 058 02 11 DD0 154 73600 $110.400 520,000 8 12 1 40 70 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 SO SO s0 f0 $0 D58 02 12000 153 86200 $129.300 $20.000 8 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 SO s0 $0 so SO 0580213000 152 101000 $151,500 $20.000 B 16 1 25 55 3D 20 8 3 11 Doe $0 s0 $0 $0 $0 05802 ISM 151 108900 $163,350 $20.000 B I1 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 SO SO $0 $0 f0 058 02 16000 IMA 12WW 5189.900 $0 3 11 1 260 285 5 20 08 3 11 M09 s0 $0 SD SO 30 0590220001 150 131300 f19O950 S20.000 7 15 1 35 60 25 20 _B 3 11 OA9 f0 SO $0 $0 S0 0590101000 161 1477M $221,550 SO to 18 1 65 105 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 SO $0 s0 SO 05901 03001 162 W30D $148.950 SO 10 15 1 50 Be Q 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 $0 SO SO SO 05901 04000 164 104400 $156.600 SO to 13 1 35 75 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 $0 $0 $0 s0 D590105000 165 5890D $88.350 W." 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 588,350 588,350 30 SD s0 05901.05000 166 85700 $128.550 $0 10 10 2 so 90 40 20 Be 3 11 0.09 SO $0 $0 SO SO 059 01 06000 168 166M $250.200 $35,000 10 12 1 30 70 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 SO s0 70 $0 $0 05901 08000 169 1089W 3163.350 $0 6 10 1 240 260 20 9" 0 3 11 009 SO SO $0 s0 s0 05901 09000 170 106900 5163,350 s0 6 9 1 240 260 20 999 0 3 11 0.09 $6.383 s0 $6.383 s0 f0 05901 10000 171 141600 $212.400 $0 5 13 1 295 310 15 999 0 3 11 0.09 $0 SO s0 $0 $0 0590111000 173 117500 $176,250 s0 7 11 2 275 300 25 999 0 3 11 0.09 so s0 s0 $0 - s0 OS90112" 174 942W 5141,300 s0 6 14 1 280 300 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 SD $0 $0 s0 0590113000 175 219000 5328,500 $O 5 12 2 285 300 tS 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 SO $0 s0 $0 0590,14000 176 149400 $224.100 SD 5 13 1 285 300 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 $0 $0 s0 s0 0590115000 177 14770D $221.550 $0 5 13 1 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 s0 so - s0 05901160DO 178 168" $252.000 s0 5 13 2 270 285 IS 999 D 3 II 0.09 s0 s0 s0 $0 s0 0590117000 179 I39500 3209.250 $0 5 13 1 270 285 15 20 BB 3 11 0.09 s0 $0 s0 s0 s0 05901220DO 19S 1771M $265,650 so 10 IS I Bee Bee 40 999 D 3 1 II 0.09 $0 s0 s0 $0 $0 05901240D0 172 143700 $215,550 s0 5 13 1 300 315 IS 999 D 3 11 009 s0 s0 $0 $0 $0 0590501001 917 19560) s293.4DO s0 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $377,781 s0 $377.781 SO s0 0590501001 142 1120DO $168,OOD $0 8 e 1 999 9" 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 $27.826 s0 $27.828 $0 $0 0590501001 143 1120M $16B." $0 5 5 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 009 $3 .Bekl SO f3B8,894 SO s0 0590501007 147 7460p SIII,90U $D 5 6 1 999 Bee 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 526.234 SO 526.234 $0 s0 D59 05 01001 144 10260D $153.9DO s0 8 e 1 999 999 30 9951 1 D 3 11 009 $25,490 s0 525,490 s0 so 059050100I 145 140000 3210,000 $0 10 11 1 999 999 m 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 $0 $0 s0 $0 0590501001 918 259400 $389,100 so 4 5 2 BIG 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $501.004 SD 5501,004 s0 SO 059050ID0I 146 992M $148,600 $0 5 7 1 999 999 Is Bee 0 3 It 009 $118.242 $0 $110,242 s0 $0 0590506000 1" 81700 $122.550 SO 15 15 1 999 999 50 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 $0 s0 s0 0590507000 183 104900 $157.350 SO 10 18 1 205 245 40 20 Be 3 11 0,09 $0 $0 50 s0 $0 059 us 08M 185 91300 $136.950 s0 15 15 2 999 999 SO 20 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 $0 s0 SO 05905 ISOM 192 1729W 3259,350 s0 16 24 1 999 9" 60 Bee D 3 11 0.09 f0 $0 s0 s0 s0 05905 16000 193 184200 $276.300 30 16 18 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 50 s0 SO $0 $0 05905 Is= 194 103000 $154,500 $0 1S IB 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 i1 1.09 so $0 $0 s0 s0 059 05 29002 184A 153900 f230,e50 $0 3 11 1 999 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 $0 $0 059 D529003 185.1 271800 S407,700 $0 3 12 2 Bee 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 s0 SO $0 $0 $0 0590618001 211 127000 5790.500 $0 14 16 1 9" 9" 50 999 D 3 1I 0.09 $0 30 - $0 50 s0 D590619001 210 42500 f63.750 $0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 009 $0 $0 30 s0 s0 $124.318 $2.102.254 SOZ400 $1.469.854 so s0 + RhV47.NK4 12R2414 Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 6 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) i FIRST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS IEconomic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Ilnterest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres 51.00 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(1Vyr) 1.40 6.48 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $123,318 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 5.30 5.30 Total Dep.Replacement Value $6,340,200 0.20 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 67-86 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F16 for typical beach slope and transect F15/F17 for typical top of dune (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF - -- - - ------- Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) rosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) _(ft NGVDj) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1991 8.00 5.84 8.34 0 0.93 2 1992 9.00 3 0 26 d J2 E 16.76 9.26 0 0.87 3 1993 5.80 0 35 n 4�J, 27.21 6.15 0 0.82 4 1994 6.90 3 x 0 01 a 3 42 29.63 6.91 0 0.76 9 5 1995 6.90 c D 14 -n3 �a 36.33 6.78 0 0.71 6 1985 7.10 k + 115 3 618a 41.51 8.25 0 0.67 7 1986 5.80 Oid 148 42.99 5.66 0 0.62 a . 8 1987 6.30 O133x /a { , 0 53, 42.48 6.17 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 i' ' 006 ,>, 274 45.20 6.82 0 0.54 10 1989 6.00 „ssi� 082 ; 7 8$ 37.32 5.18 0 0.51 t R6WO.WK4 1212219E YEAR I FIRST 6 BIG _13E 'El 2 Z IM. YEAR 2 FMST 5 BIG -4;-z J YE: 1 2 1 2 2' 1w 1-1Z "3 Ul- :.1 1"2 '2. 7s I YFAR 3 FIRST 5 BIG xt6' =111 7;r 11=— Z� '2 2: 2 :2 2 2: :2 2�2: fo 2121 I'll 1 2: 1 2 VI I 2 N 2 I'll 11 2" 1 2. 11 211 11 112: .11 2 1. :2 .121fnmol .1 1 IZ: :2 111: '22: 1.111-21: 1. :11 .1 x21 vum T. I.":: Mll 12; fp 212; YEAR 4-FIRST 5 BIG -ET- MM.D "I El 1111 Tl-- aaml 1 117 1 I IT 11 IEI 17. 21 'D D. 00 1 T, MI. YEAR 6-F MST 5 BIG 1. 1'-=, IF I.: le,11 --ED {gym Ya 1 21 11 Zl 12 2 1 2 2 D *1 12 12 2 0 1 2,: .2. 11*1 2 *1 2 21 2: :01 I'll "IIU :2 1 2 YEARS-FIRSTS 810 Fl- I—— F 11 1-1 IF-) (FT 6- B-1111 11T� 1111 I'll 11 I-Ti: S. D 1: ID 22 1*2 11 2"1 -R- D D 12 .1 22 D 1 2 D D D 21: D "1 22 'D 21: W 22 WART FIRST 5 61. Dune on I TO-=]ZZ .1 0.1 11 MSIRWEV W I.". WZYID 21 WW 2 221. 1. YEAR I FIRST 5 BIG 12 112: z El 12 2 2 12 11 12 DI YEAR I-FIRST!fii} W.MSTRMED - - -- I DBE D,��ED,•°�„Aa�l W r,rt.D I . � IaEui�:�l: � �,��_ol_r, E�To�:mDErm:��►_ -ODE„or<D;1 Pt sra°rED 1 m 1=12 $iaDYED 10 * siaDEED 12 :1 D 1 IS:11 Nr } a} Iron e YEAR 10 FIRST-5 BIG vvDciDaE R-7 "1=, TT-El 1,-11Dvram Tt—"W-16►-CWM-T-EL-.EC —WEAD TR—. 27. I MITI.ED 52 Z,i 12 12 2 11T I'll D 211 1 1 IE. D* X" 2:1. lw 'D I D lw 2 D I IE. "W 1 110 I;D I X" WW 11 D. 1.xEs w sru »u m m se m I.D I DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-FIRST 5 BIG STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL CONTENTS COST (FTNGVO) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see W.(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIALDAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATIONDAMAGE WAVEDAMAGE BUL)OIEADOAMAGE 0580202" IW $74.500 $111.750 So 10 15 1 20 W 40 90 D 3 11 0.09 $91.221 S91,221 W 30 so 0580203DOO 159 $137.3W $205.950 $O 10 14 1 10 s0 40 999 - D 3 11 0.09 $179.885 3179.805 $0 $0 so 058 02 04000 Is6 S01,700 $122.550 $20.000 10 13 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 II M St24,509 5107.040 SO S17.469 $17.469 05802 D50M 157 $143,700 $215.550 S20.000 10 14 1 t0 s0 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $205.738 S188,270 S0 $17,469 $17.469 05602 D6000 156 SB6.900 SIW.350 $20.000 t0 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 O.W $123.873 5106.404 30 317,469 $17.469 058 02 07000 ISS $99.800 $149,700 $20.000 10 12 1 20 60 m 20 B 3 11 0.09 $139.669 SI22.200 $0 $17.469 $17,469 058 02 08000 180 $106,800 $160.200 s0 4 12 1 295 295 10 999 BB 3 11 009 So so $0 30 So 058 02 09000 181 $78.200 Sl17." SO 4 12 2 280 2W 10 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SD 30 s0 SO $O 0580210" 182 S96.Boo $145.200 SO 4 12 2 275 285 t0 20 BB 3 11 0W S0 s0 30 30 SO 05802110DO IS4 573.1500 5110,400 S20.000 8 12 1 40 70 30 20 B 3 11 OW $91033 $73.564 $0 S17,469 $17.469 058 02 12000 153 $86.200 SIM.= S20.000 6 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 $127.571 $105.547 $4.555 $17.469 $17,469 0580213WO 152 51010W 5151.soo 520.0DO 8 16 1 25 55 W 20 B 3 11 aD9 $14113B $123.669 30 317.,169 $17.469 058 02 150()2 I51 $106,9D0 $10,350 $20.000 8 11 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 O.W SI50.811 S133,342 $0 317.469 S17,469 D5B 021 BOW 183.1 $126.600 $189.9W $0 3 11 1 280 285 5 20 BS 3 11 0.09 $O $0 SO SD $0 058 02 2"1 150 3131.300 3196,950 $20.000 7 15 1 3.5 W 25 20 B 3 11 D.0 sm.,t) $140,423 SO $81.970 WASS 0590101000 161 $147.700 $221.550 30 10 18 1 65 105 40 999 D 3 11 009 S0 s0 $0 $0 30 05901 03W1 162 $99.300 S148,950 s0 10 IS 1 50 W 40 999 D 3 11 O.W 30 30 30 $0 $O M01 D4000 164 3104.401) S156.6W So 10 13 1 35 75 40 999 D 3 11 009 $11165"1 3111654 $O $0 So 05510105000 165 558.900 S88.350 SSS.OW to 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 O.D9 $107.739 $77.168 SO S30.570 $30.570 0590105000 IN $85.700 5128.550 30 10 to 2 s0 90 40 20 BB 3 11 O.W S0 SO SO So $0 0590105000 168 $166,130U $25D.200 535.000 10 12 1 W 70 40 20 B 3 II OW M.959 $178.389 $0 S30.570 330.570 0590108" 169 $108.900 S163,350 SO 6 t0 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 $114.601 SO $5.754 SIOB,847 30 05901090DO 170 S108.900 $10.350 SO 6 9 1 240 2W 20 9" D 3 11 0.09 S140,652 s0 $31.805 1108.847 30 W 0590110000 171 $141,600 S212.4 SO 5 13 1 295 310 15 999 D 3 11 009 s0 SO $0 $0 $0 0590111000 173 5117.500 $176.250 SO 7 11 2 275 300 25 999 D 3 II 0.09 $O 30 $O $0 SO W 0590112WO 174 $94.200 $141.3 $0 6 14 1 280 3W 20 9% D 3 1f 0.09 30 SO 30 $0 $D 059 at 130DO 175 S219.000 S328.500 s0 5 12 2 295 300 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO 30 SO SO 30 D59 01 14000 176 S149400 S224,100 SO 5 13 1 285 300 15 9" D 3 11 Mm $0 $0 $O 30 $0 0590115M 177 $147.700 $221,550 W 5 13 1 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 B09 50 S0 30 SO $0 0590116DOO 175 SISBOW $252.000 So 5 13 2 270 285 Is 999 D 3 11 OW SO So 30 $0 $0 0590117" In 5139,500 32W.250 30 5 13 1 270 285 15 21 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 So 30 30 $0 059 01 22DOO 195 5177.IW $265.650 $0 10 18 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 So So SO So 05901240DO 172 $143.700 $215,550 SO 5 13 1 3W 315 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 So So SO So So 0590501001 917 $195.600 $293.400 s0 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $313,695 30 $313.695 $0 s0 0590501001 142 $112.000 SI68.000 So 8 B 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 S76.707 SO $76.707 SO 3o 059D501W1 143 5112.W0 $168,000 $0 5 5 1 999 999 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 $299,848 $0 3299,848 S0 $0 0590501001 147 $74.600 $I11." 30 5 8 1 999 999 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 S5I.092 $0 $51.092 30 SD 0590501001 1" $102.600 3153.900 30 8 8 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 It D09 S70.20 s0 $70.269 SD $0 0590501001 145 $m.o00 $210,000 SD to I 1 999 9" 40 999 0 3 11 0.09 30 So So $0 SO 0590501001 918 $259.400 $389.IW 30 4 5 2 999 999 t0 999 D 3 11 OW S416.015 So $416.015 so So 059 as 01001 146 $99.2W sm.800 SO 5 7 1 999 90 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 S132.594 S0 $132.594 SO SD 05905060DO 184 $81.700 $122.550 So 15 IS 1 999 999 W 20 BB 3 11 O.9 SO $0 50 $0 $0 0590507000 183 SI04.90D $157.350 $O 10 18 1 205 245 40 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 $0 So S0 So 059 as OBWO 185 391.300 S136.950 $0 15 15 2 999 999 s0 20 BB 3 11 D.W SO SD s0 So s0 059 05 15000 192 3172,9W $259.350 3o to 24 1 999 999 s0 999 D 3 11 009 $0 So So s0 So 05905160Do 193 $184,20 f276.300 S0 16 IB 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 3o $0 SO SO $0 059051S00 194 S103.000 $154.500 $0 15 1B 1 999 999 so 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO $0 So SIX So 059 05 29D02 184.1 $153,900 $230.650 SO 3 11 1 999 999 5 21 BB 3 11 0.09 $O $0 $0 $0 So 059 W 29001 IBSA $271,800 W7.7W SO 3 12 2 999 9" 5 20 BB 3 11 a09 30 So 30 $0 S0 059061awl 211 S127.000 $190.500 30 14 16 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO s0 30 SO SO 059W 19W1 210 $42.500 $63.750 SO 10 11 1 999 999 a0 999 D 3 11 009 3o So SO s0 30 $3.641.673 $1.738.77B $1.402.334 3500,563 $218.360 1 R6V.0 W14 12/77FJ6 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH UNDISCOUNTEDVALUE OF SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO, DSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (sea Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRTTIAL DAMAGE _EROSION_DAMAGE _INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 0580202000 160 $74.500 $111.750 SO 10 15 1 20 60 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $111,750 $111.750 $0 $0 SO 0580203000 159 $137.300 5205,950 SO 10 14 1 10 50 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 3205,950 5205,950 $0 SO SO 0580204000 158 $81.700 5122.550 520.000 10 13 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 0,09 5142,550 $122.550 SO $20.000 520.000 OW 0205000 157 $143.700 $215.550 $20.000 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $235.550 $215.550 $0 520,000 $20.000 05802060D0 156 $66.900 $130,350 f2O,000 10 12 1 20 W 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $150.350 $130,350 f0 $20.000 320.OD0 058 020700D 155 f99.800 $149.700 520,000 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 8 3 11 0.09 $169.700 $149.700 f0 $20,000 520,000 05B 02 D8000 180 $105.800 $160.200 f0 4 12 1 285 295 10 999 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 SO S0 30 SO 0580209" 181 578.200 $117.300 SO 4 12 2 280 290 10 20 Be 3 11 0.09 SO SD f0 SO SO 058 D2 10000 182 $96.800 $145.200 f0 4 12 2 275 285 10 20 Be 3 11 0.09 f0 f0 f0 SO SO 058 D211000 154 573,600 f110,4D0 520.OD0 8 12 1 40 70 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 5130.400 $110.400 SO 520.OD0 $20,000 058 02 12000 153 $86.200 f129,3D0 520,000 8 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 $154,515 $129.300 $5.215 f20.00D $20.000 0580213" 152 f101.000 $151,500 $20.000 8 16 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 f171,500 $151.500 SO $20,000 $20.000 058 02 15002 151 5108.900 $163.350 $20.000 8 11 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 $183.350 $163,350 SO $20.000 $20.000 0580216000 183.1 $126.600 $189.900 SO 3 11 1 280 285 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SO SO 50 SO SO D58 02 20001 150 $131.300 $196.960 $20,000 7 15 1 35 60 25 20 B 3 11 0.09 $290.806 $196.950 SD $93.856 $20.000 0590101DD0 161 5147.700 $221.550 SO 10 18 1 65 IDS 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO $0 SO S0 50 0590103001 162 599.300 $148.950 SO 10 15 1 50 90 40 999 D 3 11 0,09 SO SO S0 SO SO 0590104000 164 $104.400 $156.600 S0 10 13 1 35 75 40 9% D 3 11 0.09 f156,600 5156.600 SO $0 SO 0590105000 165 $58.900 $88,350 $35.000 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $123.350 $88.350 f0 535.00O $35.000 0590105000 166 585,700 $128.550 SO 10 10 2 50 90 40 20 Be 3 11 009 SO $0 SD $0 SO 0590106000 168 5166,800 5250.200 $35.000 10 12 1 30 70 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $285.200 $250.200 SO 535.000 f35,000 0590108000 169 5108.900 5163,350 SO 6 10 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 $169.938 SO 56.588 $163.350 SO 0590109000 170 $108.900 5163,350 SD 8 9 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 $199.155 $0 535.805 $163.350 SO 0590110000 171 $141.6DO $212.400 SO 5 13 1 295 310 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 S0 SO SD 50 SO 0590111000 173 $117.500 $176.250 SO 7 11 2 275 300 25 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 f0 30 f0 f0 0590112000 174 $94.200 $141.300 SO 6 14 1 280 300 20 999 0 3 11 0.09 SO $0 SO f0 SO 0590113000 175 $219.000 $328.500 SO 5 12 2 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 f0 $D $0 SO $0 0590114D00 176 $149.400 5224,100 $0 5 13 1 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO f0 SO f0 SO D590115000 177 $147.700 5221550 SO 5 13 1 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SO SO SO SO 05901160D0 178 $168,000 5252.000 b 5 13 2 270 285 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SD SO SO SO SO 0590117000 179 $139,500 $209.250 SO 5 13 1 270 285 15 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 SO $0 SO SO 0590122000 195 $177.100 5265.650 SO 10 18 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SD SO $0 $0 SO 0590124000 172 $143,700 $215,550 SO 5 13 1 300 315 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SD $0 $0 SO SD 0590501001 917 $195,600 $293.400 $0 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $428.934 SO $428.934 SD SO 0590501001 142 $112.000 $168.000 SO 8 8 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 $92.430 SD $92.430 SO 50 0590501001 143 $112.000 $168.000 SO 5 5 1 999 9% 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 $415.918 SO $415,918 f0 SO 0590501001 147 $74.600 $111.900 $0 5 8 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 f61.565 SO $61.565 SO SO 0590501001 1" f102,600 $153.900 $0 8 6 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 $84.672 SO 584.672 SO 50 0590501001 145 $140.000 $210.000 SO 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SO f0 SO SO 0590501001 918 $259.400 $389,100 f0 4 5 2 999 999 10 9% 0 3 11 0.09 $568.842 SO $568.842 SO $0 0590501001 146 $99.200 $148.800 SO 5 7 1 999 999 15 999 0 3 11 0.09 $171.706 $0 $171.706 f0 SO 0590506000 184 $81.700 $122.550 SO 15 15 1 999 999 50 20 BB 3 11 0.09 f0 SO SO SO SO 0590507000 183 f104.900 $157,350 SO 10 18 1 205 245 40 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 SO SO $0 50 059 05 08000 185 $91,300 5736.950 SO 15 15 2 999 999 50 20 BB 3 11 0.09 f0 SO SO SO f0 0590515WO 192 172.900 $259,350 f0 i6 24 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO f0 SO SO SO 0590516DD0 193 :184,200 S276,300 f0 18 18 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO 50 f0 $0 SO 0590518000 194 $103.O00 $154,500 f0 15 18 1 999 991 50 999 D 3 11 0.119 SO f0 SO SO S0 0590529002 184.1 $153.900 5230.8W SO 3 11 1 999 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SO f0 $0 SO SO D590529003 185.1 $271.800 $407.700 SO 3 12 2 999 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 SO SO $0 SO 05908 18001 211 $127.- $190.500 SO 14 16 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SO $0 SO SO 05906 19001 210 $42,500 $63.750 f0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO $D SO SO SO 54,704,730 $2.182.500 $1,871.674 $650.556 5250,000 1 . B4NA.VN(1 17I1794 Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 6 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) LAST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data o. Avg.Stone Large Storm Number of Strucu Interest rate= 7.00/o g 51.00 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.40 6.48 Avg.Dep.Replac $123,318 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 5.30 5.30 Total Dep.Repla $6,340,200 Maximum Profile Slope 0.20 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio D.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 67-86 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transect F16 for typical beach slope and transect F15/1`17 for typical top of dune (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year - -(ft NGVD)-- ---J-(ft)- --- --(ft) - --- - -----(ft) - - -- - - -M NGVD)-- Distance(fill--Value Factor 1 1985 7.10 ,� " 1.95 7.44 0 0.93 2 1986 5.800'28 _ 36 1.56 6.06 0 0.87 3 6.65 0 0.82 3 1987 6.30 t ; 0 35 3 3Dj 4.86 4 1988 6.90 0 01 6 59 -1.74 6.91 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 j 014 7 91" 6.18 5.86 0 0.71 6 1991 8.00 s „�,15 �3 3.15 9.15 0 0.67 7 1992 9.00 10,76 8.86 0 0.62 g 1gg3 5.80 g ¢013 5.48( 16.24 5.67 0 0.58 9 1994 6.90 E DOS 7 9.37 6.82 0 0.54 10 1995 6.90 -082`, �_ ( 0, 23.47 6.08 0 0.51 1 R6WO.WK4 12/22/98 vrone I YEAR � -1i-LlAST l 810 . o _a 1_ '.. 112 112 t,mr� any ; ED ego __;E —E M.U. I=FD lr -I —VaD-URESTURL. mm I D I YEAR 3 LAST 5 BIG IE= EIl lxz= 117 ITI X17. 11117. Ile. 00 10 0: 13w nn00 YEAR 4-LAST 5 BIG 2:2 YEAR I IATIBIO so oe YEAR 6 LAST 5 BIG -ii 4, EL- "IEF m 1.1 IEI 12, N 1Z 2.: 1.1:: 1. I:.E1 1:: 1. YEAR 7-LAST 6610 7- W- - -EIM- -1"'T'F I— M=�T 'IT .01 lw 21 I;o 111= 2-1 ZI: I:= I YEAR I LAST 5 BIG llli�v "Irl 12; IM AR(/. LAST 5 BIG uo 111. FT) IN: 12 DD 211 1 YEAR to-LAST B-BIO —--------- Z_ m ;mm EIEWTr pa Za W f 211 111; 1. l: .1 IZ D 1 11 1 "1 1 1 1" 211 'D I 1 'I 2 1122: 1—Ii, I D I I I IT:; Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 6 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) RANDOM STORMS OVER 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion 8 Wave Data Structure Data - -Flood Stage Data ,interest rate= 7.00% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres 51.U0 Return Period(Yrs) Freq Stage ;Period of Analysis(years)= 10 (Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.40 6.48 Avg.Dep.Replacemnl Val $123,318 IStd Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 5.30 5.30 Total Dep.Replacement V $6,340,200 2 0.5 2.6 1 ,Maximum Profile Slope 0.2 10 0.9 7.7 'Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250IContent to Structure 50 0.98 9.4 Value Ratio _ 0.50 100 0.99 10.4 ---__-- 500 --_-- 0.998 _ 12.4] Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 67-86 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F16 for typical beach slope and transact F15/F77 for typical top of dune (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribluion Lang Tern Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Tern on Long Island Induced Year Recurrence Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Interval(yrs) (ft NGVD) ft) (ft) (ft) _ (ft NGVDj) -Distance(ft) _ Value Factor I 1 b 3+ 3i) 580 't �'.`�"-,ice-`. ,0' C'"r 1,71 10.75 6.14 0 0.93 2 �::123] 340 t ">r,a a 9.91 3.66 0.87 3j. 840 sN., ;482 5.10 8.75 0 0.82 6.21 0 0.76 4 a 3 8$) 6.20 ,4k55 0.55 ' v a `� t -014 x 13 88 14.53 3.86 0 0.71 53 1 dig 400 ',g� s 6 '` '2')'� 5.20 s " " 1y6 r. �'jd 25.83 6.35 0 0.67 7 ,e, 3'�2 6 00 �'' �. -014 ' $.3� 16.52 5.86 0 0.62 4.60 h }rN �. 'j< 'a713 '.7 $ �i.13d; 15.18 4.47 0 0.58 4.00 (- ' - `0 D9 :3 21 18.39 3.92 0 0.54 10 „72b, 7.20 ,�, y,'' . .-082._., -„_..a3 Q8 ztas 6.38 0 0s1 12rzva8 ReWO.WK4 DEPRECIATED MIN SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS_-LAST 5 BIG STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF SEC_BLK_LOT ID NO OSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NOW) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVO) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE EROSION DAMAGE - INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 05B 02020DO IN S7a500 $111.750 SO 10 IS 1 20 60 40 999 D 3 11 009 $56,808 MAN -� SO SO SO OW 0203000 159 $137.300 5205950 SD 10 14 1 10 50 40 999 0 3 11 0.09 S128,255 $12B,255 SO 50 SO OW 02 G4000 158 $81,700 $122.550 120,000 10 13 1 10 50 d0 20 B 3 11 BOB 589.645 $76.318 30 $13.327 $13.327 0580205" 157 $143,700 5215.5w $20.000 10 14 1 10 SO 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $147,561 $134.234 50 $13.327 $13327 0580206000 156 $86.900 5130.350 $20.000 f0 12 1 20 SO a0 20 B 3 11 0.09 $79.590 $66.263 SO $13.327 $13.327 0580207000 155 599.800 SI49TOO S20.000 10 12 1 20 SO 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 S89,427 S76,100 SO $13.327 $13327 05802080D0 IN $106.800 5160,2W SO 4 12 1 285 295 10 999 BB 3 11 0.09 50 SO 50 SO SO 056 02 0 181 S78.200 111173w SO 4 12 2 280 2w 10 20 BB 3 11 009 SO 50 SO $0 SO 0580210000 182 595500 $145.200 5a 4 12 2 275 285 10 '1 BE, 3 it 0.09 SO $O $0 S0 SO 0580211000 154 $73,600 $110.400 $2D.000 8 12 1 40 70 w 20 B 3 11 009 $13.327 S0 50 $13.327 S13.327 0580212000 153 586.200 $129.300 $20.000 8 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 009 $15.352 $0 32.025 $17327 $13.377 0580213000 152 11101.000 M51,500 520.000 a I6 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 Ow S13.327 $0 SO $13.327 S13,327 058 02 15w2 151 SfG8,900 $10,350 $20.000 8 11 1 25 55 w 20 B 3 11 BOB St3.327 SO 50 $13.327 S13,327 05802160DO 163A $126.600 5189.9DO 1O 3 11 1 280 285 5 20 - BB 3 11 0.09 f0 SO SO SO 50 OW 02200DI 150 $131.300 $196.950 520.000 7 IS 1 35 60 25 20 B 3 11 009 S93.201 SO SO 597.207 S13,327 05901 Slow 161 $147.700 $221.550 S0 10 18 1 65 105 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 SO SO S0 $O 0590103001 162 S99300 $148.950 SO 10 15 1 so 90 40 999 D 3 If 0.09 30 So 3O $O $0 OS901040DO 164 $104.400 $156.6w SO 10 13 1 35 75 Q 999 D 3 11 0.09 50 $0 SO SO 50 0590105000 165 $58.900 588.350 S350w 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 BOB $78.342 1155.020 SO 527.322 $23.322 0590174w0 166 $85,700 $128.550 SO 10 10 2 50 90 40 20 BB 3 11 0.09 S0 $0 SO $0 so 059 01 06000 168 S166,50c, $250.200 335,WO 10 12 1 30 70 40 20 B 3 11 Ow 323.322 SD SO SZ3.= $23.322 05901 Dam 169 SIw.9w S163.350 30 6 10 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 32.559 S0 $2.559 SO So 0590109000 170 $108,900 $163.350 SO B 9 1 240 2W 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 $31.M Sa S31.292 50 SO 05901 WOW 171 $141.600 $212.400 SO 5 13 1 295 310 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 So SO So 30 SO 05901110DO 173 $117.500 $176.250 SO 7 11 2 275 300 25 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 So S0 $0 30 D59 01 12000 174 $94.200 $141.300 SO 6 14 1 200 300 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 S0 So $0 3o SO 0590113000 175 S219,000 5328.500 50 5 12 2 285 300 15 999 0 3 11 0.09 $O $0 SO S0 So 059011,1000 176 5149,4w 3224.100 50 5 13 1 265 3w 15 999 0 3 11 0.09 SO So $0 $0 $0 0590115000 177 $147.700 $221.550 SO 5 13 1 285 3w 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO $0 50 so $0 05901 16000 178 $168.w0 S252.DW SD 5 13 2 270 285 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO So so So $0 059 01 17000 179 $139,500 S209,250 $0 5 13 1 270 285 15 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 SO $0 S0 50 0590122DW 195 $177,100 $265.650 $0 10 IB 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 So $0 S0 3o SD 0590124ODD 172 $143.700 S215,550 SO 5 13 1 300 315 15 9" D 3 11 009 SO so $0 30 $0 , 0590501001 SIT S195.600 SMAW $0 4 5 2 09 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $297.440 SO $297.440 $O So 0590501001 142 3112.ODO $168.000 $0 8 8 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 009 $43.036 So 549938 50 SO 0590501001 143 11112.001) 5168,000 $O 5 5 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 S292.481 $0 S292,481 $O 50 059D5010D1 147 $74,600 $111,900 30 5 S 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 $35.862 SD $115.862 SO so D590501MI 144 $102,600 5153,900 $0 8 8 1 999 999 w 999 D 3 11 0.09 S39.424 30 M.424 SO S0 w 5 0590501001 145 $140,0210.0DO SQ 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 O.w S0 So S0 30 SU D590501001 916 $259.400 SMJOD SO 4 5 2 999 999 f0 999 D 3 11 0.09 S394.457 30 $394.457 50 3o 0590501001 la 599,200 SI408w SO 5 7 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 $116.715 $O 3116,715 S0 30 05905 O60D0 184 $81.700 $122.550 $O 15 IS 1 999 999 50 20 BB 3 11 0.09 So SO SO $0 SO 0590507" 183 $104, 31900 $157,350 $D 10 18 1 2w 245 40 2D BB 3 11 0.w SO So 3o $0 $O 059 05 08000 185 $91,300 W.950 SO 15 IS 2 9w 9% 50 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SD f0 $9 f0 $O 05905150w 192 SI72.9w $259.350 SD 16 24 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 So 3o $0 so $0 059 05 160 193 $184.200 $276.3 , SO 15 18 1 999 90 50 999 D 7 11 Ow f0 $D f0 so $0 w w 059 05 1 BODO 19I S1wt0, 0 SI54.5w $0 IS IS 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 SD SO SD SO D590529002 164.1 1153,900 5230.850 $0 3 11 1 9" 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 30 SD so $O SD 059 05 29003 185.1 $271.Bw S407.70D $O 3 12 2 999 999 5 20 BB 3 If 0.09 SO SO $0 SO SO M 0618001 211 3f27,w0 $190.500 SO 14 I6 1 999 9" 50 999 D 3 it O.w' $0 3o 30 $O $0 0590619001 210 $42.500 S63.750 30 10 11 1 999 999 dp 999 D 3 11 O.w $0 $0 SO so SO S2A94,751 S%Z998 $1.255,291 $246.40 $166.596 t7R794 Rh1W Wl4 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH SECBLI(_LOT ID NO. DSRVL CONTENTS _ COST (FT NG_VD) _(FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT)_ (FT) (m (see Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FTNGVD) SLOPE CRRIAL DAMAGE _ER_OSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVEDAMAGE BULKHEADDAMAGE 0580202" ISO $74.500 $111,750 $O 10 15 1 9 60 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $111,750 $111.750 - - -_ 30- -$0 _ SO 0580203000 159 $137,300 $205,950 S0 10 14 1 10 50 40 999 D 3 1f 0.09 $205,950 3205.950 SO SO SO 058020400D 15B $81,700 $122.550 $20.000 10 13 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 1t 0.09 S142,550 $122.550 520,000 SO 520.000 058 02 05000 157 5143.700 $215,550 59.000 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 009 $235.550 5215.550 520.000 SO S20.DDO 0550206000 156 $86.900 SI3o,350 S20.D00 10 12 1 9 60 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 SIS0,350 5130,350 $20.000 SD sm.000 058 02 07000 155 $99.800 $149.700 39,000 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 SIB9.700 St49,700 $20.000 50 $20.000 _ 0580208000 1so $106.800 $160.200 0 12 1 285 295 10 999 BB 3 11 0.09 $D so s0 s0 s0 0580209000 181 $78,200 $117.300 SO 4 12 2 280 290 t0 20 BB 3 11 009 SO SO s0 $0 $0 05 162 $96,600 $145.200 s0 4 12 2 275 285 10 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 SO SD S0 0580211000 154 $73.600 $110.400 $20.ODO B 12 1 Q 70 30 20 B 3 11 0,09 $20.000 S0 $20.000 SO $20.000 0580212000 153 S86.200 $129.300 39,000 a 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 II 009 $23.039 SO $2.039 SO $20,000 05802130M 152 5101000 $151.500 520.000 a 16 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 $20,000 SO 320.000 S0 520.000 0580215002 151 5108.900 $163.350 $20.000 8 11 1 25 55 30 9 B 3 11 OA9 320.000 S0 520.000 $D $20,000 U5802160D0 183.1 5126.600 $169.900 s0 3 11 1 280 285 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 s0 $D SO SO SO 0580220W1 ISO $131.300 $196,950 520,000 7 15 1 m SO 25 9 B 3 11 0.09 $143,094 s0 $20.000 $123.094 520.000 05901 01000 161 $147,700 $221.550 so 10 IB 1 65 105 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO $O $0 SO s0 05901 03001 162 599.300 $145,950 S0 10 15 1 5o SO 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SO SO $0 SO D5901 D4000 164 $104.400 _$156,600 $0 10 13 1 35 75 Q 999 D 3 11 009 SO SO $O s0 So 0590105DW to 558.900 $88.350 S35.D00 10 14 1 f0 SO 40 20 B 3 11 009 st23,350 W6.350 f35.000 SO 535,000 05901 05000 HIS 585,700 $128,550 S0 10 10 2 50 SO 40 20 BB 3 11 0.09 so so SO 5o so 0590106000 168 5166.800 $250,200 $35,000 10 12 1 30 70 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 Mow s0 535,000 $0 $35.000 0590108000 169 5108.900 $163,350 SO 6 ID 1 240 260 21 999 0 3 11 0.09 $3,840 $O 53.840 SO $D 0590109OW 170 5108,900 $163.350 $0 6 9 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 348,40D $0 548.400 SO $0 M01 10000 171 $141.600 5212.400 SO 5 13 1 95 3I0 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO 50 SO So 50 05901 110D0 173 $117.500 $176.250 $D 7 11 2 275 300 25 9" D 3 11 0.09 SO s0 s0 s0 $0 Mot 12000 174 594,200 5141,300 SO 6 14 1 280 300 20 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO S0 So SO 50 059 D113000 175 $219,00D $328.500 s0 5 12 2 2B5 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 SO s0 30 0590114000 176 $149.400 $224.100 S0 5 13 1 285 300 IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO so SO SO So 0590115000 ITT $147.700 5221,550 SO 5 13 1 285 300 15 9" 0 3 II 009 so 30 70 s0 s0 0590116000 178 $168.000 5252.000 SO 5 13 2 270 285 IS 999 D 3 11 009 S0 SO SO So s0 0590117M 179 5139,500 $209,250 s0 5 13 1 270 285 15 9 BB 3 11 0.09 SO S0 70 s0 s0 05901 22ODD 195 sf 77,100 5265.650 $0 10 18 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 $O 10 S0 s0 05901240M 172 $143.700 5215,550 $O 5 13 1 300 315 15 999 D 3 11 009 SO 70 so s0 s0 059050f001 917 3795,&W 5293.400 $O 4 5 2 S99 999 10 999 D 3 1f 0.09 $422.392 so $422.392 s0 50 059050t 001 142 $112.000 3168,000 s0 8 6 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 DOS S6B 673 $0 $60.973 $0 SO 0590s 0100I 143 $112.000 SIBS.= so 5 5 1 999 999 1s 999 D 3 11 009 $414.648 s0 $414.648 $D s0 0590501 OOI 147 374,600 5111.900 s0 5 e 1 9% 999 15 999 D 3 1t 009 352,109 SO $52.109 s0 50 0590501001 144 5102.600 5153,900 SO 8 8 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 361.077 s0 s81,077 SO SO 0590501001 m 5140,000 $210,0DO so 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 009 s0 s0 40 30 S0 059050f001 918 $259.400 SM. 100 30 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 i360,166 $0 5560,168 .$0 s0 0590501001 146 $99.200 $148."1 s0 5 7 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 $164.427 so S164427 $O s0 0590506000 164 $81,700 S122SW SO 15 15 1 999 999 50 9 8B 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 so so 0590507000 183 S1o4,900 $157.350 $0 10 18 1 205 245 40 20 BB 3 11 O.P3 SO $0 so 5o so 0590508000 185 $91,300 $1W950 s0 15 IS 2 999 999 50 9 BB 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 s0 $D 0590515000 192 $172."Do $ 99'350 s0 18 24 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 li OMI) SO $O 30 so 30 05905160DO 193 $184.200 $276,30D so I6 18 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 II 0.09 SO $O so SO SO 059051 SM 194 $103.DOD $154.Soo SO 1s IB 1 999 939 so 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO so $0 so s0 0590529002 164.1 $153.900 $230,850 f0 7 11 1 999 999 5 20 BB 3 f1 0.09 f0 30 SO f0 to 059 D529003 1BSA $W1.600 5407,700 $0 3 12 2 999 999 5 9 BB 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 s0 so $O 0590618001 211 SI27,000 $190,50D s0 14 16 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 SO so $0 so 0590619001 210 $42,500 $0.750 SD 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO s0 So 3o s0 53.194.063 $1.024.200 $2.046.770 5123.094 5250,000 1 Ryyb� 11777AB YEAR 1•RANDOM STORMS V, Z" 210 -1. 1 1 112 YEAR 2-RANDOM STORMS \/�` R. TUDI &mil. LIZ— *1 11:1Z 1. .1 il I.: 1:i 1. 1:= 1 1 2 1.1. 1* 117 1. I'll 1. —T—ED D I D* lw 00 1 0* .10 IZZ so I YEAR 3 RANDOM STORMS CRESTU R. Moms. -7. .--%j J1 ,norm1-1111 nl 1.111,1Z N c c A 9 5 T= to 1 2 Ix—1. IZ no ea s,o n ee 2 1. e�,a��Eo,ao T. �� —��E =r, —IT .-�— ,aorEo _ EaOvdf ml �I01 IZ m! s aarEo ' re IZ ID ml ® j msm,sn, ],o tw.em W,n ID ,o „ , ew sw w sea o ] „ am „o xo xo oes om n e] ae w „o oa as oo es n „a�,wF aEa��ti wF F �a� n� &�. -,F Z-1 part on .Fa ,w Fs F�n F 1,�,s,�,- .F��,F„ ,F„ ,F„ ,.,� ,�.�.,., ,.,.�,,.,,�� =,�F,F��,� �a�,k��a�i w w�F,�-i �F 1 Fl�.,�. ,�,�F,o�,i YEAR 0-RANDOMSTORM Qv* &EW DMIROC 6 AEc]TAMIWITE Til . EA—I..' El— D 1 11 .2Z z Z. I ED Y 1. 11 1wi. ED DEIT:-ED 1:1 .1. 1., ED Zl *1 11 ul ED, D 1 1. 11 ED DE.— 1. vs so E E' 3 11 11 .1 1 3 *1 11 1. 11 ED D I _ YEAR 7-RANDOM STORMS e.a Enosor� o,.--W° - El 110 �I1.0 1. n,� YEAR I oswwsu.,co ww sste.n .c,s�[ ar,u«:s ewasuw -RANDOM STORMS wwF s,wue,wc wu�ewun u.w wow[ sc,ew wwomc saws.wc m..wu�o _ eawraa _ __ a=, , wow w�l w .� E,�., aEw �.. s.w�.Eo ol,nEwMiFD ,�w Fl,..... iM .v3 DUM DDwEo9 WMon YEAR$-RANDOM STORMS DuurF ucE Ds,ucE BFnO� _.- .... , , ern � � ra.w i .owi tea!eu �oroEm I o, au lFEv., — - - —1 w D��D =iaD,ED ® P I! Zw aD ED �I411, . p ZZ Do W ® !� m 11,12.1 IX-6 01 YEAR 10 RANDOM STORMS &EM AEI 11 rl ,zay. E.1 21 Xm ..TR- D 1 *1 1117. 1.: -Ul *1 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTIVE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS•RANDOM STORMS STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH PRESENT VALUE OF SEC BLK LOT ID NO. OSRVL CONTENTS COST (FT NGVO) (FT NGVO) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (see N.I.(4j (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAI DAMAGE _EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE WAVE DAMAGE BULKNEAO DAMAGE ._._. ._.-_ _ -7 .. _ __ ._ ___...._-___ ._.._ _ _. 0580202000 160 $]a,500 $111.750 $O 10 IS 1 20 60 40 999 D J II 009 f7a,464 E]4,464 b SO s0 0660203000 159 S137,300 $205,950 s0 10 14 1 10 50 m 999 D 3 11 0.09 f192,4T7 $192.477 $0 s0 s0 0580204000 158 $81,700 $122.550 S20.ODO 10 13 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 II 0.09 fiw.m $114.533 SO $16.326 $16.326 058 D205000 157 $143.700 3215.550 $20,01)0 10 14 1 10 SD 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $217,T75 $201.449 SO S16,326 $16.326 0580206000 156 s86.900 s130350 f20D00 10 12 1 20 60 _ 40 20 B 3 11 Dog $103.18" $86.858 SO $16.320 $16.326 0580207000 fu S99,800 $149.700 f20,000 10 12 1 20 SO 40 20 B 3 II 0.09 $116,077 S99,751 SO $16,326 $16.326 0580208" 180 $106.800 $160.200 $0 4 12 1 285 295 10 9" BB 3 11 0.09 SO s0 $0 SO $0 058 02 09000 181 S78,200 $117,300 $0 4 12 2 2W 290 10 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $0 SO SO - f0 so 0580210000 182 f96.800 $145.200 f0 4 12 2 275 285 10 20 BB 3 11 OA9 SO f0 SO $0 f0 058 02 11 ODD 154 $73,600 $110.400 $20.000 8 12 1 40 70 30 20 B 3 11 009 $16.326 $0 $0 $16,326 $16.326 0580212000 153 $86.200 S129.3W $20.000 8 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 S102,484 $86.158 30 $16.326 $16,326 0580213000 152 S101.000 S151,500 f20,000 B 16 1 25 55 30 2D - B 3 II D09 3117,27] $100.951 W f16,326 316326 0580215OD2 151 5108,900 $163,35D $20.000 8 I 1 25 55 3D 20 B 3 11 009 S125,173 f100847 SO $16.326 $18326 0580216000 183.1 S126,600 5789,900 10 3 I1 1 280 285 5 20 BB 3 11 1- f0 $0 SO f0 $0 058 02 20001 ISO $131,300 5196,950 520.000 ] 15 1 35 60 25 20 B 3 11 009 f56,518 f0 so $56518 $16.326 0590101000 161 S147.7W sui.550 s0 10 18 1 65 IDS 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SO $0 SO S0 0590103001 162 S99.30D $148.950 W 10 15 1 50 90 40 999 0 3 II 0.09 s0 SO s0 SO SO 05901 04000 164 31U4,400 $156.600 W 10 13 1 35 75 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO $0 30 SO SO 05901 05000 165 S58.900 $88.350 $35,000 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 II 0.09 $111 141 S82.570 SO $28,570 S28,570 059 01 05000 1% E85,700 $128,550 SO 10 10 2 50 90 40 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $ 0 SO $0 so so OS901 C6000 168 $166.800 S250,200 S35,00p 10 12 1 30 70 40 2D B 3 11 0,09 $28.570 $0 s0 $28.570 S2B,S70 05901 08000 169 $108.900 3163150 so 6 10 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 11 OD9 30 SO s0 $0 s0 05901 09000 170 S108.900 $163.350. 30 6 9 1 240 26D 20 999 D 3 II 0.09 $15.592 so $15.592 SD so 05901 10000 171 $141.600 $212.400 SO 5 13 1 295 310 15 999 0 3 11 0.09 30 f0 so SO so 05907 11000 173 $117.500 $176.250 SD 7 11 2 275 30D 25 999 D 3 11 0.09 SD W $0 30 so 05901 12000 174 $94.200 $141,300 SO 6 14 1 280 300 20 999 0 3 11 009 SD W f0 f0 SO 0590113000 175 $219.000 $328.500 s0 5 12 2 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 $0 s0 30 so 05901140DO 176 f749,400 f224,100 s0 5 13 1 285 3W 15 999 D 3 ft 009 $0 $O SO EO $0 05901 15D0p 177 f147,7DO $221.550 30 5 13 1 265 300 15 999 D 3 17 0.09 30 s0 s0 s0 $0 05901 16" 178 f768,000 S25Z000 SO 5 13 2 270 285 15 999 D 3 it D.O9 s0 $0 so SO $D 05901 17000 179 $13'.500 E209,250 fa 5 W 1 270 - 285 15 20 BB 3 it 0.09 !0 f0 fa S0 fa 05901 22000 195 $177,f00 f265,650 s0 10 18 1 Sm 999 40 9" D 3 It 009 so $0 f0 f0 $0 059 of 24000 172 $IQ 7W $215.550 SO 5 13 1 300 315 15 999 D 3 ft 009 s0 30 $0 SO $D 059050I001 917 $195,800 $293,400 SO 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 II 0.09 317Z223 s0 S172.223 $0 SO 0590501001 142 $112,000 f168,000 s0 B B 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 DOS S25,428 f0 $25,428 s0 SO 0590501001 143 3112.000 S168.000 so 5 5 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 $166.622 s0 $166.622 SO $0 0590501001 147 E74,600 f111,900 s0 5 B 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 fi 0.09 $16,937 $0 $16,937 s0 so 0590501001 1" $102.600 $153.900 So 8 8 1 999 999 30 9" D 3 11 009 $23.293 30 $23.293 $0 SO M0501MI 145 st40,000 $210,000 so 10 11 1 999 999 40 9" D 3 11 0.09 f0 so $0 s0 s0 059 D501001 918 s259.4Do $389.100 $0 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $228.398 so S228,398 so so 0590501001 146 $99,200 SIQ.600 f0 5 7 1 999 9" IS 999 D 3 11 0.09 $47.473 so $47.473 so so 0590506000 184 f81,7W f12Z550 $0 15 15 1 999 9" 60 20 BB 3 11 0.09 f0 s0 s0 f0 s0 0590507000 183 f104.9DO $157,350 s0 10 18 1 205 245 40 20 BB 3 11 0.09 $O SD so so s0 05905 o8000 185 $91.300 $t36,950 SO 15 15 2 999 999 50 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SO s0 SO s0 so 0590515000 192 $172.900 $259.350 SO 16 24 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 SO $0 SO So 0590516000 193 s184,200 $276.300 $O 18 18 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 s0 s0 f0 s0 so 059051 BOW i94 f103,000 f154,500 SO 15 78 1 999 999 50 999 D J 11 0.09 f0 $0 f0 f0 f0 0590529OD2 184.1 SI5.T,'Do 323Q850 $O 3 11 1 999 9" 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 30 s0 f0 $0 $0 05905290W 185.1 $271.800 3407,700 f0 3 12 - 2 W9 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 SD So f4 f0 f0 05906 I8001 211 f127,000 $190,500 fo 14 18 1 999 999 50 999 D J 11 0.09 $0 so 30 s0 $0 059 D6190o1 270 342.500 $63.750 so to I 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $0 s0 so s0 so $2088,290 $1.149.057 fw5,968 s2a,267 f204,074 I RBAO Wt4 IIRx41B 1 DEPRECIATED MIN.SETBACK ACTPJE DISTANCE DUNE DUNE OR DUNE OR STRUCTURE BULKHEAD MAIN BEFORE SETBACK PROFILE SHORELINE BULKHEAD BULKHEAD BULKHEAD STRUTURE REPLAC.VAL. REPLACE GROUND FLOOR DAMAGE DISTANCE DISTANCE TO BULKHEAD OF BLUFF TOE EL. TOP EL. BEACH UNDISCOUNTED VALUE OF SEC BLK LOT ID NO. DSRVL 1CONTENTS __COST (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) STORY BEGINS(FT) (FT) (FT) (FT) (sae Note(4) (FT NGVD) (FT NGVD) SLOPE CRITIAL DAMAGE _ EROSION DAMAGE INUNDATION DAMAGE _WAVE DAMAGE BULKHEAD DAMAGE 05802020DO 160 $74,500 $111.750 S0 10 15 1 20 60 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $111.750 - $111.750 f0 - f0 _ EO 058 02 03000 159 $137.300 $205.950 SO 10 14 1 10 50 40 9% D 3 11 0.09 $205.950 $205.950 SO SO $ O 0580204000 15B E817W E722.550 E20.W0 10 13 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 O.W $742,SW E122,SW is f20,W0 f20,000 0580205300 157 5143.700 $215.550 520,0D0 10 14 1 10 50 40 20 B 3 11 0.D9 $235.550 $215.550 EO $20,000 320.DD0 00 1 0580206D56 f86,900 f130,350 320.OW 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 0,09 $150,350 $130.350 SO $20,000 520,000 0580207DOO 155 $99.800 $149.700 E20.W0 10 12 1 20 60 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 E769,700 $149.700 SO $20,000 $20.000 05802 GB000 180 f106.600 5160,200 f0 4 12 1 285 295 10 999 Be 3 11 0.09 $0 SO SO f0 50 0580209000 181 f78,2W $117.300 E0 4 12 2 280 29D 10 20 Be 3 11 0.09 EO $O 50 EO $O 0580210000 182 S96.BW $145.200 f0 4 12 2 275 285 10 20 Be 3 11 0.09 SO $0 SO SO SO 0580211000 154 373.600 $110.400 $20.000 B 12 1 40 70 30 20 B 3 11 009 E20,0D0 SO $O E20.000 $20,O00 0580212000 153 $86.200 f129.300 S20,OW 8 10 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 5149,300 5129,300 SO $20,W0 $20.000 05802130DO 152 E107000 f151,5W f20,000 8 18 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 $171,SW 3151,500 SO $20.000 $20,W0 0580215002 157 $108.9W f163,350 f20,DW B 11 1 25 55 30 20 B 3 11 0.09 5183,350 5763,350 SO $20.000 f20.000 0580216W0 183.1 $126,600 5189,9W SO 3 11 1 280 285 5 20 Be 3 11 0.09 SO E0 SO EO f0 05802200DI ISO $131,310 5196,9W 520,000 7 15 1 35 W ZS 20 B 3 11 O.W f69,238 f0 30 569,238 S20.OW 0590101000 161 $147.7W 5221.550 f0 10 18 1 65 105 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO f0 SO SO SO 0590103001 162 f99,3W 5748,950 f0 10 15 1 50 W 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO EO EO SO SO 0590104000 164 $104,410 f156,600 $ 0 10 13 1 35 75 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO E0 $0 SO SO 0590105W0 165 $58.900 588,3W $35.000 10 14 1 10 W 40 20 B 3 11 0.09 $123,350 $88.350 S0 $35.000 $35,OW 0590105W0 166 SB5,7W $128.550 $O 10 10 2 50 90 40 20 Be 3 11 0W f0 f0 50 f0 EO 059 01 060M 168 5166,BW $250.200 $35.000 10 12 1 30 70 d0 20 B 3 11 O.W $35,W0 f0 30 335.OW W. 059010800D 169 We,900 5763,350 $0 6 10 1 240 2W 20 999 0 3 11 0.09 EO 50 SO f0 50 D59010' • 170 f108.9W $ 763,3W f0 8 9 1 240 260 20 999 D 3 17 O.W E19,101 f0 $19.101 SO SO 059017WW 171 5141.6W $212,40D $ O 5 13 1 295 310 15 9" D 3 11 0W SO E0 f0 EO EO 059011'000 173 f717,5W $176.250 SO 7 11 2 275 3W 25 999 D 3 11 OW SO 50 $O SO SO 0590112000 174 $94, 300200 $141.300 f0 B 14 1 280 3 20 9% D 3 11 009 SO $ O SO SO SO 0590113" 175 $219,W0 E328,500 f0 5 12 2 285 30030015 999 D 3 11 009 $O 50 f0 $O EO 0590114000 176 $149.4W 5224,100 EO 5 13 1 285 35 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SO EO SO SO 059011"0,0 177 $147.700 $221,550 S0 5 13 1 285 300 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO SD f0 SO f0 059011GOOD 178 $168.000 $252.ODD E0 5 13 2 270 285 15 999 D 3 11 O.W f0 f0 SO SO f0 0590117000 179 $139.500 $209,2W EO 5 13 1 270 285 15 20 Be 3 11 0W ED SO SO f0 SO 05901220W 195 $177,1W $265.650 E0 10 18 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.W 30 $O SO $0 f0 0590124000 172 $143.700 $215.so EO 5 13 1 300 315 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 EO $ O SO E0 $ O 0590501 W1 917 $195,6W $293,4W f0 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 f23B.419 SO f238.419 SO SO 0590507 W1 142 3112.W0 $168,000 f0 8 8 1 999 999 30 999 D 3 11 0.09 E31.150 SO 531,150 EO 50 059050, 9W 01W7 143 E712.O00 f160.OW SD 5 5 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 D. $2W,11J EO f2W,113 SO SO 0590501001 147 $74.6W f111.9W SO 5 8 1 999 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 E20.748 50 $20.748 SO SO 0590501W7 144 51 O2.6W 5153,900 EO B 8 1 999 999 W 999 D 3 11 009 $20,535 $0 S28.535 SO SO 059 W01 W7 145 5140.W0 $210,W0 EO 10 11 1 999 sell 40 999 D 3 11 009 $ O SO SO SO $O 0590501W1 918 $259,d00 5389,100 EO 4 5 2 999 999 10 999 D 3 11 0.09 $316.185 f0 $316.185 SO f0 059 W01 W1 146 f99.200 5148,BW $0 5 7 1 9" 999 15 999 D 3 11 0.09 S6'2,8W 30 562.850 50 f0 059 W 060W 184 $81.700 $122"So S0 15 75 1 999 999 W 20 Be 3 11 0.09 $O EO EO SO $O 0590507000 183 $104,9W $157,310 SO 10 18 1 ZW 245 40 20 BB 3 11 O.W E0 f0 50 f0 SO D5905080W 185 $91.300 $136,B50 $ D 15 15 2 999 999 50 20 BB 3 11 O.W SO SO f0 50 $O 0590515000 192 $172.9W $259.350 SO 18 24 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 O.W 50 50 SO SO f0 0590516000 193 $184.200 $276.300 f0 18 18 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 11 O.W 50 SO SO SO SO 059 W IDOW 194 Si W.000 5154,SW f0 15 18 i 899 899 50 999 D 3 11 0.09 $ 0 SO SO SO 50 W9 W 29002 184.1 $153.9 0 f2W,850 SO 3 17 1 999 999 5 20 BB 3 11 0.09 30 f0 SO SO f0 05905290W 1&5.1 f271.800 $407.700 50 3 12 2 999 9% 5 20 Be 3 11 0.09 f0 EO EO EO EO 059W Lem 211 f127.OW $1W,500 SD 14 111 1 999 999 W 999 D 3 11 0.09 SO 50 f0 f0 f0 059 D619W1 210 S42,SW 583,750 $0 10 11 1 999 999 40 999 D 3 11 0.09 $O $0 f0 f0 50 $2.714.688 $1,468.350 $947.101 $299.238 3250.000 1 R6NO.NK4 17Q]94 Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 7 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) AVERAGE 10 YEARS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Interest rate= 7.00% Mean Avg Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucutres 85 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Tenn Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.54 2.86 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $133.805 Std Dev.of long Tenn Erosion Rate 4.00 4.00 Total Dep.Replacement Value $11.373,400 Maximum Stable Slope 0.20 Avg.Bulkhead Cost($/LF) $250 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure - Value Ratio OS Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 28-66 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F23 for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE. 8=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Term Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Tenn on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev-0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) _ _ __ (ft) _ _(ft) (ft)" (ft NGVDj)_ Distance(ft)__ Value Factor 7.98 1 1 i 8.23 0 0.93 985 7.10 2 1986 5.80 0 30 8 20 -0.22 5.50 D 0.E7 3 1987 6.30 sr 3 t - I 4.11 6.40 0 0.82 4 1988 6.90 v }y, v `0 O6 i° '` 2 483 6.59 6.96 0 0.76 5 1989 6.00 far',�> '" spy b14 5 _,�U�.99, 7.57 5.86 0 0.71 s 1985 7.10 16 F t 611 1.45 z2s o os7 �, 7 1986 5.80 s '` zA&8 5 28 6.74 6.38 0 0.62 i 8 1987 6.30 vS �. Q 05 0 63 7.36 6.35 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 u 0 32 0 77 6.60 7.22 0 0.54 10 1989 6.00 _ 0 26 t �, ,,, 7 76 14.38 5.72 0 0.51 1 R7WO.WK4 1222/98 T.rc6 1gr«Ear+ I �� YEAR 1-AVERAGE ID YEARS uAED LNW pw ESOgEU 4T4SU wOE swaENIFA 0ultvF.1D Eu1�D eulel E, 4r.--' L6ATI iOx _ ps).vcE 1eu0E i Olt 0 601u1E r )OV EI gEwOv Da uILU¢ uCE s).0 ELEV�iWx OL BEST EL vEl 01A!<uU0 I LF*ME CO D OT rvGvq BTL-M sT Grus(ETI OTI 0S0TILE OBOTI I.w ua.l0 OT VG`IDI M1T UGVDI AaBE BLLNIEAD TOB� OIroED)�ED+DI Wn)gLglulEqD IVn BOLtvFAOI Au IEIEV CNIBEUTIVE T01.¢�W _..J-�GOvrB� i +aswTTED TTO COxTBOL)ool Oggr�GE_IDg1].gGE,bESiBOVET WrMOE D HDTr D]wq.SW I6 395 Ja0 .5 10 GEp ie} DE 30 1 x] SO }}0 w9.6m t09 01 I75 f]45ro 15 1] 50 01 30 30 3] }m fl]u.1m 1B 10 }r0 S!t!.Im 10 13 9m b fgl,lm J 19r pl.rm tx im AO b ttl.am 104 01 ]vEs S1A.)m 13 15 110 xA m 01 }rEs IJ61 SI6?Bm 11 t0 l'S 110 1 51 1 10 01 x 1. 23 10 Im f114Ima 1 10 o31a1® }3aIAuUbl fsffs1lil8e.b.?}4!..r®r)irommm isrl.5m sfo0 1+00 1B Im 11m sb 1. 1. i I 3w0u Issm ImA 11. 1 11 10 0 soNS 3147E ns 5 to B O1 b11 }SI 51.4am 3]x3 Em 10 1B lm DI l0 01 10 1 11. 2 1 30 IS] Sl14Bm faae.]m 10 01 2 23f0 }5. f110.rm 0 1} IIU m3 01 w t0 155 f159..m {Y..m }s 10 mo0Ks5N...w0W.}]]OImOOmOoo x}}IAD6s5m®e98l s3wSi11g.5b+Dx1f,,.:OeI1nmlmmDD fSx1r1B}5l5p0 x9 }1nm J+mA nm m D1f I } f a1 p}81. m 111 o01 ex I6 D }YE an 10 ] f0 eI 010 O1 lI8 0 A 1 12.m 75 1I fJ . 10 0 w umwppw OLm1l0m Y3}vmbr 3f}m10l9i!...3Blmmm w B 169 ]I6000 9m }m mm D 0fl 11 316 Iar Am 1.1 :ML N S]r5m tB a] ]] f0 p 140 1. SIm.01S1 ]m0 p 6 . 999 91V] IO 01I }vEs u0 f0 x p {5.to I]r 3rB.5m rrw p P 1 59B 9e9 ±5 1 fa ] s0 IJ. 311.rm i1)xmo 30 5 1] 999 999 5 01 x vE5 w B.x w ® xm 5045m xs ro w u BSB vI rEs IJI mAB9mmtl fsI1ums1,..,6B.mmm ivflm.e0a wso IIBr flil 6s I 9sBm9 mITA9 AI5 e p eI l 3 1 v x 1.. 313 Sm ffem 5 A 10 D }YE 4 fo 5 13 8 D IvES 10 225 3x VES {IfW34fmx1Am.00 2so IIT f10..1m 5 m9 1S 10 0.1 vx vF5 i1U)B 0.3 f�l.m0 }IR f6B.Im 10 13 B99 1q9 0.+ w p Im f1rl,gm 15 P99 m w 05.m J40} .1 sl..:m 1.- 10 12 B99 B99 b D 01 >Be f0 eI w IA] S.II.Bm iT 1B 999 m BI VES w f013 IB. frB.5m fn),)w 10 4 B99 m9 b D 10 w e] 10 IBT fIB$,sm Ir4]50 w 9:EIT1 fp}m1.Irmm w r P9e as xs D 1] 15 4 10 19 3e..0 vI6 x m m} flm,lm w e 1. 2 mOL.mm5O®tOwt I3Im11qB ff{3i1116mx19.5.,,,9}.9mmmm ww Br 959 899 IS D 0 1 10 t E 11 9I . I BI } o 3 IA 5 T I 1 I 3 I"S,mI 211 10 0.1 x f1 00 10 01 1 w0 Itr 01I .I x 10 314 10 0 } qx 2A f1m T IS . BIO f1J1.Im 31BgBm p 8 I I:6 I00 15 ® nm 99B b 41 x3 w1 YE tx15 0 f1 lx I1. 10 0 I] 1., w 16v0IDb00 211 m9mm O1.9O0m0E Al fti4lm SI.56.1p 30 10 909 .0 ex I 213 11 S 0.1 ex e ex x ] w JD f0 100 I] 00 p IOI l0..® 30 1. B9B m D 10 0.1 p ..1 t0 -m}IDm Im sm.I00 1. 18 1 B99 9m 50 D ] l0 D,1 >m 1. p +.0 I] m xp00 IM t114.m 3111,d10 f0 11 1B 999 P.19 m 0 10 01 fI YES ree f0 e.} 130 If p x115 {1.1pm I115m 10 10 B99 Ox w m}}Om wtro�r xAII1+fi1GIBr ffA t.1.4.1n1SE011 {1)3I m.lim0 pp 1 999 a 3lm.m 1 B 30 1 t . .1 5 IDD D1 6} }3 9 I5 U f,311 3{n to t0o 0 x f 13 1 Im 01 T YES )Po r x 6I 00 pw SIw1,W1pp x3 00 30 t0 {1]]w6 wD SET!Lsrx ecT!vE •DCE an+E wuEDB DUBEw _0}w22E6 pw9 Gm cOBTpCEBv w _wsT w lGRil WrCxv1pO1 l 6Rl x0G0v01p 91 51 - GIDE99 51 OLSievcE DST.rcE.5 T pBu ap � �� -PwEM- [p�� DIsie KaE 12I Y_EAR I-AVERA G1 E 10_Y EA R_S wi -D -1. G _ _ _______-_M .t_ ..._._.-___B_w I �a_ CpA_Ui.G_E_w B (W4DIErv7 _ EL MA SN ry 11"all c 6T1 BTI E O Iu I M t IIS rB,Sm 15 m I® 21x0,1m fYL.tb w !0 999 999 So O1 a2} .1)S SO 3r0 fm.3m 10 f2 BOB 999 D I 1"190 bt)m 10 w .p 35 �5 wt im' iD 12 1m 190 511.,m0 t0 t0 +m fln.lm M56�0 11 +5 +)0 110 m 0 10 01 Oh 10 YJ61 f162.0m 11 11D U 10 2]6 flit]([I {25e.� 10 13 w IA 10 a}I So w 2m fif0.)m 0 1D tm m 01 10 2 11 11 2.1 f01,1m I. 12 55 b 10 2U f162,1m l0 1] tm Iw f0 )a5 S1m.em 11 IS 1m b 2m flb.lm 2"* w f] "1 45 a32 f0 218 Slmfm 10 t0 1m O1 1. ]5t 1.- 1- 10 10 1e +m Im m O1 d22 .125So 11 253 f+10.m0 1e 110 150 D 10 O1 .133 SO So xm f]w.Bm 1 Im 1]022 }s. It rm a +m o +o w ® s+s9.m us 1m xs }50 3}IID 2111 9 is5 Im m tD w xsa S11D ODD Iss 1m x3 So 1i W Dn w 0 }10 2. <D 10 0 r tD I61 f]1.ISL 10 10 3]s 2E5 m �6B wxem 9 rm ]m m oil b 1.2m 1x m9 9sB 11 n M] 1-1m tx fly iJD 01 un }G5 slm xoo }.5 Its 9m Sg6,tW 11 2 N1 Iw ]5 'SS 9m s+alDoo +a 1m Im w nr S+ll Im fi . } }1. 20 1 n 1 {0 5 00. 10 1 2m s2Dl.]m a 1e .. m to 00 Em f]s,m0 e 9 ]00 Jm m D+ {0 53 w IS, fm fiOJ a tl m0 10 m 1I00p 214 S170.2m tM5.050 B 999 IO D D a22 - w w Ia2 sas9m a o+ 0. Ib f+m9m So e 9 Bm P.O m d}2 ss b S0 2]e "..Om 8 1 Bm B0B 20 33 fo 131 fI0,5m f0 11 9m B99 J5 10 all 33 a3 SO 100 .10 12 11 11 OLm�fim 2U S11�Im 11)2m0 5 1D 089 899 15 10 of w J2 051m+Opm 2m SB9Sm t1]fi2w I) B99 H9J U 1D a]i }]2 fT0.5m 12 999 m +0 D1 a}] 30 w J2 SO OSSm]® mt f11.,m0 {0 9 1B 909 n D 10 O1 {0too wSmIlmO 2]1 sn,.6m 3]e),Bm f0 8 6 Bm B99 IO of w 33 d3 w 10 90S Mt.Yp f0 1 IS A99 9D9 25 O1 a1} 56 IS wSo OS]5® om It.,- 5 13 B98 15 Ot SS 11 2 1 SO So O'wm]mm 215 s1W im {1m� w B 9 B99 JS O6.m]em1 Bm i13fi.m D BBJ n w too So So 23) " ' w,1w w 5 0 B99 999 15 d31 33 ]S t0 w 220 w6,2m 3imaw 50 10 1] 999 m b 05.OS>BDm 2m ft]1,800 {nT,xm 13 11 999 999 b 01 b J2 Os.mxdm 2B1 fIDS.]m w.30 w 12 P99 m3 m.]m1 2m fSl},900 w le J 999 m D1 J] w 2. f)0.5m I .rb 10 12 09B Soo b D +0 0+ w w oS1m3® 2e2 StmSm 1))e.Y 1} 15 09B 999 m 10 0+ a]I 1. ON M.IOOD Bat fS110,2m S0 10 fe 899 1R9 m D f0 01 So 100 ax Sa OY m.00o7 }e) 58f,2m w 1 B m9 999 n D f0 DI aI] so f0 J2 266 5130.0m So I 9 DSJ BA n D 10 01 w w J2 m2 s1e0.Im w+�.om a 9B9 s6s 2D +D at w a2 9m 3160.2m Sh1.0m w B Bm 999 m iD D.2210. 1. 5191.9m 20e.05p S0 1 1e 9m n 10 01 dt2 w 100 f0 2I6 st(N,]00 ftw..w 3 I 9m 13 D f0 01 aY1 dS1 33 w M.m0�0m' 319 f50.9m bJw 5 e 899 999 15 f0 DI DY! w J2So 219 wl.Sm 10 0 9m 899 01 w 11] f110Cm ftltBm 12 9m 59 m SO 10 w 11 J1 w 316 f1m.900 ftm]m It 13 Bm f9B .5 D 10 w w no S1x3000 W.500 w 1 10 B99 599 2s 10 0.1 .1I tD 53 ID Bn fl]1.2m So B 1. I 235 3m n D f0 01 all 95 w w as nx.1m sne esD m u an em b +o 01 an ss 3 w w n. f1a<m f1)1Bm 10 12 Bm B99 b 01 33 a9 w f0 21} ":I.,lm 15 89J WJ U 10 DI a3} SS w b OSDO}M0p1 211 S1]BIm fA0.050 w 15 19 Om 899 m 0 10 D1 a}] w a03 w w w1 s11D.fm sn31m w 1D 1f D99 e9s m o1 w w s m.\m0 3m bl9m 2r3w w IS 999 BB9 m O1 w w {0 Owm)tm0 3m fl].2m Sty.- So 1. B99 W9 m O1 w SO f0 xoa sl+a.m slrlem +s +e M Bvi W D o+ n w w 1 w M 2mm 2. U11,Sm 10 10 em 999 10 a}I SO b 00 10 w 019 SM tm wf],fm Il tD mB Bm .5 O1 MqWtm f51.Dm 10 5 B BBJ [m 15 D a}2011. 2m b1,® 5 e ses e}B 1s D +o D.+ xD a so as ss,fm ] m) s++a.am I D Bm Dn n tD o+ w a]: to o J] 11 SO 2m 512D]m 9 O 899 BJ9 m O1 d]} b 1D0 0So u.E�v.n }6x f51.1m i65.ew so a 12 1 1)0 1m m ma D 3 tD too r+0 w an a)2 w 15 as SO too DO 12 10 w TNEcurEo M Acrnt rA.cE wu+E ON- - Sr1aOuN1 V2N1E1 Y.B.5w1 raflF ErvM euLlwEnD- 11 u uN 16 u�Ne F1«+1E9 5 sErM lG.0 1mD snE_.5swws aEL n.E BUoLnuN�EEi.D eInNEr.o mdnPwn:EPw+d 1 ' oa I I�S�WI �YEuAaReu]L-r PAVERAGE _IQ YEARS srNUucuaE _ (N W El iv _NAK S nEDA.EE_I.-_E Lw E ve l__ A -r.-.____ T_G_Lu L -n ww RDw 10 a 'All- EIAnrqToME ODAW.E M MM 0 10 Ito _ .226 fe9 Hp II 19 45 loo fra w S b xn1 slrn Im ,0 1 D o 11.1 sag m1 v o �D DI w 301 Bn o ] b w 01 tre w w 1 w+1P1 to R W ]m .0 w 1. 1 flla alp 110 ImI}}}2.wm.4.0t1 SfSfSf1t11 29mU1t9fi13J..,.?rlrPwwmmI +B0 11115J �ww '1I+1fl0y .60 l iD {ww0 w E1 111 w SwfoI 10 0 1 m 10 fD 12 . 1. 1 21 flfi2.- 1 0 l o w NB flK.tm Ib tm00 010 nt fvn® 10 V wD. ® 11552l B. 1. .0 S] m f 2Z o 10 D 10 01 So 25 t 0 +2 1n 1. 1159.m 1 14 1 ID 15 0+ fn to 1m sxm 2m o Ie Iss ss w xsn snD9m nee.]a sD 1 +ss n D 159 551.® p05w 10 1] 110 }50 D I 2e+ u..DDo xss }m m1 3m oW5.ww]3rImwoD 2. 5w5J f3136..I ID o etlm I n mm 2 2b SB fla5,- 2.5 m B 20 2. 15 1D 0+ 1 11 11.UIS[I 1. }m f0 251 f+11 Im 9 Iw }w m Ib frw 1n 0 999 9m 10 01 1.9 S195m 0 IB m f59.eP1 8 11 310 w w }U S+re Im B m9 A to 11 241 SJ159m I] 9m f0 2' 3109.9m w.J30 0 9 b U 1 Im 315BDm 0 m0 2)] f185m �1,>w w 9 11 9m 13 w 1]. 1114,1m w 5 1] 999 +s10 ® x]] fm.30o 11 I] 999 45 {D 232 f1e.5m tt�t,rw 1} 9m b 10 05.w]0000 mt 3+i..m f0 6 t6 99B 0+ w0.. 1. b 2]1 f}50,HA t0 999 9m 201 310 O t 10 05.o52.Dm Ow 41]t]In S0 1 15 9m 9T 25 10 DI t00Afo wY IXn 122Plo f} >w fo 3 m9 Ow IS II 30 00 2x5 SIm,11. 8 m9 999 1D D 1q5 fIM 11.1 9 25 iD o3]]ow }II Slw,tm 5 0 IS 01 }20 360.>m f1n as 10 11 Bm a0ao ow OS]e000 2w SIr100D 251,wD {0 IS 11 ] 9m Bm D+ w t5o owos3PvoD xB1 sla mo tD 12 9m 1m11 2m s.nmo I2 x s99 me b 10 01 so 1B. f1B5m fl�l]r30 10 12 Bm 899 10 OI w w ow m.Bm} 2B1 f165.5m t2re.2b w 12 15 1g9 909 b D 3 ID DI w w 1]0 .+1 M.w.rOW ml fxmlm 1w0w0 w 10 % 2 w 267 301.- 10 1 9 B9B em ri D Pq w w 2w f12DDm 1 9m Bm 25 w 001 f+w.1m 0 14 2 9m Bm 20 10 {0 Oe w w Bm slw,lm n em ss D I 2m 319T,9m t3�Pe.� w ] 0 999 P89 25 D 10 DI 211 f10..m0 5 ] } m9 Bm 15 to [S,05e I1B 350.9w S Bm Bm 15 to owwo]m nB wiam f1� a 16B m9 m +D iD w 211 1114. .w 4 Bw Bm w 10 O1 {0 1}0 21. SIm.Om itfl}Sw 11 999 U 220 s12= td1,5w 1 10 ] 9m 999 25 ID w , B10 f+]+.Im 1. 156 2m ]5 to 01 w }15 -a- 10 12 2 999 9m ro D 10 0+ fo 04 w w 21. f114,a00 B99 em w wWW 312 st 11.]w rl Sb W II 15 9m P99 .5 w 2u stle.rm t]ae.Dso Is +e seP ml s+rD.1m t]ss.lw 1D 1. Bm a D 1 w 1Dx fw.Om {0 1. 0 mB 9m b IB DI 10 xm sDD.Im {o a +e e9s 9e9 m m 01 10 IIII s114,am w 15 10 1 m9 Bm b D ID 01 fD 105 S1Q® w 10 1 B99 N 10 01 w 919 flm�m w+21b {0 11 19 1 3ID 01 w b {0 Im wf.Doo {1e,5m 5 8 9m IS f0 01 I13.ltt 1+J111 }w L31,m0 RflSw 5 8 B99 9m 151 310 O1 fI3.1l1 11 201 slt.,.m flit® 1 9 B99 25 0 IB 01 w ` 108 511J.]m f1e..Pb Io 9 10 9m 9m J5 ID 0+ to W� 16} f51.tm 1... So 0 12 t f]0 100 m Pm O 3 f0 01 Pe W Iq .It .I1 10 01 .50 w PB 0o .1+ 00 wso DEPRswiED Ns¢eB E saNDE nurt o1mE OP DUNE OP _ _ _ YEAR/-AVERAGE IO YEARS 11c111nL WIN dw ECb OEI cONIE SNOPEI InrtBtffAD _ ROOF E iOE EI. ! BFACN DUNE OPitEeD I ulwE/, NCE OsiBNCE ¢Ev6iiOr1 NA rtED fAESi Et P¢ Ii10.gIPAD WE CPrt sTlp1U OSn]R diENTS cO Ol xOvq OT NGYOI S v_ BECJNs 1ET) DO- `D 0TI TO lS1 ED 1*�f]ae lO Ri wvpf OT IUYDI SLOPE IAIdF OIOv OVEPTOWEO+�LMfD)IVaO Bt0.xNF/�O IMn BUUNFADf Duu I¢Ev1T_jREl/�TIVETOMI E. ElfvA17M_r_i WeVEM oD[O WN)P0.TOc_Lo„M,,p__E=_L..d�.�E w�E5fP0YEM p1WGE SE LqT })) SGe.Sm S io ;6 I'ri ]b IS 10 01 J ES e� w 2i6 wBGm 9 59B 10 .1]0 f0 f0 275 SeSm tS 9m w 2 69 31 r01m 1-1w So 1t +0 B99 Bm b D Sa p 110 Ito fBB.MI 10 +: 999 998 10 ]vE5ES e5p w SO 1. fSl.Jm 10 b b 10 So ilo 10 0 1B7 .1 rm R.Sm 10 12 tm +0 oNd Y.om 1 S1t�am 10 1 Im 2m IO D D O1 pJ Es SO 1m St29.im 12 15 ir0 2m 50 0 10 01 ]VEs a000 OwwO)mo 2m1 5162,e00 1B 6 I5 10 JYEs 1 fo 2]6 tRI,YU sY.Yn f0 +} Im p 10 'So 3]B f116 rm f1r5� a 1f ro m f0 01 J rEs e5B 11 1] SS 11 15 10 ]rEs 2b fl6x,lm 10 tm Im +0 01 p]ES 215 ftmem 11 IS ] IBS 13 10 ' NG St 1])m 11 1] +IS 15 100. }aB Sb lm S11.1. So10 11 1m 10 O113 w tsom n1 s]b.000 +e 1m xm w rEzw= So too nz sue.bo 1e Iso ]v1:s xv w1D.em ® w u tm of 251 flt0.im w 1e +} 1b RO m 0 t0 01 B]vEs 30 35s f159.1m 10 ) 11 +SS +m n 10 w xsG sxmsm - w B 1e +zz tm ]s D +o of to w 2`ve f11p0m So ) 1]5 tm n p 10 0l ]YES 1D d1- 2. "1,:: 30 10 1] 210 2m 10 D l0 )0 So Mt f51.® 3 aAm a 11 I]S 365 m D 10 01 B]VEs w 2m fe2.em So e B lB0 ]20 10 ]YES w 0 So xfie set)m so to f2 Bm BJB B]rEs }G] Sb.1m to B 12 2t5 YA l3 O1 Es 50 w w }G5 fIG}Mfl fo 1B NS 2" Ot ]rEs n}0 fD ID mIw]]eoOD i13G too B It 241 2m b 0 o ES Sa o w ea b w s110.OD1 w 10 le lm Im 0 to0 W.1 Oso2000 257 Stll.lm 0 Im 1m 20 10 ]vEs e5B )0 w w w 2m fm1.YO w 0 18 9B9 m9 0 top ]rEs ND Sp 30 [0 :11 00 2aB fx0m0 w e B ]00 J]0 D 1 lU d SO 1.Os.m�mo0 212 fm.em f1�9 m0 w e 11 310 lm m D fo of YE s NO ISe SO e ] UAmt]® 211 fRbrm f]BB.Om So 8 11 B08 mB }0 D 10 DI ES so a f0 ] w2 f]TS.Jm w 1] Om 6T 10 10 . 13 YES ND .- 1 10 S2O0 Bl ] 10 0 102. It.- .1 D D1 a w 00 }w S1)m slum,m bf0 30 5 E, I Soo W9 IS D pt� 3 W SO w 00 mt 2m fo 1 IJ BBB 9m 13 D 0 3YE5 a W 0 212 1-1,1 t0 12 BBB BBB m D 10 ) 00 o51mt mt f141m w B 19 1tm 9m So x0 D �]0 w f0 b O61 OS 22® 2J1 S}50.Gm 8 b 9m P99 l0 0 10 SS 11p W. SS1tB B01 fl]t.]00 ft1ge50 2 IS BBB Bm n b O1 e]VEs e� SoBm i162.em 2m w S 1] 999 BB9 IS f0 01 J vEs So SO 233 flw.fm 5o,1m w 0 9m BBB A 01 ]rEs So 10 Bm tl2fi.am So ) 9 p 1 10 ]vE3 e5p 2xr ftw.lm t1x b S a ] Bm B9B IS 10 D I a YEs 0 So w xIe 1m:2m 1101050 10 1] 1 999 Bm b 10 pt So ]VEs 0 So w Im f121.Bm t2f).mo w 15 11 I BBB BBB m 10 IS 01 ]VE9 TO f0 0 2e1 fID1,;SD seam w 10 12 ] Bm WJ b 10 01 ]rEs w b - S12}.Soo mo tr to BBB mB So to 01 w xB1 `S0,UID 1} BBD BBB 10 01 So w 2Si St.- i2)e]m 12 IS A 899 m 0 l0 Of e�U So w 0 w mi 12..- tJm,am 10 1e Bm m9 D 10 O1 IU 0 w 00 10 1em] 261 f01,>m 3112.- w r S Bm 999 2S D t0 O1 ES NO w So ao 30 o f0 IfA 5+2npm m.080 w ) B 9B9 B99 l5 D 10 O1 B]Es ND e.SB w �20 w 00 w 100m m2 ftm)m x)1.Om w 0 11 } B99 499 10 10 01 ]YES 5p 0 0 w �m5wm Bm 5169,2m S2Sl.em w B 12 ] Soo BBB ?5 0 O1 J YES e58 )0 nOp v� W. 1. v.,Imfmoo 2m f191,Bm s]Be.em sB r e ] D» BBB n o n1 ea Es ao n.o e] w 2m 501.?m S ) 2 Bm 499 IS 10 O1 e]Es 0 f b w t1 mo IS SSe ffd�]m so 5 e 99B 889 IS D 10 of 3 ND w o.0 122So Oo 210 SS,Im Hm,1m i0 6 11 Bm Bm m D w of w a0 So e] 011 w 21) fIII,Im f11t,e00 w I] 11 B99 Bm m D +0 01 w A.0 w 1]0 00 w f0 SB f1m.Om Stm.]m w 11 13 Soo 689 l6 10 nl f0 So OB w w 220 f12SOm Ser.Sm 10 1 899 999 lv 0 to 0.1 w So 9N S+]1}po 31m em i0 9 2 MM 2m ]5 t0 0l es Es 0 w 30 w 213 f159.1m 2]e.em to 12 ] 9m b9 D p+ eJ vEs )0 w w vam!om III SIt1,a0D Bm t0 12 BBB W9 10 D 0 ]vEs efp to w 212 5112,20p )e Sm 11 15 Bm BB9 I5 D f0 1 3YES sp LSo 213 flmrm 2oBOm w 15 +b 9m 999 50 D 1D 01 ]vEs e5v e58 w w SO 2B1 fl)0.1m f]541m w 10 +1 BBB W. O f0 w w mom 2m sw.em s12)sm w u +e Irs as 5D D to DI Es esp10 So w w ]10m IW 59B.}m 3114em w tI 19 1 JJ 899 m O 10 O1 Es B5p 50 w w 2w 5111,bD S)Sem w 13 to 1 BW 9m SO 10 D1 So 0w w w w m NmO 20 11111,Om f211.5m w 10 f0 2 9B9 689 b D 10 01 ]VEs eSo w 10 f0 w D19 SIfl0.1m ]1].1w w 11 10 Bm Bm 1s D 0 0.1 ]VEs ND eSB w w w w 2m f5t.mp f3)B.Sm w s B mB 9m 15 0 +o 01 ]rEs ND e58 w f0.Ss w tA.SS 2m W.- S B BBB B99 IS 10 ]11 w f tl 202 11 s11.1oo am r B ms ess n D D Es w 2m St2].]m 1B1.K.0 B 10 Bm 999 ]S D 10 ]vEs w w� m2 33).tm 3es.em So a 12 1 1. ]00 m BpB o ] 1O O1 as YES W BSD esp b )0 a0 w B] as 01 OB w r 0E9E.c0+e1<ee0 0LoD ii0 osElOBBuEcwiureBEe eu..1E,Jo u.w weEEw,E sEie.« ACT- suc euwE.n elnnB uO eu.BEwo .. -YEARS--AVERIAGE_IO-YEARS l EE i _ -E -�wE BEttG-1 a -_- IWi D 01 IBDrt5 � o}i ID 1. }9 , 'p i-iL-Si.Wf_iE_U]1oE OSMr EB,t RElm l_BM aA.u.GF.L ED la GE� n ._O Or_EP TE UM_i ttNl.LGGEt- - Ir6 fB9,Bm I1 19 d5 10 10 x14 rB.5Df1 15 +) 900 mD I tO 01 12f0 )fig flrD+m 1B 9m 9W .11.110 1m.xm ID 9w tAt rm 10 1J d0 10 1} xW 1.0 1. S1B.dW 10 1. 1W Im N DI )E) w w 1. Iw s1M1W t} 1s }ro .1 1D x11 f1fi211 11 1B 16.5 I10 d5 O1 10 411�Vvl fx 1}D 10 01 }lJ EIIG rm1 55 m .5 1.1 SN}rW Im }10 0ldw tltlm xas E1Wem fl5e rp0 f0 15 lw +BE .5 v1+q xdG fl.]rm 115 1m .5 01 x.e s+dB IW so ID Iw 1W m o x51 3NDOm 10 111 xlU 10 O1 ]m f1.B..m 10 1. 1b 0 10 O1 sa 10 osdw lmm xs1 w1Dam 10 +J 1b 1r0 a1 12 xE. flt9,im B 1} 11. 01 Sa {0 1v} 00 ONwr1w0 x55 fIS9.Im sx09.tw f0 1 14 Ixi 1W n D 10 O1 EB w vx f0 }sB s}WxW fm0.1m Iss 1w xi 1D ax roa so w x59 ftla9W ) +. Ixi ri 10 O1 {p ONw1ro00 }59 t5�000 10 1] x10 im w ID DI D}ry {0 w rot eSd.pW x]E }6G m 1012 xm fine00 fw.}m w 6 xm JA W 10 01 v1 rq w t0 xse SRt IW nn.ss0 a 9vi .D 10 D I 1B] fld tl1v,150 w IB Ix x15 }b xi 10 0+ B11N )s1 10 !e w 1v1 f0 m.w0xmo 1Gs s+fix,Boo vu.1w e re w x1s b 10 w w IA9 {IJB,IW tlod,t50 B }.5 ]m xi 10 0� W1 311D.m0 IxtD.wO 10 1B 1m12 loow n} .11t+W 6 1. 1 }m }w 31D Ot Ow 0l OB® }•v0 frot.lW w 99B BOB m 012 11 x.9 f19.9W a 1B ]ID JW b Ot vx ON W+1000 }.i xI.J0B f+1wd...mOmD SNv.1W B}u sn9eW rm aB 1. JB910B S9mm rob D 3 I10D O1 B1 BA0 !c Bax) } wram 1 193 so w {s0v o ror ssrB snO I, ew eW xi D11 1N 311d,rm 5 tJ 959 Bm +5 }w N].5m 11 13 1999 989 a5 D w }m s)e.lW 1} SD 10 0+ w t0 901 31+a dW P }JI fnB.mO {w1,Bp0 {0 B ro 01 w w 9w SfJ1,]m ) is 24 10 012 w wY WS StG}.Bm xre.AO 5 13 w9 15D 3 1 10 fa }n s1w.1W w 899 (EJ9 Oows.ww JtePo0mt 9xnwxer swfie,. {1se,+w a B99 em }1Ds 10 O o f } f s1 m s D00 10 0 e 1"Z. {o 15 999 Om m xR1 S+w]m f+sel.w b 10 11 29E0 999 !B xB1 Nx2em ess BD9 m OSdw.m+ xw m.w.wo1 0}f 1 w0 - 05.W 11 Bro}W 10 1B rot $81,rm 1 9 BBB BW }5 ID 01 fa w to OGd Md{Owr xBs 3IroDm f0 ) B 959 BW 2 5 10 01 2 1. w w2 00 9m f1W]m t0 wo 20 D 3B}1p Io m.m51m0 WJ f169.T10I= 999 899 xi 10 0121. w 050mwOw xxxmm us1Bwe9,,..sd9xmWmm nt+x.e2. Is. Iaee Bg BIriws 2 WI5s D 0 0Ot1 1m two Sv 'dl wf0 }8 e 5 1 m w }1. , of w }B 11 00 1} 1. xle 1l 11 ] 1 10 D 0 I. 10 No 00 00220 SIx5m .1 D mm0t0w }lE ,1m 10 12 }. f1 ID 12 ilo 0 W wwww0 }@ f+t.I.W 11 1E 0 10 O1 1 21] I'll, P1 1101W 10 1 owm wwwwww 1. 18 99B 50 0 3 1. f0 osv 0l limo }w f11..m )111.em w 13 1B Ow m O1 r!r .111 w }W fu1.mD ix+1,500 w 1 » w D18 sxm,tm u+:.+w w n +s em BBB s of rn w roB n1,m0 w s 8 999 9w 15 01 109 t51,Om w 5 B 889 B99 15 f0 01 !B {16Pe w 11 roI f11.,.m w 1 999 BW n 10 O1 10 xW f1ro.Jm 3ted.Dw w B 10 899 Bm xi 10 OI w vt 10 aE� xm ssr,1m usaw w a u + I10 }GD JD eoo 0 0 11) DI exw Bo an u1 m se n1 w e} 00 .11 00 so w 1u3.m! aPTe1rE artrt DwEaP D,nE aB _ YEAR S-AVERAGE_10 YEARS _ wiME BtP•+E.D Wm BEEOPE,� rBB POT4E SL1aIEU0E 0ulquEwO emqu6.D But4uew0 � Oa i EP050er d,E w.3c v.L amEo BueE sr. I LEven POL -nEd TB T - �sTquenu+E rnmuL DT B�GV�I 6TLuevDl 5I BEGINS ffrl d Icrl E ds 'E +OB �F.+D IRudm _Oi uGWI Irr rveEvpl Do�OVEga'oE0+4.M1EgO+PIwIp BULKUFwO Iw/BULe,iFADI MWGE EIEv.liOglgElwraE rO url MW I_ELEv.IiOrv_I_i w.vEM OO TO CEONfR Oel gWWGE �MWGE�L1ESirsOVEd+MWGE O 1r1 05SGq.5m GO{lDx�30 00 xm 5.0 .S 10 P - - _ _ 1r6 dfl S98 .Sso f0 01 fq 1 r'u {PSm ,3 B99 9m m ,0 s+>onm +o sm smD 1 ,o o l :11 so 0,1,D00 1>0 f0S.100 fa 10 11 9m 0m 10 10 01 ID 00 ox Im utrm u+rm w D Iz m xm m DI fo Ise su.bD w to +w zm .o D of s+r.rm 1]6+ f+sl.wd ,e +m asD I Iw ax w. xx sd,.3oo +z m t1a b o, m.waaoo x09 S11B.lm w e 1 TO tm m 10 01 fp w o] sp x11 Ul.rm w It 1} Y y5 313 S18i.Im 10 3 tw x10 b 10 00 I.5 itm.em p f110,1m tt 115 tm .S p u} 1b Slb,tm 10 tm tm b 10 231 MU 1. m0 W x51 ft.4.m 10+0 1B b 01 p IS] f]l0®O 1]zw 3us:m w e +x Ib fro D+ m.wnmo x55 f15S.bp w i 1]S IS to {p W :x smozso c tss +w ss Ise snosm r tss +w s so n1 SSaOm IS) xw b p o} to MO sP1.em }90 J10 m 1OwOaBe1 sul.]Gl,.,rImm ssp30ai..s,mm toaa smm b8 D io p wto spoIx 11 flq im 2 m11 2. SS D s x x I som {0 I: m vmx sbm nr ulum xm m o io ai fo01 2w a>. xw smt.dm le ms IriA m D +o o, -.1- IN ITU!l00 e 9 ]00 0m m w V..m 1,L00 3.1 __ 6 11 ]f0 1b 10 p L.} p I.. flrq,lm f+rm a'n {0 a 4A xp pl p p 0fi.m+;ro00v0 1r1b]0e1 ffstl1mm..m,1nm0l U3S},00p tw0 aS 6B.Am 99emmw m1Ip $315 1. 0 1000 0O1+t ww .Sr pw oL1 141 m 1 0D m Ill f 13 u ox 13. Im 5S x1]} 0 }x ppww tm0 m9 m D 3 +0 0+l d} 8 m9 M 20 1D 01 {0 w 131 n30.® -I.- w e 8 x0 ,0 0, fU3o1 9w f1]1,Im r 15 BSB 6L0 0. 1S 10 01 p b POS 31P1.Bm S 9m 9m ,S p as flw,+m IYA 10 q0 m leml 9m f110.b0 1 9m 9m 1s w 231 ftw.+m S S0S 5m ,3 U1w Uxm ae 3541m 9m B9J 1m f111.em w 15 9m 9m w ip m.ms� xel s1a>W p td a sm of vs.m.rm, xe3 ulx.mo sv 1e ms sm w xw fIP3m w 10 l3 1 9m 9m b 10 01 �p OS.m.eOm 2., fI85.3m t0 tx 13 em m9 w w 00 w m.m.1m0 wl T1m.1m f}mo.]m t0 10 ,e m9 .mB w L} f0 n1 U,.rm . Dm 9m 1s 10 p m.m.mm Iw 5110.0m w r B Bm BBB 25 D 10 m} itmrm B 14 mB mB 10 1D w t0 sm slm.xm Ir sm em ss Im MT. .1 00- ms®, xxe slw.md 25 1D0 01 w D w tb.wx 3,9 f3B,Sm s 699 8S9 Is 10 111 1.0 t0 U.SS1 {0 11 UI,bO a BP0 WB m 10 01 m mvov 21 1 sl+..bo 12 ms ms m x+e I]O f1 t] D Irsm D 10 01 p Om0 9x0 f 1.- } }S6 xm 1S D t0 0.1 - t0 f0 Om Oro- IIS S2.1m 11 } m9 9m b D 10 0.1 NO Ib 13 b 10 w Om 0- xN zlt�Im {0 10 12 8S9 m9 b D 10 O1 Ls w w f0 111 "11,1m 11 1S Bm 9m 15 10 01 4v BO 'w 10 f0 mB Dl O.Ow 110 SO9)m f0 13 IB Bm Bm w 0 10 O1 w 00 p 30 N, f1ID,10 t1m,,m f0 10 11 ss0 mB 10 w o} 0.0 mvm r®o xoz sm.vm s,}r3m so le Bm ms m ax mxlmv xm fmxm {,.eevD w Is em sm m w. su1bD so a ms m D +D D1 us w oD w w }m 51.1.1100 w ,0 ) m9 Bm b D 3 10 01 w m]rOm 91S SAS+m w 19 m9 9m 43 ,0 01 w ox xm Sst,ml IS 6 Bm Bm IS D 3 10 01 BB W r.f ,.3 U4.w 00 ax lm n+m1 fre5w w S B mD >Tm IS D 10 0.1 1LL 3 w t,4.m aamnam nr s+tl.bo a om n ,a m sD 01Am}DWr Im 311],]m f0 9 f0 9m BB9 ]S 10 b 00 Lx w r,acw I4 U1,Im {SgSBm i0 B 11 , 170 xm m om D 1 10 0.1 0e u0 L1D t6 Hf w T] Jr f0 00 00 ax 00 s0 so CuiED wx sEre9a •tnvE g5r.x0E qua gn1Em qulF ax YEAR 7-AVERAGE 10 YEARS 0RE g4xFi.D 1Nw mE sEresa 9BOcE EMBEu Bgxs�LD xEwD eg4xFA0 I��i� uBE oBOUxD [Lam �wOE 1F d E r q[xE.D Wets[ Et Tm Ft DoB +Ev.n 0 ES)EL REL STimIONBE iDlt BiRDCi B xE BOLS �q EL LOT S x0 BBn c 1[T x0v01 ICT_OT WT_ BEcut51R{ g6r1 Sim DB M1TI !s..s+..l.l o1cv01 !F1 xGVD) mjOVEB}OwEW Y.tILEd IvA IEwD lwe a FwDl wLUGE DxlBEunvE ro 1.. � ______ax OrBw.vE ME00�rOCaMUOtrm l..wWGED IwwcE wcE D ]' D Tfi9.5W �]95 d0 i5 3}8 wB.fif10 I1 +9 9m .5 011 fr4sW Is m 01 }W f1TD,1W 10 le 99O - 10 01 nn !.Z 10o 13 9m sro TO wT}m 1 fo } m 0 W q +!ro sl}n rm 1} +s no }]o m }Jfi+ sm]Bno m uo +o 1J 11}t tlA 13 IA q ]m 111fi.1m 10IBTO D 3l5 m. to 241 fl,]W +] S17 11 ID :00 }.1 1 f1 120 .7 OTT BW l3 t45 U 10 w }q S1q,TW 11 1J I13 Im .s 10 O1 3D wTO }.B f1.5.1m 10 Im tm w Tvt SKO1m 10 }00 ]5} 10 TO 150 ]S 51 W0 ID 1b w }d e } lq m tofe ® 1F6 5159.I.W f3Ja m T 1. 1. Y 0 Ol :1 11 w ]m 1)W,]W 0 155 Im ]5 10 Oi {0 00 w ]% f1ID.m0 tb Iq 33 10 01 - Oo ]W "1.- 10 IJ 310 lm .0 10 O1 f0 w MI W® fe?Om w B ]]S 355 m +0® 3m w)eW lne lm l3}Bm5Q6oBeT S5sfSli1lBqbql,,.11lmm 1 3 3W ]]0 D 20 }IS m 1395}. f). 0 w ww 11 }s l0 1B .0,0pp :11 ws0 fo IN t0 f0 }9 .11 1. B1. 1 D 310 01 w 3so sm1,1W a 1e IM s9s m +D of w w }q f)99W m 10 10 I.T 599.BW B 11 ]10 )10 30 10 O1 w w -.13Wp 3M SIrO.lm fA4o50 f0 8 1. 3 BB9 30 10 01 w .)e 30 3.} w)sBoO . 11 Bm BB9 10 0.+ w w 041 Of1g10 1.0 flm.BW B B 899 009 b 10 01 .}e f0 }1e f1OB.Om 1. B Bm 993 }01 3 1 01 217 STB.Sm B 11 B(9 99B ]5 10 O1 w w 711 SIl4]W 31T;60 s 1J B9B BBB 15 01 }J1 f41.5W 11 993 .S io 'TO OTT 00 131 srB.9W 1} 89B 9BB m +00 11 W1 1114. 099 i0 0 Oo10 3J1 {YA6W }0 { S11T1. ) 15 ]900 [6]9m 9m 31 - {T AD w s 11 B99 13 D w 00 w 335 {1d 1m 9 9 m 90B SI]O..W 9 199B A ]S D OI 05 0.}W1 ]3eml {.dl},em ed.]W R 3. O.oOm 10 IIB TW 10 13 9ICT os IS 17 } 10 ww0 .1 Ol B b i0:S1T o � o{o .1 Sre.Sm 1T.Yy 10 1} B99 ]B> fIBS.Sm w 1} 15 999 9� W 10 O1 130 00 f0 Od Os.rmO Bat f}W.}m 3770.]W fo 10 16 ) Dm B99 10 01 w w sU y.05.BW] }9T fB1,Rq 511}.550 10 r Bm B99 xs o1 w 30 2. f1}OOm r OM 989 }9 01 w 10 93 m] f1m>W 3�.ow 10 w 9m Fw}W fTSl.em 1) 999 13 1 3 Ot w w ]b 519>t[31 ) B B99 35 wIT 0S SW01 }]9 SIM Jm Se.m 1. S ) 999 Bb 1S D O1 Iq f0 }ta w8.f100 w S 8 999 5B9 15 111 0 01 {D M.w 00 fl s0 a BBB BB9 m +o o+ ]+r $114.m f0 1] 1. 9W 09P m D t0 01 SO f. w 120 A> 30 f0 - 09.900 1+ 11 Bm 390 .S 10 01 w w Os.0em9o0 Sf0 Sl]smD f1®.SW ) 1a 99J 899 ]5 0 O1 w 00 wTO 030 S111.]W B 1. ass 3m ss w 00 0590]oim0 }15 f159.tm 3b 050 ID 1} Bm 999 q O1 x0 w w a. 111..IW TO 1} 9m B99 .0 10 O1 e). f0 }t3 f11T,TW 3np 5�50 W +1 10 BW B9B .5 10 }11 "19.TW ]d.0 15 IB 899 999 m 10 30+ fIT0,1W BB9 169 q to 0+ ITT }0} Sd.9W 3ss� iB B99 999 m 10 D+ ]m fm.3110 t. B9B B99 m 10 OS)3000 ]d S11.q0 f1�1.eW 15 IB B99 9P m 10 0.+ 10 {o m}.® 3m. sln.om s)nsm w +o +D ] Bm e9B +D o+ w se w d I3WD BIB S]W,11 10 11 1B Bm 099 15 10 O1 w -1]e w {0 ]m SSI,OOD ffT49A b 5 999 15 10 .0 {tf.Oq 3m 351,000 ST0.3m S 899 B99 15 f0 1. 10 314m0 {1 1. 31+.,g0 Bm 939 ri 10 01 w }m ft}1.b0 w B 991 4l9 ]s 10 O1 w 00 -0 0 f1m .-0 +3 0 D 1 f BS B1}5 ssr, o vw1EP RSErBPa cnvE swucE ax+E amEw YEAR 5-AVERAGE 10 YEARS iVPE 1ffAD {Nm meEcpRE sE10SCB PPpi0.E 51nPEEmE BVUVfrwD 6RFAU BUISUF V Cu iIO�D I uc'E ERs ! EIE �w ' - C-1 REl siP-E CR 1NE MI uO EEPaf cE ier4E iwgc 1 ulxvFAD DE Blpif [l iW EI w�OuIPVFA eUlltvFAD W^BulullEwO� Mru EtEv],Dpu PttwlrvE iO.fIPI Mow _.I ELEVw 1 WwvE D lio COP+POl iOR sMuwpE lMuwcE�pEsiROYEw MwSGE sEt Plu lOi slipup w iupva(ET upw1 sl aPS GiI as�l Psl E De 611 I�I+eb lfl upvUl Ri upwl of uvEw ID�vE Ep+ wm _ sOvl Ms @� Jan aS 1O01e01 pE fO fxs 129 am ..p a5 so 30 STI.:fn ]w !p9 b V l j }]• f1111+rt1 fa ] 9'n :,n 0 ])B 1. 100 30 70 f99 xa1 w 1} Mn !IT q w J b l to B] w1]m SI>2 yq 0 a lW 2m b 00 11 'IS 9 31]1g0 10 2m q OD ts9 SnrofU I} IS 1]0 220 b 10 0 2D61 S162.Rm 65 w 15 xx svum x m 120 b 10 }J4 Et iRim t IO tm m .0.] w }St fBl,]m 12 55 tm 15 w 245 mmn 1 I, ; t10 1B5 SS D 10 SO {1 11 2q t+q]m f Its p IO w }SB S1S5.fro 10 Ib 10 yf0 251 SwBrtD f0 B2 ro t b O 0 01 w n} 6Sm 1B 1, b D 10' 01 q yp 25] A10.Bm 1J Tb b 10 f0 25{ 5119.>m b e 12 2 1b 110 m 10 ]55 S1YI,gD f0 ] 116 1m }5 D 10 0.1 {0 25e umxm D 1ss Iw n 1D o l 2 }50 f11D.sm ] 1]S Im 25 w 2>Ow YA i51.® ID 21D - 1D 01SD w nmD 281 sss.osD 2ss 26S 10, 11 2m fW.B(10 fPS2m 0 B 2E0 m O1 26B 381,]Ip 1122.Sb 10 12 B'A 9B9 b 2. Sfe01m { B +2 215 1b 1 w ® 1. S1B},800 3>•L2m w B t9 2S5 PS m D 10 BOR S1J41m w 9 11 } 245 2w >5 D 10 01 >6m0 SISO.Qp f2�0.m0 w 10 19 Im x00 b p {wp w mONm 25] S1111m {1me50 w 6 IS 2m 280 30 0 q W w w ISXlt.2m wt.BEO w 89B 890 b 10 uP w w 0� 2q Sls9m ,30 1B 1 b0 lm p1 w w 0 m 110m 211 SB 10 11 1 310 im 10 ID 01 W t0 w 00 NS SI10.>m 1S 2 B99 Bm 2D 10 01 N2 A15m0 w 1] B9B 599 D t0 01 w Bl ® xb SIm.Bm i b B B 1 e6s m O 10 01 -0} 2lB {IfiB.000 S B 1S } B99 2p D 3 10 01 4i 2n s]asm u+r.2s0 B 11 BBB ss ID a1 w so w 2w s11a?m trnvn s 1] 1m fs o ID w Kamle.0oo 5P]SIA {+Vr.2M 1t 999 9BB <5 W 100 1J} S1BSpl 1f1]]w 2 BBB 9BB b M yp a+1n]Om0 apt S+t7.am 0 999 9m 2p 10 01 w w w 23I f25B5m - 6 B B99 999 n D 10 DI {fa {6S]vf _ w fffi K m>bo0 Bw En1111 1 15 n D 10 005 f10}.&L t2U.2m 5 13 94R 99B 15 w w 2. ftw.lm 8 B BBB m9 20 {0 w m 2em0 Bm S1M<m ] B99 riBO. i5 10 U1 t0 w. rrsm]moD m slDs.lm m s e eDs Bn s owmzwm 12B SSB]m 1m VA 1D 1] aYJ 959 OEI m]e000 2BD f1]I.Bm m 1 ] 9DB BB9 b 0 4 1 1 msm]wm xel s1Ds.Dm sass0 1D n 1BBB ms b 2k1 SS2].® 12 1s BB9 BBB b ;.I I gas ne sm 1�n]m o 12 B.W �o w 2B] S1B5 Sm S2)0]b 12 15 1FJ8 m f0 fD 921 10 S}m.2m 10 b 26] fBt,]m 312x.Yu ] B10 D Bm 25 01 m{em2 2m SINl.mO {1m0V0 t0 2 fAe n 10 10 0.1 OLmSmro Om f19J,]m {I11.0E0 w 6 1S 2 99B 999 A 01 a]RO fo fi69,2m f25lem B 1) D 3 10 D1 {w0 2m 519].0m f0 2 999 B99 n 0f 225 f1w.Jm { 5 ] } m9 859 15 10 O1 Oe 3{wBt s�I xle - ssBsm so s e BBB 1s a+ m OQOD }IB SB2.<ro B 11 999 m9 m 10 01 B] 1.0 1 00f0 212 311S.im w 12 m0 b 10 O f 21B ft2'- 11 1] BBB B99 SE 0 10 W 2. IT 1. 2 10 x B99 25 0 +0 1. B}0 f1J1.xm w B x56 2B0 y 0 f0 {0 t0 p0 .101 211 S159.Iro 10 12 ] fA9 999 10 fa {0 t0 21S Sf 11.fm Sl�]10m 10 12 89B 10 30 211 f1)2;]ro sp8.55D 11 15 99B B99 S0 D 10 O1 w w 30 OS 213 S13B.]m 13 f6 9m b I0 0+ 13 psem+woD }01 Sf]0.1m Mr. 10 1S 99B Bp9 q O 10 O1 w w 00 w SB 2W SB2.Bm I-- 1S to 999 B99 b D 10 00 00 w mem:+BBB }m fBs.2m w u 1e Bm Bss b o 1D tD mRm22v011 2w fll!sm IS IB 1 999 899 b 10 1 SO w f0 mPm2s6BB 2m sw1.DDs 1D 1D : BBB vs q 10 01 w - 3}OB,fm f]f2150 w 11 IB BBB 9B9 15 10 t0 14 2. SSI.Om 5 999 B99 IS 10 O1 fD 112AM13 00 00 22om ws ssl.lm s BBB sD Is 1D o1 f12➢]e m 250m ]0) fltl,am w 9 9m B99 n of10 { m}gyp 208 f12].Jm w 9 10 999 BBD >5 y0 w{�w. Xx 55)lro fay O50 f0 B t} 1 1]0 }OB m mB D 00 ] 10 01 B]xp W ]m 2.m !0 6S Se w B) 00 di 00 10 1. f1ll.� YEAR 9-AVERAGE 39 YEARS 9u3arvEwD BtaIMAD Bpl� El- - ' .- - ..�uBE tum OPE RpS rvcE Dn drop[ aB D 'IafuE j 0nw0Srory -1 xuvE_ -GE El �E DrvtExis CO FI rvGVDI{FrExOvpl Si EOx5611 IFO w�T E r08IFil FwD 1•••rva•10 ucv011�Ewl P11 enEB NSWri Ov�avE9tO1mED+fBitEO+AIWroO. FAOIWB vFAOI_, IELEva_I9ElAnvE OSIFI OBWGEEEEvaOOry i-1WuvE Mm IIO COMBm TOvI OBNACE._IpatuGE�0E5iROYEm OANAGE t6 195 NO .5 1w0o }>6 fB9.® +9 9m 999 d5 01]ww })5 i)8.5m IS 9m 0% m S0 W0 2 f1}D.Im I I SD 10 9m B99 1} OS ')0 99,}m 999 9gg m 3 m wt>m m me sutd?o �neaB w ID . 1m }m m Io w m 31xB.}m s1M.sp 3p 1} +5 no }m m sp }XI 51618m 1 1B fi3 I10 }m ft]t"q0 f0 f0 1} I}0 }} f0 }]P Stm)m ]0 Im 01 }.f f01.}m 55 Im 11 10 }eJ 10 I] }m 215 s+m.em 11" is Iss Io �pilo .1 xm Sfm}m n Im s �q 1. ftm.tm ID' lb Im }51 wd?Im 35]05m i8 1m }s} 11m.m D Iof xv s]IDenD s.mm so a uo uB o I10 0+ }5a 1t t9,)m 30 1} Im f)0 10 01 }55 3159.am f.D tm }5 10 01 s rEs w }56 31m}m I6 1S5 1W b D 10 U 1 0 rE5 w }5B 31f0.9m f0 le 1l5 }} 10 01 So P!5 f510DJ 10 i] }ID }m 10 01 0 rEs w sM.ml a }ss ns ID 01 w}wn 19 }90 ]10 b IO OI J vEs }rpl aB+.IUI 3']].5`a I0 11 B99 f0 01 OS }s] fid5.tm B 1} 113 YA ]5 10 0.1 0YE5 {0 }B5 flfil0m 3}..pp a 19 }.5 Is b f0 01 sYEs w OfID flb.lm f]M,Iw p 11 p }m ]S 10 3 VEs w11 10 Us 1 0 mi Sla0.mn 121Dmo so10 iB }00 m 10 01 0 VEs w m snum }m }m m 10 w w }sD sm?mD m w {p x.9 n?9b a +B ]m m m ® D ID o+ {q }.r w9.an w,]m w 8 11 31. m 30 ® 01 10 01 rE9 lq 30 }] OS tN00 ].. 11)e.)m ]I0,f60 8 to 9 899 9m }0 10 O1 3 w w OS w w OU OS IJ® ].} tl15Bm . t] 899 10 r6.p31wm }}]]B1 3}B..OSmm 3�1]s0 11 BBB 75 w }m w O 1 '3 11 f0 S fww0 D1 f0 ww 2 1w }J. 1t1(}m 5 899 999 15 :m sal.sao a w9 as }]} f]B Sm w 1] 9B9 B9B m D3 01 .3 vEs }.} 00 10 w ml fttd.dm IB 999 89B m 10 O1 w n1 #58 Gm SIe)pp w 8 B 999 w9 30 D 10 OI pO YEs Iq }} {B},JpJ w {e?}w 9M flJt]00 llsB.p50 f0 1! 999 B9B }5 D 10 O1 ]VFS W Bm fl6},- 2- w 5 B9B 99B IS D 10 01 ]} w {0 }}5 fIM,w0 6 IB 999 p9B ID 10 01 ]YEs {0 00 f0 {0 90B ft}5.am w I 9 B99 6m }5 10 01 0YE5 f0 Ip 050}® }}) IIM,Im 5 B p99 IS f0 01 0 rEs 3?re0 }}e fSglff] 10 13 D 1 1 12 1 05 0 w.w } 05 m }}BB]I sSdR,.Bm 6f.. 15) s 1)I Io J YEE 3D +D IaB m 999 999 m 01 r} w ON 05 avpt }M f]B.Sm {11)iw 10 1} 9m 9m 10 0+ }Bi fI..- w 12 IS -M B99 m +0 0+ ]YES w w 05.m.ippp 9}1 S}04}m 10 IB } p99 009 10 Ot 3YEs {0 M wi]m ) 9m p99 }5 10 0 rEs w )] }5B s+}o.lm m } a mo n 10 of J YEs w w 1}_ oD w 90} SIBO.Im 3]]f.tea {0 899 BP9 }0 ]YES r651ppII(II0 W inp0 9>.900 f]ro.e50 ) e ]} 10 fMM B 1 } MII 999 2 m $1 } +0 O0 OS ON O55� nz]}}wmwI9. ssys3uI m9gOa91,..,....Bu}mPaBmmmnPn fssYla.ae..]B1swwo t0 1s. i11 > 9v99nJ9B Bv09999J9 mm1ss 0 11 s evcs { }}} 1 }}B Is.._ 0 }} f D s 'Es }} a..� a I0 s cs > 10 1: x }}9) 31J1XI) I—= 9 1}. 0♦ES O s{wtp 1. } f 35I1 f]ew D so }1} 3111 p213 'M- IS D ] 0 ] 130 00 so }01 fO 01 20 Z. }} 1001 o0 }.} IM f11Um fO1ew w 15 fe B9B 899 m 10 01 0 YEs p] }W II.1.m0 }11.Sm w 10 10 999 9m 1D Ot {p 918 f}OB.fm 11 IB 9m B9B u 10 O1 0 YI. w >} 3118 SST(m 5 B 9m 999 IS 10 01 I]YEs w }} tlq�1 :*10* 00 00 tfg3Jt }m {SI.Om SM.Sm 5 9B9 15 tl S1g101 }B) 1 310 01 ps YFS w }(IB f1}?]m 10 m BA >5 IO 0.1 .}eI. wEmr� }B} SS].1m S1.- b e 12 1 1. }m b BpB D 3 10 pJ rF5 tm Om em w }} Je 111 ..3 O9 111 00 w f0 1 YEAR Ja-AVERAGE 10 YEARS M-IED 1-1 ur,1v w+E� aA X vogEu Burt -1=71 ---El 1 MED In WDI!ET{wvq ST Ec�rt56il Ski! �"IL rOB vr�F/�O rwv01 1 VOI w 181nfiMEe O`OKfin�WVED'+ Eo+'O vu l wive O ' va Bugl4nDl Mw (E3EveilOglnEu+wrvEio[f p.eucE I --l- I TuwvE MED (IQ-I'M?OOv IB-GE ID.rucE l0E5i OrEo W+uaE D w1r1 f6050D 195 ].0 n as t0 �0+� . xrfi w9 W0 t9 999 9m n1� 1.JO }rs S1B 5(TI 9m BD9 SD tD D 1; 1. 110 1. W xW SIrD.Im 100 1q 9m NN a; )III fW}m 11 9Dq w1.rW 10 SJ N W N O1 Is, w+)W ID 1} fm xW 1!n 31+e.Iql " SI}D lISI 15 110 b ant fi5 0I .12 s1n.11u a nD +m N D n I .xm s++a rm ra 1D 1m b snr rn1 1x n s xN I.J. n lx0 .n 115 51-1. 15 140 1. as D f0 x.a .arW n us s o SD o1 w sD l.e s+.a.tW 10 Im 1W D so 211 51.9W0 10 1B Im }OD D 10 01 O6.W 11000 x5} -1- V.- 10 1q 110 Im SO 01 10 00 251 f1+o.e00 I] 1 tb 1ri1 10 01 51+9rW Il 0+ 0a.w rrOm xss f159.1W fxID.t00 ] 1. 1]5 1 0 f0 1e W.w]0000 x5a sral,xm Iss JS w w o5.w2.OW xm 51 N!n0 f168:50 w r 1l5 x5 l0 01sl s 1. Ga 1. 00 so 10 259 $1111011 Ic U 1310 3m S0 1: M1 55..® B DS Ia5 b t0 01 f0 -SJ 00 w w x10W 3W .-1 6x Rm. ® e 19 xm ]x0 W 01 w so xaq -1m 1D I} Bm BBB 10 w.w J+00o xGq f1N.1m 9 12 x16 3m ]5 D 10 O1 sr fa fo 05.w]]OW 3m 5163.g00 ! 19 NS xrs b 10 30 51J6.+m B 11 xes xW E 10 01sa f0 mr s1ao6D +o to 1W xW N m n+ w Ow MONOo x51 1111.1W 8 Ow OS OGOm }m Sxm.YD 3W1.96o a q xm I 9 1O 01 Os N9 sr9. so 21, m.eW 11 310 3b W D 310 O1 w ss 00 x.. flrarW B 11 x 00B m W 101. }e} -s90D . 1] 9m m9 10 10 O1 w 0.S.051.mD 1N 51m9W 51m.JW w q 9 999 m9 b D O1 a) lm fI60.OW Sx520W w a 1. } m9 20 D dM.oms l]fiYmo0 1fx}6 1qx0xq. sn.1..rW snu:l...ma5o0 1a90 i9 m9 9m xWD 0 NO w to D sr. s 11 D1 m.rm .1. m i ilo x -,- 10 D s f.r:9 w 1 w w DI f ® Is w513+ 1 a 15 0 1 .1. 1-7 5 9 1 t0 1 Do www w{1w{000 335 sfw, s+s l00 0+ - SMm Ill 3= 221 B S0 3 10 6 2. N is t0o om 21 0 1q1 1 w w : SR)m 9m m9 m 0 DI00 W.M.mw I" Sre Sm 10 11 999 m9 N Ot w il.0 10 xqr 31055m 1x 1s m9 999 50 10 Dt 10 51 w 1x0 so m1 fxm.x00 ID m9 9m- N 10 DI SO 36) Sg1,)m E.55D t9 9m 9m xs 10 00 lm f130.ntl r B 999 Bm xs 10 06.g SOOOo 9m S1W)m $27- q m9 9m lD 10 01 w Sr DO ftm,lnl txsl,em 11 x f199 B99 ]5 ID f19r,W0 ) 959 35 M OrwO Dx1Dq sSsger,.eNWO {ta�i,m s 1 10 � .11 RO {...w 5 ) 3 {0 a w 11 o 10 11211 Ix m W 118 SNe9m 11 13 m B.B N w 1.0 w x}0 fI35,® I.- 1 10 1 300. o 1a00+ 0A f131,1W 3- w xss 390 75 w w 115 m. a am urv1eW1 ms em .D +D sn 1D{ a 111 7. S D+ w w w 9m m9 Lti D t0 1 W w O6.m wOg0 113 fl]B.lm 15 19 999 099 m 10 wID 05gp5I- "I 3VO.fm w 10 9m 9m Q 10 01 00 w 101 Sw.9m 111SW 1. 1e B9D 9m m 10 01 1. w xm sm.x6o w eqq m w x0. f11...W Is 939 B90 b 10 w }m S1tl.000 10 ] m9 10 OI w - DI9 $xm.1W w 11 19 1l9q .5 D 0.1 t0 11 w w w xm fs- {146W 5 a m0 15 D w S> so tesle ]m S51 mU 3re,5W 5 B 9m fig 15 0 10 ee W n0 w 00 w fe.sle br f11!® 3triw0 w r 9 qm 599 35 D 01 w o5am]®00 ba $13a1W {te�Pw 9 10 999 9m ]5 0 to O1 �J w w S57,1m {e5.a50 w B 11 1 1m lm W eqp O 3 10 01 ee 1N n]e - 10 Sl ea w ee 0o de 00 w OERREOATEO NIN sET.. AcnvE D53ANCE -E OLF+E DR DLFE ON SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-AVERAGE 10 YEARS E-T BEFORE FETMDL PNOFILE SOf+E RlAn1EAp BUL5IEAD DU]DEM . sTR E RETi - RE-CE GROUND FLOOR MNAGE DBIANOE l6rAN(£ L KTE D OF EL B-F TOE EL IOD OEADf PRESENT yALUE OF SEC BLk LOT _ ED NO D9RVl -CONTENTS CFI NGVD) AFT NGVq 6i BEGINS�FIt D(Fi� �Fl� O B ITT) �ece Kte(4) (FT NGM (FT NG ) 5101'E Oto NAL--.E E-ON.-E INWMIION f11eUGE WWEMIMGE BlAM1EpODCNaGE m.d lm00 2T] S68,Sm fim.Tm m I 16 -295 ]AO 45 90a D to 0., m OS.Dt�9DA 2T6 509.6m IT>•,.m m If 19 9m 999 Os 999 O 10 0, m so m m m KMd 3mD 2T5 1]B.sm S,tT,Tm m 15 I] 999 B99 m D f0 O.II m m m 151 rR IBmO 269 S1J0,1m f355.1m m 10 1s 999 999 4p 0m D 10 o.l mSo m m m OSe O�}91ID 270 3.2m fD5.0m m 10 12 9% 999 .0 D 10 0., m m m od dmoan 1% m1,10D $1}2,5m m 10 1] m m .0 D ] 10 0.1 m m m le.wd60D 19] mt,]OD 3f22.5b 10 ,2 lm 200 .0 D 3 10 0., m m m m n.w6se0D t%1p.wmlm t S1z.. SIT, tD t m o Dm D 3 1om 0.1 so sos 2 1B9 9.7m sl 5 10 m a m m Som m m m M OrOm 236A $Ia m IT- so 11 15 65 110 65 D 10 0.1 m m m B�s.d oeam 236 stT,,]m sass 9sD m 10 1x m 12o m D a 10 0.1 m so m m m m In.dvmm n9 fi1e.]00 s1r5.am m e f, To ;00 m 9g D ] 10 0.1 m m m m m m.d tDSD 2" SB1,100 Stx}.Sm m tt t2 55 Im .5 099 D 1 ,0 0.1 m m m m m 0.5.d,tlOD 2.] 3162.]00 s2.a p.A m 10 f] tm 220 .0 999 D 3 10 0., m m m m m m.w 1- gas f,05.0m S+SB.Tm so 11 15 2 u0 I.s .s D t0 0.1 so m m m G51w 1- V. 31.],Tm fr55m m 11 1] 1 113 1m .5 a5 D ID 0.1 m m m m m m.d1® 21s Slm,fm .,%,'.O m to 1. t Im lm .D 9m O 3 ,0 0,1 m 6p fp m mlw 1511m 251 33.9.000 SS}J.Sm m 10 is 2 1m 2m m 999 D -3 10 0.1 m m m m m 252 s"..400 5222.- m 10 1B 1 Ito tm m sm D 10 0.f m m so fY w,emD 253 m10,800 f.G6,2m m to 13 } 1. 170 m 909 O 10 0.1 m So m m m m.wr® 251 3118.]00 f1r95m m e 12 l 1a Its ]o D ] IO 0.1 m m m mew 22000 255 5159,4m S219,m m ] 14 1 135 1fi0 IS D 3 to o.1 so m m m O6.M 23¢D 2. 32m,2m mm m0 m B IB 2 155 iDo 35 D 10 0.1 m m m m m m.w2- 258 Si10,9m -.35o m ] 14 1 135 160 25 sm 0 3 10 0.1 m m m m m 14d27000 259 151.000 IT- m 10 13 1 210 250 .0 9m D 3 t0 0.1 m m m m m m.w2rOm 26 1 Ss.,000 m,.pap m 5 11 1 335 2fi5 m 909 D 10 0.1 m m so m so 11d 0.}Jm0 2m S62,em Sd.2m m p B 1 2% ]20 JD 999 D ] 10 0.1 m.1r1 TL1ri 6p f0 m.w mam 2" Se,.]m s,nssn m to u 9s9 0% .o D 3 to 0.1 m so m - m m a5ad nprt� 263 S,ae.lm s2191.0 m 9 12 215 2m M �gn D 3 10 0.1 m m So m m m.w 3mpi 265 $ ,s2.mD few Jm m e 1B 1 2.5 z]s m 9o9 D 1D 0.1 so m 30 +rssd 3asD 90B 3136.1m s}w.1m m 9 1t 2 2l5 2m 3s 9DD D 10 0.t So m m m m m.w 3rom so] s,m,DDo srD.am So to 1e 1m Zoom ma D 3 10 a.t m m m m m,twmlRam 257 $„1.,w f,m.sSn so I. ,. 2m 250 20 D 10 O.t m m m m m 051050.® 250 3201,]m m0f 9m m e 16 999 999 >0 999 D 3 1It 0.1 m so ,m m m 05.ml- 2.9 $T9,9m 11i9.650 m 5 0 ]m ]]0 ]0 m9 D ] 10 D.1 S..m. m s..m. m m 151m 111m 20 399,sm ftl9,rm m s t1 1 310 am 20 999 D 3 to oA m m m m Est t2Dm 2u $ 11s,T00 f36B0.'O m 6 1. 2 099 B99 20 999 D 3 10 () m m m m m s$t , 212 1]]s.900 f563.em m . 13 3 999 009 to m9 D 3 to o.1 m m m m m B51m t.0m 210 3100.900 $1m.350 m e 7 1 B99 BBB 70 999 D ] 10 O.I SS.a99 m m.m m m�Wmf5m0 238 7160,000 3253.000 m B I. 2 999' 099 m 999 D ] ,0 0.1 m m m m m m.05,61Ia0 2aT STB.Sm s11I.1m m s I I BBB B99 u D 10 0.1 m so m m m.m lliOp 23. $1f�]m f1T}.650 so 5 1] Bss B99 15 999 0 J 10 0.1 m m SD m m 1rs.m lmoD 2]a 503,50o sxs.2m m tt a 99s 999 .s D 10 0.t m m m m m aslm tsmo 232 7]e,SOD f11T.Tm 1B Iz 1. , Bs9 899 m p9 D a 10 0.1 m m m m m m.mT® 9m flt.,.m ft]t.6m so B B I 099 999 20 D ] 10 O.t 15.TT6 m SS»e m m mIm22® ht $158,600 SbT.sm m B 9 1 899 m9 20 D 10 o.t fsn.6m so SJ91.fi66 m m Dwm2.m0 00. 5131,]00 S1m950 Is T Is 1 999 999 23 999 D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m Bs.m:Sam ws $tfiz.eoo mu.2m so s t3 1 Est %9 a 99e D 10 0.1 so m m m m m.m26® 22S slu, 5158.,m m s B 1 999 999 20 mB D 3 IO 0.1 15.256 m fSlm m m 11wm39m1 B00 7138,.m f,s6Bm m T e 2 s99 899 25 099 D 3 10 0.1 m.315 so md5 m m UN ss]Nm 227 st0.,tm StSBtm m 5 5 2 999 m15 B99 0 10 0.1 s16.]O6 m S16.YI9 m m 05.m]30m 228 36e,]m S1m.m0 m 10 13 1 999 m .0 G% D3 to oA m so m m m 05.m]BOOB 2m 1111.Bm flsr.rm so is 17 2 999 999 50 s9B o 10 D.1 m m m m m m.m]mm let $tw,]m f156..m m 10 12 2 999 B99 .0 999 D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m m.m.x01 2e3 f.22,500 f6d.2m m tT ,e 2 99s m so so, D 3 10 1., m m m m m m.m.Jm, 2" $ ]B.Sm 111TTm m f0 12 t 999 999 .0 999 D J 10 III m m So m m m.m<mm 287 sls5,500 f3T0.250 m 12 IS 1 B99 999 50 9m D 3 10 a., So m m m m-loss m, s200,2m 3]m]m f0 to 1B 2 999 999 40 999 D 3 0 1.1 so m m m m Ow m.eam 26] 301,]D0 ft33.550 m ] B 999 8% 25 099 D 10 0.1 f1.i15 m H12] m m m.m.00m 266 3,IO"s moss Is ] 9 , 999 B% 25 9% D 10 0.1 m.m9 m so.1 m m m.m5mm 902 $I.."s f2r'- m s 14 2 099 B% 20 D 3 10 It., m m m m m m.m 5t0m .3 3169,200 s,t - m B 17 2 999 B99 >5 9m O 10 a., m so m m m DSam S]OD 2m f19],900 12%.850 m T 5 2 999 9s9 zs Bm D m 0.1 Sm.mB m fm.9so m m mam 56mt 226 Stw,]m ftss..m m s ] 2 890 9% 13 899 D ,0 0.1 35},m1 m f52D31 m m tl5.mwlm 31B 355,9m SSB]m m 5 B 999 s99 15 999 D t0 0.l 31T G18 so IW BB a}tQl I10 Se>'..m 313: m 8 11 999 899 JO P39 D 10 0.1 fa m m m m �4admrfsi 211 1114.4m f,r,qD m ,2 1. 999 999 so qU D 10 0.1 so m m m m rKai 216 31m,9m ft6]350 m ,t 1] , 999 999 as 9m D 3 f0 0.1 m m m m m I15.m118000 n0 S1z5.Om S,B15m m T 10 2 899 B99 25 p t0 0.1 m m m m 0t 2]m+ no $131,2m f+96.Bm m 9 1. 2 255 290 35 9B9 D J ,o 0., Is m m m m aSa OT dDp 2,5 3139.tm S}Ja.650 m 10 12 2 999 899 .0 9m D ] 10 0.1 m m m m m m9mmmo 214 311.,.m i1T1."T m 10 12 t 999 999 .0 9m D 3 10 0.1 m m m m BYI O}OFmO 2I2 111],)00 s,Te.Sm m 11 15 99s 999 t5 D 10 o.t m m m m m m90l dam 213 313e.Tm SAB.O50 Is 13 to 999 Cos 50 999 D ,0 0.1 m m m m m Omm19m0 2w $170.1 so I-.."T m IO 1. 999 B% .0 D ] 10 0.1 m m m m m m9m2mm 202 $9.,9m f,31.3m m 999 099 m e99 IT 10 0.1 Is m m m m 059 Dar® 20] 599,2m 11.9.Bm m 1. 16 m9 ms So sm D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m_a521am 2w $114,4m $1TI,6m Is 15 15 t 999 9m m 9m D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m a59mia- 205 S1.1,Dm 32D,Sm m t0 f0 2 B99 9% .0 D 3 10 0.1 m m Is m DO m9mnlp0 9f9 3205,1m 1312.1. m 11 1B , 099 B99 65 m9 D 3 t0 o.f m m m m m wad 2aam 208 551,000 'To"s m S s 1 099 m 15 9m D 3 10 0.1 d9m D000 2Lp f31,"s STBSm m 5 8 1 999 899 15 • 999 0 ] 10 0.1i91.m9 m m-.4 20] st1..lW $111, m T 9 1 999 899 zs 9m D 3 fo 0.1 f5.ne m i5.1r6 m m 059m36mo 2% 3123.3m LIw,D50 m B to 1 B99 999 ]s 999 D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m urpvoAn 282 351,100 sa5.650 m B 12 1 170 200 3o 9m D 3 10 0.1 m so m m m stJ].em 11,11,2111 m nn,:re m m DENtEOaiED f4N SETMCR aCNVE P51aM£ OWE _EOR DINE OB SNIDCTIITe: BLt1tIEAD MNN BEFORE sETEa B TLE MKIE RIl etEPO ST-E RERAG VaL RERACE GBOLND BOOR LUMPGE DBTPNCE PSTPNCE 10 oLLI-D OF EI,i TOE EL TOF Et. BEBCN _ _ �NPSDOI,NTEO VXt_E OG _ SECOLK LOi IONO DSRVL •lY}N,EN15 COST BEGINS IRI IFT IFT IFTI lea Nde la _ _ _ __ __._O'T,NGVDI_(R Ir%p STGRY 1 I 1 IFT NGVD) IFT NGVoI SLOVE CWiuL WMaGE EROSiW DAMPGE INLNDBTION MMAGE VMVE D4MAGE BLlN1EaO MMBGE 054 of 1- 277 368.sm 51m 1m m 11 16 295 ]40 45 999 D t0 0.1 m m SO m m OS4w fmm 276 Sos.600 I—- m 11 19 I1199 99s 45 D ] to 0.1 m so som m 1Y 014400 2l5 Slo.500 "I". m 15 17 1999 9B9 50 D09 ] 10 0., m m so m m m1- 269 3110,m0 52551m m 10 1B 1899 009 I. Ds IO O1 So m So m m4m- 27. Sss,200 fI.eom m 10 13 1 m 999 do D 10 0.1 som m So so f5 T4_ I" m1,700 S1}I.Sm so to 13 1 40 80 40 D ] 10 0.1 to m So m 197 381.700 s ,sw m to 12 1 1. 2m 40 SDn O ] to 01 m m m m m OSI wa4d00 Is. $114.4m f+)t o7A m to 14 1 IN 200 d0 D J to o.t to so m m m mdwf1G0011 +s9 312s,1m Is.Sm m 12 ,5 1 170 220 50 D1 10 0.1 SO m to m m 236.1 3162.em 11112m m11 8 I65 1t0 45 999 3 to of so so som m m.wlvdm 236 3171.Sm 1- m to lx 1 60 120 40 99n D J 10 0.1 m m m m m m4wIIDP31 23. 5116,100 Sllsow so B 11 1 70 1m ]0 9DD D1 10 O.t l m m m m m 15.M 1ttQ1 2" m1]00 5132•vm so 11 12 1 m im 45 _ O 10 01 so m m m 1Nw111u1 213 1:11m sNl1N1 10 IS IRO 221 40 D 10 ool m m 245 S,OS,Bm m 11 IS ) 14o 185 45 3 10 0 Il m m m 2. 3143,7m s2+s-" m ,I 1] 115 160 45 D l 10 0.1 so m m m m 218 3146.Im s219.tm f0 10 f4 150 190 40 9sD D 10 0., m m m m m - (5.w1 tn1 251 SJd9,1100 f$235m m 10 IB } im 2m 4p D 10 of s0 m m m m 1Nw11f1L 252 $14B.dm so 10 18 lto ,m 40 D ] 10 Is m m m m m m.w lmm 25J SJto,Bm H65.1[D m 10 1J J IJO' Il0 40 D 10 0.1 m m m m o5.w 210m 251 St 19.1m 11195m m e I2 } 1b 170 )0 sm D 10 0.1 m m m m m w 2Am 255 H59,dm tYD.1m m 1 14 1]5 Im n D 10 0.t m m m m m mow 7Y[IO 2% S2 .20o SSm.3m m B 18 } 155 lm 35 D 3 10 0.1 so m m m m m.w 2.Om 2" 31 t0,No sI'- m 7 14 113 Im 21 o 3 10 o.t m fo m m m 15.w 1IOm 259 $51,000 1765m m 10 1) 210 250 40 9m O 10 0.1 m m m m m OS.w 2)om 261 $54.Om m10O0 So e 11 235 265 30 s9D D 10 0.1 m m m m m 15aw 2111m 260 -562.B00 sw.2m m e 9 2so 32o So 99D D ] 10 0.1 AJm m Sss3 t m m 154w 1(Go 2B8 581,100 S123.5m so 10 12 m 998 40 DT D ] 10 0.1 m m m m m o54w]+mn 263 SH6,100 WI9.+So So a 12 215 250 Is eX D 3 to 0.1 m m m m m Dsaw1]O00 x65 S162,NO flH.%10 m e IB zIs 211 ]0 O ] 10 0.1 m m m m m m.w3wm No S1]6.Im -190 m B 11 1 245 2W 19 O 3 10 0.l m m m m m Ds.w Sl000 9m 31III OW S2t0.® m 10 is tm 2m M 899 o ] 10 0.1 So m m so m 05.050}PA 25T 5111,1m Hm.650 m 8 14 280 2m 20 D 3 10 0.1 m m m m 15405osm3 ]50 3201,]00 Sm,.PA m e 1B , Bs9 B99 )0 99s D l 10 0.1 m m m m m ISdm tOmo 249 579.9m S118Sm m e 7 1 300 Sb >D sm D ] 10 0.1 H.3t1 m H.311 m m �m 11800 247 599.B00 H4DIm m o 11 1 310 3]0 20 999 D ] 10 U.1 m m m m m 0s4 m,xPn 24d 71TB,TOo f}BS.Om m e 14 2 989 s99 A D J 10 0.1 m m so m o54 m+]Dm 242 $375.900 SSq.am m 4 13 ] 899 B99 10 Bm D ) to 0.1 m m m m m m.m 140o0 240 3108,sm Ste33m m e B BB9 899 30 999 0 10 0.1 35.tlSl m LS.BeI m m 054m 1500D 238 5168.Om $2m.® m e 14 2 Mm Mm 20 D99 D 3 10 0.l m m m m m O54m lmm 237 3r8.500 ftt72m m 8 11 1 9B9 BB9 ]5 D io O.t m m m m m m105 t1n0o 21 1114,TOo 5113.K21 m 5 I] Mm Mm 15 BD9 D 3 10 o.i m m m m m o54 p518m0 23) 383.5m St25.25) m It 1J 899 988 4s D 0 10 0.1 m m m m m OS.O6,BDDo 2]2 S]e." f117,7so m 12 14 BBB 99B 50 m9 D t0 0.1 m m m m m 05465]® 901 3114.40o t111,® m 8 9 1 989 99s 2D D 3 fl 0.1 .1.1 m m,1Bt m m Rwm 2- 231 7258.NO S]B1.em So e 6 1 No B99 20 D J 10 0.1 -7..2 m SSR,65} to m o].m}aoOO sm 3131,300 Heo.sso So 7 IS SoloB99 25 10 0.1 so m m m m ¢i4 m25om m5 5162.6m f .- m 5 13 m999 15 D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m m4 m 2Bm0 225 7104,1m 5158,1m m B 9 1 999 8BB 30 s99 D 10 0.1 55."I m f8m4 m m Idm 2-1 Wo 5126.400 SI.- m T B 2 No 999 25 9m D J 10 III m519 m -1s m m 227 Slw,1m Stsn.l5n m 5 B 2 88s 9" 15 9 J D ] 10 0.1 Hs551 m 5,9.551 m m 15.m]Jlm 23B 569.700 s,.oW m 10 IS 899 999 40 - D ] 10 It m m m m m M4WJS0D 2. $171.e00 12si too m 15 17 1 999 999 50 9D9 D 3 10 0.1 So m m m m 15+m xcm gel $1w.]00 5+56.m m 10 12 2 999 999 d0 9AA D ] f0 Is m m m m m Os.m4mn1 283 H22,em 54N 300 m 17 18 2 m 999 50 x'9 D 3 to 0.1 So m m m m 15.C6.Jm1 Zed 37e.500 ft,r.im m 10 12 999 999 40 O ] 10 0.1 m m m m m OHm46m] 287 3f65,500 f}18.Iso m 12 IS 989 999 50 D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m 115.m IND 921 5100,200 SSm.]I111 m to 1. 2 No 999 do - D 10 0.1 m m m m 054m- 267 $81.700 5112.550 m 7 B 999 999 25 D 1 10 o.t fdAll m S 14 m m m4mdmm 2m $ 120,m0 SIBO.OW m 1 B 999 999 25 9D9 D 3 10 0.1 76.46J m f5.483 m m 054055® 9m 3180,Too .11.KU m 6 14 2 999 999 20 D l0 0.1 m m m m m 54 OS S,om m3 $1..200 SSS].6m m 9 17 } 9B9 698 s5 999 O 3 10 Is m m m so m O3.m- 230 3197,9m s2%Bso m 7 e 2 8B9 999 25 999 D 3 w o.l f1r+78 m .1.116 m m -osswo, 226 31w.3m f+56.50 m s 7 2 899 99B 15 D 10 0.l f11,.Is m � 111..To m m pS.m OIPD 218 X.No _3m m 5 e B99 999 IS 99D D 3 10 0A .1127 m 121,1}1 m m mdmmom 21B $eT,400 H31,1m so 8 it Bs9 999 30 D90 D 3 f0 0.1 m m m m OS1.0- 217 5114,400 Vll,wo So 12 14 9m mm 50 D 3 f0 1.1 m m m m m m.mo40m 21B SIOB,900 ft6].JSo m tt +J B39 999 45 D 3 io U.1 m m m m m Vi.mos® 220 3125.000 itel.5m m ] +O } B99 998 25 0 10 0.1 m m m m m oSD of}Sm+ m0 3,31,20o StmBm m e 14 2 255 290 35 o t0 0.1 m m m m SO OS9m 010m 215 $ 159.100 SIDS.w SO to 12 2 No BBB 4o Bm D ] 10 O.1 m m m m f0 OYlmm® 214 $114,400 ft7l.m0 m 10 +2 1 s39 s89 40 s99 o to 0,1 m m m m So msm O.Om 212 3111,700 s to.s5o m 11 is 89B s99 45 099 O 3 10 0.1 m m m m m mom o.m0 213 31]B.T00 SNIS.Om m 1s +e 899 999 50 899 0 3 to 0.1 m m m m m o590'i R0m 2 3170,IN f255.tm m 10 14 s99 B93Bm d0 mo D 3 to 0.1 so, m m m m o5Dm 30o0D 2m01B4 3 ,o0o 350 s117. m 14 1e mm m 9m O 10 0., m m m so m OYJm'I- 2m 389,200 S1.- m 14 18 1 9B8 98B 50 PA D 3 10 0.1 m m m m m m 2mm 2w S+t4d00 Stlt cm m is to 1 BBs 99s so O 10 0.1 m m m m m f500534® 2. 5101,000 52145m m 1O 10 : BBB 899 40 0 3 10 0.1 m m m m m m9m22D1n 919 Woo*,00 m121m m 1+ 18 s99 999 Is BLB o 3 10 0.1 m m m m m wf ws3ooD 20e Ssl.- sle5O0 m 5 9 999 s99 is 4F o 3 10 0.1 SIR,Iw m f1321oe m m 059w1Jd0O 209 Ssl,oW S16.sm m 5 Is s80 oss. +s D J 10 0.1 S,m,i6B m Sim,Io0 m m 059m)SO1p 2m $ 114,4m f171.mo m I, B 999 BBs 25 IN O 10 0.1 m.I., m m.1B1 m m m9m25m0 IW 3123,](p f1648•.Ib m B IO 1 998 899 >5 9m D ] 10 Is m m m m un�no.n 262 357,1W so"-_ so 8 Ix f 170 2m >W 999 D 3 10 0.1 m m So m m -Ns I,- m Sl-.5o8 m m Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 7 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) FIRST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data (Interest rate= 7.00% Mean AvgAvg.Storm 85.00 Large Storm Number of Strucutres IPeriod of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.54 2.86 Avg.Dep.Replacemnt Value $133.805 Sid Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 4.00 4.00 Total Dep.Replacement Value $11,373,400 Std Dev.of Long Tenn Erosion Rate 0.20 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long tens erosion taken from average of sections 28-66 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transact F23 for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdev=0.5) (accretion) rosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVDj) Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1991 8.00 915 U �` Z 'M 9.42 9.13 0 0.93 2 1992 9.00 -030 ', 386 13.08 8.70 0 0.87 3 1993 5.80r x€ 0 10 j � 918:, 22.26 5.90 0 0.82 4 1994 6.90 006 7 29.81 6.96 0 0.76 5 1995 6.90 -014 14y 28.67 6.76 0 0.71 6 1965 7.10 016 612 22.55 7.26 0 0.67 7 1986 5.80 0 58 5 28 27.83 6.38 0 0.62 8 1987 6.30 r 0 05 tl 63 28.46 6.35 0 0.58 9 1988 6.90 €) ' 032 r (f77 27.69 7.22 0 0.54 10 1989 6.00 f -0 28 7 26 35.45 5.72 0 0.51 1 R7WO.WK4 12/22/98 YEAR I-FMT 5 BIG-Elm— Z :1 11;M :11Z 11 x 11= 2-1 nl: D 1 10 01 D 2 DD I ID 1� :11 21 1 1 2 :1. 2s :21 naem ITT— :11 eac D 11 1 2 .cs2 2 21 1. ::2 1 22 2 1 2 I D' 22.1 2 "12Z I *o: DD I D. ITT *1 YEAR 2-FIRST 9 BIG ER— FTI 1 ,, D —T-- r.A :1 I IEI 1: 01 Ml I :1. 12 11, 1. 41: .11.1m .1 1 .0 I Ll :1 us 1: 1:1111.1Z 12. lw �11 2 ow o :2 31 21- 41: _X 2-. 1 1 3 IXZ I"I, 12. WW .0 11 1: 0 Z 13 �D 1: E' D D I 1 :0 3 YEAR 3 FIRST 5 BIG —PM R.NMD CRUMEC RU —T- 10 oo. na al nsaw is is 30 SO 35 so so 10 oo 10 �l :0. 01. 10. lw IN :11 3 00 I E lw "W 10 3 21: IN I W :10 o I IE: W IE lE: I E: 12 1 1 01.0 t De.«Eal.,eD Y«tE,e.c. .c,�e Da,..� r� ream-smsreeia - s,mnwe --- EEen.,Dr rnc, �e,ucwi ir,nowt eEoxann ,oEa rmE, _�_f T b b tf eYo �i„5o b A o,E5 S,RmD b b A IS D♦E b Al t1,1N0 7y . A IT 10 ® t,tlem A t,Ee.aw .1 2 21. � ® b lw lw ] A ® b W ® b ttiti..�oo a .1 3t t YEARS-FIRSTSBIG ---[T7 -vf T 7. iai. s-no -is 32 aam ss IN IN 1. 12 21, 2 D, 12 12 2 11 10 -112 12 :12 "2 12 -12 12 2 "1- lw 11.1 2 2 1 m en "I Y. ten 2 '2 12 12 12 1,. 2 1 12 11 1: "1 12 1. 00 32 DO w ..... YEARS-FIRST6BIG ca, -STEL srxwwE —A.rgx�.,- K= 1. 1�1 rl 5aff 211 1111 1 1:= I I 31 *1 1" 11 10 1. 0. 1 2 Ill 11 1 "w lw ss D I .0 3 10 01 11 lw 1. In 1. 1 0* 1. .1 .3 12. '2 �2; I 1 .1 2:1 N. 11 1 00 IfllfiXO 30 SD :1. 0 2 3 112.11 D ;3E 13 3 .0 12 ;1 T .0 31 W lw YEAR7-FIRST-5 BIG" on MAP41il 6 -TIW T�r ,T r .0 0** I IE: 2; 2 10 2 111 11 0 2: 2; 12 10 1, 3 1 21 0. 2� 15 "1 I'll 2; 11 113 I 2 I 1 12 2: 1 11: 12 11 ;2 1. 2: 2 1* 2: 21 2: 1: 1. 211 w 12 1 11 2 1 12 :1 2: .1-101 00 2 0: 2: wyaw :1 1" 2 2: WW ;2 1" 00 1 1.2 1 1ea .: T 7:12 2 2.1 3 2 2; :2 2 11 2 11" 21" 2 11 1 2 IE: 1. 00 1 I to 0. YEAR I-FrRST 5 B* wu—cu 2 11 1.2 2— .1 IZ 2 1 2. I= 112: 11 :1 0 11.1 10. 110 00 2: ES Fs b 1. 00 2 IEI 1. ol 21 1:1. 11 1 1 1 1 .0 0: 2: 0 1 2 12 IE E. .0 2 :2 00 2: 101 11 1 2 1 :1�10 1. 11: 1010 2 2 2: *1 loo 1. 12 1* 11 10 21" 12 2 11 1. 2 '2 2 .0 00 1 2.. :0 12 1 1 12 T. 21" 11" W 11 11 1: 1 I., III IT 211 1 2: ol 1 2 E: -1Inee2 .1 1. ol: 1.1. -2.: .1 .1. "2 1121.7 00 YEAR F-FIRSTFBIG I..w amoao wmErn I I_� w ol ® 12 ]1Es ]its 21. 21. 21. 12 ]So ® ]Ss fl]s mo ® p Tm A t s m ]vEs b �® s Ho ] � W ] 12tt]M p12 ]m WW tlel5b m ] fa 1S m m ]ss ]5 m I] 60D Pa ; ]i o m b ron a® fla�]I ]s uem t ue�]I 31 uNnan 09] ft5l.lm tW n m e ]] 1 Im ]00 ]0 ess 0 ] 10 1]IT x0 ]169 T.m 10 12 a.e m eo 00 ]e oo m YEAR 10-FIRST 5 810 .&wT.&7,1 .mao— ens, -w r IR- --I..F- MM V��M JT�=T— DAIA� STRMIM R-1 —F I I D I 2 2 1 no xr es XZ 11 Z :71 1 2; 1 I 211 1 1 2; lw ma lw 21 1 15 :1. Ill: 2 1 D I 2" 5; D I lw .1 :Zl Z 13 '21 3 1111,17. ol GERREanrEo MN ssI- A- nST N OAsaE oAr+E oR o1s+E ON i SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-FIRSTS BIG SiRILIIAE &AgERD BEFORE SEI- RR IE 510RELINE BIAN}EnD 0(Le1EFD &M1gEAD SIRUNriE "TR CVAL REGUGE GROUND BOOR DAMAGE DSTA OSfANCE iO BlAtOEAO OF BLIfF IOE EL OR,l B .l PRESENT VALAE OF 1 SEC BII IO_T_ 10 NO DsR • MNITS ODSi (R NGVD) (FT NGVDI STORT BEGINS FT) IRI (FT) IR) peeN 041 (FT N Q (FT NGVDI ROPE ROTIAL MMAGE ERDSIONDAMAGE INUIINTION DAMAGE WAVEDAMAGE BLLIOEAD DAMAGE ... _ - .1. 1 295 J.0 .5 99D D J 10 .I _ _OL 011801'.0 irr SOB.5a0 Stm,iw � w� It m..01+9Dm }rR f89.fm 51N.am m I 1 1. 1 m9 9m .5 9B9 D 3 l0 01 m m m m m.O1}rg00 n5 f1t1,)m W 11 11 1 Bm Bm So ] w m m w m.nt xtl110o 2m f110.im f155.tw m 10 1. 1 BBB 9m 40 9'A D 1. w m w m m.w xmD 2>0 1.1. .9.mD w 12 1 999 Bm .0 9m D w m m m w lnawmm +m ..1. sln.ssD m +] 1 W w .o 0 oI w m w m m 11 7. Wf Tm Sf22550 m 12 1 Iw zoo .o o Ot m m w m w v,Du IBx w 1 Im zw. .a D J 1. 1 m w w m mauaFAlq 7. St]�.Fl 1 0 q 1 To RO m 9m D ] 10 a1 2 m m m u12- 12-1 Ill 1 m Ro .5 999 D ] w m m m w m.wmrm xm s2sa 9sD m n 1 110m5r5w...ww AI Il f111m0 w Ie 1 )m0 1. J D1 -22ww4 w Amu 211 c tw 15 Dm1- 2.J f16.1w +o +J Ism 11. D J w wmmm wmww 12® 1. mmDlas....awww lti1erO9mBD 2m12 fwl.1eD,.emm suu,.}m 15 2 1. 1" w ...SD 9w DO 1 S19,2wmw wmmmmm wwmwwwm sfD592.2nmm}. m i+ 11 .s m m-1 2.s 11 im 2 1 mw1- 211 fw.A. 1.3,- so +1 1e tmm 2 J) w w w m2m w I w Iw0 Im a0 D w 2 o mw} 25 w 12 r w os 1 1w x5mw22 2m D 210 .I= Sm 2 I>ss w mwwmm0 wmwmmmmm as s99 D ] w w w m m -12- 2W f11&9m S+m 10' so t t]S tw 25 9w D ] O1 Smn. So w Sm.n. m mww_ I.Oww310o0 2m WI.- ST&m m 10 13 21a xw ao o J m D Dwnm 2 2 D 1 mD 9 t 2]w ]p slr.mwr mw mm s12mwr mw w fn.1.e m n3,1.8 m m m.w]mm Im Wl,im f1225m w 10 12 1 Bm Bm .0 D Io w m m m W as.w JlDm }m ft.&+m f}191m w B 1} 1 215 250 JS D 10 m w m m s+92em S241,2m m 1 2.5 2 15 D ] 10 O1 f5].]2] m W.n] W maw]aBoo su1 SIw.1m sp..1m m z xu 2w Js o ] +o oI m w m m W m.wn® mr 1" s21.,- w 10 1e I Iw No A) BA D ] Io m w m m m m.mmOm 25r $111.IW ftm m0 w e 1. 1 2w 2m 70 999 D ]mmmm.a.a mmmm ml11m21mm0mmus 2Nm spf>91..,imDB0 sm+.sw m eB +sB t1 B]B0B0 D 1 0 O mw mw o 1 SIMmme wf+1m w m mmm mwm wmW m2nB f. 2u n. vm 20 mm 999 D Ot m w w m m -1:- 112 wrlmo -- m . 11 1 m9m 1V 319 D ] O1 m m m w w 0wm1.m0 2m fIOB.Bm f+mm0 w I m mw 999 D ] 01 Sb.1. m fm.t]8 m w -m_ 2W fImWO ns- m 1. 2 mB IMI 20 999 D ] m m w m w -1 1- }]r IT- s+1r." w s 11 1 Bm m25 0 10 W w m m m Owm o- 2]. fllvm s112,U w 5 1] 1 Bm BBB 15 D 1D w m m w w Dslm I- 2]] sm.5W s125.xso w II 1] t BBB BBB .s 9s9 D 1 01 m m m m m IN 1- 212 11e.5m S11T.>m w 12 1 1 9m Bm 50 999 D m m m w w m.mxmoD wI s1µ.m slrl mo w a B 1 s99 BBB zo 9m o J to D1 s.2+m w s.z+To w w Wm}}am f}SB lIII w e 1 9m 899 20 D ] L9i,}m H9I2m m m FNm 2.Dm 9w S+JI,YSI 11- NI r 11 1 9m 9m zs D3 w w w m 0wm2- 9m ftax.em S}..xw w 5 13 1 9m Bm 15 D m m m w w 1a.m 2FaR1 ns s1w 1m s+5a.1m So e e t BBB BBB zo 999 D ] 01 mew? m sW aBr m m mam2eml OOa s12- stm9m m 2 Bm 9m 25 9w o ] :s..m m n...m m m m.m12m0 227 SIN- S1fe.1m m 5 2 Bm 9m IS 999 D J ID 01 m2.599 w fnZ w w m.mJJOm 228 W&rm f1m.m0 w 10 IJ 1 m9m m mD ] f0 O1 w m w m m ml m- 2m s111. s251.rm w Is 2 BBB m50 sm D J Io D1 w m m w m m.mas® 2e1 $1w]m .1. m 10 1x 2 m9 BBB .o B99 D ] ID D+ W m m m w o51 m.-I 2m f.22.m0 WN.2m w ti 18 2 B99 999 50 999 D ] 10 O1 w w w w w O51 w4 l 2N S)&Sm SIl),rm m to 12 1 m mW 999 D ] 10 01 m W m m w OLm.mm 28 1 S1m 5m u)I'm w 12 11 1 9 50 999 D ] 10 01 w w m w w m.maram m1 1- m XD smo.]m m 2 .9 B99 9Bem m 9eB D ] +D B+ w m m m m.m.um p1 W1rm s1]2.- w +r 1 s9e Bm 25 99B o ] o5.mm a5m®m em wrm ms o +DD o 2m sl B 25 fl + ssmu..2+21r+ mm sswu.,21n11 mm mm S2I!Om m e 2 Bm Bm 20 0 ] m m W w m m.m5lpm 9m si&9}m fY..Om m B I 2 m Bm 35 6w D ] O1 w w m m m O5.m5mm 2b f19r,000 S2m.0w m ) e 2 Bm m9 25 B49 D ] O1 W1,9n w W1,m2 w m m.mS 2p Siw,- Slm..m w 5 1 2 BBB m15 eAn D t0 SrB.mt m f1a,m1 m w mlmw® 219 150.Om SW.mO w s e 1 Bm Bm 15 me D ] O1 Sm.1p m -1. w m m.m OxOm I1B Wr,am f1]1,1m m e 11 1 mm Bm w Sm D 3 w w w w so m.m® x11 sll.mn sn1.mD m u I B99 Bm 50 9s9 D ] oI m m m m m.wl2aom z+e s1m Bm s+m&m m +1 1] I Bm Bm .5 mB o J 1D o1 I. sa m m m m Omm }p SIYwmD mmm9990m1 O21tmID01 B2}05 s1'b.tm n]e.eso W B 25 ftI m m mw1. mm emmw16 31]I.m f+5m m . 2 255 m ] 2 2 m m mWmm 21 m 10 1n 1m B .0 o ] w mw 212 f+1)m wmmw wmmm S1)B.Sm m 11 15 1 m m .5 Bm D ] f0 01 w m W w W PAm01® 21] Sf]e.Im S2(10.Om W IS le 1 Bm Bm 50 899 D ] 01 w m W W m -.1- p1 S1l0.lw S}55,1w w 10 1. 1 Bm Bm .0 899 D 10 w w m m m _.Mo, xm W..em f12r.]50 W 14 18 1 m mw 999 D ] to w m w w m -m- m f98.2fu ft.&Bm - W 1. 1. 1 Bm Bm w D ] +0 01 w m m m m m9m2pa0 2w ftl.,.m f1)t.em w 15 le 1 m9 Bm w o +0 01 w w W m m m9m l.Om 216 t1.Lm0 1.5m m 111 10 2 m9 999 W D J m m. w w m m9m]20m 9+9 n0&tm +2 w 1m 11 1B 1 Bm Bm .5 m0 D mOm} }m W1,Om 65m m SS m f0 O1 ] mm2m Sr w {111.1m1] mm wm m s 9 1 599 Bm 15 9m D ] 10 s11f.1f] m f111.1m m w m9 1 25nm p1 111..m sIlI mD w e 1 899 m25 9m O ] 10 IKflm Halm }m St}]ml sl_ w 10 1 9m ml5 D 10 01 To m m5,1 m w wv.mwn - Is,1011 SB5.55U w B 1} 1 1r0 2w w 999 D J 10 fIB.)m w m f1&1m w 11,5w.lm w 51,2.B.m f255.61r m [EPT+FpnTO. ud 6ETMG. ACTIVE Till— 0- pA+E cw IJlJ1E on SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-FIRST 5 BIG SIRUOTIAE BIAIIFEAp 1WN BEiOIE SEiBAbc RiOF1lE SFOREUNE BI..IpEAp BIIJ<FEAD BULNFEAD t .. ST-E NERAO VAL. REFUGE GHOlJ10 ft.WB MIDGE DSTA- DSTANGE TO BI.IOEAD 01 UWF SmOmE5aC2amn MMBt1 L21dtNamm OmL0mmO0 i iDlq x»:2+)mO)]os1 ssSfmlfi)eeIt aSl1mmmsl sSf+1+O�22xrx}..6S>mmm mmmm � I12x 1I 9BmmW S9amo a.s0 99mm NG BFA -1 •OINS (IT NVC (FT NGD) St01xv BG (FTI IFT) (IT) in. SeMIA) toOVO) _SOD ClbilAI-GE OON _mm ll1t2II-lSDDTIRM}I EMD V-ALImmmEE OL WV-_a.._mm-dl_-.D_M...OAGE_ fmmIDIDm01m si zes D +0 O1 1 D ] f0 01, D 10 m m m -0 -.1W m 5 1»B mm9 dW0 D m B D m 'll 1 1b m0 C0 +0 I 300 40 D 3 10 ID m m m m f1116m m 1p 1 1W 2m dD 9m D mpseawwpm0 +m 5129. d5 D J 10)m ID 12 1B5 70 220 50 D 1.1 s1B2,m 3234,n 1m1 0m1m 10 20 mmIDm mIDmm mmmm IDIDm mIDmm . 40 mAd D.1000 1m SII6,)m 31IS.Dm ID 6 1 ]0 1m m J Sslrm m m Sb.1ST m maM i6p00 }31 IDt)m S12}550 m 1} 1 55 Im d5 9m D ] m m ID ID m S+B1,Im SN.mp SO 1 Im 220 d0 D m ID m m IAaM 11p0 IAS StmBm St511.1m ID 15 2 IQ 1.5 dS D J Ot ID m m ID SO -111]OOp 21 Stb.]m 321555D m 11 3 1 111 1W d5 D m m m ID m INM+<000 }b Stb.lm f]19.tm m m IW 1W b m9 D ] Ill 01 m m m m m1w+50m }51 -Z -35m ID 1D IE 2 IW 2m d0 D ID m m m msw llOm }5} f1nB.nm S}}].aD ID iD tB 1 IID IW m m9 p ] 10 01 ID m ID m m maw tam 2. m1.- fYb,2ln m 10 3 1m 1)0 40 9m D I 10 ID m m m W mAd 2lpm 21f119.1m 5110.550 ID S] 1 1b 110 m 9m D J 10 SSdBBB m m sN.Bm m (Nw110m x55 f19].Am 1-1. m 1 1A 1 Im 1m 25 9m D 3 10 1 .,IS ID m Sm.»s w mA w1]m0 21 1-- f]00.](10 m B 18 2 155 1W 35 9m D m m m m m mAd}bm 156 5110Jm 3166.J50 ID - 2 1A 1 135 1W 25 Bm D 3 H1.Sm ID ID N1.500 ID Odw»Om 259 f5tpm s)B.Sm ID 10 1] 1 210 250 d0 D a 10 m m m ID m mA.21- xm SSB.DIp ID1.- ID B 1 235 2. W D a O t 320.1m ID m -.250 w mSw210m xm ml.Bm Sw,2m ID B 1B 1 2W J10 m 9m D s2s.1m m f15.b9 ID ID , ¢SIw]®0 1m IDIIm 5122.Sm m 10 12 1 m9 9m b 9m D l 10 m m ID m m m3w3mm 2m Slae,lm p19.1m ID B 12 1 215 ]W 35 9m D J 10 01 ID SO ID m ID mIM m00p IBS E1R Im S2u.2m m B 19 1 Ib M m m9 D J 1p O1 W- m m IDf.D50 m msM]mW 1-1m m B 11 2 2b 2W 15 Bm D 3 1p 01 m SO m m m w ST® m1 51b.1m 521- m 10 1B 1 IW 2m 10 9m D p 10 01 ID ID m ID ID Ill mO x51 s1+Tlm f+6n.650 m e 1A 1 2W zW zo 999 D o+ m m m m m O5im l Ytl TAL Jm tYlt Ofp m e IB I 999 9. ]0 4A D J 1p p+ m m m m m OSAmlmm 2u S]9,m11 f119.B'A m B 9 1 Sm 3m m 9m D 3 10 DI ID3.3m m f]x.]m ID m OSIm 11000 N1 SmBm f1A91W m 1 310 Sm 20 0 ] O1 ID w w m m IY m12m3 211 fIM1m STm.m0 m 6 1] 2 BBB BBB 2D m9 D ] Ot ID m m m ID 051m nppp Nl ID159m SSm.Bm ID 4 J 999 m9 10 D 3 m ID ID m W mAm lA000 xm slm9m s+mr� m s 1 ms ss9 m D su.1+1 m su,112 m m OLm15m0 2. f18B.Dn s252.DA So 3 9m m ]0 m9 D J IO 0+ m m m ID ID OSFm IfgOO 231 5165m $111.1m w B 11 1 Mm9 35 D 3 m m So m m OMm»Om 2. f1u1m s»2.DW ID 5 13 1 m9 Bm 15 D m m ID m ID as.m lam 1m Sm.SW f»5.2m 1] 1 9m 9m AS O t0 m SO m m IAAm t(Om 302 f]3Sm f11r lm m 1] u 1 m9 9m SO D ID ID m m m Owm20® mt Eltdnm m O 9 1 m9 B99 20 m9 D 3 +0 m fA6.Jm ID ID �Am»oo9 131 S}m.6m f]Bi9m m B B 1 mB 9m 20 5m D 3 10 01 S615: m m]S.m9 m ID -.2- WS S131.- 3f96.9m ID I 1S 1 m9 m9 2S O m m So m m m.Mlli Bm 5161.Bm SIs3.Im w 5 1] 1 m9 m9 is o +0 0.1 m m m m ID -.2- }}s Stw.1m 1 1561m ID 9 1 m 999 m 9m D ] u21m m -.1m ID ID m w-I ... f109.6m m 2 mm 25 mD 3 10 01 121.. m 22IiB25 m m .Am J10m }» ftd,lm 315B.fm m 5 2 Bm m15 D mlpm SO mI'- m m IAAm 1t000 21B -.1. 1- m 10 13 1 m mm 9m D 3 10 m ID ID ID w IAA m]IIOlO 1m stllan -7- ID 15 11 2 m m w999 o ] m SIT ID ID m mAmNm 2B1 " .x00 31mnm m t2 2 Om 899 b D m m w m m mAm4=1 1m .2. -.m m 11 1B 2 999 m9 SO o m ID m m m mAmbml 1d f1B,5m f111,rm m 10 12 1 mB 999 d0 D J 10 01 ID ID m m ID mAmbom }BT f1m,Sm s}r6,1m m I2 1S 1 mB B99 SOD 3 O1 ID ID m m m 2Nmu0m mt flm2m SJBo.1m ID 10 1B 2 M 999 40 m0 D 3 10 01 ID So m ID ID mlmbOOl 1m m1.- 3122.5W ID / B 1 9m m9 25 9m 0 3 10 fm.IA1 m Sm.m1 m m mA ma9m] 1m f110.Om 51m.m0 W 1 B i f5B 99B 25 D J f0 O1 Sb.W9 ID MS.Im m m mnm50® ml 2.11m -.Im ID 6 1S 2 mm 99 ]D D a m ID m ID m m•m51m0 Bm f1W2m sY+3.Bm m 11 2 M M35 me D 3 m Oi ID m m ID ID UNm5YD0 230 ft91,9m S2..mo m ] B 2 m m25 mB o 3 tD O1 s12,1' m SII.b} m m OM OS-I - f1M.3m 3158.<50 ID 5 1 1 m9 m9 15 9m D 3 01 f10.mB ID slol.mB m m KNm01ppO 21. 6B.9m SBB.]W ID ] 6 1 999 m9 I5 9m D J O1 Sb.91B ID -11, m ID 05am0}Om 11B fB1,nm s131,1m w B It 1 89D 9m W m9 D 3 l0 O1 ID m m ID ID ndm m000 211 f11.im fOt 6n m 12 M 1 Bm m9 W 9m D m m m m ID IAAmps9m Ill f1m.9W ftm.lEp m 11 13 1 9m m9 46 9m D ] pt ID ID m m m IAA mUB000 Im 3125 m1 f1615m m 1 10 2 9m 9m 25 Bm D 3 10 52.m9 ID u.® m m -012-1 9AI snt,}m II.Km ID 3 u 2 255 2m 35 9m D Ot w m m m m m90101- 215 ftm.tm f2m B5p ID 1p 1} 2 m BB9 m m9 D 3 m m ID m m o59m- 211 Stldlm f111.Bm m 10 q 1 M M do m9 D 3 m ID m m m m,9m 01000 212 $111,M1 s1r6.iSp ID 11 15 1 m9 9m 45 9m D 3 10 m ID ID m ID K6 Ox wom 21S $1Blm w.,m0 m 15 16 1 Bm B99 m B99 D ] 10 O1 ID ID m m m -w 190m Nt fl]O.Im f1551W ID 10 11 1 999 999 M m9 D 3 tD U1 m m ID w ID msm 2mm 2m W,an st21.a50 m 13 IB 1 999 9m W m9 D ] w ID ID m m -2lO0p 2m -m ".- w SA 16 1 Bm Bm m m9 D 3 10 D.1 m m m w m 22m0 Iw m 9m Slid a9 sill, m IS 1B 1 B99 m9 50 D 3 10 01 ID m ID m m -.2- ]05 Sidi,® f]11.5m m 10 10 2 me m9 d0 D 3 10 ID ID ID m m p`Am}Ip6n 919 -J. .11.tm ID 11 19 1 999 999 45 9m O 3 10 O1 m m m ID ID OYJm IYm 2m f5'- s)65W m 5 B 1 m m15 m9 D ] 01 STs2us m f152.u5 ID m Ill 2b- 2m f51.m0 s10.50D m S B 1 999 898 IS D 01 f15}u5 ID f153.W ID ID OS m1.000 }t0 S11n,App SIT, ID 9 1 mm m9 2S SaJ D 10 SS6.d0 m Sb.JW m ID 059m2f-000 Im ftj3,$n $1..- W 10 1 mBB9 35 9m D 3 t0 01 S1.i01 m 33.1. ID ID �cloiowl 1m. SSr,1m faS.fdO m B tx 1 170 m wBm D ] to O1 .1,13 m ID nun m V.-.b6 ID f1,SB6.)61 f}91.]15 m r Southold, New York Benefits Study Reach 7 Without Project Conditions (1 iteration shown) LAST 5 YEARS LARGE STORMS Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Interest rate= 7.00% Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Strucu 85.00 Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Term Erosion Rate(f lyr) 1.54 2.86 Avg.Dep.Replac $133,805 Std Dev.of Long Term Erosion Rate 4.00 4.00 Total Dep.Repla $11,373.400 Maximum Stable Slope 0.20 Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250.00 Content to Structure Value Ratio 0.5 Notes: (1)Shaded cells represent uncertain values(distributions) (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 28-66 for period 1964 to 1998 (3)Used transect F23 for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope (4)D=DUNE, B=BULKHEAD,BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT,F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribtuion Long Term Cumulative At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Without Project for LI Sound Erosion Long Term on Long Island Induced Year Storm Surge Elevation (u=O,stdev=0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) Sound Erosion Present Number Year (ft NGVD) (ft) (ft) (ft) (ft NGVD) _ Distance(ft) Value Factor 1 1985 7.10 " 4 13} 7.98 8.23 0 0.93 2 1986 5.80 0 3t) 8 20 0.22 5.50 0 0.87 3 1987 6.30 , 010435 4.11 6.40 0 0.82 4 1988 6.90 ��, 'z 006 �:� 246� 6.59 6.96 0 0.76 6001989 s 5.86 0 0.715 � 6 1991 8.00 3 '018 17 7.74 8.16 0 0.67 a � , 7 1992 9.00 `-0 58 s 5 20 12.95 9.58 0 0.62 8 1993 5.80 23.96 5.85 0 0.58 9 1994 6.90 (� '0 32 1 d� 25.44 - 7.22 0 0.54 10 1995 6.90 � ,mm 3 �-„ ,.-0 2l3 r�- ,, � 0 17y 25.61 6.62 0 0.51 1 R7WO.WK4 12/22/98 �AR I LAST!BIG 2 X" z12 1.11Z r.11 xo ms xro 41. MIT 2 11 21, Z1. urn 2 1 1 1 2 1 to xx :2 1� 21 11 2 1:: Ll 21 :1 *1 "1 1:21 .1Z I Zl: 21 AAR I LAST 6 BIG ra no 12 NM 11 21 .1 �12 10 *0 12 .15 11 0 11 0 12 YEAR 3 LAST 5 BIG W-EL�iL lZ '.� ,LASTIBIQ IN Z1. 10 :10 "1 01 ol 'El �El NO 1. :0 .0 :1 Z: :1 21 :0 1. 13 "1 2 W ol IZ :1 10 11 2 1112.. 1 10 1 -12 oI coo .01 W Wroam 22 00 11117. l."IrZ 0 YEAR 5 LAST 6 BIG STRM-E ;Zl we u I I I I 121-1 2-1 D I I'ZZ Ml- 21 YEAR6-LASTSBIG —TRMN�.T—TED -aEll 12 S. IE 2 2 12 .2 :1 IN 12 :2 2:1 Ill 1. IN 2M 1. :2 o; D 1 :1 YE: -Z 2 11 IE: ue I ES 21 11 :2 1 12 11 :2 1 1 12 11 :.2 21 1171 1 :2 22 12 :;1111 22 2 .2 :2 1. lw 211 ii:� 2 :'b NO ID �2 2 eAatb '2 '21 12 1* �2 21 1 W 21 1 2 1 10 r EAR sEC PE!�tor nwoWnm E oSPn osP.cErEPwwauwcE*ca+E+Mmv•rrusEe o e�niwu o IariaovoPnvoo l Innu ra•i000+Ma l 6ioPr uewoEP rr•nsxwEm¢iav+IEnE ul mtti+uraiPnlu cP po•PscIarr+•rr+rrtalr E< soranuir+Euryw rta�E o iewv+nrnx„udEs.wlr• I,einw'n emran�aEe o •LAST_6 BIB Paw I K m f irvE urn P�.P� o IPEu ® o; a+; n E E + m u..xm x xm E Edam m m x 7. umsm + nBma a f+ Zo I ID r�PE L n ® +s pr.ew em1 121 11 1. x w a n+am x y ux+n ax ® em ] o7a EL6N +s :.D 12. 12 xss Eso e E .�+�.. xm E.,�m Ens em m e n + +m mo ±a PeP o e �o er res uo nss rem m sP a• m ex 11 52 oEFeEa.,Eo D,.sE,O.�. klbE bB,.eEE wI.F bME BB .. _ YEAR @- --- B,e�,�e0 s,w,wE n[n.c vu eEvuri uam0 none B.urc,0 obl•xcE w,•rcE roeul.wia eDDe.o I' � or ellnF +oE E[ FvIIOIFMI wcE 9UOWFAO SEC p[Eo, Dw BBmw .cwtEx,s Emsl IFlrmDl IFTvowl_81w.__-eEBmslfll IE+I wl ,I Ir r+rlrl If1NLYJ+ Ir,raAl DrFM +or+4 But E[Evt 41rvE 10 wll - __ • __ ,, ___,_ __ _ ,eovEO+ _ -- wvE,1v BE•b+ OU+F oe BUIDI[•D bsl•NCE L� iiiED I sl[[eto0 IBA l •ln _ �� _ - _..._ �. _ _ wF•o I w e•E.n I M'• I iMra�v,. Cfs� u m sn 10 ID lw 10 lw j � oll o, ® xss of Etmw rE4 fo x stu.em E+»xm B.�s nb.lso » ma a u � rn w u xs s ® s ® Es e IT w ul000 a s me w a a n mcuu K A BBB 01 R A BR 0 BBB A C 5411 53l it A S BS wu m u m m �l a cl me m a a a si u Igo axc �lB s M a] � W Bm B� ahx�IBM m m oB cc ov v�wnre,l- �'iallw nBl,l - l "" -ni w,aeo B.c'u iin Awiv' uoly lawn u�i -w,yw�a�.+.R.a mi naum�ol la,ncM _aomv �� M I°`"""l anyalo B,aN aaewmB o,�el NB a,BaB _ ...._.._ .._ _ .._. _. _... ..Mhvtl3_.. avlwNa aviwNB m Na 3w13awS ltnm vTBl3s 3ao,lB la•n T3wNa -- OI8 Y15tl1-Btld31 _� " uoawA ao,xra lxlia lx�•w�a wu• mean ran Bl,•namw YEAR 10-LAST 5 BIG ER R1111 To R IE IE: 12M 1; "'.Z 25 i. 2: 11 2r 1 11: 2: 2:2 2 2 2 0 2-1 211 21 w 12: 11 1. 2 211 2: 2,1 1 2: :2 2: 2 2 2 12=1 .1 2 2 21: -2. 2 2 1 2 2 '1 2: 21. 2 2=1 41. 1:2 2: 21 :TZ 2 2: 1* :2 2nronl: M 21 *1 D 21 2 21 D I 2: 12 1 1. 12EPr>Ea4TED L9N SEi04D( 4crIBE dsT4NDE D1x+E D12+E o0 DuuErn SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-LAST 5 BIG ST01.01LFE Bu1(NE4D -N BEFORE SElB1nt -lE SNOBELINE BUN1EAp Bul(1EBp BUIOEAO STRU)lAE -v4L REPIpOE GROI.Np R- DeWGE DSTA1[£ DST TO BLLN+EAD OF BLIfE TOE EL TOP EL 1- PRESENT VPLI£OF SEOBLILLOT IDNO OSRVL -TENTS CAST IFT NGVDI_ (FT NGW) STONY BEdN51ci1_ _ - GE - - � DM._ _ __. _ _ Ic11_... (FT) ._ ._ (cTl _Ist<Nge(41._.ICT � Iei iJG3'Df SLOPE da T14l 0.nN4GE ERO.ON d1TMGE INLNOCOON MNAGE W4VE MIMOE BIILIOEADD4AUOE ma o+leDuo 2n sm.soo s1a1,1W m 11 +e i 2m - 3W 45 BBB D � lD o1 _m ..... ..._ _ ._. m ma0115® 1I6 m9rim 31p4m W 1 999 Bm 45 Bm D 3 m W W W Is $715m W11 17 1 m9 Bm W 899 D a+ W W W m r/v4O12Bm0 )m 11T0 lm a255.150 W 10 10 1 9m m9 m iMJ9 0 3 1. w W U54 O1] }r0 SP9.1m s+4B.Bm W TO 12 I Bm Bm W B99 D 1 10W m W W W 054p mDO ml,Tm 5112.5m W +D 1] 1 40 W 40 Bm D I TO W m m W W a54wwm3 Wl)m St]1550 m 10 Ix 1 Im 2m m Bm O 3 1. olm m m W W mapmmD 16B f1+4 dm il)t.6m W 1 1m Sm 40 mB D 3 10 olm m W m p armo 199 fix0.100 f1w.5W m 12 Is 1 IM 2x0 m mB D m W W m W mopOldD 2m1 fl6}.Bm S244,2m W11 1. 1 65 110 45 Bm D 3 O1 m m W W W m4pO6m1 21 s1T+.]m f}56.9m W 12 1 W 1z0 40 Bm D 3 W m W W W m4pOmn 239 f11n)m f115.Om W IB 11 1 ID 1m W 9m D 3 +0 O+ f40.0P0 m m SOO.1m m m4p+moD z41 mt.>m f122.5m m 1} i 55 im 45 Bm D 3 10 m W W m mop 11o00 113 f162)m fzo4Om W 10 13 1 1W 22o 40 Bm D 3 1D DI W m m SD M 12m0 }4 Sfm6m 5150.Im m IS 2 1W I0s 45 Bm D m m m W m }4fi f14])m SI155m m +3 1 115 1W ds m9 D 3 1. .1m m W W m 1�SaM+a�dT1 z4B tl4fi.IW E1+8,1W W IU 1 1W 1m 40 9m W m m m m it40 m0 W11 m 2 Im 2m m m D 3 +O O1 W W m m w 1)d41 }s) f1414m sx22.fim m 1 1To Im 4o Bm D 3 m m W W 054 O4 IBml 253 54m.]m m 10 13 2 1m 110 40 Bm D 3 W m W W U54p:tml 2. St I9 ID1 s-'- W 1 12 2 14a 1}0 m m9 D mmoop lln0 }55 51504m f}m.lm W 1 In 25 oil sN5sI9B]71 W W f4T.,W1 m I S .rS] 1. )J Wop2 256 xm im ] m 3 e 4M24® 2sB f++0.9m f165.1`Il m I IJS tm xs BBB O 531140 W W S4 W 054M J)OIO }59 Is- 1r55m W1. 1] 2To 250 40 9m D ] 1. 0l W m m m Ils4p])Om z0+ fw m0 Ifl1,DD W 1 I]5 265 W Bm D J S1B.916 m W f11911 W 054p 2)Om }m S6T.t100 fp2m W 1 290 320 JO 8m O ] 01 s152m m Sts}OD m m Opp]OOm 1. m1,rm f+]2. W 11 1 Bm 9m m 9m D 01 W W m m 151w J1D0 lb flab+m f}19.Im W 19 12 1 x15 250 35 Bm D ] fw.11B m m iL.119 W 054p 1 1 245 3)5 m 9m W).mB fSr,m1 m O54p YfO0 f136.1m S}p.+m W B 2 245 2W 35 9m D J +0 ml.>p m W m1,Ip W Os p3rm0 'ml s1tlm0 W+nmO m 10 11 1 IW 2m 40 m9 D O1 W m m W m4 mom }Sl St lt.Tm SIEG,6m m 6 14 1 2m 2m 20 mD W W W m m mom U.stm 250 f]w.m0 fb1,Bm W Ie 1 899 999 W m +D of m m W W mom lamo 34B f)P.9m fT19.1m W 8 1 J00 ]]0 30 Bm D 3 t0 O1 111; m f19.3M W W m4m1+® }4] fm.BW S149.)m m 1 it 1 310 Sm W m9 D 3 W W W W m mom 1]om }44 f1T0 rm f26B.m0 m 8 14 7 m8 m20 Bm D 10 m W W W m OSo m+]m0 .2 mr5.sm fSW.em m IJ 3 Bm 9m 10 mD 1D 01 W m m W W mom la0m }W fim,900 s16].350 m 8 B I Bm Bm m m9 D J 10 f$1.3$B W f16.J5B W m m 15® 1N 1i6B.Om f}52.m0 m 14 2 mB 9m 20 m8 D J TO O1 m W m m W mom lm0p x]I Sre.Sm ftll)m W I W9 m35 mD ] 10 01 W m m W W mom Dmp xN f114)W f1)3.m0 W 5 IJ 1 9m 809 IS mD 1D nl W m W W W mom lBmO 2m 561.5m s125.x50 m 11 13 1 Bm Sm d5 m9 D 3 W W W W m mlm+Pm 232 IT 65m flt].)m W 12 1 1 mB mm m 9m D 3 IO 01 Op m}OOm mt s1144m 5111.600 m fi B 1 Bm Bm 2a m8 D 3 s27,1m W W.- W W mo m230m 231 fYvB.bm WB),9n1 m 8 8 1 m mB z0 mD 3 O1 w?B+a W 5439.810 W W Ow m24Lm Bp 1131 m0 f1m9W W i IS 1 B89 m9 25 Bm 0 3 10 01 m m m W m Ow m25000 6m S-Z f744.7m m 5 13 1 Bm mB 15 Bm D 3 +0 a+ m m m W m mo.- 225 sip.lm s15SIm m 1 B 1 Bm 9m 20 9m D 0+ f75,188 m m.156 W W m4 m 26m1 BOB sIm- sI..WO So 1 B 2 Bm Bm 25 9m D fIS011 Si0.o11 W W m4m3}Om 2.. $1.A. ST..150 W 5 2 Bm 0B9 Is Bm D 3 to m.5T1 W m.516 m W m4mllam 22. Yd1m 31.- W 10 Is I mB mB 40 899 D ] 10 O1 m W W W m m4m3B1fD 21 5111.6m s2s7,Tm W IS 1) 7 m9 m9 50 6m D 3 +0 m W W W W m4m3mm ie1 5+50.4m W 12 2 Bm m0 40 em D 3 to m W W W m Owm42m+ 1. .12: -1. w 11 2 mB mo 5o 9m D 3 10 W W m W W Os4m4]m1 2B4 V.- S1+),rm W 10 lx 1 BBB Bm W m9 D 3 W W m W W 054m Imm z1) IT.- S}I0.}m W 12 15 1 m9 m9 m Bm D 3 t0 O1 W W m W W m4m4rdp 021 f2m10o f]00]00 W 10 2 Bm em 40 9m D 3 10 O1 W m m W W O51 m4Bm2 x6) .11m f1}2.`.d0 W 1 1B 1 mB m0 25 Bm D 3 t0 f+B.T14 W f19.ti4 W W mom 49pm NA s12D00o S1mm0 W ] f m9 mB 25 m9 D 3 to 01 f2o045 m op5 W W m4m501D0 BO2 fimlm 5211,m0 W to 2 m m 20 mD 3 52W W m W W Om fIW 205 f2'J.6m m 11 2 9m ffA 35 mD J 1a of m m W W m m1 m55sID Im f1Dr.m0 sl: m 1 B 2 m9 Bm 25 m? D 3 tU of W1.91 W Wr.6J2 m W D54m56mT 228 flp3f10 3156.4m W 5 7 2 m9 BBB is 9m D 3 nt f69.954 m S6A854 W W owm0lam f5B.9m 30B.3m m 5 1 m m1s Bm D mr,9p W mIZ m W mommOm 21B f814m sl]I,tm W 0 11 1 8m 999 ]0 999 D 10 01 W m W W W OS4mm000 21r f11440D fD1,6m W 1} 1 999 m9 SO Bm D 3 W m W W W m4mpOm x16 S10R.BW f181.350 f0 11 1] 1 m9 m9 45 Bm D 3 m m m W W 2. f+isam SlBrsm W ) 10 7 9m 9m 35 9m 3 10 o1 fs.521 m m5}4 W m mBoI= 920 1131.2m 31mBm W B 7 25s 200 35 Bm D 3 10 O1 m W m W m mBW010m 215 f1W,1m f23?6W W 10 12 2 Bm m9 m m9 D ] m m W W W m9m 02om 211 f1144m f111,W0 W +0 12 1 Bm mB o0 M D 3 10 01 m m W W W 0`A IT, 212 it1r,)m s1T45W m 11 15 1 mB om 45 mB D IT W W W m W m9 W 04am 213 V.- f2mOW m is 18 1 Bm 6m 50 8m D 3 10 D I W W W m m mPm+Am ml S+m.tm 5255,1m W 1 9m Bm 40 Bm D 3 10 W m m W W m9mx0o00 gal fB4.5m f131.3m' W 10 1 m .m9 50 9m D 3 10 O1 W m m m W m9mx1® xm Sm.1m fT4B W0 m 16 1 Bm 899 m BOB D J m W W Omm33Im xp f1144m S1rlm0 m +5 1B 1 9m m9 so BBB D 3 +0 D1 m W m W W m9mxa000 }OS f141® f]t lSm m 1D 10 ] 999 9m 40 9m D J +0 0+ W m m m W m9m22m0 919 S2m 1m m12.1m W 19 1 9m 6m 45 m D m W m w W m9mz)ml x0B f51® f]6.5m m +5 6 1 Bm mB 15 m9 D S+m,18} m SIm.102 W W OSBmxmm 2m SSt,mo f)6.- m 5 8 1 m9 m9 IS Bm D ] 10 D1 f1m102 m $1m1.2 W m m9m 25000 tar SI14.mp Strt.Em m ) P 1 9m m9 25 Bm D ] 10 O1 f2)60P W 5216m m W 1PflW21vmp 1a fl}3.m0 fiB4.850 m P +0 1 Bm1r0 9m 35 Bm D 3 S103m m f+0]B6 m m unMr4nn x62 SS).1W 505.6m m B I} T 2m W m0 0 .l 10 O1 f}0 mx W m fzD ml m 5+,4mwr m f1,OBJ5W f306,mr m -ATE mN sErena ncnvE psraNCE D.r+E DUNE oN wI+E oN UMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-LAST 5 BIG 9iN11G1lAE BLLeIEAD WVN BEfartE SETBI�IX VRODLE 9aPELINE PLLR1fAD BLLN1EeD BL1lN� - - - ��-- - -� - '' PTNUIUNE 1tEgAC VN. PERACE GNOlSO) BOON M-IE CIIT E pSIRNDE TO PTs.nEAO !)F BLISF IOE EL r EL BFApT Wp500LL1TED VRLLEK S£G BLe LOr In NO pSRVL •WNTENi6 -IT (FI NGYpI IFi NGV01 91ORY BEGINS(FTI (FI) (FIT (Fl) I+le w.e(1) ITT IIGVDI flr-M BONE WTInL M..E ENDS ON MNAGE 1 MT10NM1MGE NaV_M E--BLLkIEADMMFGE Ieid of lBlnu Soo SoI 41m.im w 16 1 295 XsI 45 999 D w so m m mom lnni w 1y 1 ss9 sss as ess D 3 w m so 5 L1 TS 1 991 999 w 111 D 3 so m m c54w i4WSu X,9 u+m f}m lm 10 1 999 899 d0 m9 D m w s0 210 SA:?m fla06o11 w t2 111 m 40 999 D of m w m m w 0541w f430m +m w!>m f132.5m w 10 13 1 10 w d0 B99 J +0 w so m w w 1[dwwl0n 191 w1.1m 5123.Sm m ID 12 1 tw Im 40 999 D 3 +0 OT m m m m m N wmom I1,m0 w ] lw 2m 40 111 D J m SD w m w w 5129>m mwSw w 1} 15 1 1)0 220 w 999 D TD w m m m w S]fiI flmem f2112m So le 1 m 11D Is 999 D 3 Ot m w w m Zm f1Tf.JIn f 9m So 12 1 m 120 m 999 D 3 +0 so w so w w flww09om rig "IT 11 S1T5050 m 1 To Im m B98 10 O1 fm.w1 w so fm.611 241 w1Tm ff22.- so 12 1 S5 Im 15 999 D 3 m w m w m �w IImD 21J fIR.)m f24.- so f0 1J 1 Iw 220 d0 No D J w w m m m w 12mo w5 f+m.6m St58.Tm so 1+ 15 2 Id0 IB.S .5 B99 D f0 m w m w D51w 1]0(IO 216 sll3xm m155w m f] 1 115 1m .s 999 D w w so m m mlw fa000 210 s1a6.tm m18.11 SD To I 1w Im d0 999 D ] +0 01 m m w w m mlw t5m] 25+ m}J 5m w 10 16 2 1m 2m d0 B99 D 3 w m So m m m.w+TmO 252 f119.4m m22m0 so 10 1 110 tw m III D 3 w so w w 2m mto m0 i.TA hIO m 2 130 110 w IN D O1 m w m m m -.2= 1. sn9.xm 5119Sm w 12 2 To I)0 ]0 m D 3 w1,331 m So so l m mdw2]mo 'Y.l s159..m So'loo so 11 1 I im 2s 899 D 3 l0 m So wB6m w m1w 21Tn 2. f2m.2m flm.]m m 2 1s5 190 35 999 D 3 of S75.075 So sT50x5 w m1w N® 2w f110 m0 s1..- m r 1 1 Im 25 999 0 10 s6},]B+ m m Sm.391 w -.I- 25+ Isl Tnp I,.- w To +3 I'll. 25o 40 999 0 01 w s0 So m m mdw2rom I61 Sw.® m_ w e 11 1 235 P65 30 BBB D J l0 01 fm.]TS m w '375 m mow 3]000 2m S6}.em wl xm s0 e 9 2m 320 w 111 0 112,_` so t22.516 m w 1W w]® 2m .I r(n 1121 w 12 1 111 M 40 111 D 3 w m w m m 2m Stw 1m f]IB+w m t2 1 215 2w 35 999 D 10 ff1.]eB m w fs1.)Be m mdw S,000 2m St62 Bm iw4.2m w e 19 1 2.5 2" 30 B99 D m1,5xs m m w1.515 m m.wJmm 9m flm.lm so 1 Im >5 B99 D 3 mT_ w so mime so m4wm® wx Stmom f2Mo00 m To I tw 2m w B99 D 3 10 DI So w m m m OSImB000 25T 5111.+m sI66650 so 1 2w 2w w 111 n 3 0l� w m m mlm-3 ]m Sfi1]m -1.9m m 6 t6 I 999 NO m 999 D 3 of so m m m w mlml®o 249 S19,� fItB,Bw w e B 1 ](10 ]]0 w m D ] f2fl6m w f20.m5 w m Owmt+Om lei ftl9.lm w 6 11 1 310 ]]0 20 B99 D 3 m w w m w 054m 12mo 2u St]E.1m 1-- m 6 +1 2 IN 999 20 m D 3 t0 o 1 w w So m w m1m 1J0o0 211 Ssls No s__ w f] 3 999 999 To 999 D 3 m w w s0 m mom t1m1 2YI i1m 9m f143}0 w e I B99 B99 w 9l9 D SmmT So S39..1 m w m1m 15MI Etmnn m5I1Sn so fi 2 999 BBB zD 999 D to 0+ 'w so m w m Zo5am 10tm }]) S)65m fl+rxm m e f1 1 999 899 35 999 D 3 ID , s0 So m m Im Txpn 2. St ld rm Sn2 QA w s l3 1 Mm mM 15 Mm D 10 D1 w s0 w w w 051m I6® Im Sm.IN f1353w m 11 13 1 Bm IN 45 BBB D ] of so m s0 m m 051m 1mm 231 fie5m 3111.151 So t2 n I m 999 w B99 D ] s0 s0 w so w OSIm Too. ml st 11,Im mrlem w e 1 999 999 20 B99 D 3 511011 So fll,ml m w mom 220m 131 3259.w0 Sm1.- so 8 1 III IN 20 899 D 3 10 01 Sw0.2w So ww.]w m s0 mdm 24om 9w -1.- IT..- w 1 t5 1 998 999 25 999 D 3 10 01 m m m w w mlm2mo0 9m S112.w0 52142m w 5 13 1 999 B99 IS B99 IT 3 10 01 s0 w w w w mIm]Wm W Slw.lm 5156.+w so 8 B 1 998 B99 20 B% D 3 10 0l w1.313 w s31,373 So So "Im2-1 f126,doD f109.600 m 1 9 2 Mm Mm 25 m9 D 3 m3)I6 m m311e s0 m ml os. 121 ftm.tm w 5 6 I IN 999 15 BBB D J 11 f13em So 34D.em w so mI m 1wm 2. SSm.1m .."XI m TJ I N O IN d0 III D 10 D I So s0 w s0 So m1m]® 2w fntem p5>.>m m IS 11 2 999 NO w 999 D 3 10 01 so m m w so o51m390m 2BI f101.]m ff5fi.lw So 10 12 2 M M m 999 D 3 to 01 SO w w w w mlmaml 2m un.- 591.2m w tx 16 2 No 999 w NO D 3 +0 01 m m w So m md.-1 T& fxfl5m f112xw m 10 12 BBB M d0 M D to 01 w W s0 w m ml m 4mm Ie] f+e55m f2.,_ so 12 19 1 899 899 so 999 D 10 01 m So so w m mlmdtom m1 mm.2m mm,3m so 10 16 ] Mm Mm 40 Mm D 3 f0 o1 w m w m s0 m m 4 .1 ml xm IT.sw m e I No B99 25 999 D ] 10 o f M..131 So f29,1)2 s0 m 051m 19pm 266 S1ri1000 Slmmo So 1 B 1 m m 25 9B9 D' ] 10 O1 s13m2 so f1J.m2 m m mlms® N2 ifmim :211,o50 m 6 11 2 IN 999 20 999 D 3 10 01 m w w m m 051m511]A 5110.3¢I. 2m.Bm w B IT 2 B98 BBB BB 3s B D w m s0 m w m1m5]00 2m SI.I.m0 I- s0 1 e 2 m III 25 IN D 3 01 W.6T0 w fM.6]B s0 w KMm56m1 226 S1w.Jm Sls6.am s0 5 r 2 9m B99 IS 998 D 3 0+ 110!ON m i10!o3. s0 So mlmolp0o 21B fSB.No S60.Jm s0 5 1 B99 No 15 NO D 3 1. of wl.me m 113m6 m s0 mom To 21B m24m 5131,1m So It I 98B B99 30 999 D 3 10 of w w s0 so s0 mlmoYm 211 f111,1m sill® m 1} 1 9m NIT w IN O 3 10 m w m m w o5lmoemo 211 flm em mT,3.3.m w tJ 1 999 899 d5 BBB D 3 w s0 w m mlmmpn 2m f125m0 fler.5m w 11 10 2 Mm Mm 25 99B D 3 TO m.er0 w ".To s0 s0 mD.12-1 9m $t31.2m IT.- w 11 2 20 2W m 111 D +0 01 so m so m w os mol® 215 St SB,Tm f2]B.6m w 10 12 2 999 IN 40 999 D 3 10 01 s0 w So m s0 memomm 214 s11...m s111.6m m 12 1 899 B99 40 BBB O 3 m m w m m DS9m O10m 2f1 f11),1m $1r6.55D SD 11 15 1 Mm Mm 45 M_ 0 10 01 m w w m w D59m om'm 2f3 Sl]0.)m mm.Lm w IS 19 I Bm B99 so 899 D ] ID 01 w w m w -.1- .1 f110.+m m%1w w TD 1 111 111 40 999 D ] w so s0 m m mBm 200aI 2m 1w.mo s12TJw' w 1 999 999 50 999 D 3 so m m ' m9m 20Do 2m SB9?tn f+4.- 16 1 III 899 w 111 D 3 10 01 m w w s0 m m}2Lm Iw file<m f1)1.12A m l5 le 1 999 999 so 899 D 3 10 O1 w so m m w nnm2.Om 2m s111 nn L}113m m t0 10 2 899 899 m B99 D 3 l0 m m m m So Owm2H110 mmlm fJ12.fw w� 11 IB I mm 999 15 em D 10 w So m w m mBm2mm 209 ml000 116.Sm w s B 1 939 898 15 899 D 10 01 flm6T6 m Stmo16 m m m9m2]Tm 2m f51pm f1G5m w 5 6 1 999 B99 15 B99 D 10 0+ S1m6To m f1m616 m m mo.2 11x1, so > I 999 899 25 999 0 ] 01 $11.0)1 w 111. m So Dbm2npo 206 f+2].Yq flw,[5o w TO 1 999 BB9 OS B99 D J O1 St66w f10 m1 w m �nkroem ]R m]lm tw fiso m e T2 1 "1 200 30 m D ] +D tV.118 m m 33T.119 w m fl.mtiel w1Bwe m T ' Blxsvwl 11m� Southold,New York Benefits Study Reach 7 Without Project Conditions(1 iteration shown) RANDOM STORMS OVER 10 YEARS Economi Economic Data Erosion&Wave Data Structure Data Flood Stage Data Interest rate= -- 7.00°h Avg.Storm Large Storm Number of Slmculres 85.00 Return Period(Yrs) Freq Stage is(years)= Period of Analysis(years)= 10 Mean Long Tenn Erosion Rate(ft/yr) 1.54 2.86 Avg.Dep.Replacemnl Val $133.805 Sld Dev.of Long Tenn Erosion Rate 4.00 4.00 Total Dep.Replacement V $11.373.400 2 0.5 2.6 Maximum Stable Slope 0.2 10 0.9 7.7 i Maximum Distance from Shoreline for Wave Damage(feet) 250 Content to Structure 50 0.98 9.4 Value.Ralia 0.50 100 0.99 10.4 500 0.998 12.4 Notes: represent unce(1)Shaded calk represent uncertain values(distributions) osion taken fro (2)Long term erosion taken from average of sections 28-66 for period 1964 to 1998 1 F23 for typical(3)Used transect F23 for typical top of bulkhead or dune elevation and beach slope B=BULKHEAD(4)D-DUNE.B=BULKHEAD.BB= BULKHEAD BUT NOT SHOREFRONT.F=BLUFF Normal Without Project Error Tenn Storm Surge Elevation on SF Distribluion Long Term Cumulative - At Dune/Bulkhead Storm Storm Storm Without Project for Ll Sound Erosion Lang Tenn on Long Island Induced Recurrence Year Recurrence Storm Surge Elevation (u=0,stdew-0.5) (accretion) Erosion(accretion) - Sound Erosion Present Interval(yrs) Number Interval(yrs) (6 NGVD) _ (8) (6) (R) (6 NGVDD __-Distance(6) Value Factor 1 r '23W 8.60 ':z A.' § i t ,�f 5.28 9.73 0 0.93 °399yy' z 89} 8 640 8.84 6.10 0 0.87 '(4? 3 a . 14 3.00 x 010°+ 3 6.91 3.10 0 0.82 4 1�} 4.40 4.92 4.46 0 0.76 t2 9 5� 127R9 Teo 014 072; 5.65 7.66 0 0.71 8i vk 4.4 ZI e { 0{6 c n'�9 I 5.94 4.56 0 0.67 a d37r: 7 4 7 B6o Y ose s �gX 7.91 7.18 0 0.62 r 8 $59B` 940 z,y= z' F 005�. �'� 2Q3j 5.89 9.45 0 0.58 a5 36 06.354 11.24 3.92 0 0.54 10 °... S a2 ,Q;y 560 -i �6._-. i .'. ....is4t,...r028,1 L ?4 ,�r020 11.43 5.32 0 0.51 1 R7NU.VVK4 1222198 MSTORMS vow EL 11 10- " o ZZ of 12 Z 1141, 41: 01 21, 21. t cevxEcutfo Ewa*eats �ctrvf asrwa ¢mE owEm oEn+Ew YEAR I-RANDOM STORMS siaucNaE a¢wG0 uanE ar0aF SEiea[a BaOrrtE lmF ',OlmEaa I EPOsgN - — _ _. ..._. _ Buwro e��ao BulwF.0 I�eVE SIaVt1ME aEtUO VaI. RENaCE CAtNW r100a OaYa[tf ostaarE ostaaa aao,0 o¢Vrr IOe¢ — -- Mh9uR cool o1nsM woO aC¢t lOi 91q 0.5Pv1 .Ooaifal3 msi Irt aO`/Ot lBl tcwt Stow• acaalrtl,_ Irtl Irtl 1 Ira>Irl IrtxOv011rt a0^�OI ¢otE euoRIDtOB avEatatFO,ISaPfwm a B4l EvuE MF� NuaEZ E. o , �°°��w`�;E:�- °�,o - Eu;o gl _ � l' m.��l P.; o;l 00 ,EYoa c a ; w nan nnn t YEAR]_RANDOM STORMS o[va[anieo uo+.a[ieric ame ww[w ouxFw ._ __ - ____.�cir2 asuxcF FNOSCW wwo+iw _ wK waT �1. . --��o=i °�� --f'�:��:E°o►,o�;a:rw_la�,.�°i x ® u e. 1. WAR 4•RANDOM STORMS —2r,i IF T. I.Z— ol 21 WW lw *0 W D D *o: D lw -1 2.—1. I so 2:1 D 211 ,1 w�l I I' oEEnEwlm wl sfienoE EtivE pslarcE YEAR 5-RANDOM STORMS siPwiwE eWa�uo eEsoPE SEiudt moEaE soPEln¢ wuiFaD I r�E BVE4�EAD eU�EM/,o 91PVPAE RMAS VN. PE,2:CE dPdEVD 6iuEGE puluYE dSiYicE to eVUPUD WmVE! ♦m" 1 E - -' -- — '— a ® oa w T. fe uE ] IN E[l�4'Jm eb flnm u � 1 YEAR 9-RANDOM STORMS r sere+ eruw r I rw r wi euiwuo I sr rnmeo r r r e is it �..rmwirl evr o>c�e�nwrro I auras friner�uolwo crtwol wanwun I I [over A 'rl I_.euveea__ rxu e I romxma rov�irwrtl w.uu� w ® a e� of x of z x w WZ IX DI 11 Im �e.aao w meso m ® m w to m w amE YEAR 7 RANDOM STORMS cwm7 D I 12 2 1: 2 1 12 :2 :2 D "I D S, nYa tlttfi Ilem 12 D D 12 1 "W D 'D 0. 2 1 1 2 :2 2=1 D 12' 2.1 lw 01 2':2 :2 :2 1. 12 W 2 .0 :1 2 D ;2 2 2 12. 211 W 2 1 1 2 1 12 lw 2:1 D X:0 211 1 2 2 0. .;2 1.11 11 2 �R I-RANDOM STORMS -0f_ 00 1 :0 00 lw 1: IN NZ IT Ekosm YEAR 9-RANDOM STORM DO 01 1. D DO I I'm lib DO 1. DO 21.1 W 1: 21 D I 1 1* D I D 11 :1 D 11 ill D ID I 'D D *D.* D I DO D D Iw DO D DO 21 :D xis 211 :i 1. 21:D SO 2 l D -I: I.: D I I 11 Do: 22: DO DO I: 1. 21, 1. DO I I DO DO YEAR 10 RANDOM STORMS X� 1:1 22: 2.1 [EPRE(]ATETT wN sETiWDI AGN,E ..N-E -E 0.ME OR pu.E[]R SUMMARY OF ALL 10 YEARS-RANDOM STORMS sTRIIG -T- PIAI(1¢p0 MNN BEFORE SETBn« TS,i1lE 9gRE[INE IILAAIEAU BLLI(14AD BE irRUltpiF BE-Val REPLACE GROUND BOOR M4pGE [15TANC4 P.S1NA£ 10 BULrufA[T MBUSS TOE EI oPfl BEpO1l PREBENT VMI£K $C BLrt[OI Iplq t]9M •CCNIENTe COST (FT I-) IFT NGVDI ST BEGINS Irt) (IT) (IT) (F11 I�ee Nwe(,1 aI NGVDI 'IT-D) SLOPE ICPoIIa[MNAGE EROSION-E INI-Tq M-E WAVE-GE BAIt I16D MMAGE IGa Or IRan )r; $TA 5[]I s+lD rm w 1 i3 MIT .5 D 10 m m w m w G.Or+;d4l )TR 5x:iaLl S+J.4G L! 1 .nnn !RRr .5 D ID Ol m m m w m m.0+2toa! x/.'• S]R an tl+i iw m 1 9m m9 m D ID D 1� m m m m w m 2xml f2Y�r`A w 1 D1. IT Iw m m w m 013:Gm Y.19}m f1b.Bm m 1 Dm D m w m m IG.1I.Ium Im m1.11 sl:z.sw m 1p u 1 w IG.O.num u11m slx}.sm w Ip 12 I 1m 2m b D ] 1. olm m m m m m.allsaD 1m ullam slump w 1 2m o ] 1p m m m m w BSl Od lvglp tm 5+29.Im flw.5w 13 15 1 1. 211 m D 01 m m m w10 D.S.MDIOBO Ix+ a@.Bm md!2m m11 ITT I .5 Dm o J m m m m m m.n.asm x]p urtam sxse.Bm m +o u t 1xD om D ] lD w m m m m IT, mlm 2m st+B.im Ors¢a m 1 B, 1m m Bm D lD IT m m m m m tG.M IaIBp 2:I 411w -1.- 12 1 55 1m .5 DBe D ] w m w m m !G.m 11Im }q IMBITI u..lm m 1p u 1 1w xP b ms o ] w m w m m ps.w l2aTo 215 uepD slse.lm 1s 2 1u tm u D a 1D al m w m m m andM 1]ppp 2. .1U.Im fn5550 m 13 1 115 +w .5 D J ID 01 m w m m m 04 W taaD 2. sI..Im f319.tm m Id 1 1m lm .0 999 0 m m w m m OS.DI tSmI 251 m.9.fm -3.5m m 1p 1e I Im .p m9 D ] w m w m m OS.M trOm rig S1.:: f]R.® m 1 1IS lm O J 10 0.1 m m w m m m.0a 1BaA 25J tllDew f.G6}00 m 2 +m Ir0 b D 1p m m m m m.0.21® }5. ftl9,)m it]9.5w m 1B 12 2 Il0 m9 D ] 10 m m m w w IG.12I0m zss slwdm u]R 1m m r 1 t IY Iw n D I 1I DI w w m m m Bs.wiJlm rn sxm.2m sJw.m m e z lss +w Js mB D w m ITS m m m.0.2.0m xm s+ITT.Dm w.aw m 1 lm ri D a '10 m w m SIT m 1G.as nmD 2m sswm sINT sm m 1D 1 21D Iw b Bm D ] m m m m m IG.m nmp xm ts..an m1,pm m e 11 1 m I65 m am D ] ID w w m m m m.M 21aD Iw Sm.Bm SB..100 m e 1 2m ]P mD J 4Srr1 m trim w m as.o.Jam 2m m1,im IT..- m 1D +x t wT TTT b BTT D I IT m m m m m m.w J10m 2m s1u.1m s:Ie.1w m a tt t ns xm ri m D J m m m m m m.M]mm }m 31@,Bm fN..3m m B 18 1 2l4 xl5 m Bm p m w m m m m.mw® me slm.lm Slw.lw m e 11 2 xu xw ss o a +D IT+ w m w m m m.W mpap Tm f110,mp 5210,mp m 10 1B 1 1. 3pp b mT D I 1D 01 m m w m m IG.mIT1® m sll um ITwlsp m 6 1. t m ]m P SIB D I +p pl m m m m m 1G.momm 2w uD1.JBo sml,mD w B 1B t mB vm m me D I +p DI m m m m m os.m lmm Ib sre.mp s1ls.am m B B t m Im m mB D I D1 su.1m m mx.rm m m 04m11(m 2.i Sm.Bm t49 Tm m B t 3to l]0 P 499 D ] 1p m m m m m IG.m 1- mdIG D I- J 1p 01 m m m m m 2d} VIS tSm,mD m 1J I PA me N, Bm D J m m w m m m.m I- Ib f1m!.]I t+m.am w I, 9 1 Bm !ND m fIm D ] 1p 01 T.. m fµ6m m m m..1. 2. f16B,pm Sri2.Om m IT 1. ] P m9 D J 10 01 m w m m m 2l) Jrtl'vm S" 1w m II 1 ri TT 31p p l QI,512 04mlrpm S72.m0 m S I] 1 m0 t5 O Ip Sb.lm m w sb.1m IG.m lepm 21] ffm.5m S+.2. m 11 1] I bm .5 !GT D J 10 w m m m m m.mlmm }@ SIB.Sm Sll].IW m 12 1 Bm Bm w 999 D ] m m m w m m.05MBm _ 111..m flrt,fim m 6 19 I 9m P 099 D a 10 SS],dP m t+>,1)5 40.- m m.052Pm Pl S.,- SJBl,TpO m B 8 1 P D a 10 t759.5P m S15B.SP m m m.m2.lm B0. L111J0o B6.B50 m r 15 1 m9 9m 25 mB D ] f.6.01. m m 4G.Ot6 m m.m3Sp00 RG L1m.tlG S}dIMD m 5 IJ 1 9B9 Pp9 t5 Bm D 33>,056 m m tSl,- m. m.m2wm 2x5 f10..tm s:l Iw m B 1 20 p ) 352.258 m 515.]>5 fJe..Bd m 04m2Bm1 SlP am tfwfim m 9 2 BBe Bm ri Bm D ) 10 SSl@I m S1omx Shc2m m IG.m]xaap m tlpd.lw 11w.1m m 5 2 9m Tm 15 ms D ] sm.1e1 m s+Bmr s]B.de. m 05..- 12. Sm.im I'm- m 1 9m 9m D J t0 m m m m m.m]B0p0 Iw SIr I,BOp Sri1,im m 15 1r 2 9m 4A w 9m D ] 10 O1 m w m m w OS.mamm 201 fml]m I'm- m 10 Ix 2 Bm Bm p J 10 01 m m w m m Dw m.2m1 2m- Sd}2Bm lm.,Im m 11 IB I m9 m9 50 Bm 0 m m m m m 05.m.mpt 2. sN, fll],]w m 10 lx 1 BA d0 m9 D J 10 0+ m w m m m m.m.wm ter s+es.sm sne.xm m 12 Is t eB9 99s m m9 o J ID D1 m m m m m m.mnmD TIT san.xm -- m M 1B 2 am o a 1D 0+ w m m w m 05.m.6m} PT ml.>m 1122.55I) m I B 1 s99 m9 25 B99 O ] 10 pt 41.m. m f12]m f3B.Bm m 05.m.ImJ )68 f1PDm flwDm w ] B t m9 m9 25 m9 D ] +0 Sw.2b m 48.14 42 SB m aH ITS m} ftwi(10 S.)1.Om m B 2 s9B PA P SITS D I fm.m9 m m fQ]29 m DS.mN® Bm IN` sm..- m B 2 Bm Bm ?5 Bm O 10 f59.Im m m tsBlm m as.mmem 2m s+sr.wD s- m r 1e 2 Bm eBe 1 D 1D uw.1LTx m L]s.s4 sm.ss] m m.m5mD1 22. S1w]m $15e.am m s ] 2 1B9 Is am o I 1p D+ n2.ur m sas.5m sJBn. m ITS.m ol- 219 fSB- SB- m 5 e I ms 15 am D I 1p p+ sb.era m sm.Bl6 m m aM mmfm 210 mr,.m SI]1lm w 9 11 t 9m m9 m m9 O I 10 D.1 Sm.m1 m m fmmt m m.m0]Om 21T tl1,- 411.6m m 12 1 9m p99 m Bm D m m w m m O5.m0.Om 21B Stm(m Ilm.]w m 11 1] 1 mT mB d5 BBe D ] D.1 w m w m w G. Omm 2P 31ri(m S1BI.'.m m r 2 em n mB D a f0 DI 4].mt m fm IT,.2-1 920 S1J1,1 11m.mp m 1. 2 I55 2m y mB D ] 10 45.m1 m m 45.m1 w mB@mm0 I Slw.I. 5238.Bm m 10 12 2 Bm 9m b SITS D 3 1. of m m m m m I.mTm 2u slllam sntBm m 1D 12 t TITSTss m mD ] m pl m m m m m Im@omD 21x s1lr,rm m w 11 is t sm sm .s am D ] p1 m m m m 11 m m 02 Dam 213 s1IB1m sPR.m w 15 IB t ssB w am D 1p o1 m m m m m lmmlmm P1 snp+m s-1. m u t ms eea m ms D I to m m m m mum 2aLlU :m s4lm s121.aw w OmmIfTGwm9BB mm}2]1Dpmm 2w S1m.1,2amA mSsx1N1Q1,.5B1mwm mm 1. 11B0 t m9 D Jmm D ] 1I0 IT 2M ftrl.m w 0m2 m D B m2m 5 2 .l1 m SIT ITTt mm mmP mmm2- BIB s2m.m 2m 15 D a 10 912.2 mwm wmmwm wmmmm mmmmm m OvGmm,Bmm]]mlpwm ]11B , r1.,.wD m ., M. D ] 3p 0 m1 S . s .2P .2- 4 ] B t IS D J p1 .mm m 112Im 9 tp t SITS D t1,sn12 mm'211 w Ie.vwn I@ . D 2 0 D m m fmatl m f1,6BT- m smr,ab m51,110 m [£RREDnTED uIN sETBea PGnvE as1PNC£ DIME DIs+E oR 0.NE DR )SUMMARY OF All 10 YEARS-RANDOM STORMS STRDC1lAE elA1 1 BEFORE BETBna R1+ IE 51[]nEutE BE!IttEM BUIt1EM 6a N1EPD SiRDII/tE II-- RE- GROIMD ROW dw.GE DSTAN DSTP TODAe1EPD OF BI OFF TOE EI IOREE BEPCR� ll✓OSCOlMTE0 vPL1E OF SECBEKIOT IDNO DSRvI •CONTENTS COST IFI-M(FT s10NT BEGINS(FT) IRS OTC (m (en w,l.� (FT NGM (FI-D) SIOPE L--.E ERO9W pAIMGE ITIONWOAGE -A-GE BtANKAD MLaGE OSa Ot 1- 271 1..- 1M.I. w 1 TIP MMDC w w m w m m.D1+9oW ns sm.® w 1 em 989 .s D m w m m.01}DDp 3)s fla SW 11117w w 15 t) 993 em m w m OI Zntm M9 f1J0 tm f}SS.+w m w 1 909 n 3 n l w m w w usa o+xmnn no an.am m +x 9m D w m m m w maw lm.s+ m+.rm s+u.ssB I] 1 m D m m w w Ir,.ww000 IW ml)W f1225m 10 v 1 xao m w w w 05.w(RISIO stll.ro f1)1.fiW m I D 3 W O1 w m w w w m.w(YnW Iw mOmmw...wwwd OmmlfrlWW®loO0O 2J5 st1 . . 1 Ir0 2H b. 9m DD ] 1 t19m 3] o n2m ..,2w D 32 Ix2Y tll] m b1. w 1. t0 O 2.1 mlrmf)2 5 ft wmmw mwm mwww wwm wwmw D nt m w w m w m.w 11W0 113 3182.m0 1211.- +] 1 tw 2" 1 099 D J m m m m w Slm® StSe.lW w 1S 2 .S D 3 m06m¢S3Naaiawwwwd tttl1bB.5r0woWm0m0pl ]22..5e] 3fw 1.10?.rm 5f22+159..SImm mw i10t l3. 1 1I5 tm b 99mm D .JJ O )1 W9= ]W 10 .0 D J t0w011 mmww wwww ww 2 11eW S3m w +e 11. wmw mwwmw wmwmw f.581m w ] Ib Ir0 Bm D w w w w w 16aw21W0 1. f++?1W flrp 550 m IB 12 2 D J m m w m m 0Nw3}OW 255 f}39 IIO w r I Im Iw 25 D w m w m w w mItS..wM]2=rOW 2 b D 3 D J m m1 310 10 t3 1 210 20 m D 3 ww ww w d27 m1m 1 w www wwm 10 w m w m w (S.w PIm Zw Sm.&O Sw.3W w 1 3w Jm m 9m D Sb.1u m iW.1N w m OS.w]Ow0 2m mt.lm S1I3.Sw m +0 1} I m9 o 3 10 01 w w w w m1w31- 2W 51181W SZt91w m 9 12 1 213 2m A 9W D ) O1 w w w w 65.d030o0 265 5162.Bm 53...Zm w B 8B 1 2a5 3)5 w m D 10 w w m m w m.w]E000 BOB St]B.fm f3w,Iw w II 2 1. 2w mD 3 10 11 m m w m w m.d ll0m mr SI.D,DW' SZIO.Ow w 1D 1B 1 IW 1m b 9m D ] t0 II m w w w w m.mwom 2W Siwfiw w B 1 2w 1. 9w D J t0 O1 m w w w w w.mIIBOm n0 1201.- Sml.- w t 1 BA 9m W m9 D m m w w m m.m 1- 2.9 M.- 1%ll- w 8 8 1 ]m 3]0 me D 3 10 01 3.}.m3 w S4.912 w w [6.m 111m 2.] f4J.Bm S149rw m B 1 ]l0 l0 999 D ] 01 m w w m w ma m 12® 2" f) . m m WB o 212mBm =w 2 m D J O 1 ww w w m m m w m w m.m 1.000 2w SIm.9m S1GJ,]w w I m9 9m w m9 D 3 1 1 -311 m fm.51. w w OS.w I5000 2lB S1fiB,om Sn2Wo w 1. 2 m9 9m 20 m9 D J w m w w w m.m1® 2l) 51BSm 111T,rm w 8 1 35 BBB D ] t0 f28..38 w w we.Ue m OS.m 1)m0 23. ftt..rm flr3.f6D m 5 13 1 9m BBB IS D ] w O1 f.lw] maw 1B000 212WW W.m t9Dop D J 01 fr28wm ww f29.)Bw6 i.2.IDm ww 2m ll6 1111,1w 12 D 3 ID 01 mmD D w m21DD n1 fI5B.w0 fY1.Om w 6 e 1 m9 9m 20 O OOmmmO(mNSwS......mmmmmwmmJ]]32}u5mIYemmoW09mm5w0o0t 992mmo2rs PfSIwdm..,.11ImWW f15W w 6 1 939 Bm 9m ] 0tm.m21- 1131.- I 1 D J 10 1 SswS.wml.....m1bb 11w 5 1 I5 O I D 3 0 6www05} mwmmmww f1 .f20w?1...01 m sIXW s+99w n D 3 D $17.21.1 S5 "fwSU.W9911..,..mmW-2w]woe0B w 2 11 D J 103+SIw m 5 2B stm.m w 2m m w m W I 2 D 3 1D w 01 N . 5 t 1-1 2] wwwwwwmw Il w w w w w m.m43m1 2. sM 3111.1w w 10 12 1 B]9 m9 b 9m O 3 m w w w w 16.m.wW xW f1fl5,5m Wmw +2 15 1 w O3 ID Ot w w m m w m.m.)® 9E1 M0I00 f]00 WD w 2 9A 989 d0 !G9 o 3 m m w w w m.m. m11W Si22Yi m t9 1 I5 m9 n 3 10 01 W. S0 s21112 Sm.B]B w m.m.mm Ifi5 f+22Dq ftw DO m 1 9 1 m9 m9 25 9m D J 10 fr02.. f0 3311" f.5.m0 w INmSRm m} 31w1m 52rl Om w fi 2 9m 4JJ W em D 3 10 01 1W101 w w wlrw w m.m51® wJ ftm.2W f25J.w0 w 9 1) 2 Bm m9 15 L>m D 3 10 SO..SD w w fGf.l50 m ma m5YU1 f1Wm0 12.Bw SO ) B 2 9m 9m n D 3 10 01 S1]t.151 w wr,15. 11..213 w OS.m-1 2. S1w.Jm slmfw w 5 1 2 Bm 9m 15 m9 D smJ23 f5,o Sb.tIJ m OS.mwmD 118 Sm.em m= w S B 1 m9m IS 9m D ] 10 Sw.1BJ w :S..IW m w m.mm® 11e w2.m s131.IW w e 1 m9m b Lm D 10 01 w3.ri5 w w2,)r5 w m.m Ot000 ZIT 1".. :lr1.m0 w 1. 1 B99 w D 3 w m w w w m.m0.000 }+e 11m.w0 slm,Jm w 1] 1 em .5 Bm D 3 w m w w w m.m OBOm 3m 'In m0 $1.1.900 w 10 2 m25 am O 10 fSl.rB1 w w913 W875 w 059012Jm1 em 51]1.2m flmBm w B 1. 2 255 390 15 m9 D 3 1. 1s.9.laD w w m m w - m9mO+tm 115 f159.IW S3JB.650 w 10 12 2 9m W9 D J 01 w w m w w o»momm }1a s+rlwo m Io u t m9 0 ] o1 w m m w m 05902-C) 112 f11r,7W f+>8530 w11 15 I m9 ! IS Bm D m w w w m m9mwlm x13 f138Tm f2m.Dw m IS 1 PA w m9 D w w w w w 0mm19m0 Id f1r0.lw uz..1w w 10 1. 1 m9 m9 W Pm 0 ] 10 01 m w w w m 9mm2WW M m.,BW sIP,M,, w t. Ie 1 BBB mw m9 D w w w w w m9m limo mfm.2m III.- w 1. 1B 1 Dm 1D9 w me D ] t0 01 w m w m w 039 m22m0 3(t. ie I..- sIII.- w 15 to 1 0a3 w D ] 10 Omm}.mo Tm f1.t.OW s211.5m m 10 10 2 m9 9m b 9m D 3 10 01 w w w w m mmmm0u5rh9999 rmmmmRw 23}}n•fiA3 Wpmm0 2A2mmr fS1S1!1..m.m0 f1Sl))B8S1.5WmW0O wwm 5 B 11 99m9B 9m nIS 88m9B D l W2p 5 B 1 m B 3 1D 0.11 fwm9.Iw51] mw mf!91B]..d5m1] D ] 3 30 Nfi1. D J 01 112. 52- 5123- S-nI 1 35 0 ] 0 2. w 2W m)IW e 11 1 3 10 0 B mwwm .t] w tx.ml,m1 m stlm.5u wl0sea m .5 A4 Appendix C Stage vs. Frequency Curves PROBABILITY X 90 DIVISIONS KEUFFEL& ESSER CO. MADE IN U.S A 468000 EV,FA1751100 99.99 99.9 99.8 99 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 5 2 1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.05 0.01 7i J- "o I I 1 1,11 1 1 1 joll 4— �z 1"01 IL 1— -T- 7 1 ! , 7 + I III -4- ------- 7�i T , 7:11=V) -4 _T -H 7-1 _L' w A �7EQ T k :7 it'$1, +I-H 17-H 0.01 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 98 99 99.8 99.9 99.99 ` 4 Appendix D Mean Critical Damage to Individual Properties Under Scenario 4 Without Project Conditions Damages to Individual Structures Present Value Over 10 Years for Scenario 4 - Random Storms 10th Percentile Mean 90th Percentile Section Block Lot Critical Critical Critical Label Damage Damage Damage 054 01 29000 $0 $734 $0 054 04 03000 $0 $10,020 $62,298 054 04 04000 $0 $4,459 $0 054 04 05000 $0 $6,209 $0 054 04 06000 $0 $1,024 $0 05404 07000 $0 $3,684 $0 054 04 08000 $0 $9,350 $0 054 04 09000 $0 $23,383 $93,606 054 04 10000 $0 $2,299 $0 054 04 11000 $0 $8,841 $0 054 04 12000 $0 $2,367 $0 054 04 13000 $0 $3,228 $0 054 04 14000 $0 $7,930 $0 054 04 15003 $0 $18,941 $0 054 04 17000 $0 $8,054 $0 054 04 18000 $0 $16,879 $0 054 04 21000 $0 $23,117 $96,013 054 04 22000 $0 $43,587 $148,900 054 04 23000 $0 $21,529 $91,925 054 04 24000 $0 $30,325 $103,594 054 04 27000 $0 $19,509 $60,914 054 04 30000 $0 $604 $0 054 04 31000 $0 $15,757 $67,084 054 04 33000 $0 $32,228 $130,583 054 04 36000 $0 $14,802 $62,493 054 04 37000 $0 $7,598 $0 054 05 02000 $0 $51 $0 054 05 10000 $0 $7,529 $22,392 054 05 11000 $0 $1,771 $4,468 054 0512000 $0 $43 $0 054 05 14000 $0 $10,262 $30,520 054 0515000 $0 $41 $0 054 05 16000 $0 $1,571 $3,584 054 05 17000 $0 $696 $0 054 0518000 $0 $313 $0 054 0519000 $0 $59 $0 054 05 20000 $0 $10,959 $32,110 054 05 22000 $68,094 $190,707 $316,458 054 05 24000 $0 $491 $0 054 05 25000 $0 $987 $0 054 05 26000 $0 $9,972 $29,219 054 05 28001 $0 $6,821 $19,540 054 05 32000 $0 $13,358 $28,903 I N DC R IT.WK4 12/22/98 Without Project Conditions Damages to Individual Structures Present Value Over 10 Years for Scenario 4 - Random Storms 10th Percentile Mean 90th Percentile Section Block Lot Critical Critical Critical Label Damage Damage . . Damage 054 05 33000 $0 $352 $0 054 05 39000 $0. $650 $0 054 05 43001 $0 $731 $0 054 05 46003 $0 $65 $0 054 05 47000 $0 $561 $0 054 05 48002 $0 $7,826 $22,932 054 05 49003 $0 $11,495 $33,682 054 05 50000 $0 $708 - $0 054 05 51000 $0 $633 $0 054 05 53000 $0 $25,395 $54,945 054 05 56001 $7,972 $28,155 $50,495 '054 08 01000 $0 $13,678 $29,871 054 08 02000 $0 $1,749 $3,990 054 08 03000 $0 $87, $0 054 08 04000 $0 $408 $0 054 08 08000 $0 $3,004 $11,457 058 02 02000 $0 $71,329 $91,221 058 02 03000 $128,255 $161,297 $192,477 058 02 04000 $81,660 $103,638 $125,732 058 02 05000 $139,712 $176,484 $211,616 058 02 06000 $0 $48,912 $114,701 058 02 07000 $0 $55,080 $129,463 058 02 08000 $0 $877 $0 058 02 09000 $0 $338 $0 058 02 10000 $0 $419 $0 058 02 11000 $0 $34,379 $91,768 058 02 12000 $0 $50,293 $116,549 058 02 13000 $0 $57,124 $131,905 058 02 15002 $0 $61,233 $142,088 058 02 16000 $0 $2,429 $6,960 058 02 20001 $0 $73,374 $189,442 05901 01000 $0 $20,806 $112,625 05901 03001 $0 $31,801 $92,759 05901 04000 $0 $64,280 $111,654 05901 05000 $58,871 $85,886 $113,448 05901 06000 $0 $79,254 $197,289 05901 08000 $0 $41,016 $108,847 05901 09000 $0 $45,175 $115,202 05901 10000 $0 $408 $0 05901 11000 $0 $1,206 $3,386 05901 12000 $0 $43 $0 059 0113000 $0 $947 $0 05901 14000 $0 $431 $0 INDCRIT.WK4 12/22/98 Without Project Conditions Damages to Individual Structures Present Value Over 10 Years for Scenario 4 - Random Storms 10th Percentile Mean 90th Percentile Section Block Lot Critical Critical Critical Label Damage Damage, Damage 05901 15000 $0 $426 $0 05901 16000 $0 $254 $0 05901 17000 $0 $402 $0 05901 23001 $0 $514 $0 05901 24000 $0 $414 $0 059 02 01000 $0 $991 $0 059 02 02000 $0 $1,066 $0 059 02 04000 $0 $165 $0 059 05 01001 $320,301 $613,405 $946,128 059 05 07000 $0 $3,530 $0 059 0519000 $0 $536 $0 059 05 24000 $0 $2,496 $11,767 059 05 29002 $0 $3,005 $8,461 059 05 29003 $0 $1,349 $0 059 06 19001 $0 $857 $2,337 059 06 22000 $0 $292 $0 059 06 23000 $43,337 $90,266 $138,037 059 06 25000 $0 $10,959 $32,110 059 06 26000 $0 $5,065 $21,552 06701 01000 $0 $593 $0 06701 02000 $0 $73 $0 06701 03000 $0 $258 $0 06701 04000 $0 $96 $0 06701 05000 $0 $1,724 $0 06701 06000 $0 $872 $0 06701 07000 $0 $1,095 $0 06701 08000 $0 $2,686 $9,707 06701 09000 $0 $2,252 $8,138 067 02 01000 $0 $3 $0 067 02 02000 $0 $270 $0 067 02 03000 $0 $1,680 $5,925 067 02 04000 $0 $441 $0 067 02 05000 $0 $1,9 44 $0 067 02 06000 $0 $875 $0 067 02 07000 $0 $686 $0 067 02 08000 $0 $686 $0 067 02 09000 $0 $3,484 $12,592 067 02 10000 $0 $2,965 $10,716 067 02 11000 $0 $7,929 $23,862 067 02 12000 $0 $3,516 $15,133 067 02 13000 $0 $13,889 $31,738 067 02 14000 $15,105 $53,478 $97,481 067 0218000 $0 $396 $0 INDCRIT.WK4 12/22/98 Without Project Conditions Damages to Individual Structures Present Value Over 10 Years for Scenario 4 - Random Storms 10th Percentile Mean 90th Percentile Section Block Lot Critical Critical Critical Label Damage Damage Damage 067 02 21001 $0 $12,359 $37,193 067 02 22000 $0 $698 $0 067 02 23000 $0 $88 $0 067 04 02000 $71,551 $144,281 $222,155 067 04 03000 $0 $2 $0 067 04 07000 $0 $1,027 $0 067 04 23000 $0 $63 $0 067 04 24000 $0 $29,133 $65,373 067 05 02000 $7,515 $28,084 $55,200 067 05 04000 $0 $2,434 $8,795 067 07 11000 $0 $17,791 $39,921 067 07 13000 $0 $18,746 $42,064 067 07 14000 $0 $18,746 $42,064 06801 13002 $0 $2,513 $0 06801 14002 $15,046 $49,278 $86,659 06801 17001 $22,003 $59,567 $110,110 068 03 12000 $0 $3,493 $0 073 04 01000 $0 $39,472 $151,071 07401 35054 $0 $11,632 $89,290 083 02 01000 $0 $104,503 $215,680 unknown $0 $11,234 $45,800 $979,000 $3,349,000 $6,598,000 INDCRIT.WK4 12/22/98 Appendix E Recreation Survey Questionnaire 0932317.00 TOWN OF SOUTHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE ON BEACHES LOCATION DAILY PASS/SEASONAL PASS /NO PASS INTERVIEWER WEATHER DATE INTERVIEW START TIME AM/PM Privacy Statement and Introduction The Town of Southold is conducting a beach survey to determine the recreational value of their beaches. This information will be utilized in a study of erosion between Duck Pond Point and Horton Point. URS Greiner,a private consulting firm,is conducting this survey for the Town and additional studies are being conducted by other consultants. Answers to the survey questions are voluntary and there is no effect in not responding. Your responses,however,will be appreciated and will aid the Town in their planning effort. All information is confidential and anonymous and only the cumulative results from this survey will be reported. Following the survey we will try to answer any questions you may have. SECTION A-BEACH VISITATION 1. What factors influenced your decision to visit this beach today rather than another Town of Southold beach? [CIRCLE ALL THAT APPLY] a Convenience/Location a Recommended by friends b Nearby parking f Lack of congestion c Restroom&changing facilities g Other d Lifeguards 2. How would you rate the following characteristics of this beach today? In your opinion is the parking. . .Excellent Good Fair Poor?[CIRCLE ANSWERS] a Parking 1 -Excellent 2-Good 3-Fair 4-Poor 5 -N/A b Beach Width 1 2 3 4 5 c Cleanliness 1 2 3 4 5 d Lifeguards 1 2 3 4 5 e Restrooms/Showers 1 2 3 4 5 f Available Beach space 1 2 3 4 5 3. How did you get to the beach today? [READ CHOICES&CIRCLE ANSWER] a Drove a car b Passenger in a car c Rode a bike d Bus e Walked f Train g Other 4. How long,in hours,did it take you to get to the beach from where you stayed last night? 5. During a typical year,how many days will you go to the beaches in Town of Southold?[RECORD N VISITS @ EACH[ [CIRCLE ALL THAT APPLY) a Goldsmiths Inlet Park c Duck Pond Point Area b Kenney's Road Beach a Other Town of Southold Beaches - c Horton Lane Beach/McCabe's Beach 6. How many hours will you spend at the beach today? 7. When do you normally come to this beach? [READ CHOICES&CIRCLE ANSWER] a Weekdays b Weekends c Both B. What activities do you come to the beach for? [READ CHOICES &CIRCLE ALL THAT APPLY] a swimming d sightseeing g tubing j boating m ball playing b walking a kayaking Il windsurfing k fishing n birdwatching c clamming f canoeing i jet skiing I sunbathing o picnicking SECTION B-WTP 9. What type of parking pass did you use to enter the beach today? [CIRCLE ANSWER) a Resident Seasonal Parking Permit($6.50) d Hotel/Motel Parking Permit($21.65/vehicle) b Non-resident Daily Parking Permit($8.66) a Guest/Lesee Parking Permit (32.48/vehicle) c Non-resident Seasonal Parking Permit($108.25) f Did not pay 10. How many people came to the beach with you today? The shoreline has changed over time-a general trend has been narrowing of the beach at Kenny's Road and McCabes Beach, and a widening to the West of Goldsmiths Inlet. Recently, there have been proposals which would alter this trend. The dry beach width at high tide could be increased by 50 to 100% at Kenny's& McCabe's Beaches.The following are questions abort this proposal. 11. If beach widths were increased at Kenny's or McCabe's Beaches would you pay an additional amount to use the Town of Southold beaches? IF YES ASK FOR AMOUNT&CIRCLE DAILY OR SEASONAL[DAILY/SEASONAL]. IF NO, ENTER $0 ANSWER $ K:\32317%,,, cy\QII1.I10N.722.WI'D j 12. If beach widths were increased at Kenny's or McCabes Beaches would your beach usage change? [CIRCLE ANSWER] a YES b NO 13. [IF ANSWER TO QUESTION 12 IS YES THEN READ THE FOLLOWINGI: Over the course of a year,how many additional days do you think you would go to the Town of Southold beaches under this scenariol?[RECORD NUMBER OF DAYS] a Goldsmiths Inlet Park c Duck Pond Point Area b Kenney's Road Beach a Other Town of Southold Beaches c Horton Lane Beach/McCabe's Beach 14. We have found in studies of this type that people have a lot of different reasons for answering as they do. Which of the following statements best describes your reasons for answering the previous questions the way you did?[READ OFF ALL REASONS&REPEAT IF NECESSARYI(CIRCLE ANSWER] a That is what it is worth to you b You believe that a wider beach would be of value, but you do not think it is fair to expect beach users to pay for it c You believe that an increase in beach width would increase your property value d Not enough information e Did not want to place dollar value f Objected to way question,was presented g Other(Specify) One proposal is to shorten the jetty at Goldsmith's Inlet. This would result in decreased beach widths on the west side of the jetty(Peconic Shores)and increased beach widths on the east side of the jetty (Kennet's'Road and McCabe's Beaches). The following are questions about this proposal. 15. If this proposal were implemented would you pay an additional,reduced or the same amount to use beaches within the Town? IF ADDITIONAL OR REDUCED,ASK AND RECORD ADDITIONAL OR REDUCED AMOUNT(NEGATIVE NUMBERS FOR REDUCED AMOUNTS)AND CIRCLE DAILY OR SEASONAL[DAILY/SEASONAL]. IF SAME, ENTER $0 ANSWERS_ 16. If beach widths were decreased on the west side of Goldsmith's Inlet(at Peconic Shores)and increased on the east side of Goldsmith's Inlet(at Kenney's Road and McCabes Beaches) would your beach usage change? [CIRCLE ANSWERI a YES b NO 17. [IF ANSWER TO QUESTION 16 IS YES THEN READ THE FOLLOWING]: Over the course of a year,how many additional or reduced days do you think you would go to the Town of Southold beaches under this scenario? [RECORD NUMBER OF ADDITIONAL OR REDUCED DAYS(NEGATIVE NUMBERS FOR REDUCED DAYS)► a Goldsmiths Inlet Park c Duck Pond Point Area b Kenney's Road Beach a Other Town of Southold Beaches c Horton Lane Beach/McCabe's Beach 18. We have found in studies of this type that people have a lot of different reasons for answering questions as they do. Which of the following statements best describes your reasons for answering the previous questions the way you did? [READ OFF ALL REASONS AND REPEAT IF NECESSARY] [CIRCLE LETTER] a That is what it is worth to you b You believe that a wider beach would be of value, but you do not think it is fair to expect beach users to pay for it c You believe that an increase in beach width would increase your property value d You believe that a decrease in beach width would decrease your property value e Not enough information f Did not want to place dollar value g Objected to way question was presented h Other(Specify) SECTION C-BACKGROUND INFORMATION The following information will help our research staff analyze the results of the study properly. 19. What is your zip code? 20. Which of the following best describes your present status?IREAD CHOICES&CIRCLE ANSWER) a Employed full-time b Employed part-time c Retired d Not employed e A homemaker f A student g Other(specify) 21. How many children under the age of 13 are with you at the beach today? 22. What is your age? 23. Record sex of respondent[CIRCLE ANSWERI a Male b Female Interview stop time AM/PM K:\32317\survey\Ql IIISn'ION.722.W PU Appendix F Maps Showing Type of Damage Under Alternative Plans i Horton Pt. N WOE McCabe "s Beach S Kenneys Road Beach (D If Goldsmith 's Inlet - dy 800 0 800 1600 2400 Feet ,-D,uclf Pond �Pt. � Inundation Damage Town of, r, uthel � MYE" Du ck-- Pond P efut to NorLoo n. Point Benefits Analysis Erosion Damage Map 1m VjKlr,out Project CondItEons-Damage Type SC�LEa 'E inch " 800 f€�e¢ � Wave Damage DATE: 12-22-98 RZEV. 1 PROJECTION. STATEPLANE ZONE: 4876 DATUM: MAD27 � Tax Parcels S re in o r o u fm a. rd CQ�dw. � i I Hoilon Pt. I McCabe s i i I I III N I i I I I I i hs i I I I i I I i I I i i i I KenneYS I I I i i I i I I I i I Goldismith "s h7let I I I j I \ I I 800 0 800 1600 2400 Feet t Duck Pond I I I I I I i i I I I i I I I I Pf. / ` ® Inundation Damage to , MY= Duck Feed to Horton Point Benefits Analysis I Erosion Damage Map 2: an d-E-1Iy a ing Alternative-Damage Type SCALE: 1 inch feet � Wave Damage DATE: 12-22`098 � �Pa I g PROJECTION: Ski" I - LANE ZONE: 4876 DATUM: NAD27 � Tax Parcels I URai uiu'-unul , '0% ra ow" ififarof _ i I Morton Ptw N W E McCabe 's Beach s Kenneys Road Be (0 Uu- ff T Goldsmith 's Inlet O 800 0 800 1600 2400 Feet 0 u c k Po ' , d , ® Inundation Damage NY, � F,�,rF fond PoJrI to Hoyt-on Folvit Benefits analysis e Erosion Damage g " an *acij mourwimerpit Alte a ive-carnage ' ype AL : I hich = 800 feet Wave Damage � ATf 1 2c22-98 REV. 1 0 Tax Parcels Yd u r O%Iyde f it Horton t. N McCabe 's Beach s Y Kenneys Road k Beach 0 ff? Goldsmith 'sInlet 800 0 800 1600 2400 Feet Dg,;ck E- l C _ rF Inundation Damage h i . ognt Ks Ann , Erosion Damage . ; i� ° -. �� 31oe t cg"+i�,Ems) � � [4 � Ece 12,"k ab�a�E�� R ;V,, Wave Damage 0 Tax Parcels 4, r7 Clyde C-1, 10 0XV pri 0